2023 ZiPS Projections: Minnesota Twins
For the 18th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and today’s team is the Minnesota Twins.
Batters
Even with Carlos Correa unsigned, Minnesota’s offense looks solid, though there’s a larger-than-normal dropoff if injuries happen to hit hard. And unfortunately, there are lots of places for injuries to hit the Twins hard; it seems unlikely that Byron Buxton is ever going to play 140 games again, and Royce Lewis‘ exact return from a torn ACL is speculative. Left field appears to be a problem at present time, and though ZiPS was at one time fairly high on Alex Kirilloff, injuries and some mediocre cups-of-coffee during his healthy interregnums have caused his projection to deteriorate considerably in the last couple of years. It’s a moot point now that the Mets have brought back Brandon Nimmo, but given the outfield options, I’m not necessarily sure that Correa is that much more desirable than Nimmo would have been, something I probably wouldn’t say for almost every other team.
I’m sad to see a rather bland Luis Arraez projection; he’s one of my favorite players to watch hit, since he plays more like someone from 1922. But in the end, while he’s a fun throwback to a different time in style, he plays in 2022, and his lack of power puts a fairly hard ceiling on his value as a first baseman. If he had been a better middle infielder, he might be one of baseball’s best young bets to join the 3,000 hit club, though he’d probably be the worst player to collect 3,000 hits overall! If he’s truly limited to first base, Arraez probably fades out of the league fairly quickly; a .280/.340/.370 first baseman isn’t really a starter unless he plays defense like a futuristic cyborg Keith Hernandez.
Buxton’s comp is a fun one, if not an overwhelmingly heartening one. Jeff Heath, like Buxton, was another extremely talented player who suffered a lot of injuries, such as bad knees from high school football, a broken ankle, and a hand injury. He had prospects as a football player, but it was his injuries as a teenager that got him firmly on the baseball route. The similarities end there; Heath’s favorite hobby was getting into fistfights with just about anyone (he hurt his hand punching a fan). I still hope we get a healthy Buxton at some point.
There’s a pretty big difference in how Steamer and ZiPS project Lewis, but if I’m being perfectly honest, I’m not sure which one I’m closer to on; we’ve just seen so little of him healthy in recent years. That, and his performance has been all over the map. There’s almost no level of results for him that would completely surprise me.
Pitchers
I’m sure everyone has things in their life that are fine/OK but for which they have a complete lack of enthusiasm. The Twins’ pitching projections are far from actually being poor, but there’s just such a blandness about it that it’s hard to conjure up much gusto. Joe Ryan, Sonny Gray, and Tyler Mahle are all serviceable more than scintillating, and the team has a bevy of perfectly reasonable fourth and fifth starter options available. This group would look a lot better if it had a bonafide ace at the helm. Perhaps if the Twins lose out in the Correa contract race, they could check in on Carlos Rodón? The good news here is that in what is a relatively weak division, this rotation wouldn’t prevent them from making the playoffs.
The bullpen could use some work this winter; there’s a very steep drop from Jorge López and Jhoan Duran at the top. As with the rotation, it’s not so weak a group that it’s actively hurting Minnesota’s shot at winning the division, though it’s hard to muster up much passion about this pen. ZiPS remains a big proponent of Cody Stashak, but he’s had a major shoulder injury and is a free agent after being outrighted by the Twins. If they had more confidence in his recovery from his torn labrum, he’d likely still be on the roster.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos Correa | R | 28 | SS | 592 | 521 | 77 | 144 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 77 | 62 | 117 | 0 | 1 |
Byron Buxton | R | 29 | CF | 350 | 316 | 62 | 81 | 21 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 26 | 96 | 7 | 1 |
Jorge Polanco | B | 29 | 2B | 567 | 503 | 79 | 132 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 73 | 56 | 107 | 5 | 4 |
Jose Miranda | R | 25 | 1B | 594 | 545 | 71 | 156 | 31 | 0 | 19 | 88 | 36 | 97 | 2 | 2 |
Luis Arraez | L | 26 | 1B | 583 | 524 | 78 | 159 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 52 | 45 | 3 | 3 |
Royce Lewis | R | 24 | SS | 364 | 330 | 52 | 85 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 28 | 74 | 11 | 3 |
Max Kepler | L | 30 | RF | 472 | 412 | 62 | 95 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 50 | 79 | 4 | 2 |
Ryan Jeffers | R | 26 | C | 355 | 318 | 38 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 31 | 98 | 0 | 1 |
Edouard Julien | L | 24 | 2B | 502 | 424 | 59 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 61 | 70 | 163 | 11 | 4 |
