2023 ZiPS Projections: Washington Nationals
For the 18th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and today’s team is the Washington Nationals.
Batters
If there’s any silver lining for a team that will likely be at the bottom of the division, it’s that this is a fairly decent floor for a last-place squad, unless it faces particularly bad injury luck. There are no projected stars remaining anywhere on the roster, but the Nationals do have a pretty good front line of fringe options at most positions. When we mash-up the ZiPS projections and the current iteration of the depth charts, no individual position combines for three wins, but no position comes in at under a win either. Players like Victor Robles, Joey Meneses, and Jeimer Candelario may not have exciting upside, but they’re at least major league players. I’d be midly surprised to see Washington lose 107 games, which it did last season even with a half-season from Juan Soto and Josh Bell.
ZiPS still sees CJ Abrams as risky and is just about out of hope for Carter Kieboom. There’s a bright spot in the form of Jake Alu, who destroyed pitchers in the high minors, even when you take the 2022 helium out of those numbers in the form of a translation. ZiPS doesn’t see him being a near-star offensive player, but the probabilistic measure I use had him as one of the best defensive minor league players; he’s listed as +5 runs at third base, and if ZiPS had been as confident about the translated defense estimate as it is about MLB defensive measures, the projection would actually be +12. Meneses gets a better projection than similar veteran surprise Frank Schwindel got after 2021, and ZiPS sees Alex Call as a legitimate stopgap corner outfielder of the Anthony Santander variety. Abrams, along with Keibert Ruiz and Luis García, has significant upside, and it wouldn’t take much to see any of these projections blow up in a positive way with some real steps forwards from these youngsters.
Pitchers
The pitching is rather thinner than the offense. The chances of Patrick Corbin coming around have become quite slim, and at this point, what they get from Stephen Strasburg this year is a total crapshoot; I think that the “true” variance is a good deal larger than ZiPS does. The Nats will make the playoffs again someday, but I’d be surprised if many of the names here are on that future roster; ZiPS doesn’t expect a single Washington pitcher to have at least 20 WAR remaining in their careers.
MLB relievers averaged a 103 ERA+ in 2022; only a single National under contract, Kyle Finnegan, projects as better than a coin flip of passing that threshold. This isn’t something new for a team that won a World Series despite pretending 80% of the bullpen didn’t actually exist, but the Nationals no longer have the strength elsewhere to paper over the relief problems. Fixing this shouldn’t be the priority right now, though; it will be a few years before they have many wins to protect.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Alu | L | 26 | 3B | 557 | 506 | 65 | 129 | 35 | 2 | 15 | 70 | 40 | 116 | 8 | 2 |
Jeimer Candelario | B | 29 | 3B | 537 | 482 | 62 | 118 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 61 | 47 | 121 | 1 | 1 |
Keibert Ruiz | B | 24 | C | 431 | 394 | 44 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 47 | 30 | 45 | 3 | 1 |
Joey Meneses | R | 31 | 1B | 590 | 543 | 60 | 144 | 25 | 1 | 27 | 73 | 37 | 138 | 1 | 1 |
Alex Call | R | 28 | CF | 437 | 380 | 57 | 90 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 55 | 44 | 90 | 7 | 4 |
Luis García | L | 23 | SS | 566 | 534 | 66 | 140 | 28 | 4 | 17 | 64 | 27 | 110 | 4 | 4 |
Victor Robles | R | 26 | CF | 475 | 420 | 54 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 114 | 17 | 6 |
Andrew Stevenson | L | 29 | CF | 513 | 472 | 60 | 121 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 31 | 133 | 17 | 4 |
CJ Abrams | L | 22 | SS | 472 | 439 | 64 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 17 | 86 | 16 | 7 |
Nelson Cruz | R | 42 | DH | 480 | 425 | 56 | 106 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 66 | 46 | 114 | 2 | 1 |
Ildemaro Vargas | B | 31 | SS | 438 | 410 | 47 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 24 | 54 | 4 | 2 |
Cesar Hernandez | B | 33 | 2B | 579 | 525 | 65 | 128 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 46 | 109 | 6 | 2 |
Luke Voit | R | 32 | 1B | 493 | 432 | 57 | 103 | 20 | 1 | 22 | 62 | 50 | 149 | 1 | 0 |
Robert Hassell III | L | 21 | CF | 535 | 488 | 59 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 42 | 131 | 13 | 3 |
Stone Garrett | R | 27 | RF | 480 | 450 | 58 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 21 | 67 | 22 | 144 | 10 | 3 |
Carter Kieboom | R | 25 | 3B | 408 | 353 | 49 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 98 | 1 | 1 |
Lane Thomas | R | 27 | LF | 486 | 436 | 59 | 106 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 43 | 119 | 8 | 5 |
