2023 ZiPS Projections: San Diego Padres
For the 18th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and today’s team is the San Diego Padres.
Batters
When you look at the Padres’ depth charts, there’s a kind of clarity when trying to decide what the team needs to do this winter. The strengths of the offense are obvious: Juan Soto, Manny Machado, and a healthy Fernando Tatis Jr. enter any season as top-notch MVP contenders. And unlike a certain seraphim-themed organization I won’t name with a few mega-stars at the top, there isn’t a huge drop-off to the next tier, whether it’s Jake Cronenworth, Ha-Seong Kim, or Trent Grisham after you’ve threatened him with torture if he tries to bunt for a hit at an awkward moment.
The team’s needs here are also quite obvious; I can’t imagine the Padres actually enter the season with Taylor Kohlwey and José Azocar splitting playing time in left field. The problem is, I also couldn’t imagine Nomar Mazara actually getting 41 starts in 2022, but that’s just what he did.
San Diego would also benefit from some figuring out what to do about Tatis’ position long-term. Right now, we have him splitting time in several places, but I think that the Padres are best served by figuring out whether Cronenworth or Kim are the answer at second, determine where they can put Tatis, and then find a full-time upgrade over Eguy Rosario or Brandon Dixon, whom I see more as complementary talent.
Another thing that is obvious here is that the Padres do need to spend some time this winter fattening up their organizational depth. The high minors are fairly empty at the moment — a combination of graduating talent, traded talent, and a bunch of minor league veterans now in free agency or in other organizations. Most of the players here who look like “break in case of fire” emergency options like C.J. Hinojosa or Domingo Leyba are no longer in the organization. This isn’t necessarily an expensive thing to do, either, and adding a left fielder and a couple of pitchers wouldn’t hinder this.
Pitchers
Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, and Blake Snell are an excellent triad, but the Padres, as of right now, do not have the organizational rotation depth behind them that they’ve had the last couple of years. I like the re-signing of Nick Martinez, but I doubt many would dispute my opinion that he’s hardly a sure thing. The Padres are going to have to fight it out in the division with the team that had the best record in baseball, so I don’t see this as a battle-ready starting five. The fact that Julio Teheran, signed to a minor league contract about a week ago, ranks this highly in our depth chart is what we would call an inauspicious sign.
I think the hole in left field needs to be fixed adequately, but even if the Padres don’t, they’ve got to score runs; adding another starting pitcher ought to be a team priority, too. You’d love to see them go after Carlos Rodón, but even if San Diego is getting to its preferred payroll limit and he’s out of its price range, José Quintana or a reunion with Corey Kluber would be productive on a team that will likely have pretty good infield defense.
ZiPS isn’t as high on the bullpen as Steamer is. Josh Hader and Robert Suarez, along with Luis García, project to have most of the value there, but there’s a significant step down after the front-end of the bullpen. Given expensive needs in the rotation and left field, I can’t imagine San Diego is extremely aggressive here, so I expect more Rays-style bargain-searching rather than the splashier type of moves made in recent years. Relievers such as (but not necessarily exactly) Trevor May or Tommy Kahnle are more likely pickups than any of the best few options available.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Soto | L | 24 | RF | 659 | 514 | 106 | 140 | 24 | 2 | 29 | 83 | 139 | 101 | 9 | 3 |
Manny Machado | R | 30 | 3B | 631 | 561 | 87 | 149 | 28 | 1 | 28 | 95 | 62 | 119 | 8 | 2 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | R | 24 | SS | 430 | 379 | 76 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 31 | 73 | 44 | 116 | 19 | 4 |
Jake Cronenworth | L | 29 | 2B | 632 | 552 | 88 | 141 | 31 | 5 | 17 | 80 | 62 | 109 | 4 | 2 |
Ha-Seong Kim | R | 27 | SS | 503 | 447 | 50 | 107 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 54 | 43 | 93 | 10 | 2 |
Trent Grisham | L | 26 | CF | 549 | 474 | 67 | 105 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 63 | 62 | 137 | 10 | 3 |
Austin Nola | R | 33 | C | 357 | 315 | 38 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 58 | 2 | 1 |
Josh Bell | B | 30 | 1B | 562 | 485 | 63 | 118 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 67 | 68 | 117 | 1 | 1 |
Domingo Leyba | B | 27 | 2B | 447 | 405 | 51 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 51 | 35 | 82 | 3 | 1 |
C.J. Hinojosa | R | 28 | SS | 479 | 442 | 51 | 109 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 54 | 30 | 94 | 3 | 2 |
Ripken Reyes | B | 26 | 2B | 380 | 319 | 46 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 28 | 65 | 5 | 3 |
