Hawaii gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018
General election
General election for Governor of Hawaii
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | David Ige (D) | 62.7 | 244,934 |
![]() | Andria Tupola (R) | 33.7 | 131,719 | |
![]() | Jim Brewer (G) | 2.6 | 10,123 | |
![]() | Terrence Teruya (Nonpartisan) | 1.0 | 4,067 |
Total votes: 390,843 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 23 - Nov. 3
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m.
2022 →
← 2014
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Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018 |
Primary: August 11, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent(s): Gov. David Ige (Democrat) Lt. Gov. Doug Chin (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 6 p.m. Voting in Hawaii |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2018 Impact of term limits in 2018 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
Hawaii executive elections |
Governor Lieutenant governor |
Hawaii held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018. The primary election was held on August 11, 2018. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018.
Incumbent David Ige (D) defeated challengers Andria Tupola (R), Jim Brewer (Green), and Terrence Teruya (nonpartisan), receiving 62.7 percent of the vote to Tupola's 33.6 percent, Brewer's 2.6 percent, and Teruya's 1.0 percent. Ige's 62.7 percent share of the vote was greater than any Democratic candidate for governor in state history, surpassing the 59.83 percent record set by John Waihee (D) in 1990. Click here for more.
SETTING THE STAGE | |
Candidates and election results
Governor
General election
General election for Governor of Hawaii
Incumbent David Ige defeated Andria Tupola, Jim Brewer, and Terrence Teruya in the general election for Governor of Hawaii on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | David Ige (D) | 62.7 | 244,934 |
![]() | Andria Tupola (R) | 33.7 | 131,719 | |
![]() | Jim Brewer (G) | 2.6 | 10,123 | |
![]() | Terrence Teruya (Nonpartisan) | 1.0 | 4,067 |
Total votes: 390,843 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | David Ige | 51.4 | 124,572 |
![]() | Colleen Hanabusa | 44.4 | 107,631 | |
![]() | Ernest Caravalho | 2.3 | 5,662 | |
![]() | Wendell Ka'ehu'ae'a | 0.9 | 2,298 | |
![]() | Richard Kim | 0.6 | 1,576 | |
![]() | Van Tanabe | 0.3 | 775 |
Total votes: 242,514 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Clayton Hee (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Hawaii
Andria Tupola defeated John Carroll and Ray L'Heureux in the Republican primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Andria Tupola | 55.5 | 17,297 |
![]() | John Carroll | 35.2 | 10,974 | |
![]() | Ray L'Heureux | 9.3 | 2,885 |
Total votes: 31,156 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for Governor of Hawaii
Terrence Teruya defeated Selina Blackwell and Link El in the primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Terrence Teruya | 47.7 | 543 |
![]() | Selina Blackwell | 43.7 | 497 | |
![]() | Link El | 8.6 | 98 |
Total votes: 1,138 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Green primary election
Green primary for Governor of Hawaii
Jim Brewer advanced from the Green primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jim Brewer | 100.0 | 454 |
Total votes: 454 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Lieutenant Governor
General election
General election for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii
Joshua Green defeated Marissa Kerns, Renee Ing, and Paul Robotti in the general election for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joshua Green (D) | 62.7 | 244,934 | |
![]() | Marissa Kerns (R) | 33.7 | 131,719 | |
![]() | Renee Ing (G) | 2.6 | 10,123 | |
Paul Robotti (Nonpartisan) ![]() | 1.0 | 4,067 |
Total votes: 390,843 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii
Joshua Green defeated Jill Tokuda, Bernard Carvalho, Kim Coco Iwamoto, and William Espero in the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joshua Green | 31.4 | 74,845 | |
Jill Tokuda | 28.6 | 68,124 | ||
![]() | Bernard Carvalho | 19.2 | 45,825 | |
![]() | Kim Coco Iwamoto | 14.4 | 34,243 | |
![]() | William Espero | 6.5 | 15,463 |
Total votes: 238,500 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii
Marissa Kerns defeated Steve Lipscomb and Jeremy Low in the Republican primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Marissa Kerns | 35.4 | 9,758 |
![]() | Steve Lipscomb | 34.7 | 9,543 | |
![]() | Jeremy Low | 29.9 | 8,232 |
Total votes: 27,533 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii
Paul Robotti defeated Ernest Magaoay in the primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Paul Robotti ![]() | 50.6 | 536 | |
![]() | Ernest Magaoay | 49.4 | 523 |
Total votes: 1,059 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Green primary election
Green primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii
Renee Ing advanced from the Green primary for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Renee Ing | 100.0 | 444 |
Total votes: 444 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Context of the 2018 election
Race rating
Race ratings: Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2018 | October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Other 2018 statewide elections
This race took place in one of twenty-two states that held elections for both governor and U.S. Senate in 2018.