Israel Pineda | R | 23 | C | 384 | 359 | 37 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 22 | 113 | 1 | 1 |
James Wood | L | 20 | CF | 336 | 302 | 45 | 70 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 29 | 98 | 9 | 3 |
Riley Adams | R | 27 | C | 318 | 279 | 34 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 28 | 105 | 0 | 1 |
John Nogowski | R | 30 | 1B | 429 | 370 | 46 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 47 | 71 | 5 | 2 |
Jecksson Flores | R | 29 | 2B | 345 | 311 | 31 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 62 | 3 | 3 |
Cole Freeman | R | 28 | CF | 401 | 364 | 51 | 91 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 20 | 55 | 14 | 4 |
Tres Barrera | R | 28 | C | 306 | 275 | 26 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 69 | 0 | 1 |
Erick Mejia | B | 28 | 3B | 467 | 428 | 53 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 33 | 98 | 9 | 4 |
Yadiel Hernandez | L | 35 | LF | 346 | 317 | 38 | 81 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 26 | 81 | 2 | 1 |
Will Frizzell | L | 24 | DH | 181 | 167 | 21 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 1 |
Darren Baker | L | 24 | 2B | 444 | 409 | 44 | 95 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26 | 90 | 7 | 3 |
Lucius Fox | B | 25 | SS | 341 | 304 | 41 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 30 | 91 | 13 | 4 |
Adrián Sanchez | R | 32 | 2B | 274 | 257 | 30 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 55 | 3 | 2 |
Richard Urena | B | 27 | 3B | 344 | 325 | 29 | 76 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 13 | 83 | 2 | 1 |
Drew Millas | B | 25 | C | 348 | 310 | 31 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 34 | 85 | 4 | 2 |
Jake Noll | R | 29 | 2B | 441 | 415 | 47 | 104 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 18 | 87 | 3 | 1 |
David Dahl | L | 29 | RF | 372 | 342 | 46 | 82 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 1 |
DJ Peters 피터스 | R | 27 | LF | 439 | 394 | 45 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 32 | 156 | 2 | 1 |
Nick Banks | L | 28 | RF | 393 | 365 | 37 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 23 | 125 | 2 | 1 |
Alcides Escobar | R | 36 | SS | 340 | 316 | 40 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 70 | 3 | 1 |
Taylor Gushue | B | 29 | C | 287 | 256 | 25 | 54 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 88 | 0 | 1 |
Jackson Cluff | L | 26 | SS | 371 | 334 | 31 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 126 | 5 | 2 |
Wilson Garcia | B | 29 | DH | 439 | 417 | 36 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 53 | 17 | 86 | 0 | 1 |
Leonel Valera | R | 23 | SS | 513 | 472 | 59 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 32 | 183 | 14 | 2 |
Andrew Young | R | 29 | LF | 394 | 348 | 43 | 70 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 29 | 140 | 2 | 1 |
Cody Wilson | R | 26 | CF | 164 | 151 | 15 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 64 | 7 | 2 |
Gilbert Lara | R | 25 | SS | 348 | 332 | 24 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 11 | 109 | 0 | 1 |
Maikel Franco | R | 30 | 3B | 406 | 379 | 34 | 86 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 21 | 71 | 1 | 1 |
Armond Upshaw | B | 27 | CF | 300 | 269 | 34 | 51 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 113 | 11 | 6 |
Tito Polo | R | 28 | CF | 278 | 255 | 30 | 55 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 12 | 73 | 11 | 5 |
Wilmer Perez | R | 25 | C | 96 | 89 | 8 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 1 |
Brady Lindsly | L | 25 | C | 221 | 204 | 16 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 77 | 0 | 1 |
Donovan Casey | R | 27 | RF | 444 | 412 | 50 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 24 | 158 | 8 | 2 |
Daniel Johnson | L | 27 | DH | 392 | 361 | 37 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 26 | 126 | 4 | 3 |
Jack Dunn | R | 26 | CF | 399 | 358 | 40 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 32 | 89 | 6 | 4 |
Justin Connell | R | 24 | RF | 447 | 402 | 50 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 126 | 7 | 6 |
Omar Meregildo | R | 25 | 1B | 426 | 389 | 44 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 51 | 30 | 155 | 1 | 2 |
Franklin Barreto | R | 27 | 2B | 327 | 298 | 39 | 55 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 123 | 8 | 2 |
Trey Harris | R | 27 | RF | 378 | 347 | 37 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 19 | 84 | 3 | 3 |
Yasel Antuna | B | 23 | LF | 490 | 436 | 53 | 88 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 47 | 135 | 8 | 4 |
Dee Strange-Gordon | L | 35 | SS | 287 | 272 | 30 | 69 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 39 | 9 | 3 |
Onix Vega | R | 24 | C | 283 | 255 | 18 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 66 | 2 | 1 |