Eguy Rosario | R | 23 | 2B | 552 | 496 | 66 | 116 | 26 | 3 | 13 | 69 | 44 | 132 | 14 | 8 |
Connor Hollis | R | 28 | 3B | 480 | 428 | 62 | 101 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 40 | 110 | 8 | 5 |
Brett Sullivan | L | 29 | C | 401 | 367 | 47 | 87 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 64 | 4 | 2 |
Wil Myers | R | 32 | RF | 408 | 368 | 44 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 37 | 121 | 5 | 3 |
Jurickson Profar | B | 30 | LF | 561 | 489 | 68 | 114 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 61 | 88 | 7 | 2 |
Luis Campusano | R | 24 | C | 427 | 389 | 45 | 92 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 31 | 88 | 0 | 1 |
Brandon Drury | R | 30 | 3B | 479 | 441 | 55 | 101 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 31 | 111 | 1 | 2 |
Matthew Batten | R | 28 | SS | 429 | 387 | 47 | 87 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 112 | 12 | 4 |
Luis Liberato | L | 27 | CF | 391 | 349 | 49 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 33 | 112 | 4 | 1 |
Aderlin Rodríguez | R | 31 | 1B | 348 | 319 | 39 | 75 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 55 | 21 | 94 | 0 | 1 |
Brandon Dixon | R | 31 | 1B | 302 | 277 | 35 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 20 | 93 | 4 | 1 |
Korry Howell | R | 24 | CF | 336 | 298 | 44 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 125 | 10 | 3 |
Brandon Valenzuela | B | 22 | C | 436 | 389 | 35 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 43 | 123 | 0 | 1 |
Nomar Mazara | L | 28 | RF | 347 | 314 | 39 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 83 | 1 | 1 |
Jorge Alfaro | R | 30 | C | 334 | 313 | 28 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 14 | 112 | 3 | 1 |
Joshua Mears | R | 22 | CF | 363 | 329 | 37 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 58 | 25 | 171 | 3 | 2 |
Kyle Martin | L | 30 | 1B | 303 | 268 | 38 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 30 | 89 | 1 | 1 |
Thomas Milone | L | 28 | CF | 422 | 376 | 44 | 78 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 38 | 136 | 9 | 5 |
Chandler Seagle | R | 27 | C | 254 | 229 | 25 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 82 | 1 | 1 |
Taylor Kohlwey | L | 28 | LF | 507 | 450 | 54 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 55 | 46 | 109 | 6 | 3 |
Connor Kaiser | R | 26 | SS | 209 | 188 | 27 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 70 | 3 | 1 |
Matt Beaty | L | 30 | RF | 292 | 261 | 36 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 55 | 2 | 1 |
José Azocar | R | 27 | CF | 467 | 436 | 47 | 103 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 24 | 118 | 12 | 7 |
Juan Zabala | R | 23 | C | 267 | 242 | 23 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 64 | 7 | 3 |
Tirso Ornelas | L | 23 | LF | 506 | 464 | 50 | 103 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 35 | 117 | 3 | 1 |
Webster Rivas | R | 32 | C | 274 | 243 | 25 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 28 | 68 | 0 | 1 |
Ethan Skender | R | 26 | 2B | 260 | 237 | 26 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 70 | 4 | 2 |
Cole Cummings | L | 25 | 1B | 398 | 348 | 40 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 134 | 3 | 1 |
Kelvin Melean | R | 24 | 2B | 337 | 306 | 28 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 22 | 78 | 2 | 3 |
Agustin Ruiz | L | 23 | RF | 429 | 389 | 48 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 29 | 131 | 2 | 1 |
Lucas Dunn | R | 24 | 3B | 487 | 431 | 49 | 78 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 45 | 170 | 7 | 4 |
Grant Little | R | 25 | LF | 232 | 208 | 21 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | 56 | 5 | 3 |
Jorge Oña | R | 26 | RF | 264 | 241 | 25 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 16 | 115 | 0 | 1 |
Michael Cantu | R | 27 | DH | 136 | 125 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 0 | 1 |
Matthew Acosta | L | 25 | CF | 368 | 332 | 37 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 106 | 6 | 1 |
Reinaldo Ilarraza | B | 24 | 2B | 326 | 290 | 31 | 50 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 28 | 114 | 12 | 2 |
Juan Fernandez | R | 24 | 1B | 415 | 381 | 31 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 89 | 4 | 1 |
Olivier Basabe | R | 25 | 3B | 335 | 307 | 30 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 84 | 3 | 2 |
Jonny Homza | R | 24 | DH | 318 | 288 | 28 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 22 | 121 | 3 | 2 |
Player | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Soto | 659 | .272 | .428 | .496 | 161 | .224 | .289 | -2 | 6.6 | .396 |
Manny Machado | 631 | .266 | .338 | .469 | 125 | .203 | .292 | 2 | 4.8 | .342 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 430 | .266 | .347 | .570 | 154 | .303 | .302 | -5 | 4.7 | .383 |
Jake Cronenworth | 632 | .255 | .341 | .422 | 115 | .167 | .291 | 5 | 4.5 | .331 |
Ha-Seong Kim | 503 | .239 | .312 | .387 | 97 | .148 | .278 | 8 | 3.4 | .306 |
Trent Grisham | 549 | .222 | .317 | .395 | 100 | .173 | .273 | 8 | 3.4 | .311 |
Austin Nola | 357 | .260 | .336 | .375 | 101 | .114 | .303 | 0 | 2.1 | .313 |
