2024 ZiPS Projections: Colorado Rockies
For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Colorado Rockies.
Batters
Let’s get the obvious out of the way: the Colorado Rockies will almost certainly be one of the worst teams in baseball in 2024, a prime candidate to get the top pick in next year’s draft lottery. There’s just no way around that conclusion, as the Rockies don’t have the same young depth or big league-quality role players that the Baltimore Orioles had on hand to make their initial burst in 2022 possible.
Still, the team has at least shown signs of life in their decision-making processes over the year or so. Gone — as far as I’m aware — is the ownership talk of winning 94 games. And young players are seeing the field. There were times Ezequiel Tovar struggled mightily at the plate during his rookie season, especially in the first month, but for once, the team avoided panicking and blocking a top prospect with the Chris Owings/José Iglesias-type veterans who hang around Triple-A looking for a big league job. And while it took the franchise a month to get him onto the roster, the Rockies looked for excuses to play Nolan Jones rather than searching for reasons not to. That paid off, with Jones enjoying an excellent rookie season that saw him improve more in the outfield than most expected. A lot of Colorado’s marginal prospects in their 20s struggled, but at least they played. None of Elehuris Montero, Alan Trejo, or Michael Toglia did all that well, but their playing time demonstrated a (possible) change in organizational thinking, as players like them have been marginalized in the past. Think back to Tom Murphy or Mike Tauchman during their time with the Rockies — the team could not have seemed less interested in seeing what they had.
Brenton Doyle rightly won a Gold Glove award, and the defense is probably mostly real; the ZiPS probability-based method for minor league performance had him at 11 runs better than average in 2022 despite this method being intentionally conservative because of its uncertainty. (For those curious, the highest-ranked outfielders in 2023 were Jorge Barrosa and Ceddanne Rafaela.) Doyle’s bat leaves much to be desired, but there’s a real argument to be made that given the size of the Coors outfield, this is a spot where the team should be willing to swap offense for defense.
ZiPS doesn’t expect Jones to regress too much in 2024 — the Sophomore Slump is a myth, but regression toward the mean is not — and projects considerable growth from Tovar, who was extremely young in his debut. ZiPS also expects a typical season from Ryan McMahon, and while it appears that Brendan Rodgers no longer has star upside, he’s a roughly league-average player when healthy.
That isn’t to say that this team has completely avoided mistakes. The Rockies actually made some trades near the deadline, which they almost never did in the past, but if they were ever going to get anything for Elias Díaz, it would have been last July. Coco Montes deserved a longer look, and I think he’d be an interesting pickup for someone (though he did pass through waivers in September).
As for the rest of the lineup… well, things don’t look great. At this point, neither Kris Bryant nor Charlie Blackmon project particularly well. This team is going to have one of the worst offenses in baseball again, and any long-term turnaround is going to require greater creativity than simply waiting for Zac Veen and Drew Romo, both of whom had disappointing 2023 seasons for a variety of reasons, to come and save the day.
Pitchers
Losing Germán Márquez and Antonio Senzatela to Tommy John makes this group look even worse than it is, but let’s be honest: their arm trouble isn’t what’s keeping the Rockies from being playoff relevant in 2024. Márquez seems the more likely to appear towards the end of the season, having had his procedure a couple months earlier than Senzatela in 2023. Of the pickups the team has made to eat some innings, Dakota Hudson is a groundball pitcher in front of what should be a solidly above-average infield defense, while Cal Quantrill typically isn’t crushable when he struggles. Along with Austin Gomber and Ryan Feltner, they’re basically here so that the games will end and the bullpen doesn’t have to throw 1,100 innings.
As for the bullpen… yeah. ZiPS likes Justin Lawrence, Jake Bird, and Jalen Beeks to be around average, with the rest of the relief corps — including any possible interesting minor leaguers — set to be off that standard. But again, like the Orioles from 2019-2021, the 2024 record isn’t the point. Instead of paying too much for relievers who were good two or three years ago, the Rockies should try to accumulate any halfway interesting young thrower under 25, even if they don’t have a clue, and see who has an epiphany. This is a method only lousy teams have the luxury to adopt.
Right now, ZiPS has Colorado in the 64-68 win range, depending on the assumptions you make about who will play, where, and when. The problem with the Rockies hasn’t just been that they’ve been a bad team, but that they’ve been a bad team with no idea of how bad teams become good ones. Being a bad team with a vision would be a tremendous upgrade over the club that frittered away the prime years of some good young talent during the disastrous Jeff Bridich era. And I’m not one who tends toward optimism with this franchise!
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Jones | L | 26 | LF | 552 | 480 | 77 | 133 | 29 | 3 | 22 | 84 | 65 | 155 | 14 | 2 |
Ryan McMahon | L | 29 | 3B | 588 | 521 | 73 | 125 | 27 | 2 | 22 | 74 | 61 | 167 | 5 | 3 |
Ezequiel Tovar | R | 22 | SS | 588 | 552 | 75 | 143 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 76 | 28 | 142 | 11 | 4 |
Brendan Rodgers | R | 27 | 2B | 417 | 383 | 49 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 27 | 81 | 0 | 1 |
Coco Montes | R | 27 | 2B | 514 | 465 | 61 | 114 | 27 | 3 | 14 | 65 | 40 | 144 | 6 | 3 |
Brenton Doyle | R | 26 | CF | 484 | 451 | 59 | 106 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 61 | 25 | 163 | 18 | 4 |
Adael Amador | B | 21 | SS | 434 | 385 | 60 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 50 | 39 | 61 | 10 | 5 |
Jimmy Herron | R | 27 | LF | 484 | 429 | 63 | 108 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 59 | 44 | 101 | 17 | 4 |
Ryan Ritter | R | 23 | SS | 536 | 475 | 70 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 74 | 41 | 177 | 10 | 3 |