Jeremy De La Rosa | L | 21 | CF | 446 | 417 | 43 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 28 | 152 | 14 | 5 |
Drew Mendoza | L | 25 | 1B | 396 | 363 | 31 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 132 | 2 | 1 |
Player | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Alu | 557 | .255 | .312 | .421 | 101 | .166 | .304 | 5 | 2.6 | .315 |
Jeimer Candelario | 537 | .245 | .318 | .425 | 104 | .180 | .292 | 0 | 2.2 | .322 |
Keibert Ruiz | 431 | .261 | .321 | .414 | 102 | .152 | .268 | -1 | 2.1 | .319 |
Joey Meneses | 590 | .265 | .312 | .464 | 112 | .199 | .310 | 4 | 2.1 | .329 |
Alex Call | 437 | .237 | .326 | .389 | 98 | .153 | .281 | 0 | 1.5 | .314 |
Luis García | 566 | .262 | .297 | .425 | 97 | .163 | .302 | -6 | 1.5 | .308 |
Victor Robles | 475 | .229 | .301 | .348 | 80 | .119 | .295 | 7 | 1.4 | .287 |
Andrew Stevenson | 513 | .256 | .311 | .400 | 96 | .144 | .335 | -3 | 1.4 | .307 |
CJ Abrams | 472 | .257 | .300 | .383 | 88 | .125 | .302 | -2 | 1.2 | .297 |
Nelson Cruz | 480 | .249 | .327 | .431 | 108 | .181 | .296 | 0 | 1.2 | .325 |
Ildemaro Vargas | 438 | .251 | .292 | .371 | 83 | .120 | .275 | 2 | 1.1 | .287 |
Cesar Hernandez | 579 | .244 | .310 | .352 | 84 | .109 | .292 | -1 | 1.0 | .292 |
Luke Voit | 493 | .238 | .327 | .442 | 111 | .204 | .310 | -6 | 0.9 | .332 |
Robert Hassell III | 535 | .232 | .295 | .350 | 79 | .119 | .297 | 2 | 0.9 | .284 |
Stone Garrett | 480 | .233 | .275 | .429 | 91 | .196 | .295 | 4 | 0.8 | .300 |
Carter Kieboom | 408 | .227 | .324 | .357 | 89 | .130 | .286 | -2 | 0.7 | .302 |
Lane Thomas | 486 | .243 | .315 | .415 | 101 | .172 | .301 | -3 | 0.7 | .317 |
Israel Pineda | 384 | .212 | .260 | .362 | 70 | .150 | .274 | 4 | 0.7 | .270 |
James Wood | 336 | .232 | .307 | .387 | 91 | .156 | .313 | -3 | 0.6 | .304 |
Riley Adams | 318 | .211 | .305 | .376 | 88 | .165 | .299 | -5 | 0.6 | .301 |
John Nogowski | 429 | .230 | .326 | .327 | 83 | .097 | .270 | 5 | 0.5 | .295 |
Jecksson Flores | 345 | .219 | .286 | .296 | 62 | .077 | .264 | 7 | 0.3 | .261 |
Cole Freeman | 401 | .250 | .304 | .321 | 74 | .071 | .288 | 0 | 0.3 | .279 |
Tres Barrera | 306 | .225 | .295 | .342 | 76 | .116 | .280 | -2 | 0.3 | .281 |
Erick Mejia | 467 | .231 | .286 | .355 | 77 | .124 | .280 | 0 | 0.3 | .280 |
Yadiel Hernandez | 346 | .256 | .312 | .410 | 98 | .155 | .308 | -4 | 0.2 | .312 |
Will Frizzell | 181 | .246 | .293 | .443 | 100 | .198 | .303 | 0 | 0.2 | .314 |
Darren Baker | 444 | .232 | .279 | .298 | 61 | .066 | .293 | 7 | 0.2 | .256 |
Lucius Fox | 341 | .207 | .286 | .309 | 66 | .102 | .282 | 0 | 0.2 | .267 |
Adrián Sanchez | 274 | .241 | .282 | .339 | 72 | .097 | .296 | 2 | 0.2 | .270 |
Richard Urena | 344 | .234 | .265 | .342 | 67 | .108 | .300 | 4 | 0.1 | .263 |
Drew Millas | 348 | .210 | .290 | .294 | 63 | .084 | .276 | 0 | 0.1 | .264 |
Jake Noll | 441 | .251 | .288 | .388 | 85 | .137 | .296 | -7 | 0.1 | .292 |
David Dahl | 372 | .240 | .290 | .389 | 86 | .149 | .307 | 0 | 0.1 | .294 |
DJ Peters | 439 | .203 | .276 | .353 | 73 | .150 | .298 | 7 | 0.1 | .274 |
Nick Banks | 393 | .216 | .270 | .348 | 70 | .132 | .303 | 7 | 0.0 | .269 |
Alcides Escobar | 340 | .244 | .289 | .345 | 75 | .101 | .302 | -5 | -0.1 | .278 |
Taylor Gushue | 287 | .211 | .287 | .344 | 74 | .133 | .292 | -5 | -0.1 | .277 |
Jackson Cluff | 371 | .192 | .261 | .281 | 51 | .090 | .294 | 4 | -0.1 | .244 |
Wilson Garcia | 439 | .247 | .280 | .398 | 85 | .151 | .281 | 0 | -0.2 | .291 |
Leonel Valera | 513 | .208 | .267 | .350 | 69 | .142 | .305 | -7 | -0.2 | .269 |
Andrew Young | 394 | .201 | .289 | .379 | 84 | .178 | .289 | -3 | -0.3 | .294 |
Cody Wilson | 164 | .172 | .233 | .245 | 33 | .073 | .291 | 4 | -0.3 | .216 |
Gilbert Lara | 348 | .208 | .241 | .301 | 50 | .093 | .294 | 4 | -0.4 | .238 |
Maikel Franco | 406 | .227 | .268 | .359 | 72 | .132 | .255 | -2 | -0.4 | .269 |
Armond Upshaw | 300 | .190 | .265 | .294 | 55 | .104 | .309 | 1 | -0.4 | .251 |
Tito Polo | 278 | .216 | .264 | .322 | 62 | .106 | .287 | -1 | -0.4 | .256 |
Wilmer Perez | 96 | .213 | .253 | .281 | 48 | .067 | .257 | -3 | -0.5 | .236 |
Brady Lindsly | 221 | .196 | .253 | .299 | 53 | .103 | .293 | -3 | -0.6 | .245 |
Donovan Casey | 444 | .214 | .264 | .342 | 67 | .129 | .320 | 3 | -0.6 | .264 |
Daniel Johnson | 392 | .216 | .273 | .368 | 76 | .152 | .299 | 0 | -0.6 | .278 |
Jack Dunn | 399 | .221 | .292 | .282 | 61 | .061 | .288 | -3 | -0.7 | .260 |
Justin Connell | 447 | .219 | .290 | .333 | 73 | .114 | .296 | -1 | -0.7 | .277 |
Omar Meregildo | 426 | .203 | .270 | .355 | 72 | .152 | .295 | 1 | -0.8 | .274 |
Franklin Barreto | 327 | .185 | .254 | .312 | 56 | .128 | .286 | -3 | -0.8 | .251 |
Trey Harris | 378 | .231 | .289 | .329 | 71 | .098 | .288 | -2 | -0.8 | .274 |
Yasel Antuna | 490 | .202 | .282 | .317 | 66 | .115 | .271 | 0 | -0.9 | .267 |
Dee Strange-Gordon | 287 | .254 | .286 | .331 | 71 | .077 | .290 | -13 | -1.1 | .270 |
Onix Vega | 283 | .212 | .283 | .282 | 58 | .071 | .278 | -12 | -1.3 | .254 |