Josh Bell | 562 | .243 | .340 | .390 | 106 | .146 | .290 | 1 | 1.8 | .320 |
Domingo Leyba | 447 | .235 | .298 | .373 | 89 | .138 | .269 | 4 | 1.7 | .292 |
C.J. Hinojosa | 479 | .247 | .297 | .367 | 87 | .120 | .295 | -1 | 1.4 | .288 |
Ripken Reyes | 380 | .226 | .331 | .304 | 82 | .078 | .278 | 3 | 1.4 | .291 |
Eguy Rosario | 552 | .234 | .301 | .377 | 91 | .143 | .293 | -3 | 1.4 | .296 |
Connor Hollis | 480 | .236 | .313 | .339 | 85 | .103 | .304 | 1 | 1.3 | .290 |
Brett Sullivan | 401 | .237 | .289 | .362 | 83 | .125 | .270 | 0 | 1.3 | .283 |
Wil Myers | 408 | .242 | .311 | .413 | 103 | .171 | .322 | 1 | 1.3 | .313 |
Jurickson Profar | 561 | .233 | .324 | .374 | 97 | .141 | .260 | -2 | 1.2 | .308 |
Luis Campusano | 427 | .237 | .297 | .375 | 89 | .139 | .277 | -5 | 1.2 | .294 |
Brandon Drury | 479 | .229 | .284 | .392 | 89 | .163 | .271 | -1 | 1.2 | .293 |
Matthew Batten | 429 | .225 | .294 | .307 | 71 | .083 | .301 | 3 | 1.1 | .270 |
Luis Liberato | 391 | .221 | .287 | .361 | 82 | .140 | .295 | 3 | 1.1 | .283 |
Aderlin Rodriguez | 348 | .235 | .293 | .423 | 100 | .188 | .289 | 0 | 0.6 | .307 |
Brandon Dixon | 302 | .235 | .288 | .444 | 103 | .209 | .300 | -2 | 0.5 | .311 |
Korry Howell | 336 | .191 | .275 | .315 | 67 | .124 | .301 | 2 | 0.4 | .264 |
Brandon Valenzuela | 436 | .201 | .282 | .293 | 64 | .093 | .274 | 0 | 0.4 | .259 |
Nomar Mazara | 347 | .236 | .300 | .366 | 88 | .131 | .296 | 0 | 0.4 | .292 |
Jorge Alfaro | 334 | .220 | .266 | .345 | 72 | .125 | .313 | -3 | 0.3 | .268 |
Joshua Mears | 363 | .173 | .248 | .368 | 71 | .195 | .284 | 0 | 0.3 | .268 |
Kyle Martin | 303 | .209 | .290 | .384 | 89 | .175 | .268 | 0 | 0.2 | .293 |
Thomas Milone | 422 | .207 | .286 | .309 | 69 | .101 | .308 | 1 | 0.2 | .265 |
Chandler Seagle | 254 | .179 | .238 | .253 | 40 | .074 | .269 | 7 | 0.2 | .222 |
Taylor Kohlwey | 507 | .238 | .314 | .327 | 82 | .089 | .301 | -1 | 0.2 | .286 |
Connor Kaiser | 209 | .191 | .261 | .309 | 61 | .117 | .274 | 0 | 0.1 | .253 |
Matt Beaty | 292 | .241 | .322 | .345 | 89 | .103 | .289 | -4 | 0.0 | .299 |
José Azocar | 467 | .236 | .279 | .333 | 73 | .096 | .311 | -4 | -0.1 | .268 |
Juan Zabala | 267 | .215 | .282 | .285 | 62 | .070 | .280 | -4 | -0.2 | .256 |
Tirso Ornelas | 506 | .222 | .281 | .319 | 70 | .097 | .284 | 4 | -0.2 | .265 |
Webster Rivas | 274 | .206 | .292 | .276 | 63 | .070 | .277 | -5 | -0.4 | .258 |
Ethan Skender | 260 | .211 | .274 | .287 | 60 | .076 | .291 | -3 | -0.6 | .252 |
Cole Cummings | 398 | .187 | .279 | .305 | 66 | .118 | .273 | 1 | -0.6 | .263 |
Kelvin Melean | 337 | .209 | .272 | .284 | 58 | .075 | .271 | -3 | -0.7 | .250 |
Agustin Ruiz | 429 | .201 | .268 | .329 | 68 | .129 | .271 | -1 | -0.8 | .264 |
Lucas Dunn | 487 | .181 | .270 | .265 | 53 | .084 | .285 | 0 | -0.8 | .244 |
Grant Little | 232 | .202 | .277 | .240 | 49 | .038 | .276 | 0 | -0.8 | .239 |
Jorge Oña | 264 | .170 | .239 | .274 | 45 | .104 | .292 | 0 | -1.2 | .231 |
Michael Cantu | 136 | .152 | .221 | .192 | 19 | .040 | .273 | 0 | -1.2 | .193 |
Matthew Acosta | 368 | .196 | .263 | .286 | 56 | .090 | .271 | -8 | -1.3 | .246 |
Reinaldo Ilarraza | 326 | .172 | .248 | .224 | 36 | .052 | .276 | -4 | -1.4 | .218 |
Juan Fernandez | 415 | .215 | .275 | .291 | 61 | .076 | .271 | -4 | -1.5 | .254 |
Olivier Basabe | 335 | .195 | .257 | .267 | 49 | .072 | .256 | -8 | -1.6 | .237 |
Jonny Homza | 318 | .167 | .242 | .240 | 38 | .073 | .279 | 0 | -1.8 | .221 |
Player | Hit Comp 1 | Hit Comp 2 | Hit Comp 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Juan Soto | Mel Ott | Mike Greenwell | Vladimir Guerrero |
Manny Machado | Sid Gordon | Sal Bando | Josh Donaldson |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | Alex Rodriguez | Hanley Ramirez | Bobby Grich |
Jake Cronenworth | Lou Whitaker | Billy Herman | Andy High |
Ha-Seong Kim | Charlie Hollocher | Josh Rojas | Jerry Hairston |
Trent Grisham | Gary Geiger | Michael Saunders | Karl Rhodes |
Austin Nola | Earl Battey | Jerry Grote | Carlos Ruiz |
Josh Bell | Doug Mientkiewicz | Denis Menke | Cal Emery |
Domingo Leyba | Mark Lemke | Kurt Stillwell | Jason Hardtke |
C.J. Hinojosa | Nick Tanielu | Jason Alfaro | Chico Carrasquel |
Ripken Reyes | Jon Sbrocco | Christian Stringer | Robby Price |
Eguy Rosario | Ray Durham | Nate Oliver | Danny Tartabull |
Connor Hollis | Melvin Mora | Kevin Russo | Marco Scutaro |
Brett Sullivan | Mike Heath | Birdie Tebbetts | Tom Lampkin |
Wil Myers | Gene Moore | Justin Ruggiano | Carlos Gómez |
Jurickson Profar | Luis Gonzalez | Matt Lawton | Bob Burda |
Luis Campusano | Yermín Mercedes | Barry Lyons | Wilson Ramos |
Brandon Drury | Razor Shines | Russell Kerns | Steve Demeter |
Matthew Batten | Trent Hubbard | Everth Cabrera | Andrew Romine |
Luis Liberato | Brian Anderson | Brian Goodwin | Joe Wallis |
Aderlin Rodriguez | Mike Marshall | Matt Adams | Lee Stevens |
Brandon Dixon | Bob Cerv | Sean Rodriguez | Wayne Nordhagen |
Korry Howell | Tanner English | Rich Barnwell | Reggie Thomas |
Brandon Valenzuela | Donnie Scott | Mike Ryan | Lance Rice |
Nomar Mazara | Abner Arroyo | Mike Mitchell | Mike Vento |