Sean Bouchard | R | 28 | RF | 333 | 294 | 45 | 75 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 34 | 88 | 5 | 2 |
Jacob Stallings | R | 34 | C | 312 | 276 | 27 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 29 | 69 | 0 | 1 |
Braxton Fulford | R | 25 | C | 354 | 310 | 46 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 94 | 4 | 2 |
Kris Bryant | R | 32 | RF | 402 | 356 | 53 | 96 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 38 | 84 | 2 | 1 |
Alan Trejo | R | 28 | 2B | 366 | 340 | 43 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 20 | 86 | 4 | 3 |
Elehuris Montero | R | 25 | 1B | 484 | 442 | 59 | 113 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 71 | 30 | 132 | 0 | 1 |
Hunter Stovall | R | 27 | 2B | 419 | 386 | 45 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 78 | 9 | 4 |
Yonathan Daza | R | 30 | CF | 347 | 321 | 38 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 55 | 3 | 3 |
Hunter Goodman | R | 24 | 1B | 541 | 495 | 68 | 124 | 33 | 2 | 24 | 87 | 34 | 149 | 1 | 1 |
Willie MacIver | R | 27 | C | 336 | 298 | 31 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 99 | 8 | 3 |
Charlie Blackmon | L | 37 | RF | 440 | 394 | 53 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 72 | 3 | 1 |
Braiden Ward | L | 25 | CF | 318 | 271 | 49 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 20 | 77 | 25 | 5 |
Ronaiker Palma | R | 24 | C | 251 | 234 | 25 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 2 |
Sterlin Thompson | L | 23 | 3B | 398 | 363 | 44 | 95 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 24 | 84 | 8 | 2 |
Roman Quinn | B | 31 | CF | 158 | 133 | 19 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | 58 | 9 | 2 |
Jack Blomgren | R | 25 | 2B | 240 | 208 | 28 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 73 | 8 | 3 |
Jordan Beck | R | 23 | LF | 548 | 496 | 61 | 121 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 65 | 50 | 148 | 10 | 3 |
Connor Kaiser | R | 27 | SS | 331 | 296 | 43 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 98 | 7 | 1 |
Elias Díaz | R | 33 | C | 417 | 384 | 41 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 28 | 88 | 0 | 1 |
Aaron Schunk | R | 26 | 3B | 479 | 444 | 51 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 27 | 129 | 6 | 4 |
Zach Kokoska | L | 25 | 1B | 337 | 304 | 40 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 22 | 87 | 9 | 4 |
Cole Tucker | B | 27 | CF | 359 | 322 | 42 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 33 | 89 | 5 | 3 |
Drew Romo | B | 22 | C | 413 | 379 | 41 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 83 | 5 | 4 |
Warming Bernabel | R | 22 | 3B | 390 | 368 | 45 | 95 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 15 | 77 | 3 | 2 |
Yorvis Torrealba | R | 26 | LF | 151 | 138 | 21 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 29 | 6 | 3 |
Daniel Cope | R | 27 | DH | 173 | 156 | 15 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 50 | 0 | 1 |
Julio Carreras | R | 24 | SS | 459 | 417 | 52 | 99 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 113 | 8 | 3 |
Jameson Hannah | L | 26 | RF | 257 | 234 | 28 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 57 | 6 | 1 |
Kyle Datres | R | 28 | 2B | 380 | 333 | 42 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 103 | 11 | 2 |
Bret Boswell | L | 29 | 3B | 293 | 265 | 27 | 55 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 98 | 2 | 1 |
Yanquiel Fernandez | L | 21 | RF | 545 | 513 | 60 | 126 | 27 | 3 | 17 | 70 | 25 | 146 | 1 | 1 |
Zac Veen | L | 22 | RF | 389 | 351 | 41 | 84 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 96 | 22 | 4 |
Niko Decolati | R | 26 | RF | 333 | 293 | 42 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 30 | 90 | 8 | 3 |
AJ Lewis | R | 26 | 1B | 251 | 214 | 23 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 77 | 1 | 2 |
Trevor Boone | R | 26 | RF | 200 | 184 | 20 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 12 | 95 | 1 | 1 |
Grayson Greiner | R | 31 | C | 167 | 152 | 14 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 68 | 0 | 1 |
Jonathan Morales | R | 29 | 1B | 366 | 338 | 31 | 84 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 22 | 63 | 0 | 1 |
Michael Toglia | B | 25 | 1B | 530 | 476 | 59 | 105 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 48 | 155 | 4 | 2 |
Nic Kent | R | 24 | 2B | 422 | 381 | 42 | 93 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 83 | 5 | 4 |
Eddy Diaz | R | 24 | 2B | 378 | 344 | 44 | 81 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 19 | 88 | 12 | 9 |
Bladimir Restituyo | R | 22 | CF | 470 | 444 | 56 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 7 | 96 | 12 | 6 |
Colin Simpson | L | 27 | DH | 287 | 263 | 28 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 86 | 1 | 1 |
Harold Castro | L | 30 | 2B | 349 | 329 | 34 | 91 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 14 | 73 | 1 | 1 |
Taylor Snyder | R | 29 | 3B | 347 | 320 | 39 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 23 | 119 | 7 | 2 |
Grant Lavigne | L | 24 | 1B | 517 | 458 | 48 | 106 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 55 | 49 | 146 | 2 | 2 |
Benny Montgomery | R | 21 | CF | 481 | 443 | 51 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 151 | 9 | 3 |
Daniel Montano | L | 25 | LF | 413 | 368 | 40 | 85 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 39 | 123 | 3 | 2 |
Player | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA | RC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Jones | 552 | .277 | .368 | .488 | 121 | .210 | .366 | 6 | 3.1 | .367 | 90 |
Ryan McMahon | 588 | .240 | .321 | .426 | 93 | .186 | .310 | 11 | 2.3 | .324 | 74 |
Ezequiel Tovar | 588 | .259 | .300 | .424 | 87 | .165 | .321 | 10 | 2.2 | .311 | 74 |
Brendan Rodgers | 417 | .279 | .333 | .439 | 100 | .159 | .328 | 1 | 1.4 | .334 | 56 |
Coco Montes | 514 | .245 | .311 | .406 | 86 | .161 | .326 | 3 | 1.0 | .312 | 61 |
Brenton Doyle | 484 | .235 | .280 | .384 | 71 | .149 | .336 | 11 | 0.9 | .287 | 54 |
Adael Amador | 434 | .273 | .345 | .410 | 97 | .138 | .303 | -6 | 0.9 | .330 | 59 |
Jimmy Herron | 484 | .252 | .331 | .392 | 88 | .140 | .306 | 7 | 0.9 | .317 | 61 |
Ryan Ritter | 536 | .227 | .303 | .400 | 82 | .173 | .321 | 0 | 0.9 | .306 | 61 |
Sean Bouchard | 333 | .255 | .336 | .463 | 106 | .207 | .325 | 1 | 0.9 | .344 | 48 |
Jacob Stallings | 312 | .243 | .319 | .351 | 76 | .109 | .307 | 5 | 0.9 | .299 | 31 |
