Cy Young Award Projections

Projection System

About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W

Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	123.0	11	3	30.0%	4.5%	2.34	2.50	3.7	4.2	55.1	82.4	191.0	16	6	29.5%	4.9%	2.59	2.67	5.5	5.8	78.9	117.7
2	Garrett Crochet	111.0	6	7	35.4%	5.6%	3.08	2.29	4.1	3.2	39.2	66.5	169.0	10	10	34.4%	6.5%	3.03	2.50	5.7	4.9	60.9	98.4
3	Corbin Burnes	124.1	10	4	23.4%	5.8%	2.39	3.44	2.6	4.2	50.7	65.4	200.1	15	8	24.1%	6.3%	2.83	3.43	4.1	5.5	71.6	95.5
4	Seth Lugo	136.0	12	4	22.5%	5.5%	2.38	3.21	3.2	5.3	56.2	75.7	207.0	16	8	21.9%	5.9%	2.96	3.48	4.3	6.4	70.0	93.6
5	Logan Gilbert	139.0	6	6	25.0%	4.9%	2.72	3.27	2.8	3.7	46.7	65.7	210.0	10	9	24.5%	5.1%	3.00	3.38	4.0	4.9	65.1	91.2
6	George Kirby	123.1	7	7	24.7%	2.6%	3.21	2.73	3.6	2.9	36.8	61.0	192.1	12	11	24.3%	3.0%	3.28	2.93	5.1	4.2	56.9	90.3
7	Cole Ragans	122.1	7	6	29.1%	8.0%	3.24	2.74	3.5	3.4	38.7	62.6	191.1	11	10	27.9%	8.3%	3.34	3.01	4.9	4.9	57.7	89.3
8	Tanner Houck	123.0	8	6	22.5%	5.7%	2.71	2.82	3.4	3.2	43.9	66.9	187.0	12	10	22.5%	6.3%	3.13	3.08	4.5	4.3	58.0	87.5
9	Jack Flaherty	100.1	7	5	32.4%	4.3%	3.14	3.15	2.3	2.5	34.8	49.9	168.1	11	9	29.6%	5.8%	3.42	3.35	3.3	3.5	51.2	72.8
10	Joe Ryan	120.1	6	6	26.9%	3.9%	3.67	3.41	2.8	2.0	30.1	44.6	192.1	11	10	26.9%	4.5%	3.70	3.46	4.2	3.1	49.0	71.2

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	123.0	11	3	30.0%	4.5%	2.34	2.50	3.7	4.2	55.1	82.4	191.0	16	6	29.5%	4.9%	2.59	2.67	5.5	5.8	78.9	117.7
2	Garrett Crochet	111.0	6	7	35.4%	5.6%	3.08	2.29	4.1	3.2	39.2	66.5	169.0	10	10	34.4%	6.5%	3.03	2.50	5.7	4.9	60.9	98.4
3	Corbin Burnes	124.1	10	4	23.4%	5.8%	2.39	3.44	2.6	4.2	50.7	65.4	200.1	15	8	24.1%	6.3%	2.83	3.43	4.1	5.5	71.6	95.5
4	Seth Lugo	136.0	12	4	22.5%	5.5%	2.38	3.21	3.2	5.3	56.2	75.7	207.0	16	8	21.9%	5.9%	2.96	3.48	4.3	6.4	70.0	93.6
5	Logan Gilbert	139.0	6	6	25.0%	4.9%	2.72	3.27	2.8	3.7	46.7	65.7	210.0	10	9	24.5%	5.1%	3.00	3.38	4.0	4.9	65.1	91.2
6	George Kirby	123.1	7	7	24.7%	2.6%	3.21	2.73	3.6	2.9	36.8	61.0	192.1	12	11	24.3%	3.0%	3.28	2.93	5.1	4.2	56.9	90.3
7	Cole Ragans	122.1	7	6	29.1%	8.0%	3.24	2.74	3.5	3.4	38.7	62.6	191.1	11	10	27.9%	8.3%	3.34	3.01	4.9	4.9	57.7	89.3
8	Tanner Houck	123.0	8	6	22.5%	5.7%	2.71	2.82	3.4	3.2	43.9	66.9	187.0	12	10	22.5%	6.3%	3.13	3.08	4.5	4.3	58.0	87.5
9	Jack Flaherty	100.1	7	5	32.4%	4.3%	3.14	3.15	2.3	2.5	34.8	49.9	168.1	11	9	29.6%	5.8%	3.42	3.35	3.3	3.5	51.2	72.8
10	Joe Ryan	120.1	6	6	26.9%	3.9%	3.67	3.41	2.8	2.0	30.1	44.6	192.1	11	10	26.9%	4.5%	3.70	3.46	4.2	3.1	49.0	71.2