A table of where these elections occurred, the names of incumbents prior to the 2018 elections, and links to our coverage of these races can be viewed by clicking "[show]" on the banner below:
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
Gubernatorial wave elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | President | Party | Election type | Gubernatorial seats change | Elections analyzed[1] | |
1970 | Nixon | R | First midterm | -12 | 35 | |
1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -11 | 33 | |
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -10 | 35 | |
1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -10 | 36 | |
1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -10 | 36 | |
1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -9 | 33 | |
1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -9 | 33 | |
1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[2] | -9 | 35 | |
1954 | Eisenhower | R | First midterm | -8 | 33 | |
1982 | Reagan | R | First midterm | -7 | 36 | |
2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -7 | 33 |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Hawaii heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Hawaii.
- Democrats held both of the U.S. House seats in Hawaii.
State executives
- As of August 2018, Democrats held two of 10 state executive positions. The remaining eight positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Hawaii was Democrat David Ige. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
Democrats controlled both chambers of the Hawaii State Legislature. They had a 45-6 majority in the state House and a 25-0 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Hawaii was under a state government trifecta, meaning the Democratic Party held the governorship, a majority in the state senate, and a majority in the state house.
2018 elections
- See also: Hawaii elections, 2018
Hawaii held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- Two U.S. House seats
- Governor
- Lieutenant governor
- Thirteen state Senate seats
- Fifty-one state House of Representatives seats
- Four Honolulu City Council seats
- Two statewide ballot measures
Demographics
Demographic data for Hawaii | ||
---|---|---|
Hawaii | U.S. | |
Total population: | 1,425,157 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 6,423 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 25.4% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 2% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 37.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 9.9% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 23.7% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 9.9% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 91% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 30.8% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $69,515 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 11.6% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Hawaii. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Hawaii's three largest cities were Urban Honolulu (pop. est. 350,395), East Honolulu (pop. est. 47,957), and Pearl City (pop. est. 47,241).[3]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Hawaii from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Hawaii Office of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Hawaii every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Hawaii 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
61.0% | ![]() |
29.4% | 31.6% |
2012 | ![]() |
70.1% | ![]() |
27.7% | 42.4% |
2008 | ![]() |
71.5% | ![]() |
26.4% | 45.1% |
2004 | ![]() |
53.7% | ![]() |
45.0% | 8.7% |
2000 | ![]() |
55.3% | ![]() |
37.1% | 18.2% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Hawaii from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Hawaii 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
70.1% | ![]() |
21.2% | 48.9% |
2014 | ![]() |
66.8% | ![]() |
26.5% | 40.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
61.6% | ![]() |
36.8% | 24.8% |
2010 | ![]() |
71.9% | ![]() |
20.7% | 51.2% |
2006 | ![]() |
60.3% | ![]() |
36.1% | 24.2% |
2004 | ![]() |
72.7% | ![]() |
20.2% | 52.5% |
2000 | ![]() |
67.7% | ![]() |
22.8% | 44.9% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Hawaii.
Election results (Governor), Hawaii 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
49.0% | ![]() |
36.7% | 12.3% |
2010 | ![]() |
57.8% | ![]() |
40.8% | 17.0% |
2006 | ![]() |
49.8% | ![]() |
34.9% | 14.9% |
2002 | ![]() |
51.6% | ![]() |
47.0% | 4.6% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Hawaii in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Hawaii Party Control: 1992-2024