Braxton Fulford | 354 | .235 | .319 | .365 | 79 | .129 | .316 | 2 | 0.8 | .304 | 38 |
Kris Bryant | 402 | .270 | .351 | .449 | 108 | .180 | .320 | -5 | 0.6 | .347 | 57 |
Alan Trejo | 366 | .250 | .296 | .415 | 83 | .165 | .307 | 2 | 0.5 | .306 | 44 |
Elehuris Montero | 484 | .256 | .310 | .448 | 95 | .192 | .321 | 3 | 0.5 | .325 | 62 |
Hunter Stovall | 419 | .259 | .308 | .360 | 74 | .101 | .314 | 5 | 0.4 | .293 | 46 |
Yonathan Daza | 347 | .290 | .330 | .380 | 86 | .090 | .342 | 0 | 0.4 | .311 | 42 |
Hunter Goodman | 541 | .251 | .307 | .471 | 99 | .220 | .311 | -2 | 0.3 | .330 | 72 |
Willie MacIver | 336 | .215 | .296 | .329 | 63 | .114 | .301 | 4 | 0.3 | .279 | 32 |
Charlie Blackmon | 440 | .272 | .339 | .414 | 96 | .142 | .313 | -2 | 0.3 | .328 | 56 |
Braiden Ward | 318 | .232 | .334 | .292 | 66 | .059 | .321 | 0 | 0.2 | .291 | 34 |
Ronaiker Palma | 251 | .256 | .290 | .312 | 58 | .056 | .295 | 5 | 0.2 | .266 | 22 |
Sterlin Thompson | 398 | .262 | .322 | .402 | 88 | .140 | .319 | -6 | 0.2 | .315 | 49 |
Roman Quinn | 158 | .195 | .299 | .316 | 61 | .120 | .329 | 3 | 0.2 | .278 | 15 |
Jack Blomgren | 240 | .231 | .315 | .332 | 70 | .101 | .341 | 1 | 0.1 | .291 | 25 |
Jordan Beck | 548 | .244 | .312 | .397 | 84 | .153 | .318 | 2 | 0.1 | .310 | 65 |
Connor Kaiser | 331 | .209 | .288 | .328 | 61 | .118 | .292 | 3 | 0.1 | .274 | 30 |
Elias Díaz | 417 | .258 | .309 | .409 | 86 | .151 | .306 | -10 | 0.0 | .311 | 49 |
Aaron Schunk | 479 | .241 | .288 | .363 | 69 | .122 | .320 | 5 | 0.0 | .283 | 49 |
Zach Kokoska | 337 | .240 | .307 | .391 | 81 | .151 | .308 | 3 | 0.0 | .306 | 40 |
Cole Tucker | 359 | .236 | .307 | .339 | 69 | .102 | .314 | 1 | -0.1 | .287 | 36 |
Drew Romo | 413 | .256 | .301 | .380 | 77 | .124 | .311 | -6 | -0.2 | .295 | 46 |
Warming Bernabel | 390 | .258 | .295 | .386 | 76 | .128 | .307 | -2 | -0.2 | .295 | 43 |
Yorvis Torrealba | 151 | .254 | .313 | .326 | 68 | .072 | .315 | 0 | -0.3 | .286 | 17 |
Daniel Cope | 173 | .244 | .312 | .359 | 75 | .115 | .340 | 0 | -0.3 | .297 | 18 |
Julio Carreras | 459 | .237 | .292 | .343 | 66 | .106 | .314 | -2 | -0.4 | .280 | 45 |
Jameson Hannah | 257 | .265 | .320 | .363 | 79 | .098 | .343 | -2 | -0.4 | .301 | 29 |
Kyle Datres | 380 | .225 | .313 | .354 | 75 | .129 | .299 | -7 | -0.4 | .296 | 40 |
Bret Boswell | 293 | .208 | .280 | .340 | 61 | .132 | .304 | 1 | -0.4 | .274 | 26 |
Yanquiel Fernandez | 545 | .246 | .283 | .409 | 78 | .164 | .311 | 3 | -0.5 | .295 | 60 |
Zac Veen | 389 | .239 | .306 | .362 | 74 | .123 | .310 | -2 | -0.5 | .294 | 45 |
Niko Decolati | 333 | .222 | .307 | .297 | 60 | .075 | .310 | 4 | -0.5 | .275 | 30 |
AJ Lewis | 251 | .196 | .308 | .290 | 58 | .093 | .291 | 2 | -0.6 | .277 | 20 |
Trevor Boone | 200 | .190 | .250 | .348 | 54 | .158 | .357 | 2 | -0.7 | .260 | 17 |
Grayson Greiner | 167 | .184 | .253 | .283 | 40 | .099 | .309 | -2 | -0.7 | .241 | 11 |
Jonathan Morales | 366 | .249 | .295 | .352 | 69 | .104 | .287 | 2 | -0.8 | .284 | 36 |
Michael Toglia | 530 | .221 | .294 | .387 | 76 | .166 | .289 | 1 | -0.8 | .296 | 56 |
Nic Kent | 422 | .244 | .296 | .339 | 66 | .094 | .300 | -3 | -0.8 | .280 | 41 |
Eddy Diaz | 378 | .235 | .290 | .305 | 56 | .070 | .311 | 1 | -0.8 | .266 | 37 |
Bladimir Restituyo | 470 | .255 | .271 | .372 | 66 | .117 | .307 | -2 | -0.9 | .276 | 50 |
Colin Simpson | 287 | .224 | .282 | .361 | 67 | .137 | .310 | 0 | -0.9 | .279 | 27 |
Harold Castro | 349 | .277 | .305 | .377 | 77 | .100 | .343 | -10 | -0.9 | .297 | 39 |
Taylor Snyder | 347 | .209 | .265 | .359 | 61 | .150 | .298 | -4 | -1.0 | .272 | 33 |
Grant Lavigne | 517 | .231 | .314 | .349 | 74 | .118 | .320 | 0 | -1.0 | .295 | 51 |
Benny Montgomery | 481 | .233 | .291 | .339 | 64 | .106 | .337 | -5 | -1.0 | .279 | 47 |
Daniel Montano | 413 | .231 | .304 | .351 | 71 | .120 | .331 | -3 | -1.0 | .289 | 41 |
Player | Hit Comp 1 | Hit Comp 2 | Hit Comp 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Nolan Jones | Rick Monday | Willie Crawford | Norm Siebern |
Ryan McMahon | Greg Norton | Jeff Larish | Jack Howell |
Ezequiel Tovar | Oswaldo Cabrera | Alex Gonzalez | Corey Hart |
Brendan Rodgers | Jake Noll | Ramon Martinez | Julio Gotay |
Coco Montes | Jeff Moronko | Jim Command | Casey Blake |
Brenton Doyle | Reggie Abercrombie | Dick Smith | César Hernández |
Adael Amador | Luis Alicea | Geraldo Perdomo | Mike Woodard |
Jimmy Herron | Phillip Ervin | Eric Owens | Terry Bradshaw |
Ryan Ritter | Josh Fields | Billy Consolo | Alex Gonzalez |
Sean Bouchard | Paul Jernigan | Fred Rico | John Briggs |
Jacob Stallings | Jeff Reed | Chris Gimenez | Bob Swift |
Braxton Fulford | Jayhawk Owens | Edwin Marquez | Jakson Reetz |
Kris Bryant | Clyde Barnhart | Orlando Merced | Ira Flagstead |
Alan Trejo | Scott Kingery | Omar Infante | Foster Castleman |
Elehuris Montero | Rich Murray | Gino Kinchen | Rogelio Alvarez |
Hunter Stovall | Ray Olmedo | Brendan Ryan | Pedro Chavez |
Yonathan Daza | Juan Delis | Ken Woods | Stan Johnson |
Hunter Goodman | Mike Fitzgerald | Gail Harris | Richie Sexson |
Willie MacIver | Barry Winford | Dennis Pelfrey | Joe Pignatano |
Charlie Blackmon | Jack Tobin | Max Flack | Charlie Jamieson |
Braiden Ward | Dan Motl | Antoan Richardson | William Ray |
Ronaiker Palma | Carlos Ruiz | Jack Bowen | Tom Zimmer |
Sterlin Thompson | J.P. Roberge | Billy Smith | Jared Triolo |
Roman Quinn | Chris Powell | Milt Cuyler | Dick Smith |
Jack Blomgren | Jason Brett | David Dalton | Kris Goodman |
Jordan Beck | Chris Knabenshue | Glenn Owens | Marvin Garrison |
Connor Kaiser | Brett King | Jeremy Sy | Juan Bell |
Elias Díaz | Harry Saferight | Pat Borders | Matt Wieters |
Aaron Schunk | Francisco Martinez | Eddie Pye | Kristopher Negrón |
Zach Kokoska | Anthony Seratelli | Sil Campusano | Kyle Colligan |
Cole Tucker | Jason Maas | Evan Marzilli | Aaron Cain |
Drew Romo | Phil Avlas | John Hicks | Wilkin Castillo |
Warming Bernabel | Robert Shelton | Jim Pamlanye | Shane Letterio |
Yorvis Torrealba | Kevin Reynolds | Scott Stetson | Kit Putnam |
Daniel Cope | Ronnie Farkas | Wally Backman | Gerardo Avila |
Julio Carreras | Blake Davis | Johnnie LeMaster | Tommy Manzella |
Jameson Hannah | Steve Bieser | Julio Peguero | Robert Belford |
Kyle Datres | Scott Earl | Luis Guance | Dave Hirtz |
Bret Boswell | Bob Frazier | Harry Riconda | Vic Harris |
Yanquiel Fernandez | Mike McDonald | Don Dillard | Nelson Gardner |
Zac Veen | Larry Shaw | Corey Adamson | Duane Walker |