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 177 results

of 18

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 177 results

National League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Chris Sale	110.0	13	3	32.4%	5.6%	2.70	2.21	3.7	3.9	49.0	77.0	178.0	18	6	31.8%	5.9%	2.88	2.49	5.3	5.6	72.5	112.2
2	Zack Wheeler	123.1	10	4	27.0%	7.5%	2.56	3.21	3.2	4.2	49.9	67.5	197.1	15	7	26.3%	7.2%	2.88	3.21	5.0	5.8	71.6	99.8
3	Tyler Glasnow	109.0	8	5	33.6%	6.8%	3.47	2.74	3.1	2.5	34.8	56.1	172.0	13	8	33.0%	7.1%	3.35	2.90	4.6	4.0	57.4	88.0
4	Logan Webb	130.0	7	8	20.7%	6.0%	3.60	2.91	2.8	2.3	31.2	54.1	205.0	12	12	20.8%	5.8%	3.51	3.02	4.2	3.7	52.2	85.9
5	Ranger Suárez	119.0	10	5	24.1%	5.6%	2.87	2.98	3.2	3.4	43.1	63.3	185.0	14	8	23.2%	6.3%	3.16	3.25	4.3	4.7	59.1	84.8
6	Dylan Cease	122.0	9	8	32.5%	7.6%	3.76	3.09	2.9	2.0	34.9	54.0	189.0	14	11	31.6%	8.1%	3.67	3.20	4.2	3.2	55.8	83.2
7	Sonny Gray	106.1	10	6	30.7%	5.6%	3.56	2.87	2.7	1.5	34.2	53.4	176.1	15	9	28.1%	6.1%	3.47	3.08	4.0	3.0	55.3	83.1
8	Paul Skenes	74.1	6	1	34.2%	4.6%	1.94	2.57	2.2	3.3	36.8	52.7	137.1	10	4	31.3%	5.7%	2.56	2.79	3.7	4.8	56.5	82.6
9	Reynaldo López	101.1	7	4	24.2%	8.7%	2.13	3.16	2.3	4.1	43.6	58.7	166.1	12	7	24.2%	8.7%	2.82	3.36	3.2	5.1	59.8	80.8
10	Cristopher Sánchez	109.0	7	5	20.0%	6.3%	2.97	2.63	3.3	2.8	34.4	57.0	171.0	11	8	20.3%	6.7%	3.26	3.01	4.4	3.9	48.8	77.1

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Chris Sale	110.0	13	3	32.4%	5.6%	2.70	2.21	3.7	3.9	49.0	77.0	178.0	18	6	31.8%	5.9%	2.88	2.49	5.3	5.6	72.5	112.2
2	Zack Wheeler	123.1	10	4	27.0%	7.5%	2.56	3.21	3.2	4.2	49.9	67.5	197.1	15	7	26.3%	7.2%	2.88	3.21	5.0	5.8	71.6	99.8
3	Tyler Glasnow	109.0	8	5	33.6%	6.8%	3.47	2.74	3.1	2.5	34.8	56.1	172.0	13	8	33.0%	7.1%	3.35	2.90	4.6	4.0	57.4	88.0
4	Logan Webb	130.0	7	8	20.7%	6.0%	3.60	2.91	2.8	2.3	31.2	54.1	205.0	12	12	20.8%	5.8%	3.51	3.02	4.2	3.7	52.2	85.9
5	Ranger Suárez	119.0	10	5	24.1%	5.6%	2.87	2.98	3.2	3.4	43.1	63.3	185.0	14	8	23.2%	6.3%	3.16	3.25	4.3	4.7	59.1	84.8
6	Dylan Cease	122.0	9	8	32.5%	7.6%	3.76	3.09	2.9	2.0	34.9	54.0	189.0	14	11	31.6%	8.1%	3.67	3.20	4.2	3.2	55.8	83.2
7	Sonny Gray	106.1	10	6	30.7%	5.6%	3.56	2.87	2.7	1.5	34.2	53.4	176.1	15	9	28.1%	6.1%	3.47	3.08	4.0	3.0	55.3	83.1
8	Paul Skenes	74.1	6	1	34.2%	4.6%	1.94	2.57	2.2	3.3	36.8	52.7	137.1	10	4	31.3%	5.7%	2.56	2.79	3.7	4.8	56.5	82.6
9	Reynaldo López	101.1	7	4	24.2%	8.7%	2.13	3.16	2.3	4.1	43.6	58.7	166.1	12	7	24.2%	8.7%	2.82	3.36	3.2	5.1	59.8	80.8
10	Cristopher Sánchez	109.0	7	5	20.0%	6.3%	2.97	2.63	3.3	2.8	34.4	57.0	171.0	11	8	20.3%	6.7%	3.26	3.01	4.4	3.9	48.8	77.1

of 20

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 191 results

of 20

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 191 results

BAL	CHW	LAA
BOS	CLE	OAK
NYY	DET	SEA
TBR	KCR	TEX
TOR	MIN	HOU

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
WSN	MIL	LAD
NYM	PIT	SDP
PHI	STL	SFG