Twenty-five years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Hawaii. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Hawaii with 62.2 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 30 percent. In presidential elections between 1960 and 2016, Hawaii voted Democratic 86.67 percent of the time and Republican 13.33 percent of the time. The only presidential elections from 1960 to 2016 where Hawaii voted for the Republican candidate were the elections in 1972 and 1984. Richard Nixon (R) and Ronald Reagan (R), respectively, won nearly every state in those elections.[4] Hawaii voted Democratic in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Hawaii. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[5][6]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 42.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won all 51 state House districts in Hawaii with an average margin of victory of 31.7 points. Six of those districts were controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 78.86% | 18.99% | D+59.9 | 67.83% | 22.93% | D+44.9 | D |
2 | 81.90% | 16.56% | D+65.3 | 70.83% | 20.79% | D+50 | D |
3 | 78.94% | 18.86% | D+60.1 | 66.06% | 24.28% | D+41.8 | D |
4 | 74.69% | 20.89% | D+53.8 | 61.65% | 26.42% | D+35.2 | D |
5 | 70.37% | 27.44% | D+42.9 | 60.96% | 30.41% | D+30.5 | D |
6 | 63.87% | 34.13% | D+29.7 | 55.17% | 36.08% | D+19.1 | D |
7 | 70.15% | 27.80% | D+42.3 | 62.01% | 28.48% | D+33.5 | D |
8 | 77.15% | 21.48% | D+55.7 | 66.05% | 24.87% | D+41.2 | D |
9 | 82.40% | 16.67% | D+65.7 | 71.21% | 21.87% | D+49.3 | D |
10 | 66.49% | 31.34% | D+35.2 | 59.75% | 31.99% | D+27.8 | D |
11 | 65.21% | 32.49% | D+32.7 | 59.60% | 31.32% | D+28.3 | D |
12 | 73.87% | 23.66% | D+50.2 | 64.66% | 24.79% | D+39.9 | D |
13 | 78.96% | 18.21% | D+60.8 | 65.73% | 21.35% | D+44.4 | D |
14 | 72.91% | 23.66% | D+49.2 | 61.55% | 28.21% | D+33.3 | D |
15 | 73.72% | 24.41% | D+49.3 | 62.16% | 30.30% | D+31.9 | D |
16 | 73.80% | 24.28% | D+49.5 | 63.81% | 27.75% | D+36.1 | D |
17 | 64.14% | 34.73% | D+29.4 | 61.51% | 32.48% | D+29 | R |
18 | 64.74% | 34.13% | D+30.6 | 62.93% | 31.13% | D+31.8 | D |
19 | 68.62% | 30.02% | D+38.6 | 65.35% | 28.24% | D+37.1 | D |
20 | 74.85% | 23.28% | D+51.6 | 68.93% | 24.22% | D+44.7 | D |
21 | 75.85% | 22.20% | D+53.7 | 69.81% | 22.91% | D+46.9 | D |
22 | 63.65% | 33.95% | D+29.7 | 60.51% | 32.82% | D+27.7 | D |
23 | 74.44% | 23.74% | D+50.7 | 70.35% | 22.60% | D+47.8 | D |
24 | 72.02% | 26.06% | D+46 | 67.57% | 25.28% | D+42.3 | D |
25 | 72.41% | 25.81% | D+46.6 | 65.99% | 26.66% | D+39.3 | D |
26 | 69.71% | 28.67% | D+41 | 66.03% | 27.94% | D+38.1 | D |
27 | 73.79% | 24.89% | D+48.9 | 66.44% | 27.44% | D+39 | D |
28 | 75.18% | 23.76% | D+51.4 | 65.88% | 27.53% | D+38.3 | D |
29 | 72.71% | 25.65% | D+47.1 | 65.49% | 27.73% | D+37.8 | D |
30 | 74.18% | 25.14% | D+49 | 66.96% | 27.11% | D+39.8 | D |
31 | 67.31% | 31.63% | D+35.7 | 60.03% | 33.91% | D+26.1 | D |
32 | 71.52% | 27.25% | D+44.3 | 61.88% | 31.86% | D+30 | D |
33 | 71.14% | 28.00% | D+43.1 | 64.50% | 29.83% | D+34.7 | D |
34 | 73.09% | 25.92% | D+47.2 | 63.82% | 30.29% | D+33.5 | D |
35 | 71.64% | 27.28% | D+44.4 | 60.83% | 33.40% | D+27.4 | D |
36 | 65.58% | 33.62% | D+32 | 58.08% | 35.51% | D+22.6 | R |
37 | 68.17% | 30.78% | D+37.4 | 60.07% | 33.75% | D+26.3 | D |
38 | 75.65% | 23.90% | D+51.8 | 68.58% | 27.30% | D+41.3 | D |
39 | 66.08% | 33.05% | D+33 | 55.93% | 37.10% | D+18.8 | D |
40 | 63.55% | 35.44% | D+28.1 | 52.55% | 41.16% | D+11.4 | R |
41 | 64.77% | 34.18% | D+30.6 | 52.81% | 39.86% | D+13 | D |
42 | 62.03% | 36.85% | D+25.2 | 51.48% | 41.06% | D+10.4 | D |
43 | 69.40% | 29.09% | D+40.3 | 51.86% | 39.48% | D+12.4 | R |
44 | 71.73% | 26.37% | D+45.4 | 52.37% | 37.93% | D+14.4 | D |
45 | 65.66% | 32.94% | D+32.7 | 57.08% | 35.06% | D+22 | R |
46 | 69.74% | 29.10% | D+40.6 | 57.86% | 34.83% | D+23 | D |
47 | 51.82% | 46.23% | D+5.6 | 48.08% | 40.22% | D+7.9 | D |
48 | 67.63% | 31.05% | D+36.6 | 58.22% | 33.67% | D+24.6 | D |
49 | 71.40% | 27.44% | D+44 | 63.21% | 29.76% | D+33.4 | D |
50 | 64.02% | 34.41% | D+29.6 | 59.88% | 31.83% | D+28 | R |
51 | 70.33% | 28.32% | D+42 | 61.16% | 30.89% | D+30.3 | D |
Total | 70.55% | 27.84% | D+42.7 | 62.22% | 30.04% | D+32.2 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
See also
Hawaii government: |
Elections: |
Ballotpedia exclusives: |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ Hawaii Demographics, "Hawaii Cities by Population," accessed August 30, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Historical Presidential Elections," accessed August 2, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
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