Niko Decolati | Carlton Steele | Larry Blackwell | Scott Buss |
AJ Lewis | Jeremy Schied | Carlos Lopez | Doak Jones |
Trevor Boone | Runey Davis | Danny Simpson | Logan Wood |
Grayson Greiner | John Orton | Alan Probst | Marc Sullivan |
Jonathan Morales | Brian Traxler | Freddie Thon | Tommy Peterman |
Michael Toglia | Charles Howard | Jim Koranda | Glen Merklen |
Nic Kent | Dan Kaczrowski | Eric King | Chris Barnwell |
Eddy Diaz | Robbie Hudson | David Rivera | Demetrius Heath |
Bladimir Restituyo | Johan Rojas | Rick Bosetti | Doug Glanville |
Colin Simpson | Steven Caseres | Brian Turner | Gabe Snyder |
Harold Castro | Marco Hernández | Jimmy Jordan | Jim Glover |
Taylor Snyder | Matt Hagen | Aaron Sisk | Tye Waller |
Grant Lavigne | Jason Turner | Ryan Aguilar | Mark Chasey |
Benny Montgomery | Johnny Jeter | Edward Ovalle | Alfred Facchini |
Daniel Montano | Dusty Rhodes | Jameson Fisher | Ross Jones |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Jones | .304 | .394 | .543 | 139 | 4.3 | .248 | .340 | .434 | 101 | 1.7 |
Ryan McMahon | .265 | .347 | .484 | 113 | 3.6 | .212 | .293 | .372 | 75 | 0.9 |
Ezequiel Tovar | .285 | .325 | .484 | 107 | 3.6 | .234 | .276 | .377 | 69 | 0.9 |
Brendan Rodgers | .311 | .363 | .492 | 122 | 2.4 | .253 | .306 | .384 | 82 | 0.4 |
Coco Montes | .271 | .334 | .461 | 102 | 2.0 | .215 | .281 | .356 | 66 | -0.2 |
Brenton Doyle | .264 | .308 | .438 | 91 | 2.1 | .207 | .255 | .335 | 53 | -0.2 |
Adael Amador | .301 | .371 | .463 | 116 | 1.9 | .242 | .313 | .364 | 77 | -0.1 |
Jimmy Herron | .280 | .358 | .444 | 107 | 2.1 | .225 | .301 | .343 | 71 | -0.1 |
Ryan Ritter | .258 | .332 | .465 | 106 | 2.4 | .201 | .280 | .347 | 64 | -0.3 |
Sean Bouchard | .283 | .364 | .526 | 127 | 1.7 | .233 | .314 | .417 | 89 | 0.2 |
Jacob Stallings | .274 | .352 | .405 | 97 | 1.7 | .208 | .290 | .305 | 58 | 0.2 |
Braxton Fulford | .269 | .350 | .421 | 99 | 1.6 | .203 | .292 | .313 | 59 | 0.0 |
Kris Bryant | .297 | .377 | .503 | 127 | 1.5 | .235 | .321 | .394 | 84 | -0.5 |
Alan Trejo | .280 | .325 | .476 | 103 | 1.4 | .222 | .268 | .367 | 64 | -0.3 |
Elehuris Montero | .285 | .335 | .511 | 117 | 1.7 | .229 | .283 | .398 | 76 | -0.6 |
Hunter Stovall | .288 | .339 | .409 | 94 | 1.5 | .228 | .278 | .319 | 55 | -0.5 |
Yonathan Daza | .323 | .362 | .424 | 104 | 1.2 | .258 | .300 | .339 | 69 | -0.4 |
Hunter Goodman | .280 | .335 | .532 | 119 | 1.6 | .225 | .280 | .414 | 78 | -1.1 |
Willie MacIver | .249 | .331 | .379 | 85 | 1.2 | .184 | .264 | .279 | 43 | -0.6 |
Charlie Blackmon | .305 | .369 | .472 | 116 | 1.3 | .241 | .309 | .367 | 75 | -0.8 |
Braiden Ward | .265 | .362 | .330 | 82 | 0.9 | .205 | .311 | .252 | 52 | -0.4 |
Ronaiker Palma | .293 | .328 | .359 | 79 | 0.9 | .220 | .255 | .273 | 39 | -0.4 |
Sterlin Thompson | .288 | .348 | .455 | 107 | 1.1 | .228 | .291 | .354 | 68 | -0.7 |
Roman Quinn | .227 | .331 | .375 | 84 | 0.6 | .166 | .263 | .266 | 40 | -0.2 |
Jack Blomgren | .263 | .340 | .388 | 89 | 0.6 | .202 | .285 | .291 | 52 | -0.4 |
Jordan Beck | .270 | .339 | .448 | 103 | 1.3 | .216 | .281 | .344 | 63 | -1.4 |
Connor Kaiser | .237 | .318 | .392 | 82 | 0.9 | .179 | .259 | .281 | 42 | -0.8 |
Elias Díaz | .288 | .338 | .470 | 107 | 1.0 | .228 | .282 | .350 | 65 | -1.1 |
Aaron Schunk | .273 | .319 | .418 | 92 | 1.3 | .214 | .258 | .317 | 52 | -1.1 |
Zach Kokoska | .272 | .339 | .452 | 103 | 0.9 | .214 | .281 | .343 | 63 | -0.8 |
Cole Tucker | .264 | .335 | .385 | 86 | 0.6 | .208 | .278 | .295 | 52 | -0.9 |
Drew Romo | .286 | .328 | .439 | 100 | 0.9 | .225 | .271 | .330 | 58 | -1.2 |
Warming Bernabel | .287 | .322 | .439 | 96 | 0.8 | .229 | .269 | .343 | 59 | -1.0 |
Yorvis Torrealba | .281 | .340 | .370 | 85 | 0.0 | .227 | .287 | .290 | 52 | -0.6 |
Daniel Cope | .272 | .341 | .410 | 93 | 0.0 | .206 | .275 | .302 | 50 | -0.8 |
Julio Carreras | .265 | .321 | .384 | 83 | 0.7 | .209 | .269 | .296 | 49 | -1.3 |
Jameson Hannah | .293 | .347 | .408 | 96 | 0.2 | .235 | .288 | .325 | 61 | -1.0 |
Kyle Datres | .253 | .345 | .408 | 94 | 0.5 | .193 | .284 | .302 | 54 | -1.4 |
Bret Boswell | .240 | .313 | .411 | 86 | 0.5 | .174 | .250 | .290 | 40 | -1.1 |
Yanquiel Fernandez | .272 | .308 | .459 | 96 | 0.7 | .219 | .258 | .356 | 60 | -1.8 |
Zac Veen | .272 | .334 | .424 | 97 | 0.5 | .209 | .276 | .313 | 57 | -1.4 |
Niko Decolati | .254 | .336 | .339 | 76 | 0.1 | .190 | .277 | .252 | 40 | -1.3 |
AJ Lewis | .232 | .339 | .343 | 79 | -0.1 | .163 | .277 | .244 | 38 | -1.2 |
Trevor Boone | .222 | .285 | .416 | 78 | -0.1 | .157 | .223 | .284 | 32 | -1.2 |
Grayson Greiner | .217 | .286 | .337 | 61 | -0.3 | .154 | .221 | .235 | 21 | -1.1 |
Jonathan Morales | .280 | .327 | .400 | 88 | 0.1 | .221 | .269 | .309 | 51 | -1.6 |
Michael Toglia | .251 | .320 | .435 | 96 | 0.4 | .192 | .267 | .332 | 58 | -2.1 |
Nic Kent | .275 | .325 | .386 | 85 | 0.2 | .216 | .268 | .294 | 49 | -1.7 |
Eddy Diaz | .261 | .320 | .350 | 74 | 0.0 | .206 | .262 | .265 | 39 | -1.6 |
Bladimir Restituyo | .283 | .300 | .414 | 85 | 0.3 | .227 | .244 | .333 | 51 | -1.7 |
Colin Simpson | .253 | .310 | .421 | 87 | -0.1 | .198 | .253 | .320 | 50 | -1.5 |
Harold Castro | .307 | .336 | .421 | 96 | 0.0 | .248 | .276 | .332 | 58 | -1.7 |
Taylor Snyder | .238 | .293 | .429 | 85 | 0.1 | .175 | .229 | .306 | 40 | -1.9 |
Grant Lavigne | .258 | .343 | .402 | 91 | 0.2 | .201 | .288 | .306 | 56 | -2.1 |
Benny Montgomery | .262 | .318 | .387 | 83 | 0.1 | .207 | .264 | .295 | 48 | -2.0 |
Daniel Montano | .259 | .335 | .399 | 90 | -0.1 | .200 | .275 | .302 | 52 | -2.0 |
Player | BA vs. L | OBP vs. L | SLG vs. L | BA vs. R | OBP vs. R | SLG vs. R |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Jones | .269 | .352 | .469 | .281 | .376 | .497 |
Ryan McMahon | .227 | .304 | .407 | .245 | .329 | .434 |
Ezequiel Tovar | .270 | .309 | .446 | .253 | .295 | .411 |
Brendan Rodgers | .293 | .348 | .488 | .273 | .326 | .415 |
Coco Montes | .250 | .323 | .422 | .242 | .304 | .396 |
Brenton Doyle | .244 | .290 | .406 | .229 | .273 | .369 |
Adael Amador | .272 | .339 | .417 | .274 | .348 | .406 |
Jimmy Herron | .253 | .335 | .400 | .251 | .328 | .387 |
Ryan Ritter | .227 | .304 | .407 | .228 | .303 | .397 |
Sean Bouchard | .260 | .348 | .472 | .251 | .328 | .456 |
Jacob Stallings | .245 | .327 | .362 | .242 | .315 | .346 |
Braxton Fulford | .237 | .318 | .368 | .235 | .320 | .362 |
Kris Bryant | .277 | .358 | .479 | .267 | .348 | .439 |
Alan Trejo | .252 | .300 | .439 | .249 | .293 | .398 |