Gary Sanchez | R | 30 | C | 433 | 383 | 48 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 21 | 57 | 41 | 122 | 1 | 1 |
Kyle Farmer | R | 32 | SS | 499 | 455 | 47 | 110 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 56 | 25 | 93 | 3 | 2 |
Yunior Severino | B | 23 | 3B | 381 | 343 | 35 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 51 | 31 | 119 | 0 | 1 |
Curtis Terry | R | 26 | 1B | 397 | 356 | 43 | 87 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 56 | 30 | 85 | 1 | 1 |
Mikey Perez | R | 23 | 2B | 413 | 369 | 50 | 81 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 60 | 30 | 114 | 21 | 4 |
Nick Gordon | L | 27 | LF | 400 | 368 | 45 | 95 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 20 | 93 | 9 | 3 |
Tyler White 화이트 | R | 32 | DH | 395 | 336 | 35 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 52 | 92 | 2 | 1 |
Alex Kirilloff | L | 25 | LF | 332 | 304 | 37 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 50 | 22 | 71 | 1 | 1 |
Michael Helman | R | 27 | 2B | 502 | 460 | 62 | 100 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 38 | 114 | 14 | 3 |
Elliot Soto | R | 33 | SS | 334 | 302 | 38 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 28 | 88 | 5 | 2 |
Miguel Sanó | R | 30 | 1B | 425 | 375 | 53 | 80 | 19 | 0 | 22 | 57 | 47 | 150 | 2 | 1 |
Braden Bishop | R | 29 | LF | 323 | 296 | 39 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 22 | 84 | 7 | 2 |
Kyle Garlick | R | 31 | LF | 227 | 208 | 30 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 15 | 73 | 1 | 1 |
Matt Wallner | L | 25 | RF | 537 | 468 | 59 | 99 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 80 | 55 | 200 | 3 | 2 |
Austin Martin | R | 24 | SS | 415 | 355 | 50 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 39 | 81 | 15 | 4 |
Tim Beckham | R | 33 | 2B | 210 | 193 | 25 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 14 | 59 | 1 | 1 |
Trevor Larnach | L | 26 | LF | 381 | 337 | 39 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 120 | 1 | 1 |
Brooks Lee | B | 22 | SS | 146 | 133 | 14 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 27 | 0 | 1 |
Sandy Leon | B | 34 | C | 190 | 168 | 13 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 51 | 0 | 1 |
Anthony Prato | R | 25 | LF | 483 | 426 | 55 | 97 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 58 | 41 | 136 | 9 | 4 |
Jair Camargo | R | 23 | C | 326 | 309 | 31 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 13 | 136 | 2 | 1 |
Ernie Yake | L | 25 | SS | 156 | 144 | 15 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 4 | 2 |
Roy Morales | R | 28 | 1B | 304 | 273 | 33 | 72 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 26 | 46 | 2 | 1 |
Andrew Bechtold | R | 27 | 3B | 464 | 419 | 43 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 163 | 1 | 1 |
Will Holland | R | 25 | CF | 401 | 356 | 43 | 68 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 145 | 13 | 4 |
Mark Contreras | L | 28 | CF | 457 | 414 | 53 | 82 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 31 | 155 | 12 | 3 |
Dalton Shuffield | R | 24 | 2B | 97 | 89 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 1 |
Derek Fisher | L | 29 | RF | 249 | 220 | 31 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 83 | 3 | 1 |
Gilberto Celestino | R | 24 | CF | 422 | 383 | 38 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 35 | 94 | 4 | 2 |
Alerick Soularie | R | 23 | 2B | 346 | 309 | 49 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 105 | 8 | 3 |
Alex Isola | R | 24 | DH | 326 | 293 | 31 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 29 | 82 | 0 | 1 |
Billy Hamilton | R | 32 | CF | 202 | 184 | 31 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 66 | 16 | 2 |
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. | L | 26 | CF | 405 | 373 | 35 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 127 | 16 | 4 |
Cole Sturgeon | L | 31 | RF | 419 | 386 | 39 | 91 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 25 | 89 | 5 | 3 |
Jake Rucker | R | 23 | 3B | 497 | 441 | 52 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 58 | 38 | 136 | 8 | 7 |
Nash Knight | B | 30 | 2B | 338 | 295 | 35 | 57 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 36 | 116 | 1 | 2 |
John Andreoli | R | 33 | LF | 376 | 316 | 40 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 53 | 152 | 8 | 2 |
Aaron Sabato | R | 24 | 1B | 443 | 386 | 47 | 72 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 56 | 47 | 164 | 1 | 1 |
David Bañuelos | R | 26 | C | 205 | 191 | 19 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 72 | 0 | 1 |
Seth Gray | L | 25 | 3B | 486 | 437 | 45 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 58 | 35 | 183 | 4 | 2 |
Wander Javier | R | 24 | SS | 444 | 412 | 41 | 75 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 24 | 179 | 2 | 2 |
Pat Winkel | L | 23 | C | 201 | 184 | 14 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 70 | 0 | 1 |