Jorge Alfaro | John Hicks | Bob Montgomery | Damian Miller |
Joshua Mears | Moe Hill | Howie Goss | Rowan Wick |
Kyle Martin | Tyler Moore | Preston Ward | Mark Johnson |
Thomas Milone | Tim Barker | Sebastien Boucher | Mike Murphy |
Chandler Seagle | Tom McGee | Gilbert Vidal | Matt Pagnozzi |
Taylor Kohlwey | Bryan Petersen | Brock Holt | Scott Pose |
Connor Kaiser | Bo Brown | Bruce Chaney | Alex Fonseca |
Matt Beaty | Chris Gwynn | Bill Heath | Guillermo Heredia |
José Azocar | Pookie Bernstine | Danny Santana | Andrew Stevenson |
Juan Zabala | Red Prentice | Chuck Orner | Jeff Tackett |
Tirso Ornelas | Jake Goebbert | Dean Robbins | Ronald Crowe |
Webster Rivas | Dan Butler | Bobby Ramos | Dick Bertell |
Ethan Skender | Mikey Reynolds | Greg Erickson | Rich Saitta |
Cole Cummings | Tim Cooper | Mitch House | Jim Orsag |
Kelvin Melean | John Marquardt | Ludwig Benedetti | Craig Daedelow |
Agustin Ruiz | Loren Gress | Aaron Iatarola | Joe De Berry |
Lucas Dunn | Mike Ahmed | Tommy Thompson | Al Moran |
Grant Little | Corey Bird | Jonathan Roof | Sergio Garcia |
Jorge Oña | Mark Tracy | Kevin Cornelius | Destan Makonnen |
Michael Cantu | Ryan Brown | Matt Jones | Audie Afenir |
Matthew Acosta | James Cooper | Jeff Grose | Eddie Williams 윌리엄스 |
Reinaldo Ilarraza | Bruce Amador | Jose Delgado | Erick Mejias |
Juan Fernandez | Matt Rogelstad | Mike Dzurilla | Patrick Cluney |
Olivier Basabe | Erik Johnson | Jason Kane | Ed Alfonzo |
Jonny Homza | Derek Feramisco | Manny Olloque | Dion Washington |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Soto | .296 | .463 | .553 | 182 | 8.4 | .250 | .399 | .443 | 141 | 5.0 |
Manny Machado | .288 | .361 | .529 | 146 | 6.4 | .239 | .311 | .424 | 107 | 3.2 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. | .291 | .374 | .647 | 178 | 6.1 | .240 | .322 | .495 | 127 | 3.3 |
Jake Cronenworth | .282 | .365 | .473 | 132 | 5.8 | .235 | .319 | .375 | 97 | 3.0 |
Ha-Seong Kim | .261 | .335 | .431 | 112 | 4.5 | .218 | .291 | .345 | 80 | 2.4 |
Trent Grisham | .245 | .341 | .450 | 121 | 4.7 | .197 | .291 | .345 | 82 | 2.0 |
Austin Nola | .288 | .363 | .419 | 119 | 2.9 | .234 | .308 | .332 | 84 | 1.3 |
Josh Bell | .267 | .364 | .437 | 123 | 3.1 | .217 | .312 | .345 | 86 | 0.5 |
Domingo Leyba | .261 | .322 | .421 | 108 | 2.8 | .209 | .273 | .328 | 71 | 0.7 |
C.J. Hinojosa | .273 | .322 | .413 | 104 | 2.5 | .220 | .270 | .326 | 68 | 0.2 |
Ripken Reyes | .250 | .355 | .340 | 98 | 2.1 | .201 | .307 | .274 | 67 | 0.6 |
Eguy Rosario | .256 | .326 | .420 | 107 | 2.6 | .215 | .279 | .337 | 72 | 0.0 |
Connor Hollis | .262 | .340 | .378 | 101 | 2.3 | .207 | .286 | .296 | 65 | 0.1 |
Brett Sullivan | .266 | .316 | .412 | 102 | 2.3 | .210 | .264 | .318 | 64 | 0.2 |
Wil Myers | .266 | .340 | .464 | 123 | 2.3 | .215 | .284 | .362 | 84 | 0.2 |
Jurickson Profar | .257 | .351 | .423 | 118 | 2.7 | .213 | .300 | .334 | 81 | -0.1 |
Luis Campusano | .262 | .321 | .427 | 108 | 2.2 | .214 | .275 | .332 | 74 | 0.3 |
Brandon Drury | .256 | .308 | .446 | 109 | 2.4 | .206 | .261 | .348 | 71 | 0.0 |
Matthew Batten | .253 | .320 | .351 | 89 | 2.0 | .201 | .269 | .269 | 55 | 0.1 |
Luis Liberato | .245 | .314 | .408 | 102 | 2.1 | .196 | .260 | .317 | 63 | 0.1 |
Aderlin Rodriguez | .260 | .316 | .473 | 119 | 1.5 | .206 | .261 | .364 | 77 | -0.4 |
Brandon Dixon | .260 | .311 | .498 | 124 | 1.3 | .208 | .261 | .388 | 82 | -0.4 |
Korry Howell | .216 | .303 | .359 | 85 | 1.2 | .165 | .252 | .273 | 49 | -0.4 |
Brandon Valenzuela | .228 | .310 | .342 | 85 | 1.7 | .173 | .249 | .253 | 46 | -0.6 |
Nomar Mazara | .264 | .326 | .411 | 107 | 1.2 | .209 | .268 | .321 | 69 | -0.5 |
Jorge Alfaro | .246 | .295 | .395 | 93 | 1.2 | .194 | .241 | .301 | 52 | -0.6 |
Joshua Mears | .198 | .277 | .429 | 94 | 1.3 | .148 | .226 | .312 | 50 | -0.8 |
Kyle Martin | .233 | .314 | .434 | 108 | 0.9 | .182 | .262 | .335 | 71 | -0.6 |
Thomas Milone | .236 | .313 | .354 | 86 | 1.1 | .184 | .256 | .267 | 49 | -1.0 |
Chandler Seagle | .208 | .270 | .295 | 58 | 0.8 | .154 | .209 | .215 | 22 | -0.5 |
Taylor Kohlwey | .264 | .339 | .366 | 98 | 1.3 | .213 | .288 | .293 | 66 | -0.9 |
Connor Kaiser | .223 | .290 | .361 | 82 | 0.7 | .165 | .231 | .265 | 42 | -0.4 |
Matt Beaty | .273 | .347 | .388 | 108 | 0.8 | .216 | .297 | .303 | 72 | -0.7 |
José Azocar | .261 | .304 | .372 | 91 | 1.0 | .213 | .253 | .298 | 58 | -1.1 |
Juan Zabala | .241 | .304 | .320 | 77 | 0.3 | .190 | .258 | .251 | 47 | -0.7 |
Tirso Ornelas | .249 | .309 | .354 | 86 | 0.9 | .196 | .256 | .280 | 52 | -1.4 |
Webster Rivas | .241 | .324 | .317 | 83 | 0.4 | .181 | .260 | .239 | 47 | -0.9 |
Ethan Skender | .236 | .300 | .327 | 77 | 0.1 | .186 | .249 | .249 | 44 | -1.1 |
Cole Cummings | .209 | .304 | .353 | 84 | 0.3 | .162 | .254 | .266 | 49 | -1.5 |
Kelvin Melean | .234 | .296 | .324 | 73 | -0.1 | .184 | .246 | .250 | 42 | -1.4 |
Agustin Ruiz | .228 | .295 | .371 | 87 | 0.3 | .176 | .245 | .288 | 52 | -1.7 |
Lucas Dunn | .207 | .294 | .303 | 70 | 0.2 | .159 | .250 | .232 | 39 | -1.7 |
Grant Little | .227 | .304 | .271 | 64 | -0.4 | .177 | .252 | .209 | 34 | -1.3 |