Elehuris Montero | .264 | .319 | .483 | .250 | .304 | .425 |
Hunter Stovall | .269 | .323 | .372 | .253 | .298 | .353 |
Yonathan Daza | .294 | .339 | .394 | .288 | .326 | .373 |
Hunter Goodman | .266 | .324 | .509 | .242 | .298 | .451 |
Willie MacIver | .221 | .304 | .344 | .210 | .289 | .318 |
Charlie Blackmon | .269 | .333 | .387 | .273 | .342 | .425 |
Braiden Ward | .226 | .337 | .286 | .235 | .333 | .294 |
Ronaiker Palma | .271 | .308 | .306 | .248 | .280 | .315 |
Sterlin Thompson | .252 | .316 | .369 | .265 | .324 | .415 |
Roman Quinn | .205 | .300 | .364 | .191 | .298 | .292 |
Jack Blomgren | .240 | .321 | .347 | .226 | .311 | .323 |
Jordan Beck | .250 | .326 | .410 | .241 | .306 | .391 |
Connor Kaiser | .208 | .300 | .330 | .211 | .281 | .326 |
Elias Díaz | .262 | .316 | .418 | .256 | .306 | .405 |
Aaron Schunk | .243 | .295 | .379 | .240 | .284 | .353 |
Zach Kokoska | .229 | .302 | .354 | .245 | .310 | .409 |
Cole Tucker | .243 | .305 | .336 | .233 | .308 | .340 |
Drew Romo | .259 | .301 | .385 | .254 | .301 | .377 |
Warming Bernabel | .267 | .307 | .397 | .253 | .288 | .380 |
Yorvis Torrealba | .259 | .328 | .310 | .250 | .302 | .338 |
Daniel Cope | .250 | .333 | .357 | .240 | .300 | .360 |
Julio Carreras | .242 | .297 | .354 | .234 | .289 | .336 |
Jameson Hannah | .256 | .306 | .372 | .269 | .327 | .359 |
Kyle Datres | .235 | .321 | .391 | .220 | .309 | .335 |
Bret Boswell | .207 | .278 | .354 | .208 | .281 | .333 |
Yanquiel Fernandez | .238 | .271 | .384 | .249 | .288 | .422 |
Zac Veen | .239 | .306 | .359 | .239 | .306 | .364 |
Niko Decolati | .224 | .311 | .290 | .220 | .305 | .301 |
AJ Lewis | .207 | .316 | .293 | .189 | .303 | .288 |
Trevor Boone | .194 | .256 | .347 | .188 | .246 | .348 |
Grayson Greiner | .184 | .245 | .286 | .184 | .257 | .282 |
Jonathan Morales | .254 | .312 | .365 | .245 | .285 | .344 |
Michael Toglia | .216 | .284 | .389 | .223 | .301 | .385 |
Nic Kent | .248 | .303 | .349 | .242 | .292 | .333 |
Eddy Diaz | .248 | .302 | .321 | .227 | .281 | .295 |
Bladimir Restituyo | .262 | .278 | .372 | .250 | .266 | .371 |
Colin Simpson | .217 | .267 | .361 | .228 | .289 | .361 |
Harold Castro | .260 | .286 | .342 | .281 | .311 | .387 |
Taylor Snyder | .215 | .278 | .380 | .206 | .257 | .347 |
Grant Lavigne | .224 | .299 | .314 | .235 | .322 | .368 |
Benny Montgomery | .244 | .306 | .359 | .226 | .283 | .328 |
Daniel Montano | .224 | .286 | .336 | .235 | .314 | .359 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Germán Márquez | R | 29 | 7 | 10 | 4.75 | 24 | 24 | 136.3 | 135 | 72 | 18 | 46 | 117 |
Cal Quantrill | R | 29 | 6 | 8 | 4.93 | 26 | 23 | 127.7 | 140 | 70 | 19 | 42 | 83 |
Dakota Hudson | R | 29 | 7 | 9 | 4.51 | 25 | 21 | 123.7 | 129 | 62 | 15 | 48 | 75 |
Anthony Molina | R | 22 | 5 | 7 | 5.09 | 27 | 26 | 120.3 | 143 | 68 | 17 | 36 | 71 |
Kyle Freeland | L | 31 | 7 | 10 | 5.24 | 26 | 26 | 137.3 | 161 | 80 | 22 | 41 | 87 |
Tanner Gordon | R | 26 | 7 | 10 | 5.14 | 24 | 23 | 117.3 | 137 | 67 | 19 | 32 | 77 |
Jeff Criswell | R | 25 | 5 | 8 | 5.22 | 25 | 23 | 112.0 | 118 | 65 | 17 | 49 | 93 |
Carson Palmquist | L | 23 | 5 | 7 | 5.01 | 20 | 20 | 93.3 | 93 | 52 | 14 | 38 | 90 |
Joe Rock | L | 23 | 5 | 7 | 5.14 | 22 | 22 | 98.0 | 105 | 56 | 14 | 40 | 77 |
Antonio Senzatela | R | 29 | 4 | 6 | 5.09 | 19 | 19 | 99.0 | 117 | 56 | 13 | 29 | 61 |
Gabriel Hughes | R | 22 | 6 | 8 | 4.99 | 18 | 18 | 83.0 | 89 | 46 | 12 | 30 | 65 |
Austin Gomber | L | 30 | 6 | 9 | 5.32 | 24 | 21 | 118.3 | 130 | 70 | 20 | 37 | 86 |
Ryan Feltner | R | 27 | 5 | 6 | 5.15 | 20 | 19 | 92.7 | 96 | 53 | 14 | 38 | 83 |
Nick Bush | L | 27 | 3 | 5 | 5.28 | 15 | 15 | 75.0 | 84 | 44 | 13 | 19 | 56 |
Chris McMahon | R | 25 | 3 | 4 | 5.31 | 17 | 16 | 78.0 | 92 | 46 | 12 | 24 | 51 |
Connor Seabold | R | 28 | 4 | 6 | 5.36 | 27 | 18 | 100.7 | 112 | 60 | 16 | 28 | 87 |
Connor Van Scoyoc | R | 24 | 4 | 8 | 5.56 | 20 | 19 | 102.0 | 116 | 63 | 16 | 42 | 68 |
Peter Lambert | R | 27 | 4 | 6 | 5.38 | 27 | 17 | 95.3 | 103 | 57 | 15 | 38 | 78 |
Justin Lawrence | R | 29 | 5 | 5 | 4.54 | 65 | 0 | 69.3 | 63 | 35 | 8 | 32 | 76 |
Jalen Beeks | L | 30 | 3 | 4 | 4.97 | 42 | 7 | 63.3 | 68 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 61 |
Jake Bird | R | 28 | 3 | 4 | 4.75 | 61 | 2 | 77.7 | 79 | 41 | 10 | 29 | 67 |
Ty Blach | L | 33 | 3 | 5 | 5.48 | 26 | 13 | 87.0 | 107 | 53 | 14 | 22 | 56 |
Mitchell Kilkenny | R | 27 | 4 | 6 | 5.47 | 18 | 15 | 72.3 | 87 | 44 | 11 | 22 | 40 |
Case Williams | R | 22 | 4 | 9 | 5.80 | 22 | 22 | 104.0 | 124 | 67 | 17 | 45 | 62 |
Ryan Rolison | L | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.62 | 13 | 13 | 57.7 | 67 | 36 | 10 | 23 | 42 |
Andrew Quezada | R | 27 | 4 | 7 | 5.75 | 21 | 17 | 87.7 | 107 | 56 | 14 | 34 | 49 |
Karl Kauffmann | R | 26 | 5 | 9 | 5.87 | 25 | 21 | 112.0 | 131 | 73 | 16 | 52 | 69 |
Josh Rogers | L | 29 | 5 | 9 | 5.80 | 25 | 13 | 94.7 | 114 | 61 | 18 | 32 | 48 |
Will Ethridge | R | 26 | 3 | 5 | 5.81 | 18 | 13 | 66.7 | 77 | 43 | 10 | 27 | 41 |
Lucas Gilbreath | L | 28 | 2 | 4 | 5.40 | 29 | 7 | 53.3 | 55 | 32 | 8 | 32 | 51 |
Noah Davis | R | 27 | 3 | 7 | 5.92 | 21 | 20 | 89.7 | 99 | 59 | 14 | 44 | 67 |
Tyler Kinley | R | 33 | 2 | 2 | 5.06 | 38 | 1 | 37.3 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 36 |
Blake Goldsberry | R | 27 | 2 | 2 | 5.17 | 31 | 2 | 38.3 | 41 | 22 | 6 | 15 | 31 |
Dylan Spain | R | 26 | 2 | 2 | 5.11 | 25 | 2 | 37.0 | 42 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 26 |
Victor Vodnik | R | 24 | 2 | 3 | 5.24 | 37 | 2 | 46.3 | 47 | 27 | 7 | 26 | 44 |
Gavin Hollowell | R | 26 | 1 | 2 | 5.02 | 43 | 0 | 52.0 | 51 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 53 |
Dugan Darnell | R | 27 | 3 | 5 | 5.07 | 39 | 0 | 49.7 | 51 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 46 |
Nick Mears | R | 27 | 2 | 3 | 5.03 | 39 | 0 | 39.3 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 24 | 44 |
Colten Schmidt | L | 28 | 1 | 2 | 5.93 | 12 | 5 | 30.3 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 16 |
Thomas Ponticelli | R | 27 | 3 | 5 | 5.68 | 36 | 6 | 63.3 | 72 | 40 | 10 | 29 | 43 |
Seth Halvorsen | R | 24 | 1 | 2 | 4.96 | 17 | 0 | 16.3 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
Austin Kitchen | L | 27 | 3 | 4 | 5.31 | 37 | 2 | 57.7 | 69 | 34 | 9 | 17 | 34 |
Chase Anderson | R | 36 | 2 | 5 | 6.21 | 18 | 14 | 66.7 | 76 | 46 | 13 | 31 | 51 |
Reagan Todd | L | 28 | 3 | 4 | 5.12 | 40 | 0 | 38.7 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 21 | 40 |