Chris Williams | R | 26 | 1B | 424 | 374 | 40 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 44 | 158 | 1 | 1 |
Kyler Fedko | R | 23 | RF | 445 | 400 | 55 | 89 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 37 | 112 | 6 | 2 |
Kyle Schmidt | R | 25 | C | 200 | 185 | 14 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 68 | 0 | 1 |
Willie Joe Garry Jr. | L | 23 | RF | 297 | 266 | 30 | 46 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 24 | 118 | 9 | 3 |
Player | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos Correa | 592 | .276 | .355 | .472 | 130 | .196 | .316 | 7 | 5.6 | .355 |
Byron Buxton | 350 | .256 | .323 | .544 | 137 | .288 | .298 | 8 | 3.9 | .365 |
Jorge Polanco | 567 | .262 | .337 | .453 | 119 | .191 | .294 | -3 | 3.2 | .340 |
Jose Miranda | 594 | .286 | .340 | .448 | 119 | .161 | .319 | 5 | 2.9 | .340 |
Luis Arraez | 583 | .303 | .365 | .399 | 115 | .095 | .323 | 2 | 2.3 | .335 |
Royce Lewis | 364 | .258 | .321 | .430 | 109 | .173 | .302 | -1 | 2.1 | .325 |
Max Kepler | 472 | .231 | .320 | .410 | 103 | .180 | .249 | 7 | 2.0 | .317 |
Ryan Jeffers | 355 | .226 | .302 | .406 | 97 | .179 | .282 | 3 | 1.9 | .308 |
Edouard Julien | 502 | .219 | .337 | .361 | 97 | .142 | .325 | -2 | 1.8 | .312 |
Gary Sanchez | 433 | .219 | .305 | .436 | 105 | .217 | .263 | -6 | 1.7 | .319 |
Kyle Farmer | 499 | .242 | .299 | .356 | 83 | .114 | .284 | 1 | 1.4 | .288 |
Yunior Severino | 381 | .224 | .297 | .379 | 88 | .155 | .313 | 5 | 1.3 | .295 |
Curtis Terry | 397 | .244 | .317 | .404 | 101 | .160 | .292 | 2 | 0.9 | .315 |
Mikey Perez | 413 | .220 | .300 | .347 | 82 | .127 | .298 | -1 | 0.9 | .288 |
Nick Gordon | 400 | .258 | .304 | .416 | 100 | .158 | .321 | -1 | 0.7 | .309 |
Tyler White | 395 | .229 | .334 | .369 | 98 | .140 | .289 | 0 | 0.7 | .312 |
Alex Kirilloff | 332 | .250 | .310 | .401 | 98 | .151 | .296 | 0 | 0.7 | .309 |
Michael Helman | 502 | .217 | .279 | .350 | 75 | .133 | .263 | -1 | 0.5 | .276 |
Elliot Soto | 334 | .215 | .287 | .295 | 65 | .079 | .297 | 2 | 0.4 | .262 |
Miguel Sanó | 425 | .213 | .304 | .440 | 106 | .227 | .286 | -6 | 0.4 | .320 |
Braden Bishop | 323 | .233 | .294 | .355 | 81 | .122 | .306 | 3 | 0.4 | .285 |
Kyle Garlick | 227 | .240 | .300 | .466 | 111 | .226 | .315 | -4 | 0.4 | .327 |
Matt Wallner | 537 | .212 | .309 | .385 | 94 | .173 | .327 | -4 | 0.3 | .303 |
Austin Martin | 415 | .231 | .337 | .304 | 83 | .073 | .294 | -11 | 0.3 | .295 |
Tim Beckham | 210 | .249 | .305 | .415 | 100 | .166 | .323 | -5 | 0.3 | .311 |
Trevor Larnach | 381 | .234 | .315 | .374 | 93 | .139 | .333 | -2 | 0.3 | .302 |
Brooks Lee | 146 | .241 | .308 | .346 | 84 | .105 | .282 | -1 | 0.2 | .291 |
Sandy Leon | 190 | .202 | .286 | .286 | 62 | .083 | .272 | 2 | 0.2 | .260 |
Anthony Prato | 483 | .228 | .311 | .331 | 81 | .103 | .323 | 1 | 0.2 | .287 |
Jair Camargo | 326 | .207 | .245 | .350 | 65 | .142 | .327 | 1 | 0.2 | .258 |
Ernie Yake | 156 | .229 | .276 | .278 | 57 | .049 | .284 | 3 | 0.2 | .247 |
Roy Morales | 304 | .264 | .336 | .326 | 88 | .062 | .311 | 0 | 0.2 | .296 |
Andrew Bechtold | 464 | .203 | .276 | .325 | 68 | .122 | .302 | 1 | 0.0 | .267 |
Will Holland | 401 | .191 | .278 | .303 | 64 | .112 | .299 | 1 | 0.0 | .262 |
Mark Contreras | 457 | .198 | .267 | .345 | 71 | .147 | .283 | -1 | 0.0 | .268 |
Dalton Shuffield | 97 | .213 | .278 | .382 | 83 | .169 | .286 | -2 | -0.1 | .287 |
Derek Fisher | 249 | .200 | .289 | .332 | 74 | .132 | .290 | 1 | -0.1 | .277 |
Gilberto Celestino | 422 | .230 | .299 | .324 | 76 | .094 | .292 | -5 | -0.1 | .278 |
Alerick Soularie | 346 | .201 | .280 | .307 | 65 | .107 | .283 | -1 | -0.1 | .263 |
Alex Isola | 326 | .225 | .298 | .355 | 83 | .130 | .282 | 0 | -0.1 | .288 |
Billy Hamilton | 202 | .190 | .250 | .261 | 44 | .071 | .291 | 2 | -0.2 | .230 |
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. | 405 | .206 | .262 | .306 | 59 | .099 | .299 | 2 | -0.2 | .251 |
Cole Sturgeon | 419 | .236 | .289 | .329 | 73 | .093 | .295 | 3 | -0.2 | .273 |
Jake Rucker | 497 | .211 | .286 | .313 | 69 | .102 | .293 | -1 | -0.3 | .267 |
Nash Knight | 338 | .193 | .293 | .298 | 67 | .105 | .299 | -3 | -0.3 | .269 |
John Andreoli | 376 | .177 | .297 | .304 | 70 | .127 | .308 | 0 | -0.4 | .273 |
Aaron Sabato | 443 | .187 | .284 | .339 | 75 | .153 | .279 | 2 | -0.4 | .277 |
David Bañuelos | 205 | .188 | .235 | .304 | 50 | .115 | .278 | -1 | -0.4 | .236 |
Seth Gray | 486 | .188 | .267 | .291 | 57 | .103 | .295 | 0 | -0.7 | .251 |
Wander Javier | 444 | .182 | .236 | .303 | 50 | .121 | .295 | 0 | -0.8 | .237 |
Pat Winkel | 201 | .201 | .269 | .293 | 58 | .092 | .306 | -9 | -1.0 | .252 |
Chris Williams | 424 | .193 | .278 | .348 | 75 | .155 | .291 | -4 | -1.0 | .276 |
Kyler Fedko | 445 | .223 | .294 | .325 | 74 | .103 | .294 | -7 | -1.1 | .276 |
Kyle Schmidt | 200 | .184 | .240 | .243 | 37 | .059 | .278 | -6 | -1.2 | .219 |
Willie Joe Garry Jr. | 297 | .173 | .251 | .263 | 45 | .090 | .301 | -2 | -1.5 | .231 |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carlos Correa | .301 | .378 | .531 | 150 | 7.0 | .250 | .326 | .426 | 111 | 4.3 |