Jorge Oña | .194 | .264 | .319 | 63 | -0.5 | .148 | .215 | .228 | 27 | -1.7 |
Michael Cantu | .178 | .250 | .228 | 35 | -0.9 | .130 | .195 | .163 | 4 | -1.4 |
Matthew Acosta | .222 | .291 | .321 | 73 | -0.4 | .175 | .239 | .249 | 40 | -2.0 |
Reinaldo Ilarraza | .195 | .271 | .261 | 51 | -0.7 | .146 | .223 | .193 | 21 | -2.0 |
Juan Fernandez | .240 | .300 | .334 | 79 | -0.5 | .187 | .249 | .257 | 44 | -2.4 |
Olivier Basabe | .222 | .284 | .310 | 68 | -0.8 | .166 | .229 | .230 | 31 | -2.4 |
Jonny Homza | .194 | .268 | .276 | 55 | -1.1 | .141 | .213 | .205 | 19 | -2.6 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Hader | L | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2.76 | 59 | 0 | 58.7 | 36 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 93 |
Joe Musgrove | R | 30 | 10 | 6 | 3.18 | 29 | 29 | 175.7 | 148 | 62 | 19 | 40 | 172 |
Pierce Johnson | R | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3.38 | 43 | 1 | 40.0 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50 |
Robert Suarez | R | 32 | 4 | 2 | 3.42 | 50 | 0 | 52.7 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 22 | 58 |
Jose Castillo | L | 27 | 3 | 2 | 3.50 | 46 | 0 | 46.3 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 21 | 57 |
Blake Snell | L | 30 | 10 | 7 | 3.61 | 24 | 24 | 124.7 | 102 | 50 | 14 | 48 | 158 |
Drew Pomeranz | L | 34 | 2 | 2 | 3.76 | 46 | 0 | 40.7 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 18 | 51 |
Luis García | R | 36 | 4 | 3 | 3.78 | 52 | 0 | 50.0 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 18 | 53 |
Nick Martinez | R | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3.80 | 40 | 9 | 92.3 | 81 | 39 | 10 | 33 | 86 |
Nabil Crismatt | R | 28 | 4 | 4 | 3.83 | 44 | 5 | 82.3 | 76 | 35 | 10 | 23 | 79 |
Yu Darvish | R | 36 | 11 | 9 | 3.83 | 27 | 27 | 167.0 | 141 | 71 | 24 | 38 | 168 |
Steven Wilson | R | 28 | 3 | 3 | 3.83 | 45 | 1 | 51.7 | 41 | 22 | 7 | 20 | 61 |
Craig Stammen | R | 39 | 3 | 3 | 3.83 | 44 | 2 | 54.0 | 52 | 23 | 7 | 14 | 46 |
Michel Baez | R | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3.99 | 41 | 2 | 49.7 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 23 | 50 |
Luke Westphal | L | 34 | 2 | 2 | 4.06 | 24 | 12 | 57.7 | 50 | 26 | 6 | 28 | 60 |
Alek Jacob | R | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4.07 | 40 | 1 | 55.3 | 49 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 51 |
Adrian Morejon | L | 24 | 3 | 3 | 4.12 | 32 | 5 | 43.7 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 44 |
Tim Hill | L | 33 | 2 | 3 | 4.13 | 56 | 0 | 48.0 | 45 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 33 |
Austin Adams | R | 32 | 2 | 2 | 4.14 | 41 | 1 | 37.0 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 23 | 57 |
Jay Groome | L | 24 | 7 | 6 | 4.15 | 26 | 24 | 125.7 | 113 | 58 | 15 | 55 | 112 |
Sean Manaea | L | 31 | 8 | 7 | 4.21 | 25 | 24 | 136.7 | 129 | 64 | 20 | 38 | 138 |
Jesse Scholtens | R | 29 | 4 | 5 | 4.23 | 27 | 15 | 87.3 | 82 | 41 | 11 | 31 | 81 |
Tom Cosgrove | L | 27 | 4 | 4 | 4.26 | 38 | 1 | 44.3 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 21 | 53 |
Pedro Avila | R | 26 | 4 | 4 | 4.29 | 30 | 20 | 94.3 | 81 | 45 | 11 | 42 | 95 |
Evan Miller | R | 28 | 3 | 4 | 4.35 | 41 | 3 | 60.0 | 56 | 29 | 6 | 25 | 51 |
Seth Mayberry | R | 23 | 2 | 3 | 4.37 | 32 | 0 | 45.3 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 24 | 48 |
Sean Poppen | R | 29 | 3 | 4 | 4.37 | 39 | 3 | 57.7 | 53 | 28 | 6 | 24 | 52 |
Javy Guerra | R | 27 | 2 | 2 | 4.38 | 53 | 0 | 49.3 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 23 | 47 |
Grant Gavin | R | 27 | 4 | 4 | 4.40 | 43 | 1 | 57.3 | 50 | 28 | 7 | 32 | 59 |
Moises Lugo | R | 24 | 4 | 4 | 4.41 | 31 | 7 | 69.3 | 60 | 34 | 9 | 34 | 74 |
Ray Kerr | L | 28 | 3 | 3 | 4.47 | 44 | 3 | 56.3 | 48 | 28 | 7 | 36 | 64 |
Aaron Leasher | L | 27 | 6 | 7 | 4.54 | 27 | 12 | 81.3 | 77 | 41 | 11 | 34 | 71 |
Matt Waldron | R | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4.59 | 21 | 20 | 100.0 | 101 | 51 | 13 | 33 | 74 |
Angel Felipe | R | 25 | 4 | 4 | 4.61 | 42 | 0 | 54.7 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 33 | 60 |
Fred Schlichtholz | L | 27 | 2 | 2 | 4.62 | 30 | 1 | 39.0 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 35 |
Kevin Kopps | R | 26 | 1 | 2 | 4.63 | 37 | 3 | 46.7 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 27 | 45 |
Jackson Wolf | L | 24 | 7 | 8 | 4.65 | 22 | 21 | 108.3 | 101 | 56 | 15 | 48 | 95 |
Thomas Eshelman | R | 29 | 4 | 5 | 4.66 | 23 | 19 | 100.3 | 110 | 52 | 15 | 19 | 51 |
Julio Teheran | R | 32 | 5 | 7 | 4.68 | 18 | 18 | 98.0 | 89 | 51 | 16 | 47 | 85 |
Ryan Weathers | L | 23 | 5 | 7 | 4.71 | 29 | 20 | 116.7 | 116 | 61 | 15 | 48 | 79 |
Edwuin Bencomo | R | 24 | 3 | 4 | 4.71 | 31 | 1 | 63.0 | 62 | 33 | 9 | 21 | 48 |
Jose Quezada | R | 27 | 2 | 2 | 4.72 | 31 | 1 | 34.3 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 34 |
Carlos Belen | R | 27 | 3 | 4 | 4.73 | 39 | 0 | 53.3 | 55 | 28 | 7 | 17 | 34 |
Jose Espada | R | 26 | 1 | 2 | 4.85 | 16 | 5 | 39.0 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 39 |
Jason Blanchard | L | 26 | 1 | 1 | 4.85 | 13 | 9 | 29.7 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 31 |