Matt Koch | R | 33 | 2 | 5 | 5.58 | 48 | 3 | 59.7 | 68 | 37 | 10 | 21 | 48 |
Chance Adams | R | 29 | 1 | 2 | 5.77 | 26 | 4 | 43.7 | 51 | 28 | 7 | 16 | 28 |
Mike Ruff | R | 26 | 3 | 5 | 6.25 | 22 | 15 | 72.0 | 83 | 50 | 12 | 37 | 46 |
Geoff Hartlieb | R | 30 | 3 | 4 | 5.52 | 34 | 1 | 44.0 | 48 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 35 |
Eli Lingos | L | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5.62 | 30 | 2 | 49.7 | 58 | 31 | 8 | 22 | 32 |
Kyle Johnston | R | 27 | 2 | 4 | 5.88 | 32 | 6 | 52.0 | 58 | 34 | 8 | 30 | 38 |
Stephen Jones | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.25 | 48 | 0 | 58.3 | 62 | 34 | 9 | 26 | 51 |
Daniel Bard | R | 39 | 3 | 4 | 5.44 | 46 | 0 | 44.7 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 28 | 46 |
Adam McKillican | R | 26 | 1 | 2 | 5.67 | 25 | 0 | 33.3 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 23 |
Ben Braymer | L | 30 | 3 | 5 | 6.39 | 16 | 14 | 62.0 | 76 | 44 | 11 | 34 | 35 |
PJ Poulin | L | 27 | 2 | 4 | 5.40 | 38 | 0 | 50.0 | 54 | 30 | 7 | 24 | 38 |
Phillips Valdez | R | 32 | 2 | 6 | 6.33 | 25 | 9 | 54.0 | 63 | 38 | 9 | 30 | 36 |
Alec Barger | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.66 | 36 | 1 | 47.7 | 52 | 30 | 8 | 26 | 41 |
Matt Carasiti | R | 32 | 1 | 3 | 5.86 | 36 | 1 | 43.0 | 49 | 28 | 7 | 20 | 36 |
Brendan Hardy | R | 24 | 1 | 2 | 5.79 | 24 | 0 | 28.0 | 26 | 18 | 4 | 22 | 31 |
Jacob Kostyshock | R | 26 | 0 | 1 | 6.14 | 22 | 0 | 22.0 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 16 |
Evan Justice | L | 25 | 2 | 5 | 5.79 | 45 | 0 | 42.0 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 29 | 48 |
Will Gaddis | R | 28 | 2 | 4 | 6.41 | 25 | 5 | 53.3 | 70 | 38 | 9 | 25 | 22 |
Michael Petersen | R | 30 | 1 | 3 | 6.27 | 38 | 0 | 37.3 | 40 | 26 | 7 | 24 | 33 |
Bryce McGowan | R | 24 | 1 | 2 | 6.21 | 39 | 0 | 42.0 | 45 | 29 | 7 | 30 | 36 |
Riley Pint | R | 26 | 2 | 4 | 5.90 | 43 | 0 | 50.3 | 46 | 33 | 8 | 39 | 57 |
Nick Kennedy | L | 28 | 1 | 2 | 6.17 | 37 | 0 | 42.3 | 49 | 29 | 7 | 24 | 27 |
Kyle Wilcox | R | 30 | 2 | 6 | 6.21 | 41 | 0 | 42.0 | 42 | 29 | 7 | 34 | 42 |
Nick Kuzia | R | 28 | 3 | 5 | 6.04 | 40 | 0 | 47.7 | 53 | 32 | 8 | 27 | 35 |
Shelby Lackey | R | 26 | 0 | 2 | 7.33 | 24 | 0 | 23.3 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 20 |
Player | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Germán Márquez | 136.3 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 7.8% | 19.9% | .293 | 100 | 4.33 | 100 | 1.6 |
Cal Quantrill | 127.7 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 7.5% | 14.8% | .294 | 96 | 5.06 | 104 | 1.3 |
Dakota Hudson | 123.7 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 8.8% | 13.8% | .285 | 93 | 4.95 | 107 | 1.2 |
Anthony Molina | 120.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 6.7% | 13.2% | .310 | 93 | 4.86 | 107 | 1.2 |
Kyle Freeland | 137.3 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 6.8% | 14.4% | .307 | 91 | 5.10 | 110 | 1.1 |
Tanner Gordon | 117.3 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 6.2% | 14.9% | .307 | 92 | 4.94 | 108 | 1.0 |
Jeff Criswell | 112.0 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 9.8% | 18.5% | .301 | 91 | 4.99 | 110 | 1.0 |
Carson Palmquist | 93.3 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 9.3% | 22.1% | .300 | 95 | 4.85 | 106 | 0.9 |
Joe Rock | 98.0 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 9.2% | 17.6% | .302 | 92 | 4.95 | 108 | 0.9 |
Antonio Senzatela | 99.0 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 6.6% | 14.0% | .313 | 93 | 4.76 | 107 | 0.9 |
Gabriel Hughes | 83.0 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 8.2% | 17.9% | .302 | 95 | 4.72 | 105 | 0.9 |
Austin Gomber | 118.3 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 7.2% | 16.7% | .297 | 89 | 5.01 | 112 | 0.9 |
Ryan Feltner | 92.7 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 9.3% | 20.3% | .304 | 92 | 4.76 | 108 | 0.9 |
Nick Bush | 75.0 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 5.9% | 17.3% | .303 | 90 | 4.82 | 111 | 0.6 |
Chris McMahon | 78.0 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 6.9% | 14.7% | .311 | 89 | 4.99 | 112 | 0.6 |
Connor Seabold | 100.7 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 6.3% | 19.7% | .316 | 88 | 4.70 | 113 | 0.6 |
Connor Van Scoyoc | 102.0 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 9.0% | 14.6% | .303 | 85 | 5.46 | 117 | 0.6 |
Peter Lambert | 95.3 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 9.0% | 18.4% | .304 | 88 | 5.05 | 113 | 0.6 |
Justin Lawrence | 69.3 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 10.6% | 25.1% | .301 | 104 | 4.25 | 96 | 0.5 |
Jalen Beeks | 63.3 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 8.8% | 21.6% | .317 | 95 | 4.71 | 105 | 0.5 |
Jake Bird | 77.7 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 8.6% | 19.8% | .301 | 100 | 4.59 | 100 | 0.4 |
Ty Blach | 87.0 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 5.7% | 14.5% | .320 | 87 | 4.92 | 116 | 0.4 |
Mitchell Kilkenny | 72.3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 6.8% | 12.4% | .308 | 87 | 5.20 | 115 | 0.4 |
Case Williams | 104.0 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 9.4% | 13.0% | .307 | 82 | 5.63 | 122 | 0.4 |
Ryan Rolison | 57.7 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 8.8% | 16.1% | .310 | 84 | 5.35 | 118 | 0.3 |
Andrew Quezada | 87.7 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 8.4% | 12.2% | .310 | 83 | 5.51 | 121 | 0.3 |
Karl Kauffmann | 112.0 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 10.1% | 13.4% | .308 | 81 | 5.46 | 124 | 0.3 |
Josh Rogers | 94.7 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 7.6% | 11.3% | .296 | 82 | 5.85 | 122 | 0.2 |
Will Ethridge | 66.7 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 8.9% | 13.5% | .303 | 82 | 5.46 | 122 | 0.2 |
Lucas Gilbreath | 53.3 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 13.0% | 20.7% | .309 | 88 | 5.26 | 114 | 0.2 |
Noah Davis | 89.7 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 10.8% | 16.4% | .304 | 80 | 5.70 | 125 | 0.2 |
Tyler Kinley | 37.3 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 9.1% | 22.0% | .298 | 94 | 4.70 | 107 | 0.1 |
Blake Goldsberry | 38.3 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 8.8% | 18.2% | .302 | 92 | 5.00 | 109 | 0.1 |
Dylan Spain | 37.0 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 6.7% | 16.0% | .305 | 93 | 5.09 | 108 | 0.1 |