Byron Buxton | .283 | .348 | .626 | 166 | 5.0 | .229 | .298 | .480 | 117 | 2.9 |
Jorge Polanco | .286 | .361 | .509 | 137 | 4.4 | .238 | .312 | .406 | 101 | 1.8 |
Jose Miranda | .312 | .369 | .494 | 139 | 4.5 | .257 | .313 | .397 | 98 | 1.4 |
Luis Arraez | .333 | .398 | .440 | 135 | 3.8 | .272 | .337 | .359 | 97 | 1.0 |
Royce Lewis | .285 | .348 | .484 | 129 | 3.0 | .231 | .295 | .378 | 89 | 1.1 |
Max Kepler | .250 | .346 | .462 | 124 | 3.2 | .206 | .295 | .356 | 84 | 0.8 |
Ryan Jeffers | .254 | .331 | .468 | 120 | 2.9 | .198 | .274 | .353 | 75 | 1.0 |
Edouard Julien | .244 | .364 | .414 | 116 | 3.0 | .193 | .313 | .316 | 77 | 0.6 |
Gary Sanchez | .245 | .333 | .509 | 129 | 3.0 | .192 | .278 | .377 | 84 | 0.6 |
Kyle Farmer | .266 | .327 | .396 | 100 | 2.5 | .217 | .278 | .316 | 67 | 0.4 |
Yunior Severino | .250 | .320 | .427 | 107 | 2.2 | .198 | .270 | .335 | 70 | 0.5 |
Curtis Terry | .270 | .343 | .453 | 121 | 1.9 | .215 | .289 | .361 | 81 | 0.0 |
Mikey Perez | .248 | .327 | .396 | 100 | 1.9 | .192 | .277 | .306 | 65 | -0.1 |
Nick Gordon | .288 | .332 | .466 | 121 | 1.8 | .229 | .277 | .365 | 79 | -0.3 |
Tyler White | .254 | .361 | .418 | 117 | 1.7 | .202 | .307 | .321 | 77 | -0.3 |
Alex Kirilloff | .278 | .335 | .444 | 116 | 1.4 | .221 | .284 | .352 | 79 | -0.1 |
Michael Helman | .241 | .308 | .402 | 95 | 1.8 | .194 | .257 | .314 | 60 | -0.5 |
Elliot Soto | .246 | .319 | .333 | 83 | 1.2 | .190 | .261 | .254 | 49 | -0.2 |
Miguel Sanó | .240 | .327 | .504 | 126 | 1.5 | .188 | .275 | .382 | 85 | -0.7 |
Braden Bishop | .259 | .323 | .401 | 100 | 1.2 | .206 | .266 | .310 | 62 | -0.5 |
Kyle Garlick | .266 | .322 | .526 | 133 | 1.0 | .208 | .270 | .404 | 88 | -0.3 |
Matt Wallner | .235 | .330 | .435 | 112 | 1.5 | .184 | .286 | .333 | 74 | -1.0 |
Austin Martin | .255 | .362 | .339 | 98 | 1.1 | .204 | .313 | .272 | 67 | -0.6 |
Tim Beckham | .275 | .329 | .472 | 120 | 0.8 | .221 | .275 | .368 | 78 | -0.3 |
Trevor Larnach | .261 | .341 | .425 | 111 | 1.2 | .207 | .286 | .328 | 74 | -0.6 |
Brooks Lee | .265 | .336 | .387 | 102 | 0.6 | .214 | .281 | .303 | 65 | -0.1 |
Sandy Leon | .231 | .317 | .330 | 79 | 0.7 | .172 | .256 | .247 | 45 | -0.2 |
Anthony Prato | .255 | .334 | .369 | 98 | 1.2 | .203 | .283 | .288 | 62 | -1.0 |
Jair Camargo | .232 | .270 | .405 | 85 | 1.0 | .177 | .214 | .297 | 41 | -0.8 |
Ernie Yake | .262 | .302 | .323 | 76 | 0.6 | .198 | .244 | .239 | 37 | -0.2 |
Roy Morales | .289 | .363 | .364 | 105 | 0.8 | .234 | .305 | .291 | 70 | -0.5 |
Andrew Bechtold | .226 | .303 | .370 | 86 | 1.1 | .173 | .247 | .275 | 49 | -1.1 |
Will Holland | .218 | .303 | .345 | 81 | 0.9 | .163 | .256 | .263 | 47 | -0.8 |
Mark Contreras | .223 | .293 | .395 | 91 | 1.1 | .173 | .241 | .300 | 53 | -1.0 |
Dalton Shuffield | .241 | .309 | .440 | 107 | 0.2 | .188 | .253 | .324 | 64 | -0.3 |
Derek Fisher | .226 | .320 | .382 | 96 | 0.6 | .170 | .257 | .285 | 55 | -0.7 |
Gilberto Celestino | .257 | .326 | .365 | 94 | 0.9 | .206 | .273 | .289 | 61 | -0.9 |
Alerick Soularie | .225 | .307 | .355 | 83 | 0.7 | .175 | .255 | .271 | 50 | -0.8 |
Alex Isola | .255 | .328 | .407 | 106 | 0.8 | .200 | .272 | .311 | 66 | -0.9 |
Billy Hamilton | .221 | .280 | .305 | 64 | 0.4 | .166 | .221 | .226 | 27 | -0.7 |
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. | .233 | .289 | .346 | 77 | 0.8 | .181 | .240 | .272 | 44 | -1.0 |
Cole Sturgeon | .262 | .316 | .374 | 91 | 0.7 | .209 | .263 | .292 | 56 | -1.2 |
Jake Rucker | .238 | .313 | .353 | 88 | 0.9 | .187 | .263 | .272 | 54 | -1.3 |
Nash Knight | .221 | .321 | .347 | 86 | 0.5 | .165 | .266 | .257 | 47 | -1.2 |
John Andreoli | .207 | .329 | .358 | 92 | 0.8 | .151 | .268 | .257 | 51 | -1.3 |
Aaron Sabato | .213 | .312 | .384 | 91 | 0.5 | .162 | .256 | .293 | 54 | -1.5 |
David Bañuelos | .220 | .267 | .362 | 72 | 0.1 | .157 | .204 | .257 | 28 | -1.1 |
Seth Gray | .217 | .293 | .335 | 76 | 0.4 | .163 | .242 | .244 | 38 | -1.9 |
Wander Javier | .208 | .262 | .355 | 70 | 0.2 | .158 | .213 | .262 | 33 | -1.8 |
Pat Winkel | .229 | .299 | .341 | 78 | -0.5 | .172 | .238 | .252 | 39 | -1.5 |
Chris Williams | .221 | .303 | .397 | 93 | -0.1 | .165 | .252 | .296 | 55 | -2.1 |
Kyler Fedko | .251 | .320 | .361 | 90 | -0.1 | .198 | .269 | .286 | 57 | -2.1 |
Kyle Schmidt | .212 | .271 | .282 | 54 | -0.8 | .153 | .212 | .201 | 17 | -1.7 |
Willie Joe Garry Jr. | .204 | .283 | .314 | 67 | -0.6 | .144 | .224 | .221 | 27 | -2.2 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jhoan Duran | R | 25 | 4 | 2 | 3.23 | 56 | 0 | 61.3 | 43 | 22 | 8 | 28 | 99 |
Cody Stashak | R | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3.63 | 27 | 1 | 39.7 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 46 |
Tyler Mahle | R | 28 | 8 | 7 | 3.78 | 25 | 25 | 133.3 | 116 | 56 | 15 | 44 | 137 |
Sonny Gray | R | 33 | 8 | 6 | 3.79 | 25 | 25 | 123.3 | 106 | 52 | 14 | 44 | 122 |
Jovani Moran | L | 26 | 3 | 2 | 3.82 | 45 | 0 | 61.3 | 46 | 26 | 6 | 35 | 85 |