Jeremy De La Rosa | 446 | .206 | .258 | .319 | 59 | .113 | .304 | -9 | -1.6 | .253 |
Drew Mendoza | 396 | .185 | .250 | .273 | 45 | .088 | .271 | 0 | -2.1 | .234 |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Alu | .282 | .338 | .469 | 121 | 3.9 | .232 | .287 | .371 | 82 | 1.2 |
Jeimer Candelario | .269 | .343 | .483 | 126 | 3.5 | .216 | .289 | .377 | 85 | 0.9 |
Keibert Ruiz | .287 | .348 | .469 | 121 | 3.1 | .236 | .295 | .363 | 82 | 1.0 |
Joey Meneses | .289 | .336 | .513 | 131 | 3.5 | .239 | .281 | .418 | 91 | 0.5 |
Alex Call | .262 | .351 | .440 | 115 | 2.5 | .212 | .302 | .338 | 78 | 0.5 |
Luis García | .290 | .324 | .480 | 120 | 3.1 | .238 | .273 | .373 | 78 | 0.1 |
Victor Robles | .254 | .325 | .394 | 96 | 2.3 | .204 | .273 | .302 | 60 | 0.3 |
Andrew Stevenson | .284 | .338 | .449 | 115 | 2.7 | .230 | .285 | .356 | 78 | 0.2 |
CJ Abrams | .284 | .327 | .434 | 108 | 2.4 | .232 | .280 | .341 | 72 | 0.2 |
Nelson Cruz | .276 | .354 | .488 | 127 | 2.2 | .223 | .302 | .382 | 91 | 0.1 |
Ildemaro Vargas | .277 | .322 | .414 | 101 | 2.2 | .228 | .266 | .330 | 66 | 0.2 |
Cesar Hernandez | .272 | .335 | .391 | 99 | 2.2 | .219 | .284 | .310 | 67 | -0.2 |
Luke Voit | .260 | .349 | .493 | 129 | 2.0 | .211 | .299 | .390 | 92 | -0.2 |
Robert Hassell III | .256 | .318 | .392 | 96 | 2.1 | .209 | .269 | .310 | 62 | -0.2 |
Stone Garrett | .260 | .303 | .487 | 113 | 2.2 | .208 | .251 | .376 | 70 | -0.4 |
Carter Kieboom | .249 | .347 | .406 | 105 | 1.6 | .198 | .296 | .312 | 68 | -0.3 |
Lane Thomas | .271 | .341 | .461 | 119 | 1.9 | .220 | .293 | .364 | 82 | -0.3 |
Israel Pineda | .240 | .291 | .414 | 90 | 1.7 | .185 | .235 | .315 | 51 | -0.2 |
James Wood | .262 | .337 | .443 | 114 | 1.6 | .207 | .280 | .340 | 73 | -0.1 |
Riley Adams | .238 | .330 | .429 | 107 | 1.3 | .183 | .275 | .321 | 65 | -0.3 |
John Nogowski | .254 | .354 | .370 | 100 | 1.4 | .208 | .302 | .294 | 67 | -0.4 |
Jecksson Flores | .245 | .315 | .335 | 80 | 1.1 | .192 | .261 | .260 | 46 | -0.4 |
Cole Freeman | .277 | .329 | .357 | 90 | 1.2 | .225 | .276 | .287 | 57 | -0.5 |
Tres Barrera | .257 | .325 | .391 | 97 | 1.1 | .197 | .267 | .297 | 57 | -0.4 |
Erick Mejia | .255 | .316 | .409 | 97 | 1.5 | .205 | .261 | .318 | 61 | -0.7 |
Yadiel Hernandez | .282 | .338 | .464 | 117 | 1.1 | .228 | .282 | .365 | 78 | -0.7 |
Will Frizzell | .270 | .318 | .498 | 121 | 0.7 | .217 | .264 | .382 | 78 | -0.3 |
Darren Baker | .258 | .306 | .333 | 75 | 1.2 | .205 | .253 | .263 | 45 | -0.7 |
Lucius Fox | .231 | .308 | .355 | 84 | 1.0 | .182 | .264 | .271 | 50 | -0.5 |
Adrián Sanchez | .268 | .311 | .383 | 91 | 0.8 | .216 | .257 | .303 | 55 | -0.4 |
Richard Urena | .259 | .291 | .387 | 84 | 0.9 | .210 | .240 | .299 | 50 | -0.6 |
Drew Millas | .239 | .324 | .345 | 83 | 1.1 | .179 | .263 | .256 | 46 | -0.6 |
Jake Noll | .279 | .313 | .439 | 105 | 1.2 | .224 | .259 | .343 | 68 | -0.9 |
David Dahl | .267 | .317 | .433 | 106 | 1.0 | .212 | .262 | .345 | 68 | -0.8 |
DJ Peters | .231 | .304 | .400 | 94 | 1.2 | .179 | .251 | .295 | 51 | -1.1 |
Nick Banks | .244 | .296 | .398 | 90 | 1.0 | .190 | .242 | .310 | 53 | -0.8 |
Alcides Escobar | .269 | .317 | .384 | 94 | 0.7 | .212 | .260 | .297 | 55 | -0.9 |
Taylor Gushue | .238 | .318 | .393 | 95 | 0.7 | .183 | .260 | .290 | 53 | -0.8 |
Jackson Cluff | .218 | .284 | .319 | 67 | 0.6 | .164 | .234 | .241 | 33 | -0.9 |
Wilson Garcia | .274 | .308 | .456 | 108 | 1.1 | .221 | .254 | .354 | 68 | -1.2 |
Leonel Valera | .233 | .294 | .406 | 91 | 1.2 | .181 | .242 | .296 | 49 | -1.5 |
Andrew Young | .225 | .314 | .433 | 104 | 0.7 | .172 | .260 | .322 | 60 | -1.4 |
Cody Wilson | .201 | .262 | .288 | 54 | 0.2 | .147 | .208 | .208 | 17 | -0.6 |
Gilbert Lara | .229 | .262 | .341 | 66 | 0.3 | .185 | .217 | .262 | 34 | -1.1 |
Maikel Franco | .255 | .296 | .415 | 94 | 0.7 | .202 | .243 | .313 | 54 | -1.3 |
Armond Upshaw | .215 | .289 | .341 | 74 | 0.2 | .163 | .239 | .254 | 38 | -1.1 |
Tito Polo | .238 | .285 | .356 | 77 | 0.1 | .192 | .238 | .283 | 45 | -1.1 |
Wilmer Perez | .246 | .287 | .332 | 70 | -0.2 | .182 | .223 | .241 | 29 | -0.7 |
Brady Lindsly | .229 | .288 | .355 | 78 | 0.1 | .163 | .222 | .252 | 33 | -1.2 |
Donovan Casey | .238 | .289 | .387 | 84 | 0.3 | .188 | .238 | .301 | 48 | -1.7 |
Daniel Johnson | .245 | .303 | .425 | 97 | 0.5 | .193 | .248 | .325 | 56 | -1.6 |
Jack Dunn | .244 | .316 | .317 | 77 | 0.1 | .194 | .263 | .249 | 47 | -1.6 |
Justin Connell | .242 | .313 | .378 | 91 | 0.2 | .193 | .265 | .291 | 56 | -1.7 |
Omar Meregildo | .225 | .293 | .396 | 89 | 0.1 | .179 | .242 | .310 | 53 | -1.8 |
Franklin Barreto | .208 | .281 | .368 | 78 | 0.1 | .157 | .227 | .269 | 37 | -1.6 |
Trey Harris | .257 | .316 | .374 | 89 | 0.0 | .204 | .263 | .292 | 55 | -1.6 |
Yasel Antuna | .229 | .307 | .360 | 82 | 0.1 | .178 | .257 | .271 | 47 | -2.1 |
Dee Strange-Gordon | .283 | .314 | .374 | 89 | -0.4 | .226 | .259 | .290 | 53 | -1.7 |