Victor Vodnik | 46.3 | 8.5 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 12.2% | 20.7% | .303 | 90 | 5.13 | 111 | 0.1 |
Gavin Hollowell | 52.0 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 9.3% | 23.5% | .303 | 95 | 4.72 | 106 | 0.1 |
Dugan Darnell | 49.7 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 9.5% | 20.8% | .308 | 94 | 4.62 | 107 | 0.1 |
Nick Mears | 39.3 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 13.4% | 24.6% | .304 | 94 | 4.98 | 106 | 0.1 |
Colten Schmidt | 30.3 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 7.4% | 11.8% | .314 | 80 | 5.53 | 125 | 0.1 |
Thomas Ponticelli | 63.3 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 9.9% | 14.7% | .304 | 83 | 5.51 | 120 | 0.1 |
Seth Halvorsen | 16.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 7.0% | 14.1% | .296 | 96 | 4.54 | 104 | 0.0 |
Austin Kitchen | 57.7 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 6.6% | 13.3% | .309 | 89 | 5.20 | 112 | 0.0 |
Chase Anderson | 66.7 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 10.2% | 16.8% | .304 | 76 | 5.84 | 131 | 0.0 |
Reagan Todd | 38.7 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 12.0% | 22.9% | .305 | 93 | 5.07 | 108 | 0.0 |
Matt Koch | 59.7 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 7.9% | 18.0% | .314 | 85 | 5.08 | 118 | 0.0 |
Chance Adams | 43.7 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 8.2% | 14.4% | .308 | 82 | 5.36 | 122 | 0.0 |
Mike Ruff | 72.0 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 11.0% | 13.7% | .302 | 76 | 6.10 | 132 | -0.1 |
Geoff Hartlieb | 44.0 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 9.9% | 17.3% | .304 | 86 | 5.30 | 116 | -0.1 |
Eli Lingos | 49.7 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 9.7% | 14.1% | .307 | 84 | 5.45 | 118 | -0.1 |
Kyle Johnston | 52.0 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 12.2% | 15.5% | .305 | 81 | 5.81 | 124 | -0.1 |
Stephen Jones | 58.3 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 9.9% | 19.5% | .306 | 90 | 5.11 | 111 | -0.1 |
Daniel Bard | 44.7 | 9.3 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 13.7% | 22.5% | .298 | 87 | 5.45 | 115 | -0.1 |
Adam McKillican | 33.3 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 9.3% | 15.2% | .302 | 84 | 5.36 | 119 | -0.1 |
Ben Braymer | 62.0 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 11.6% | 11.9% | .308 | 74 | 6.22 | 135 | -0.1 |
PJ Poulin | 50.0 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 10.7% | 16.9% | .303 | 88 | 5.18 | 114 | -0.1 |
Phillips Valdez | 54.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 11.8% | 14.2% | .307 | 75 | 6.20 | 133 | -0.2 |
Alec Barger | 47.7 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 11.8% | 18.6% | .308 | 84 | 5.54 | 119 | -0.2 |
Matt Carasiti | 43.0 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 10.0% | 18.0% | .318 | 81 | 5.30 | 123 | -0.2 |
Brendan Hardy | 28.0 | 10.0 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 16.2% | 22.8% | .301 | 82 | 5.68 | 122 | -0.2 |
Jacob Kostyshock | 22.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 10.9% | 15.8% | .304 | 77 | 6.35 | 129 | -0.2 |
Evan Justice | 42.0 | 10.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 14.6% | 24.2% | .306 | 82 | 5.71 | 122 | -0.3 |
Will Gaddis | 53.3 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 9.9% | 8.7% | .314 | 74 | 6.09 | 135 | -0.3 |
Michael Petersen | 37.3 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 13.6% | 18.8% | .303 | 76 | 6.17 | 132 | -0.4 |
Bryce McGowan | 42.0 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 14.7% | 17.6% | .304 | 76 | 6.06 | 131 | -0.4 |
Riley Pint | 50.3 | 10.2 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 16.0% | 23.4% | .295 | 80 | 5.86 | 124 | -0.4 |
Nick Kennedy | 42.3 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 12.0% | 13.5% | .302 | 77 | 6.11 | 130 | -0.4 |
Kyle Wilcox | 42.0 | 9.0 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 16.3% | 20.2% | .302 | 76 | 5.99 | 131 | -0.4 |
Nick Kuzia | 47.7 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 12.1% | 15.6% | .302 | 79 | 6.05 | 127 | -0.4 |
Shelby Lackey | 23.3 | 7.7 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 18.5% | 16.8% | .294 | 65 | 7.24 | 154 | -0.5 |
Player | BA vs. L | OBP vs. L | SLG vs. L | BA vs. R | OBP vs. R | SLG vs. R | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Germán Márquez | .270 | .338 | .431 | .235 | .287 | .404 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 4.23 | 5.44 |
Cal Quantrill | .265 | .336 | .451 | .281 | .335 | .454 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 4.52 | 5.60 |
Dakota Hudson | .272 | .352 | .443 | .255 | .319 | .400 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 4.10 | 4.98 |
Anthony Molina | .298 | .352 | .483 | .281 | .324 | .449 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 4.60 | 5.68 |
Kyle Freeland | .280 | .329 | .455 | .288 | .342 | .481 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 4.71 | 5.99 |
Tanner Gordon | .277 | .329 | .459 | .292 | .333 | .488 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 4.59 | 5.63 |
Jeff Criswell | .262 | .345 | .437 | .267 | .336 | .458 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4.74 | 5.95 |
Carson Palmquist | .248 | .336 | .385 | .256 | .340 | .450 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4.42 | 5.78 |
Joe Rock | .261 | .338 | .417 | .271 | .344 | .451 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 4.64 | 5.71 |
Antonio Senzatela | .286 | .347 | .457 | .290 | .335 | .459 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 4.61 | 5.67 |
Gabriel Hughes | .282 | .343 | .468 | .256 | .318 | .420 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 4.44 | 5.64 |
Austin Gomber | .250 | .299 | .397 | .282 | .338 | .497 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 4.70 | 6.02 |
Ryan Feltner | .259 | .337 | .440 | .264 | .330 | .443 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 4.58 | 5.77 |
Nick Bush | .278 | .327 | .467 | .277 | .317 | .479 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 4.71 | 6.02 |
Chris McMahon | .307 | .367 | .484 | .269 | .315 | .461 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.81 | 5.94 |
Connor Seabold | .272 | .343 | .461 | .278 | .325 | .458 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 4.69 | 6.02 |