Joe Ryan | R | 27 | 12 | 9 | 3.91 | 28 | 28 | 149.7 | 126 | 65 | 18 | 44 | 151 |
Bailey Ober | R | 27 | 4 | 3 | 4.00 | 20 | 20 | 90.0 | 87 | 40 | 14 | 19 | 90 |
Michael Fulmer | R | 30 | 5 | 5 | 4.03 | 58 | 2 | 60.3 | 55 | 27 | 6 | 27 | 64 |
Michael Feliz | R | 30 | 3 | 2 | 4.04 | 41 | 2 | 49.0 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 19 | 52 |
Chris Paddack | R | 27 | 6 | 5 | 4.09 | 17 | 17 | 88.0 | 83 | 40 | 12 | 17 | 80 |
Jhon Romero | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 4.10 | 32 | 0 | 41.7 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 38 |
Matt Canterino | R | 25 | 1 | 1 | 4.11 | 20 | 20 | 57.0 | 48 | 26 | 7 | 27 | 65 |
Caleb Thielbar | L | 36 | 3 | 2 | 4.15 | 53 | 0 | 52.0 | 49 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 61 |
Tyler Duffey | R | 32 | 4 | 3 | 4.17 | 51 | 0 | 54.0 | 49 | 25 | 6 | 21 | 51 |
Louie Varland | R | 25 | 8 | 7 | 4.19 | 26 | 24 | 129.0 | 124 | 60 | 16 | 44 | 119 |
Danny Coulombe | L | 33 | 2 | 2 | 4.21 | 31 | 1 | 36.3 | 35 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 36 |
Emilio Pagán | R | 32 | 4 | 4 | 4.21 | 54 | 0 | 57.7 | 50 | 27 | 10 | 19 | 68 |
Kenta Maeda | R | 35 | 5 | 4 | 4.25 | 18 | 15 | 82.7 | 76 | 39 | 11 | 29 | 81 |
Trevor Megill | R | 29 | 3 | 3 | 4.25 | 42 | 0 | 48.7 | 47 | 23 | 6 | 19 | 55 |
Simeon Woods Richardson | R | 22 | 5 | 5 | 4.26 | 26 | 25 | 107.7 | 99 | 51 | 14 | 49 | 108 |
Ronny Henriquez | R | 23 | 4 | 5 | 4.28 | 25 | 13 | 101.0 | 95 | 48 | 12 | 35 | 95 |
Hunter McMahon | R | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4.37 | 37 | 1 | 57.7 | 58 | 28 | 8 | 16 | 49 |
Jorge López | R | 30 | 6 | 6 | 4.41 | 44 | 10 | 85.7 | 83 | 42 | 10 | 34 | 83 |
Devin Smeltzer | L | 27 | 6 | 6 | 4.42 | 28 | 20 | 116.0 | 120 | 57 | 17 | 31 | 82 |
Alex Phillips | R | 28 | 3 | 2 | 4.42 | 27 | 0 | 38.7 | 38 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 40 |
Francis Peguero | R | 25 | 2 | 2 | 4.45 | 27 | 0 | 30.3 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 23 |
Austin Davis | L | 30 | 2 | 1 | 4.47 | 45 | 2 | 52.3 | 46 | 26 | 6 | 28 | 58 |
Brent Headrick | L | 25 | 6 | 7 | 4.50 | 22 | 20 | 88.0 | 87 | 44 | 13 | 36 | 90 |
Jorge Alcala | R | 27 | 4 | 5 | 4.50 | 37 | 6 | 70.0 | 67 | 35 | 10 | 24 | 66 |
Cole Sands | R | 25 | 5 | 5 | 4.52 | 24 | 16 | 85.7 | 83 | 43 | 11 | 34 | 82 |
Osiris German | R | 24 | 3 | 2 | 4.53 | 39 | 1 | 51.7 | 49 | 26 | 7 | 20 | 51 |
Dylan Bundy | R | 30 | 6 | 8 | 4.56 | 24 | 23 | 116.3 | 117 | 59 | 17 | 31 | 90 |
Carlos Luna | R | 26 | 4 | 5 | 4.58 | 23 | 13 | 92.3 | 96 | 47 | 14 | 27 | 77 |
Kody Funderburk | L | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4.59 | 26 | 14 | 84.3 | 83 | 43 | 10 | 38 | 74 |
Alex Scherff | R | 25 | 1 | 2 | 4.65 | 28 | 0 | 31.0 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 17 | 30 |
Denny Bentley | L | 25 | 4 | 5 | 4.65 | 40 | 0 | 50.3 | 48 | 26 | 6 | 31 | 53 |
Griffin Jax | R | 28 | 5 | 7 | 4.65 | 41 | 11 | 89.0 | 86 | 46 | 14 | 28 | 81 |
Juan Minaya | R | 32 | 3 | 4 | 4.70 | 38 | 1 | 53.7 | 51 | 28 | 6 | 27 | 48 |
Jordan Balazovic | R | 24 | 4 | 4 | 4.75 | 22 | 20 | 85.3 | 87 | 45 | 12 | 37 | 76 |
Tyler Viza | R | 28 | 3 | 4 | 4.75 | 19 | 6 | 47.3 | 49 | 25 | 7 | 15 | 41 |
Ryan Mason | R | 28 | 2 | 2 | 4.78 | 27 | 0 | 37.7 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 22 | 38 |
Randy Dobnak | R | 28 | 4 | 6 | 4.79 | 18 | 13 | 73.3 | 78 | 39 | 9 | 26 | 51 |
Dereck Rodríguez | R | 31 | 5 | 7 | 4.79 | 22 | 15 | 88.3 | 92 | 47 | 13 | 31 | 72 |
Josh Winder | R | 26 | 4 | 5 | 4.82 | 19 | 16 | 80.3 | 85 | 43 | 13 | 24 | 63 |
Aaron Rozek | L | 27 | 5 | 7 | 4.88 | 20 | 15 | 75.7 | 81 | 41 | 12 | 25 | 58 |
Austin Schulfer | R | 27 | 4 | 6 | 4.93 | 32 | 11 | 73.0 | 73 | 40 | 10 | 34 | 67 |
Jordan Brink | R | 30 | 2 | 2 | 4.93 | 27 | 0 | 34.7 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 18 | 33 |
Evan Sisk | L | 26 | 2 | 4 | 4.96 | 43 | 0 | 52.7 | 50 | 29 | 7 | 31 | 54 |
Steven Cruz | R | 24 | 2 | 3 | 4.96 | 37 | 0 | 49.0 | 44 | 27 | 6 | 32 | 55 |
Ben Gross | R | 26 | 3 | 3 | 4.99 | 15 | 10 | 57.7 | 62 | 32 | 9 | 26 | 51 |
Tyler Beck | R | 27 | 2 | 3 | 5.06 | 16 | 9 | 58.7 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 28 | 53 |
Joe Smith | R | 39 | 1 | 2 | 5.06 | 33 | 0 | 26.7 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
Aaron Sanchez | R | 30 | 5 | 6 | 5.07 | 22 | 19 | 97.7 | 107 | 55 | 11 | 38 | 68 |
Brad Peacock | R | 35 | 3 | 5 | 5.12 | 34 | 5 | 51.0 | 48 | 29 | 8 | 26 | 50 |
Zach Neff | L | 27 | 3 | 4 | 5.20 | 27 | 0 | 45.0 | 49 | 26 | 8 | 19 | 37 |
Tyler Thornburg | R | 34 | 1 | 1 | 5.22 | 26 | 0 | 29.3 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 25 |
Jordan Gore | R | 28 | 2 | 4 | 5.24 | 38 | 0 | 46.3 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 28 | 41 |
Chris Archer | R | 34 | 3 | 5 | 5.29 | 19 | 19 | 78.3 | 78 | 46 | 14 | 37 | 71 |
Blayne Enlow | R | 24 | 3 | 4 | 5.37 | 21 | 12 | 67.0 | 71 | 40 | 11 | 33 | 58 |
Andrew Cabezas | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.40 | 27 | 7 | 61.7 | 65 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 52 |