Onix Vega | .242 | .310 | .329 | 78 | -0.6 | .184 | .256 | .247 | 43 | -1.9 |
Jeremy De La Rosa | .230 | .284 | .367 | 78 | -0.4 | .185 | .235 | .282 | 46 | -2.4 |
Drew Mendoza | .207 | .277 | .317 | 63 | -1.3 | .163 | .223 | .239 | 29 | -2.9 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Harris | R | 38 | 1 | 2 | 3.68 | 35 | 0 | 29.3 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 26 |
Stephen Strasburg | R | 34 | 7 | 6 | 3.74 | 18 | 18 | 110.7 | 98 | 46 | 13 | 35 | 109 |
Kyle Finnegan | R | 31 | 5 | 5 | 3.79 | 59 | 0 | 59.3 | 53 | 25 | 7 | 22 | 62 |
Victor Arano | R | 28 | 1 | 1 | 4.01 | 42 | 1 | 42.7 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 45 |
Jose A. Ferrer | L | 23 | 3 | 2 | 4.05 | 45 | 0 | 60.0 | 58 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 56 |
Carl Edwards Jr. | R | 31 | 4 | 4 | 4.10 | 58 | 0 | 59.3 | 54 | 27 | 7 | 23 | 57 |
Matt Cronin | L | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4.14 | 46 | 0 | 45.7 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 24 | 48 |
MacKenzie Gore | L | 24 | 4 | 5 | 4.17 | 20 | 18 | 86.3 | 80 | 40 | 10 | 38 | 90 |
Alex Troop | L | 26 | 6 | 6 | 4.20 | 27 | 14 | 98.7 | 99 | 46 | 14 | 27 | 86 |
Cole Henry | R | 23 | 4 | 4 | 4.20 | 24 | 22 | 79.3 | 70 | 37 | 10 | 29 | 81 |
Alberto Baldonado | L | 30 | 2 | 3 | 4.24 | 48 | 0 | 51.0 | 46 | 24 | 7 | 22 | 55 |
Cade Cavalli | R | 24 | 6 | 7 | 4.28 | 22 | 22 | 103.0 | 93 | 49 | 11 | 47 | 103 |
Zach Brzykcy | R | 23 | 5 | 5 | 4.32 | 46 | 0 | 58.3 | 49 | 28 | 8 | 29 | 69 |
Erasmo Ramirez | R | 33 | 3 | 3 | 4.35 | 45 | 6 | 78.7 | 79 | 38 | 11 | 21 | 64 |
Sean Doolittle | L | 36 | 2 | 3 | 4.35 | 45 | 0 | 41.3 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 39 |
Hunter Harvey | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 4.44 | 36 | 4 | 48.7 | 47 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 50 |
Logan Verrett 베렛 | R | 33 | 6 | 7 | 4.45 | 19 | 17 | 97.0 | 105 | 48 | 13 | 19 | 65 |
Andres Machado | R | 30 | 1 | 1 | 4.46 | 55 | 0 | 66.7 | 65 | 33 | 9 | 27 | 54 |
Tanner Rainey | R | 30 | 2 | 3 | 4.46 | 39 | 0 | 38.3 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 49 |
Joe Ross | R | 30 | 5 | 7 | 4.47 | 22 | 16 | 92.7 | 89 | 46 | 12 | 30 | 86 |
Mason Thompson | R | 25 | 3 | 4 | 4.50 | 41 | 3 | 44.0 | 43 | 22 | 6 | 19 | 39 |
Curtis Taylor | R | 27 | 2 | 2 | 4.54 | 31 | 0 | 39.7 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 17 | 37 |
Francisco Perez | L | 25 | 2 | 2 | 4.58 | 46 | 0 | 53.0 | 46 | 27 | 7 | 33 | 61 |
Josiah Gray | R | 25 | 6 | 8 | 4.60 | 24 | 24 | 129.0 | 116 | 66 | 23 | 48 | 132 |
Jordan Weems | R | 30 | 2 | 3 | 4.63 | 52 | 0 | 58.3 | 54 | 30 | 8 | 26 | 60 |
Jake Irvin | R | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4.67 | 24 | 24 | 96.3 | 95 | 50 | 14 | 31 | 78 |
Jake McGee | L | 36 | 1 | 2 | 4.70 | 42 | 0 | 38.3 | 39 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
Steve Cishek | R | 37 | 2 | 2 | 4.72 | 59 | 0 | 55.3 | 51 | 29 | 8 | 26 | 52 |
Tommy Romero | R | 25 | 6 | 8 | 4.75 | 27 | 17 | 91.0 | 92 | 48 | 15 | 37 | 79 |
Patrick Murphy | R | 28 | 3 | 3 | 4.76 | 37 | 7 | 62.3 | 60 | 33 | 8 | 31 | 59 |
Reed Garrett | R | 30 | 3 | 4 | 4.83 | 45 | 0 | 50.3 | 52 | 27 | 6 | 25 | 43 |
Juan Minaya | R | 32 | 3 | 4 | 4.86 | 38 | 1 | 53.7 | 52 | 29 | 7 | 26 | 47 |
Anibal Sanchez | R | 39 | 5 | 7 | 4.94 | 19 | 19 | 93.0 | 95 | 51 | 15 | 40 | 65 |
Evan Lee | L | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.01 | 19 | 17 | 59.3 | 58 | 33 | 9 | 33 | 58 |
Tim Cate | L | 25 | 5 | 7 | 5.01 | 21 | 19 | 93.3 | 102 | 52 | 14 | 36 | 66 |
Franklyn Kilome | R | 28 | 5 | 8 | 5.06 | 18 | 14 | 74.7 | 73 | 42 | 10 | 39 | 63 |
Cory Abbott | R | 27 | 4 | 6 | 5.09 | 24 | 18 | 92.0 | 91 | 52 | 17 | 45 | 89 |
Joan Adon | R | 24 | 6 | 9 | 5.10 | 22 | 22 | 102.3 | 104 | 58 | 14 | 46 | 87 |
Patrick Corbin | L | 33 | 8 | 12 | 5.11 | 26 | 26 | 137.3 | 154 | 78 | 25 | 48 | 117 |
Jefry Rodriguez | R | 29 | 2 | 2 | 5.12 | 23 | 11 | 63.3 | 64 | 36 | 9 | 34 | 52 |
Carson Teel | L | 27 | 3 | 4 | 5.12 | 30 | 8 | 70.3 | 78 | 40 | 12 | 24 | 50 |
Tyler Clippard | R | 38 | 1 | 2 | 5.12 | 35 | 1 | 38.7 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
Hobie Harris | R | 30 | 2 | 4 | 5.13 | 43 | 0 | 40.3 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 22 | 42 |
Ronald Herrera | R | 28 | 5 | 7 | 5.16 | 21 | 20 | 103.0 | 115 | 59 | 17 | 32 | 69 |
Reid Schaller | R | 26 | 3 | 6 | 5.18 | 34 | 0 | 40.0 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 23 | 33 |
Connor Sadzeck | R | 31 | 2 | 3 | 5.18 | 37 | 0 | 41.7 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 22 | 40 |
Erick Fedde | R | 30 | 6 | 9 | 5.20 | 24 | 22 | 110.7 | 119 | 64 | 18 | 46 | 86 |
Paolo Espino | R | 36 | 3 | 4 | 5.25 | 28 | 14 | 82.3 | 93 | 48 | 17 | 21 | 66 |
Jackson Tetreault | R | 27 | 4 | 7 | 5.35 | 16 | 16 | 77.3 | 86 | 46 | 13 | 34 | 52 |
Luis Avilan | L | 33 | 1 | 2 | 5.40 | 31 | 0 | 28.3 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 25 |