Henry Henry | R | 24 | 2 | 3 | 4.88 | 33 | 6 | 72.0 | 70 | 39 | 9 | 38 | 58 |
Brandon Komar | R | 24 | 4 | 6 | 4.95 | 27 | 12 | 91.0 | 92 | 50 | 12 | 41 | 65 |
Noel Vela | L | 24 | 6 | 8 | 4.95 | 24 | 21 | 91.0 | 87 | 50 | 12 | 57 | 81 |
Felix Minjarez | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 4.95 | 33 | 1 | 56.3 | 55 | 31 | 9 | 28 | 51 |
Brandon Kintzler | R | 38 | 1 | 2 | 4.97 | 28 | 0 | 25.3 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 16 |
Jordan Guerrero | R | 26 | 3 | 4 | 4.98 | 22 | 6 | 59.7 | 60 | 33 | 9 | 31 | 48 |
Osvaldo Hernandez | L | 25 | 3 | 5 | 5.02 | 27 | 11 | 66.3 | 69 | 37 | 10 | 24 | 45 |
Reiss Knehr | R | 26 | 3 | 5 | 5.03 | 30 | 15 | 87.7 | 81 | 49 | 12 | 47 | 76 |
Heath Fillmyer | R | 29 | 3 | 4 | 5.03 | 19 | 11 | 59.0 | 58 | 33 | 8 | 30 | 48 |
Mason Fox | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.11 | 31 | 0 | 44.0 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 26 | 43 |
Lake Bachar | R | 28 | 3 | 6 | 5.13 | 23 | 12 | 72.0 | 73 | 41 | 11 | 33 | 59 |
Gabe Mosser | R | 27 | 3 | 4 | 5.16 | 14 | 11 | 59.3 | 66 | 34 | 10 | 18 | 37 |
Gabe Morales | L | 24 | 2 | 2 | 5.30 | 23 | 5 | 56.0 | 51 | 33 | 9 | 44 | 59 |
Ramon Perez | L | 23 | 2 | 4 | 5.32 | 36 | 1 | 45.7 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 35 | 47 |
Nick Thwaits | R | 24 | 3 | 5 | 5.43 | 24 | 6 | 59.7 | 64 | 36 | 10 | 23 | 41 |
Dwayne Matos | R | 22 | 2 | 5 | 5.66 | 19 | 11 | 68.3 | 75 | 43 | 12 | 30 | 36 |
Ryan Lillie | R | 27 | 3 | 6 | 5.95 | 18 | 11 | 65.0 | 73 | 43 | 13 | 32 | 44 |
Player | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Hader | 58.7 | 14.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 8.6% | 40.1% | .266 | 138 | 2.71 | 73 | 1.9 |
Joe Musgrove | 175.7 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.7% | 24.3% | .273 | 120 | 3.52 | 84 | 3.4 |
Pierce Johnson | 40.0 | 11.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 9.4% | 29.2% | .292 | 113 | 3.55 | 89 | 0.4 |
Robert Suarez | 52.7 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 10.0% | 26.5% | .260 | 111 | 3.91 | 90 | 0.6 |
Jose Castillo | 46.3 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 10.8% | 29.2% | .282 | 109 | 3.71 | 92 | 0.3 |
Blake Snell | 124.7 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 9.1% | 30.1% | .296 | 105 | 3.28 | 95 | 1.9 |
Drew Pomeranz | 40.7 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 10.3% | 29.3% | .296 | 101 | 3.96 | 99 | 0.1 |
Luis García | 50.0 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 8.4% | 24.8% | .288 | 101 | 3.59 | 99 | 0.3 |
Nick Martinez | 92.3 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 8.5% | 22.2% | .277 | 100 | 3.87 | 100 | 1.0 |
Nabil Crismatt | 82.3 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6.7% | 23.0% | .289 | 99 | 3.80 | 101 | 0.6 |
Yu Darvish | 167.0 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5.6% | 24.9% | .267 | 99 | 3.87 | 101 | 2.2 |
Steven Wilson | 51.7 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 9.3% | 28.2% | .272 | 99 | 3.83 | 101 | 0.3 |
Craig Stammen | 54.0 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 6.2% | 20.4% | .287 | 99 | 4.02 | 101 | 0.3 |
Michel Baez | 49.7 | 9.1 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 10.7% | 23.3% | .273 | 95 | 4.20 | 105 | 0.1 |
Luke Westphal | 57.7 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 11.0% | 23.6% | .288 | 94 | 3.93 | 107 | 0.5 |
Alek Jacob | 55.3 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 8.2% | 22.1% | .279 | 94 | 4.07 | 107 | 0.1 |
Adrian Morejon | 43.7 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 7.7% | 24.0% | .288 | 92 | 4.02 | 108 | 0.2 |
Tim Hill | 48.0 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 7.5% | 16.4% | .272 | 92 | 4.32 | 108 | -0.1 |
Austin Adams | 37.0 | 13.9 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 14.6% | 36.1% | .257 | 92 | 4.15 | 109 | 0.0 |
Jay Groome | 125.7 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 10.1% | 20.7% | .277 | 92 | 4.43 | 109 | 1.1 |
Sean Manaea | 136.7 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 6.7% | 24.2% | .293 | 90 | 3.98 | 111 | 1.0 |
Jesse Scholtens | 87.3 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 8.3% | 21.7% | .289 | 90 | 4.14 | 111 | 0.6 |
Tom Cosgrove | 44.3 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 11.1% | 27.9% | .280 | 89 | 4.15 | 112 | 0.0 |
Pedro Avila | 94.3 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 10.4% | 23.5% | .278 | 89 | 4.25 | 113 | 0.7 |
Evan Miller | 60.0 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 9.6% | 19.6% | .286 | 87 | 4.20 | 114 | 0.0 |
Seth Mayberry | 45.3 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 12.0% | 24.0% | .286 | 87 | 4.26 | 115 | -0.2 |
Sean Poppen | 57.7 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 9.6% | 20.9% | .287 | 87 | 4.32 | 115 | 0.0 |
Javy Guerra | 49.3 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 10.7% | 22.0% | .274 | 87 | 4.35 | 115 | -0.2 |
Grant Gavin | 57.3 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 12.6% | 23.3% | .283 | 87 | 4.67 | 116 | -0.3 |