Melvi Acosta | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5.55 | 27 | 2 | 48.7 | 55 | 30 | 8 | 23 | 34 |
JC Ramírez | R | 34 | 1 | 2 | 6.21 | 15 | 4 | 33.3 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 19 | 22 |
Player | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jhoan Duran | 61.3 | 14.5 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 10.9% | 38.4% | .299 | 125 | 3.14 | 80 | 1.1 |
Cody Stashak | 39.7 | 10.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4.3% | 28.6% | .311 | 111 | 3.08 | 90 | 0.4 |
Tyler Mahle | 133.3 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 7.9% | 24.7% | .285 | 107 | 3.69 | 93 | 2.2 |
Sonny Gray | 123.3 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 8.5% | 23.6% | .277 | 107 | 3.87 | 94 | 2.1 |
Jovani Moran | 61.3 | 12.5 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 13.1% | 31.8% | .294 | 106 | 3.51 | 94 | 0.4 |
Joe Ryan | 149.7 | 9.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 7.2% | 24.7% | .273 | 104 | 3.78 | 97 | 2.3 |
Bailey Ober | 90.0 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5.1% | 24.3% | .296 | 101 | 3.88 | 99 | 1.3 |
Michael Fulmer | 60.3 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 10.3% | 24.5% | .302 | 100 | 3.87 | 100 | 0.5 |
Michael Feliz | 49.0 | 9.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 9.1% | 25.0% | .292 | 100 | 3.91 | 100 | 0.3 |
Chris Paddack | 88.0 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4.7% | 22.3% | .285 | 99 | 3.79 | 101 | 1.1 |
Jhon Romero | 41.7 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5.7% | 21.6% | .306 | 99 | 3.75 | 101 | 0.2 |
Matt Canterino | 57.0 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 10.8% | 26.1% | .287 | 99 | 3.94 | 101 | 0.8 |
Caleb Thielbar | 52.0 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 7.3% | 27.7% | .308 | 97 | 3.79 | 103 | 0.2 |
Tyler Duffey | 54.0 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 9.1% | 22.0% | .287 | 97 | 4.04 | 103 | 0.2 |
Louie Varland | 129.0 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 8.0% | 21.6% | .294 | 97 | 4.06 | 103 | 1.6 |
Danny Coulombe | 36.3 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 9.5% | 22.8% | .297 | 96 | 4.36 | 104 | 0.1 |
Emilio Pagán | 57.7 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 7.9% | 28.3% | .284 | 96 | 4.09 | 104 | 0.2 |
Kenta Maeda | 82.7 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 8.3% | 23.2% | .288 | 95 | 4.08 | 105 | 0.9 |
Trevor Megill | 48.7 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 8.8% | 25.6% | .318 | 95 | 3.79 | 105 | 0.1 |
Simeon Woods Richardson | 107.7 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 10.4% | 22.9% | .290 | 95 | 4.29 | 105 | 1.2 |
Ronny Henriquez | 101.0 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 8.2% | 22.1% | .292 | 95 | 4.03 | 106 | 1.1 |
Hunter McMahon | 57.7 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 6.6% | 20.1% | .294 | 93 | 4.25 | 108 | 0.1 |
Jorge López | 85.7 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 9.1% | 22.2% | .303 | 92 | 4.17 | 109 | 0.6 |
Devin Smeltzer | 116.0 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6.3% | 16.6% | .286 | 91 | 4.55 | 109 | 1.0 |
Alex Phillips | 38.7 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 8.9% | 23.8% | .305 | 91 | 4.34 | 109 | -0.1 |
Francis Peguero | 30.3 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4.7% | 18.0% | .290 | 91 | 4.57 | 110 | -0.1 |
Austin Davis | 52.3 | 10.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 12.2% | 25.3% | .294 | 90 | 4.20 | 111 | 0.1 |
Brent Headrick | 88.0 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 9.3% | 23.3% | .306 | 90 | 4.29 | 111 | 0.8 |
Jorge Alcala | 70.0 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 8.0% | 22.1% | .291 | 90 | 4.28 | 111 | 0.3 |
Cole Sands | 85.7 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 9.2% | 22.1% | .299 | 90 | 4.31 | 112 | 0.6 |
Osiris German | 51.7 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 8.9% | 22.8% | .296 | 89 | 4.51 | 112 | -0.1 |
Dylan Bundy | 116.3 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6.3% | 18.3% | .286 | 89 | 4.43 | 113 | 0.9 |
Carlos Luna | 92.3 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 6.8% | 19.4% | .298 | 88 | 4.40 | 113 | 0.7 |
Kody Funderburk | 84.3 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 10.2% | 19.8% | .297 | 88 | 4.51 | 113 | 0.5 |
Alex Scherff | 31.0 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 12.3% | 21.7% | .291 | 87 | 4.31 | 115 | -0.1 |
Denny Bentley | 50.3 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 13.3% | 22.7% | .307 | 87 | 4.50 | 115 | -0.2 |
Griffin Jax | 89.0 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 7.4% | 21.4% | .286 | 87 | 4.46 | 115 | 0.4 |
Juan Minaya | 53.7 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 11.2% | 19.8% | .292 | 86 | 4.72 | 116 | -0.2 |