Francys Peguero | R | 27 | 3 | 4 | 5.44 | 29 | 1 | 48.0 | 50 | 29 | 8 | 22 | 36 |
Matt Brill | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5.44 | 40 | 0 | 41.3 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 28 | 36 |
Steven Fuentes | R | 26 | 3 | 7 | 5.47 | 23 | 12 | 74.0 | 80 | 45 | 10 | 38 | 50 |
Edgar Garcia | R | 26 | 1 | 3 | 5.49 | 37 | 0 | 41.0 | 41 | 25 | 7 | 25 | 34 |
Richard Guasch | R | 25 | 3 | 6 | 5.55 | 23 | 9 | 58.3 | 56 | 36 | 9 | 37 | 57 |
Luis Reyes | R | 28 | 4 | 9 | 5.70 | 23 | 18 | 96.3 | 103 | 61 | 15 | 57 | 71 |
Andrew Lee | R | 29 | 2 | 4 | 5.76 | 28 | 5 | 59.3 | 62 | 38 | 11 | 35 | 52 |
Zack Burdi | R | 28 | 1 | 1 | 5.87 | 20 | 1 | 23.0 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 23 |
Gerardo Carrillo | R | 24 | 3 | 6 | 5.93 | 22 | 16 | 71.3 | 71 | 47 | 11 | 41 | 60 |
Garvin Alston | L | 26 | 2 | 3 | 6.00 | 27 | 0 | 36.0 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 19 | 27 |
Malvin Pena | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 6.45 | 26 | 5 | 53.0 | 60 | 38 | 13 | 24 | 41 |
Player | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Harris | 29.3 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 6.5% | 21.1% | .286 | 111 | 3.97 | 90 | 0.3 |
Stephen Strasburg | 110.7 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 7.6% | 23.6% | .283 | 109 | 3.79 | 92 | 2.0 |
Kyle Finnegan | 59.3 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 8.7% | 24.4% | .291 | 108 | 3.76 | 93 | 0.6 |
Victor Arano | 42.7 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 8.2% | 24.6% | .292 | 102 | 3.83 | 98 | 0.4 |
Jose A. Ferrer | 60.0 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5.2% | 22.4% | .290 | 101 | 4.04 | 99 | 0.3 |
Carl Edwards Jr. | 59.3 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 9.0% | 22.4% | .287 | 100 | 3.98 | 100 | 0.4 |
Matt Cronin | 45.7 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 12.0% | 24.0% | .289 | 99 | 4.12 | 101 | 0.2 |
MacKenzie Gore | 86.3 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 10.1% | 23.9% | .300 | 98 | 4.03 | 102 | 1.2 |
Alex Troop | 98.7 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 6.4% | 20.5% | .295 | 97 | 4.17 | 103 | 1.3 |
Cole Henry | 79.3 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 8.7% | 24.2% | .283 | 97 | 4.11 | 103 | 1.1 |
Alberto Baldonado | 51.0 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 10.0% | 24.9% | .291 | 96 | 4.13 | 104 | 0.2 |
Cade Cavalli | 103.0 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 10.5% | 23.1% | .292 | 95 | 4.14 | 105 | 1.3 |
Zach Brzykcy | 58.3 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 11.5% | 27.3% | .287 | 94 | 4.32 | 106 | 0.2 |
Erasmo Ramirez | 78.7 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6.3% | 19.2% | .291 | 94 | 4.30 | 107 | 0.5 |
Sean Doolittle | 41.3 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 6.8% | 22.2% | .299 | 94 | 4.41 | 107 | 0.1 |
Hunter Harvey | 48.7 | 9.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 7.7% | 24.0% | .295 | 92 | 4.41 | 109 | 0.3 |
Logan Verrett | 97.0 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4.6% | 15.9% | .297 | 92 | 4.27 | 109 | 1.1 |
Andres Machado | 66.7 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 9.3% | 18.6% | .284 | 92 | 4.73 | 109 | 0.1 |
Tanner Rainey | 38.3 | 11.5 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 12.5% | 29.2% | .281 | 91 | 4.43 | 109 | 0.1 |
Joe Ross | 92.7 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 7.7% | 21.9% | .294 | 91 | 4.18 | 109 | 1.0 |
Mason Thompson | 44.0 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 9.8% | 20.1% | .291 | 91 | 4.65 | 110 | 0.2 |
Curtis Taylor | 39.7 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 9.9% | 21.5% | .288 | 90 | 4.44 | 111 | 0.0 |
Francisco Perez | 53.0 | 10.4 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 13.8% | 25.5% | .291 | 89 | 4.55 | 112 | 0.0 |
Josiah Gray | 129.0 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 8.8% | 24.1% | .274 | 89 | 4.68 | 113 | 1.2 |
Jordan Weems | 58.3 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 23.4% | .293 | 88 | 4.32 | 113 | 0.0 |
Jake Irvin | 96.3 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.5% | 18.9% | .284 | 87 | 4.67 | 114 | 0.8 |
Jake McGee | 38.3 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 6.2% | 19.3% | .283 | 87 | 4.77 | 115 | -0.1 |
Steve Cishek | 55.3 | 8.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 10.7% | 21.5% | .281 | 87 | 4.94 | 116 | -0.1 |
Tommy Romero | 91.0 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 9.3% | 19.8% | .292 | 86 | 4.85 | 116 | 0.7 |
Patrick Murphy | 62.3 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 11.2% | 21.2% | .295 | 86 | 4.61 | 117 | 0.3 |
Reed Garrett | 50.3 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 11.0% | 18.9% | .307 | 85 | 4.60 | 118 | -0.1 |