Moises Lugo | 69.3 | 9.6 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 11.3% | 24.6% | .283 | 86 | 4.35 | 116 | 0.1 |
Ray Kerr | 56.3 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 14.2% | 25.2% | .289 | 85 | 4.63 | 118 | -0.1 |
Aaron Leasher | 81.3 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 9.6% | 20.1% | .283 | 84 | 4.60 | 119 | 0.2 |
Matt Waldron | 100.0 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 7.7% | 17.2% | .288 | 83 | 4.56 | 121 | 0.3 |
Angel Felipe | 54.7 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 13.3% | 24.2% | .286 | 83 | 4.53 | 121 | -0.4 |
Fred Schlichtholz | 39.0 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 9.9% | 20.3% | .295 | 82 | 4.41 | 121 | -0.2 |
Kevin Kopps | 46.7 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 12.8% | 21.3% | .276 | 82 | 4.61 | 122 | -0.1 |
Jackson Wolf | 108.3 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 20.2% | .279 | 82 | 4.67 | 122 | 0.3 |
Thomas Eshelman | 100.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4.5% | 12.0% | .282 | 82 | 4.80 | 123 | 0.2 |
Julio Teheran | 98.0 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 11.0% | 20.0% | .265 | 81 | 5.22 | 123 | 0.2 |
Ryan Weathers | 116.7 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 9.4% | 15.6% | .278 | 81 | 4.81 | 124 | 0.1 |
Edwuin Bencomo | 63.0 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 7.7% | 17.6% | .280 | 81 | 4.77 | 124 | -0.5 |
Jose Quezada | 34.3 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 11.8% | 22.2% | .280 | 81 | 4.90 | 124 | -0.3 |
Carlos Belen | 53.3 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 7.3% | 14.5% | .282 | 81 | 4.82 | 124 | -0.5 |
Jose Espada | 39.0 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 10.6% | 22.9% | .279 | 78 | 5.03 | 127 | -0.1 |
Jason Blanchard | 29.7 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 11.5% | 23.7% | .282 | 78 | 4.87 | 128 | 0.0 |
Henry Henry | 72.0 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 11.7% | 17.8% | .285 | 78 | 4.92 | 128 | -0.3 |
Brandon Komar | 91.0 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 16.1% | .285 | 77 | 4.89 | 130 | -0.3 |
Noel Vela | 91.0 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 13.6% | 19.3% | .288 | 77 | 5.00 | 130 | -0.1 |
Felix Minjarez | 56.3 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 11.1% | 20.2% | .288 | 77 | 4.96 | 130 | -0.6 |
Brandon Kintzler | 25.3 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 8.9% | 14.3% | .293 | 76 | 5.25 | 131 | -0.4 |
Jordan Guerrero | 59.7 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 11.4% | 17.7% | .287 | 76 | 5.16 | 131 | -0.3 |
Osvaldo Hernandez | 66.3 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 8.2% | 15.4% | .284 | 76 | 5.07 | 132 | -0.3 |
Reiss Knehr | 87.7 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 12.1% | 19.5% | .276 | 76 | 5.01 | 132 | -0.3 |
Heath Fillmyer | 59.0 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 11.4% | 18.2% | .286 | 76 | 5.02 | 132 | -0.1 |
Mason Fox | 44.0 | 8.8 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 13.1% | 21.7% | .289 | 74 | 4.81 | 134 | -0.6 |
Lake Bachar | 72.0 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 10.2% | 18.2% | .290 | 74 | 5.04 | 135 | -0.3 |
Gabe Mosser | 59.3 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 6.9% | 14.2% | .292 | 74 | 5.16 | 136 | -0.2 |
Gabe Morales | 56.0 | 9.5 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 16.5% | 22.2% | .286 | 72 | 5.60 | 139 | -0.6 |
Ramon Perez | 45.7 | 9.3 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 16.1% | 21.7% | .275 | 71 | 5.50 | 140 | -0.8 |
Nick Thwaits | 59.7 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 8.6% | 15.4% | .289 | 70 | 5.32 | 143 | -0.7 |
Dwayne Matos | 68.3 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 9.8% | 11.7% | .279 | 67 | 5.92 | 149 | -0.9 |
Ryan Lillie | 65.0 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 10.8% | 14.8% | .291 | 64 | 6.01 | 157 | -1.0 |
Player | Pit Comp 1 | Pit Comp 2 | Pit Comp 3 | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Hader | Billy Wagner | Jesse Orosco | Al Hrabosky | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.80 | 3.85 |
Joe Musgrove | Doug Drabek | Johnny Cueto | Roy Oswalt | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.81 | 3.69 |
Pierce Johnson | Jose Vargas | John Habyan | Chaz Roe | 0.9 | -0.2 | 2.55 | 4.69 |
Robert Suarez | Pedro Strop | Wade Davis | Jesse Crain | 1.3 | -0.3 | 2.59 | 4.76 |
Jose Castillo | Chuck Hensley | Boone Logan | Luis Avilan | 0.8 | -0.3 | 2.79 | 4.43 |
Blake Snell | Earl Whitehill | Larry McWilliams | Mickey Lolich | 3.3 | 0.5 | 2.79 | 4.65 |
Drew Pomeranz | Oliver Peréz | Mike Gonzalez | Randy Myers | 0.7 | -0.5 | 2.81 | 5.06 |
Luis García | Mike Marshall | Tony Pena | Jose Mesa | 0.9 | -0.4 | 3.02 | 4.97 |
Nick Martinez | Howie Judson | Duke Markell | Phil Collins | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.35 | 4.37 |
Nabil Crismatt | Mike Burns | Chris Reitsma | Erik Arnesen | 1.3 | -0.2 | 3.14 | 4.64 |