Jordan Balazovic | 85.3 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 9.8% | 20.2% | .301 | 85 | 4.68 | 117 | 0.5 |
Tyler Viza | 47.3 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.4% | 20.1% | .300 | 85 | 4.55 | 117 | 0.2 |
Ryan Mason | 37.7 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 13.0% | 22.5% | .301 | 85 | 4.59 | 118 | -0.2 |
Randy Dobnak | 73.3 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 8.1% | 15.9% | .297 | 85 | 4.59 | 118 | 0.4 |
Dereck Rodríguez | 88.3 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 8.1% | 18.8% | .298 | 85 | 4.59 | 118 | 0.4 |
Josh Winder | 80.3 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 6.9% | 18.2% | .295 | 84 | 4.70 | 119 | 0.4 |
Aaron Rozek | 75.7 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 7.6% | 17.6% | .297 | 83 | 4.79 | 121 | 0.3 |
Austin Schulfer | 73.0 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 10.4% | 20.4% | .300 | 82 | 4.78 | 122 | 0.1 |
Jordan Brink | 34.7 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 11.4% | 20.9% | .303 | 82 | 4.86 | 122 | -0.3 |
Evan Sisk | 52.7 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 13.0% | 22.6% | .301 | 82 | 4.88 | 122 | -0.4 |
Steven Cruz | 49.0 | 10.1 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 14.1% | 24.2% | .299 | 82 | 4.70 | 123 | -0.4 |
Ben Gross | 57.7 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 10.0% | 19.6% | .310 | 81 | 4.87 | 123 | 0.2 |
Tyler Beck | 58.7 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 10.4% | 19.8% | .304 | 80 | 4.87 | 125 | 0.1 |
Joe Smith | 26.7 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 6.0% | 15.4% | .310 | 80 | 4.65 | 125 | -0.2 |
Aaron Sanchez | 97.7 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 8.8% | 15.7% | .307 | 80 | 4.67 | 125 | 0.2 |
Brad Peacock | 51.0 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 11.6% | 22.3% | .288 | 79 | 5.00 | 126 | -0.2 |
Zach Neff | 45.0 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 9.5% | 18.4% | .301 | 78 | 5.22 | 129 | -0.5 |
Tyler Thornburg | 29.3 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 10.5% | 18.8% | .299 | 78 | 5.30 | 129 | -0.3 |
Jordan Gore | 46.3 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 13.0% | 19.1% | .291 | 77 | 5.20 | 130 | -0.5 |
Chris Archer | 78.3 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 10.7% | 20.5% | .288 | 77 | 5.20 | 131 | 0.0 |
Blayne Enlow | 67.0 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 10.8% | 19.0% | .303 | 75 | 5.21 | 133 | -0.1 |
Andrew Cabezas | 61.7 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 9.5% | 19.0% | .297 | 75 | 5.39 | 133 | -0.3 |
Melvi Acosta | 48.7 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 10.3% | 15.2% | .303 | 73 | 5.43 | 137 | -0.5 |
JC Ramírez | 33.3 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 12.1% | 14.0% | .299 | 65 | 6.24 | 153 | -0.5 |
Player | Pit Comp 1 | Pit Comp 2 | Pit Comp 3 | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jhoan Duran | Jonathan Broxton | Kelvin Herrera | Tom Niedenfuer | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.05 | 5.07 |
Cody Stashak | Oscar Zamora | Bruce Walton | Ernie Johnson | 0.8 | -0.1 | 2.52 | 4.93 |
Tyler Mahle | Don Wilson | Andy Benes | Matt Garza | 3.2 | 1.2 | 3.25 | 4.41 |
Sonny Gray | Joe Dobson | Stan Coveleski | Bucky Walters | 2.9 | 1.2 | 3.21 | 4.47 |
Jovani Moran | Neal Cotts | Don Carman | Dennys Reyes | 1.0 | -0.4 | 2.99 | 4.98 |
Joe Ryan | Dustin Hermanson | Matt Cain | Earthman Bill Lee | 3.4 | 1.1 | 3.34 | 4.65 |
Bailey Ober | Don Grate | Nick Andromidas | Joe Bielemeier | 2.1 | 0.6 | 3.24 | 4.79 |
Michael Fulmer | David Weathers | Mitchell Boggs | Antonio Alfonseca | 1.1 | -0.3 | 3.26 | 5.14 |
Michael Feliz | Scott Bankhead | Randy St. Claire | Jim Mann | 0.8 | -0.3 | 3.35 | 4.95 |
Chris Paddack | Jose Urquidy | Frank Castillo | Kyle McPherson | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.36 | 4.80 |
Jhon Romero | Pete Della Ratta | Tim Gower | Steve Lankard | 0.6 | -0.2 | 3.36 | 5.12 |
Matt Canterino | Pete Taylor | Gordon Rhodes | Gary Neibauer | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.41 | 4.82 |
Caleb Thielbar | Bobby Shantz | Rudy May | Diomedes Olivo | 0.9 | -0.6 | 2.83 | 6.20 |
Tyler Duffey | Tom Gorman | Adam Warren | Russ Christopher | 0.8 | -0.5 | 3.33 | 5.35 |
Louie Varland | Manny Aybar | Mike Shawaryn | Sidney Ponson | 2.6 | 0.5 | 3.64 | 4.77 |
Danny Coulombe | Eric Gunderson | Larry Casian | Gary Lucas | 0.5 | -0.3 | 3.39 | 5.32 |
Emilio Pagán | Jeff Reardon | Bob Johnson | Kirby Yates | 0.9 | -0.7 | 3.31 | 5.40 |
Kenta Maeda | Vicente Padilla | Burt Hooton | Vic Sorrell | 1.5 | 0.3 | 3.65 | 4.88 |
Trevor Megill | Tyler Jones | Blake McFarland | Matt Kinzer | 0.6 | -0.5 | 3.43 | 5.42 |
Simeon Woods Richardson | Bruce Kison | Jhoulys Chacin | Tony Armas | 2.0 | 0.2 | 3.72 | 4.95 |
Ronny Henriquez | Paxton Crawford | Amaury Telemaco 텔레마코 | Clay Carroll | 1.9 | 0.3 | 3.69 | 5.00 |
Hunter McMahon | Drew Carlton | Vincent Trakan | Ray Brown | 0.7 | -0.4 | 3.54 | 5.29 |