Juan Minaya | 53.7 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 10.7% | 19.4% | .290 | 84 | 4.94 | 119 | -0.1 |
Anibal Sanchez | 93.0 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 9.8% | 15.9% | .279 | 83 | 5.24 | 121 | 0.5 |
Evan Lee | 59.3 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 12.4% | 21.7% | .297 | 82 | 5.09 | 123 | 0.3 |
Tim Cate | 93.3 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 8.6% | 15.8% | .298 | 81 | 4.94 | 123 | 0.5 |
Franklyn Kilome | 74.7 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 11.6% | 18.8% | .288 | 81 | 5.10 | 124 | 0.3 |
Cory Abbott | 92.0 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 11.0% | 21.7% | .290 | 80 | 5.22 | 125 | 0.3 |
Joan Adon | 102.3 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10.0% | 18.9% | .297 | 80 | 4.81 | 125 | 0.5 |
Patrick Corbin | 137.3 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 7.9% | 19.3% | .312 | 80 | 4.93 | 125 | 0.6 |
Jefry Rodriguez | 63.3 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 11.8% | 18.0% | .293 | 80 | 5.11 | 125 | 0.2 |
Carson Teel | 70.3 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 7.7% | 16.1% | .297 | 80 | 5.02 | 125 | 0.1 |
Tyler Clippard | 38.7 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 10.1% | 22.0% | .276 | 80 | 5.22 | 125 | -0.2 |
Hobie Harris | 40.3 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 12.1% | 23.1% | .290 | 80 | 5.11 | 126 | -0.3 |
Ronald Herrera | 103.0 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 7.1% | 15.2% | .297 | 79 | 5.07 | 126 | 0.4 |
Reid Schaller | 40.0 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 12.6% | 18.0% | .294 | 79 | 4.93 | 127 | -0.2 |
Connor Sadzeck | 41.7 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 11.6% | 21.1% | .287 | 79 | 5.19 | 127 | -0.3 |
Erick Fedde | 110.7 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 9.3% | 17.5% | .298 | 78 | 5.01 | 128 | 0.3 |
Paolo Espino | 82.3 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 5.9% | 18.5% | .303 | 78 | 5.07 | 129 | 0.1 |
Jackson Tetreault | 77.3 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 9.7% | 14.9% | .296 | 76 | 5.43 | 131 | 0.1 |
Luis Avilan | 28.3 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 12.4% | 19.4% | .293 | 76 | 5.24 | 132 | -0.2 |
Francys Peguero | 48.0 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 10.2% | 16.7% | .288 | 75 | 5.38 | 133 | -0.4 |
Matt Brill | 41.3 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 14.2% | 18.3% | .292 | 75 | 5.69 | 133 | -0.5 |
Steven Fuentes | 74.0 | 6.1 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 11.2% | 14.7% | .297 | 75 | 5.46 | 134 | -0.1 |
Edgar Garcia | 41.0 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 13.1% | 17.8% | .283 | 74 | 5.69 | 134 | -0.4 |
Richard Guasch | 58.3 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 13.6% | 21.0% | .292 | 73 | 5.52 | 136 | -0.2 |
Luis Reyes | 96.3 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 12.7% | 15.8% | .294 | 72 | 5.73 | 140 | -0.3 |
Andrew Lee | 59.3 | 7.9 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 12.6% | 18.8% | .295 | 71 | 5.73 | 141 | -0.4 |
Zack Burdi | 23.0 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 13.1% | 21.5% | .290 | 70 | 6.07 | 144 | -0.3 |
Gerardo Carrillo | 71.3 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 12.5% | 18.2% | .287 | 69 | 5.83 | 145 | -0.4 |
Garvin Alston | 36.0 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 11.5% | 16.4% | .291 | 68 | 6.10 | 147 | -0.6 |
Malvin Pena | 53.0 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 10.0% | 17.0% | .292 | 63 | 6.49 | 158 | -0.8 |
Player | Pit Comp 1 | Pit Comp 2 | Pit Comp 3 | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Harris | Ellis Kinder | Dutch Leonard | Jonathan Papelbon | 0.5 | -0.1 | 2.91 | 5.05 |
Stephen Strasburg | Nels Potter | George Uhle | Joe Dobson | 2.7 | 1.3 | 3.22 | 4.34 |
Kyle Finnegan | Mike Hartley | Pedro Báez | Bryan Shaw | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
Victor Arano | Tommy Toms | Santos Hernandez | Marco Diaz | 0.7 | -0.1 | 3.27 | 5.02 |
Jose A. Ferrer | Dale Reis | Jimmy Reyes | Jim Goodwin | 0.9 | -0.3 | 3.23 | 5.05 |
Carl Edwards Jr. | Bryan Shaw | Aaron Heilman | Mike Fornieles | 1.0 | -0.2 | 3.37 | 4.82 |
Matt Cronin | Randy Choate | Royce Ring | Joel McKeon | 0.6 | -0.2 | 3.45 | 4.91 |
MacKenzie Gore | Darren Burroughs | Edward Dick | Skip Pitlock | 1.8 | 0.5 | 3.61 | 4.77 |
Alex Troop | Darrell May | Paul Ah Yat | Mike McCormick | 2.1 | 0.5 | 3.65 | 4.84 |
Cole Henry | Steve Finch | Chris Reinike | Dennis Musgraves | 1.7 | 0.4 | 3.57 | 5.03 |
Alberto Baldonado | Tommy Hottovy | Chuck James | Buddy Baumann | 0.7 | -0.4 | 3.41 | 5.33 |
Cade Cavalli | Charlie Lea | Jack Morris | Terry Felton | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.78 | 4.96 |
Zach Brzykcy | Joey Krehbiel | Kip Young | Tony Dougherty | 0.6 | -0.5 | 3.71 | 5.39 |