Yu Darvish | Bert Blyleven | Gaylord Perry | Justin Verlander | 3.5 | 0.8 | 3.18 | 4.61 |
Steven Wilson | Bill Simas | Chris Perez | Dave Tobik | 0.8 | -0.4 | 3.10 | 4.80 |
Craig Stammen | Johnny Sain | Lindy McDaniel | Donn Pall | 0.8 | -0.3 | 3.17 | 4.57 |
Michel Baez | Elias Sosa | Daryl Patterson | Art Herring | 0.6 | -0.4 | 3.51 | 4.83 |
Luke Westphal | Wade Browning | Al Closter | Charlie Gorin | 1.1 | -0.1 | 3.39 | 5.00 |
Alek Jacob | Dennis Saunders | George McWilliams | Javier Solano | 0.6 | -0.4 | 3.43 | 4.78 |
Adrian Morejon | Brian Currie | Ed Olwine | Reese Lambert | 0.7 | -0.3 | 3.30 | 5.22 |
Tim Hill | Paul Lindblad | Sam Zoldak | Juan Agosto | 0.4 | -0.5 | 3.50 | 4.90 |
Austin Adams | Fernando Rodney | Ryne Duren | Mark Clear | 0.6 | -0.6 | 2.94 | 6.10 |
Jay Groome | Dan Morogiello | Pat Combs | Eddie Bane | 2.0 | 0.1 | 3.68 | 4.71 |
Sean Manaea | Bob Kerrigan | Al Sima | Jose Quintana | 2.1 | -0.3 | 3.59 | 4.96 |
Jesse Scholtens | Jay Tibbs | Wilton Chavez | Ed Wojna | 1.4 | -0.2 | 3.56 | 4.89 |
Tom Cosgrove | Joe Filomeno | Rich Sauveur | Josh Edgin | 0.5 | -0.5 | 3.51 | 5.11 |
Pedro Avila | Dick Brodowski | Pete Magrini | Tom Dixon | 1.5 | -0.2 | 3.78 | 4.98 |
Evan Miller | Stew Cliburn | Mike Blyzka | Freddy Dolsi | 0.5 | -0.6 | 3.77 | 5.05 |
Seth Mayberry | Chester Gunter | Phil Hennigan | Joe Graves | 0.2 | -0.6 | 3.80 | 5.05 |
Sean Poppen | Dave Gumpert | Mike Buddie | Steve Phoenix | 0.5 | -0.6 | 3.80 | 5.09 |
Javy Guerra | Neftali Feliz | Ronald Belisario | David Shafer | 0.2 | -0.7 | 3.80 | 5.13 |
Grant Gavin | Ruddy Lugo | Dan Boitano | Brandon Puffer | 0.3 | -0.9 | 3.80 | 5.17 |
Moises Lugo | Tyson Ross | Jesus Colome | Mel Rojas | 0.7 | -0.5 | 3.86 | 5.07 |
Ray Kerr | Kevin Chapman | Mark Bowden | Michael Kirkman | 0.4 | -0.7 | 3.80 | 5.23 |
Aaron Leasher | Jon DeClue | Doug Johns | Frank Gonzales | 0.8 | -0.6 | 4.00 | 5.21 |
Matt Waldron | John Snyder | Shane Loux | Jerry Kutzler | 1.0 | -0.5 | 4.09 | 5.27 |
Angel Felipe | Kyle Money | Dean Wilkins | Romulo Sanchez | 0.1 | -1.0 | 3.98 | 5.32 |
Fred Schlichtholz | David Rollins | Bert Cole | Wally Hebert | 0.2 | -0.6 | 3.87 | 5.33 |
Kevin Kopps | Dave Sells | Jim Cosman | Mark Lee | 0.2 | -0.7 | 4.03 | 5.50 |
Jackson Wolf | Brandon Waddell | Dave Owen | Nick Additon 애디튼 | 1.1 | -0.5 | 4.17 | 5.22 |
Thomas Eshelman | Frank Duncan | Konner Wade | Zach Neal | 0.7 | -0.4 | 4.30 | 5.05 |
Julio Teheran | Bob Buhl | Joe Coleman | Spec Shea | 0.9 | -0.7 | 4.10 | 5.54 |
Ryan Weathers | Todd Hansen | Tim Berry | Foster Griffin | 0.8 | -0.6 | 4.31 | 5.14 |
Edwuin Bencomo | Jack Cassel | Travis Willis | Eric Yardley | 0.1 | -0.9 | 4.09 | 5.42 |
Jose Quezada | Dar Smith | Donald Hammitt | Aris Tirado | 0.0 | -0.7 | 4.12 | 5.55 |
Carlos Belen | Eric Cendejas | Eric Yardley | Aaron Cotter | -0.2 | -1.0 | 4.23 | 5.45 |
Jose Espada | Mike Gardner | Vernon Temple | Brian Otten | 0.3 | -0.5 | 4.18 | 5.86 |
Jason Blanchard | Dave Sensenbrenner | Eddie Ancherico | Paul Schnieders | 0.3 | -0.3 | 4.11 | 5.52 |
Henry Henry | Roberto Alexander | Douglas Norton | Bill Marx | 0.2 | -1.0 | 4.39 | 5.56 |
Brandon Komar | George Gerberman | Dakota Bacus | Gary Groce | 0.3 | -1.0 | 4.53 | 5.55 |
Noel Vela | Brian O’Connor | Billy MacLeod | Chuck Lofgren | 0.5 | -0.9 | 4.52 | 5.63 |
Felix Minjarez | Trevor Simms | Kenneth Weber | Tim Sossamon | -0.2 | -1.1 | 4.34 | 5.62 |
Brandon Kintzler | Harry Gumbert | Turk Farrell | Dolf Luque | -0.1 | -0.6 | 4.21 | 5.90 |
Jordan Guerrero | Ron Cole | Darren Byrd | Mark Small | 0.1 | -0.9 | 4.42 | 5.75 |
Osvaldo Hernandez | Corey Hamman | Brandon Leibrandt | Matt Crouse | 0.2 | -0.8 | 4.52 | 5.64 |
Reiss Knehr | Cardell Camper | Paul Seitz | Tyler Beede | 0.2 | -1.3 | 4.60 | 5.83 |
Heath Fillmyer | Mario Alvarez | Thomas Arruda | Mike Bumstead | 0.4 | -0.7 | 4.42 | 5.66 |
Mason Fox | David Carpenter | Mike Berlin | Gene Escat | -0.3 | -1.0 | 4.51 | 5.85 |
Lake Bachar | Cody McAllister | Matt Oye | Steve Maye | 0.3 | -1.0 | 4.51 | 5.81 |
Gabe Mosser | Eddie Cody | Josh Prevost | Tommy Bergjans | 0.2 | -0.7 | 4.64 | 5.76 |
Gabe Morales | Alan Webb | Mike Mohler | Scott Prather | 0.0 | -1.3 | 4.56 | 6.27 |
Ramon Perez | Rob Hatfield | William Tucker | Rich Shubert | -0.3 | -1.3 | 4.61 | 6.22 |
Nick Thwaits | Greg Halvorson | Lance Janke | Gabriel Alvarado | -0.2 | -1.1 | 4.75 | 6.03 |
Dwayne Matos | Blayne Enlow | Raul Alcantara | George Jensen | -0.4 | -1.4 | 5.23 | 6.28 |
Ryan Lillie | Ray Hanson | Brian Daly | James Dietz | -0.5 | -1.6 | 5.38 | 6.68 |
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2023 due to injury, and players who were released in 2022. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Norwegian Death Dixieland Bubblegum Ska-Funk band, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.22, above 2022’s level of offense but lower than other years. Pitchers who appear to have a fairly definite change in the majors from start-to-relief or vice-versa from these projections will receive reconfigured updates in the spring.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Thank you Dan, very cool!