Jorge López | Buck Farmer | Jeff Robinson | Dave Swartzbaugh | 1.3 | -0.2 | 3.81 | 5.22 |
Devin Smeltzer | Allan Anderson | Kirk Rueter | Chuck Stobbs | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.96 | 5.03 |
Alex Phillips | Brandon Agamennone | Phil Hennigan | Bruce Thompson | 0.3 | -0.5 | 3.63 | 5.32 |
Francis Peguero | Julio Aquino | Micah Mangrum | Dan Quisenberry | 0.2 | -0.3 | 3.74 | 5.28 |
Austin Davis | Wil Ledezma | Charlie Manning | Josh Smith | 0.6 | -0.6 | 3.69 | 5.69 |
Brent Headrick | Lewis Thorpe | Russ Swan | Jung Bong | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.88 | 5.28 |
Jorge Alcala | Ian Harvey | Jesse Chavez | Derek Gordon | 0.8 | -0.4 | 3.88 | 5.36 |
Cole Sands | Nick Kingham | Mike Nannini | Tim Sommer | 1.2 | -0.1 | 3.97 | 5.31 |
Osiris German | Lino Rivera | Brian Drahman | Chris Mabeus | 0.4 | -0.5 | 3.82 | 5.17 |
Dylan Bundy | Jim Colborn | Chad Ogea | Jeremy Hellickson | 1.6 | 0.1 | 4.08 | 5.09 |
Carlos Luna | Marvin Dutt | Mark Guerra | Chih-Wei Hu | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3.98 | 5.32 |
Kody Funderburk | Mark Freed | Kevin Brown | Robert Box | 1.1 | -0.2 | 4.07 | 5.25 |
Alex Scherff | Joe Schaffernoth | Jim Winn | Brett Wise | 0.1 | -0.3 | 4.03 | 5.20 |
Denny Bentley | Dan Jennings | George Riley | Jeff Schneider | 0.3 | -0.7 | 3.94 | 5.53 |
Griffin Jax | Sergio Valdez | Matt Wisler | Amaury Telemaco | 1.1 | -0.4 | 4.06 | 5.42 |
Juan Minaya | Mike Buddie | George Culver | Mike Walker | 0.3 | -0.7 | 4.05 | 5.58 |
Jordan Balazovic | Tanner Roark | Bob Giggie | Mark Johnson | 1.0 | -0.2 | 4.29 | 5.44 |
Tyler Viza | Chris Allen | Adrian Martin | Steve Lankard | 0.6 | -0.3 | 4.02 | 5.54 |
Ryan Mason | Michael Neu | Sandy Wihtol | Joe Kerrigan | 0.2 | -0.6 | 4.07 | 5.76 |
Randy Dobnak | Gary Wheelock | Doug Welenc | Josh Kauten | 0.8 | -0.1 | 4.32 | 5.43 |
Dereck Rodríguez | Early Wynn | Fred Talbot | Joe Bowman | 1.1 | -0.2 | 4.22 | 5.39 |
Josh Winder | Steve Cowie | Erik Swanson | Raul Alcantara | 0.9 | -0.2 | 4.26 | 5.41 |
Aaron Rozek | Joe Rogers | Carlos Pulido | Bryan Braswell | 0.8 | -0.4 | 4.39 | 5.69 |
Austin Schulfer | Josh Karp | Mike Lee | Adam Bass | 0.6 | -0.6 | 4.37 | 5.67 |
Jordan Brink | Rich Simon | Evan Englebrook | Ryan Kussmaul | 0.1 | -0.6 | 4.16 | 5.82 |
Evan Sisk | Nick Maronde | Eury De La Rosa | Gregg Langbehn | 0.1 | -0.9 | 4.23 | 5.74 |
Steven Cruz | Andres Berumen | Ricky Trlicek | Travis Chambers | 0.1 | -0.9 | 4.23 | 5.85 |
Ben Gross | Cecil Pettiford | Jordan Hotchkiss | Chris Flinn | 0.6 | -0.3 | 4.39 | 5.72 |
Tyler Beck | Bob Jesperson | Cristian Beltre | Jerrod Riggan | 0.6 | -0.4 | 4.44 | 5.77 |
Joe Smith | Bud Byerly | Clint Brown | Jim Konstanty | 0.0 | -0.5 | 4.38 | 6.51 |
Aaron Sanchez | Bo Schultz | Eric Hacker 해커 | Doug Banning | 0.7 | -0.5 | 4.60 | 5.68 |
Brad Peacock | Tom Hurd | Stan Williams | Brian Boehringer | 0.4 | -0.8 | 4.18 | 6.39 |
Zach Neff | James Houser | Eugene Mendes | Brennan Bernardino | -0.1 | -0.9 | 4.51 | 5.99 |
Tyler Thornburg | Stew Cliburn | Fred Beene | Will Cunnane | -0.1 | -0.6 | 4.43 | 6.36 |
Jordan Gore | David Gourieux | Jim Cosman | Mike Wegener | 0.0 | -1.0 | 4.52 | 6.14 |
Chris Archer | Bump Hadley | Dwight Gooden | Cal Eldred | 0.5 | -0.8 | 4.69 | 6.24 |
Blayne Enlow | John Bilello | Paul Saccavino | Steve Cline | 0.4 | -0.8 | 4.79 | 6.11 |
Andrew Cabezas | Bryan Paukovits | Bobby Moore | Caleb Clay 클레이 | 0.2 | -0.7 | 4.75 | 6.03 |
Melvi Acosta | Trevor Sansom | Chris Rivera | Hector Ramirez | -0.1 | -1.0 | 4.87 | 6.44 |
JC Ramírez | Dave Stenhouse | David Dominguez | Wes Wilkerson | -0.2 | -0.8 | 5.47 | 7.15 |
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2023 due to injury, and players who were released in 2022. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Norwegian Death Dixieland Bubblegum Ska-Funk band, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.22, above 2022’s level of offense but lower than other years. Pitchers who appear to have a fairly definite change in the majors from start-to-relief or vice-versa from these projections will receive reconfigured updates in the spring.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
I’m not convinced Arraez is limited to 1b. He has better defensive #’s at 2B than Polanco (according to Baseball Savant) over the last two years and he’s almost 4 years younger. Even ZIPS projects him better defensively (though I don’t know if that is the case for 2b.)
But if the Twins prefer Polanco for whatever reason, then trade Arraez. He’s not really an outstanding asset at 1B/DH.
My guess is actually that the Twins may hope to sign Correa or Swanson and then play Lewis at 2b in the long-term.
If he is limited to 1B, I’m disappointed he didn’t get the Doug Mientkiewicz comp.
I’ve never watched him play so hearing he’s 1B only is confusing to me based on the numbers. Throw out his rookie season and his 2B numbers don’t look anything like a guy that literally can’t play there.