Erasmo Ramirez | Steve Hargan | Willie Fraser | Rene Arocha | 1.1 | -0.1 | 3.64 | 5.11 |
Sean Doolittle | Diomedes Olivo | Joe Grzenda | Ed Vosberg | 0.5 | -0.4 | 3.43 | 5.89 |
Hunter Harvey | Jay Tessmer | Luis DeLeon | Tom Gorman | 0.7 | -0.2 | 3.66 | 5.64 |
Logan Verrett | Ben Johnson | Steve Fireovid | Tim Kester | 1.7 | 0.5 | 3.94 | 5.02 |
Andres Machado | Alan Benes | Marcus Walden | Adam Warren | 0.5 | -0.4 | 3.84 | 5.22 |
Tanner Rainey | Oscar Henriquez 엔리케스 | Jack Meyer | Dwayne Henry | 0.6 | -0.5 | 3.43 | 5.55 |
Joe Ross | Ray Herbert | Paul Wilson | Bryan Bullington | 1.6 | 0.3 | 3.92 | 5.19 |
Mason Thompson | Dan Bennett | Chris George | Rich Surhoff | 0.5 | -0.2 | 3.90 | 5.05 |
Curtis Taylor | Brian Drahman | Rich Surhoff | George Pfeiffer | 0.3 | -0.3 | 3.84 | 5.31 |
Francisco Perez | Jim Strickland | Kevin Chapman | Kim Seaman | 0.5 | -0.4 | 3.82 | 5.40 |
Josiah Gray | Rob Bell | Jharel Cotton | Ben McDonald | 2.2 | 0.1 | 4.06 | 5.25 |
Jordan Weems | Frank Wills | Paul Swingle | Trey McNutt | 0.5 | -0.6 | 3.86 | 5.55 |
Jake Irvin | Chandler Shepherd | Daniel McCutchen | Cesar Valdez | 1.4 | 0.2 | 4.17 | 5.25 |
Jake McGee | Tony Watson | Al Brazle | Alan Embree | 0.3 | -0.5 | 3.98 | 5.94 |
Steve Cishek | David Weathers | Ted Abernathy | Hector Carrasco | 0.5 | -0.7 | 3.70 | 6.18 |
Tommy Romero | Jim Hunter | Skip Lockwood | Paul Stewart | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.27 | 5.42 |
Patrick Murphy | Greg Resz | Alex Wilson | Willie Eyre | 0.8 | -0.3 | 4.12 | 5.62 |
Reed Garrett | John Pawlowski | Bob Gebhard | Ryan Reid | 0.3 | -0.6 | 4.10 | 5.65 |
Juan Minaya | Mike Buddie | George Culver | Mike Walker | 0.4 | -0.6 | 4.20 | 5.90 |
Anibal Sanchez | Ray Starr | Jim Palmer | Rip Sewell | 1.0 | -0.2 | 4.42 | 5.75 |
Evan Lee | Bruce Poole | Jeff Chandler | Bennett Parry | 0.6 | -0.3 | 4.48 | 5.81 |
Tim Cate | Anthony Fernandez | Chris Cumberland | Rich Rundles | 0.9 | -0.2 | 4.60 | 5.69 |
Franklyn Kilome | Don Carrithers | Dave Moore | Dave May | 0.9 | -0.3 | 4.48 | 5.77 |
Cory Abbott | Matt Kinney | Jack Lutz | Rich Yett | 1.0 | -0.4 | 4.52 | 5.78 |
Joan Adon | Tony Mack | Ed Merritt | Bryan Clutterbuck | 1.1 | -0.2 | 4.63 | 5.68 |
Patrick Corbin | Al Sima | Charlie Leibrandt | Johnny Podres | 1.6 | -0.5 | 4.44 | 5.92 |
Jefry Rodriguez | Mike Strahler | Bob Zick | Don Erickson | 0.6 | -0.3 | 4.58 | 5.76 |
Carson Teel | Virgil Conley | Tom Harlan | Larry Jaster | 0.6 | -0.4 | 4.56 | 5.83 |
Tyler Clippard | Steve Reed | Jim Corsi | Joe Heving | 0.2 | -0.6 | 3.94 | 7.03 |
Hobie Harris | Chad Harville | Jonah Bayliss | Charlie Sullivan | 0.1 | -0.7 | 4.27 | 6.07 |
Ronald Herrera | Hy Cohen | Nick Green | Jake Paulson | 1.0 | -0.2 | 4.63 | 5.69 |
Reid Schaller | Rich Grife | Mike Shields | Manuel Rodriguez | 0.1 | -0.6 | 4.55 | 6.00 |
Connor Sadzeck | Ramon Ramirez | Gary Waslewski | Matt Karchner | 0.2 | -0.7 | 4.38 | 6.27 |
Erick Fedde | John Brownell | Tom Hurd | Roberto Hernandez | 1.0 | -0.5 | 4.66 | 5.85 |
Paolo Espino | Danny Darwin | Willie Blair | Gerry Staley | 0.6 | -0.5 | 4.56 | 6.19 |
Jackson Tetreault | Steve Hirschfeld | Bob Radovich | Matt Kniginyzky | 0.6 | -0.5 | 4.89 | 5.97 |
Luis Avilan | Dave Rucker | Sean Fesh | Willard Hunter | 0.1 | -0.5 | 4.59 | 6.58 |
Francys Peguero | Kevin Fynan | Cecilio Garibaldi | Cole Wiper | 0.0 | -0.8 | 4.86 | 6.21 |
Matt Brill | David Gourieux | Rick Greene | Brian Maxcy | -0.1 | -0.9 | 4.73 | 6.30 |
Steven Fuentes | Jackie Davidson | Raul Carrillo | Roger Williams | 0.3 | -0.7 | 5.01 | 6.13 |
Edgar Garcia | Dick Balderson | Kelvin Vasquez | Jack Lazorko | -0.1 | -0.8 | 4.92 | 6.31 |
Richard Guasch | Pat Light | Scott Schanz | Jeff Stember | 0.3 | -0.7 | 4.92 | 6.30 |
Luis Reyes | Carlos Chantres | Ben Fritz | Harvey Cohen | 0.3 | -1.0 | 5.18 | 6.40 |
Andrew Lee | Johnny Hunter | Brandon Culp | R.J. Seidel | 0.1 | -1.1 | 5.00 | 6.85 |
Zack Burdi | Gary Wex | Mike Heinen | Joseph Jeran | -0.1 | -0.6 | 5.11 | 7.06 |
Gerardo Carrillo | Joan Baez | Jeff Groves | Chris Gardner | 0.1 | -0.9 | 5.38 | 6.60 |
Garvin Alston | Albert Minnis | Steven Calicutt | Adam Milburn | -0.3 | -1.0 | 5.35 | 6.99 |
Malvin Pena | Luis Perez | Alex Solano | Tyler Keele | -0.4 | -1.3 | 5.82 | 7.27 |
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2023 due to injury, and players who were released in 2022. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Norwegian Death Dixieland Bubblegum Ska-Funk band, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.22, above 2022’s level of offense but lower than other years. Pitchers who appear to have a fairly definite change in the majors from start-to-relief or vice-versa from these projections will receive reconfigured updates in the spring.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Pretty grim
Those are the exact words that came to mind for me.
It’s ok, after all we have Jake Alu and Wil Harris