Connor Van Scoyoc | .278 | .366 | .460 | .282 | .350 | .475 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 5.18 | 6.07 |
Peter Lambert | .272 | .356 | .478 | .267 | .330 | .431 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 4.82 | 5.92 |
Justin Lawrence | .246 | .347 | .413 | .227 | .317 | .355 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 3.81 | 5.50 |
Jalen Beeks | .257 | .325 | .446 | .272 | .343 | .450 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 4.12 | 5.97 |
Jake Bird | .264 | .348 | .451 | .253 | .322 | .395 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 4.18 | 5.53 |
Ty Blach | .274 | .320 | .416 | .306 | .348 | .516 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 4.93 | 6.16 |
Mitchell Kilkenny | .276 | .333 | .448 | .307 | .357 | .503 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 5.05 | 6.03 |
Case Williams | .286 | .365 | .500 | .293 | .358 | .472 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 5.34 | 6.34 |
Ryan Rolison | .286 | .354 | .471 | .283 | .348 | .482 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 5.11 | 6.34 |
Andrew Quezada | .307 | .380 | .524 | .284 | .341 | .452 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 5.24 | 6.35 |
Karl Kauffmann | .308 | .397 | .524 | .268 | .337 | .416 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 5.47 | 6.44 |
Josh Rogers | .250 | .297 | .406 | .313 | .375 | .550 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 5.36 | 6.48 |
Will Ethridge | .295 | .378 | .488 | .273 | .340 | .448 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 5.37 | 6.40 |
Lucas Gilbreath | .240 | .348 | .440 | .272 | .371 | .434 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 4.74 | 6.17 |
Noah Davis | .285 | .392 | .517 | .265 | .350 | .407 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 5.39 | 6.69 |
Tyler Kinley | .232 | .312 | .449 | .273 | .337 | .442 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 4.19 | 6.23 |
Blake Goldsberry | .257 | .333 | .429 | .277 | .344 | .470 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 4.52 | 6.10 |
Dylan Spain | .265 | .324 | .485 | .293 | .352 | .463 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 4.61 | 5.83 |
Victor Vodnik | .259 | .370 | .435 | .255 | .339 | .439 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 4.61 | 6.00 |
Gavin Hollowell | .263 | .358 | .463 | .241 | .314 | .398 | 0.5 | -0.4 | 4.14 | 5.97 |
Dugan Darnell | .253 | .333 | .451 | .267 | .339 | .419 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 4.40 | 6.05 |
Nick Mears | .257 | .373 | .457 | .232 | .333 | .402 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 4.34 | 6.06 |
Colten Schmidt | .275 | .341 | .400 | .314 | .368 | .547 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 5.32 | 6.80 |
Thomas Ponticelli | .281 | .362 | .446 | .279 | .357 | .493 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 5.19 | 6.43 |
Seth Halvorsen | .281 | .343 | .438 | .265 | .297 | .412 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 4.17 | 5.86 |
Austin Kitchen | .250 | .315 | .375 | .312 | .363 | .522 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 4.80 | 5.93 |
Chase Anderson | .250 | .343 | .435 | .306 | .376 | .551 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 5.56 | 7.15 |
Reagan Todd | .260 | .351 | .360 | .248 | .353 | .475 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 4.29 | 6.06 |
Matt Koch | .268 | .346 | .455 | .290 | .343 | .481 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 4.76 | 6.38 |
Chance Adams | .286 | .362 | .476 | .287 | .346 | .479 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 5.11 | 6.54 |
Mike Ruff | .282 | .387 | .504 | .284 | .374 | .463 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 5.73 | 6.95 |
Geoff Hartlieb | .282 | .358 | .494 | .261 | .349 | .424 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 4.86 | 6.57 |
Eli Lingos | .284 | .355 | .418 | .287 | .355 | .500 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 5.06 | 6.40 |
Kyle Johnston | .268 | .379 | .423 | .283 | .374 | .487 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 5.31 | 6.69 |
Stephen Jones | .269 | .358 | .481 | .264 | .342 | .419 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 4.65 | 6.05 |
Daniel Bard | .253 | .373 | .462 | .241 | .357 | .398 | 0.3 | -0.7 | 4.48 | 7.18 |
Adam McKillican | .290 | .380 | .484 | .264 | .333 | .444 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 5.08 | 6.46 |
Ben Braymer | .280 | .362 | .463 | .303 | .391 | .520 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 5.91 | 7.16 |
PJ Poulin | .254 | .338 | .388 | .278 | .362 | .466 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 4.68 | 6.10 |
Phillips Valdez | .296 | .402 | .510 | .276 | .375 | .447 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 5.70 | 7.17 |
Alec Barger | .286 | .371 | .484 | .257 | .356 | .446 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 5.09 | 6.42 |
Matt Carasiti | .304 | .396 | .506 | .260 | .333 | .438 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 5.10 | 6.94 |
Brendan Hardy | .264 | .400 | .472 | .218 | .371 | .364 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 5.09 | 6.71 |
Jacob Kostyshock | .273 | .385 | .500 | .289 | .389 | .489 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 5.57 | 6.87 |
Evan Justice | .216 | .355 | .314 | .259 | .391 | .491 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 4.96 | 6.73 |
Will Gaddis | .320 | .398 | .515 | .303 | .363 | .516 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 5.90 | 7.13 |
Michael Petersen | .257 | .373 | .429 | .278 | .389 | .519 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 5.39 | 7.49 |
Bryce McGowan | .266 | .402 | .456 | .270 | .371 | .461 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 5.46 | 7.09 |
Riley Pint | .239 | .369 | .446 | .235 | .397 | .402 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 5.10 | 7.09 |
Nick Kennedy | .254 | .362 | .407 | .298 | .391 | .509 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 5.59 | 7.04 |
Kyle Wilcox | .266 | .408 | .468 | .244 | .365 | .430 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 5.16 | 7.66 |
Nick Kuzia | .314 | .412 | .581 | .245 | .352 | .377 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 5.38 | 6.90 |
Shelby Lackey | .273 | .429 | .455 | .250 | .422 | .479 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 6.49 | 8.79 |
Here are how the ZiPS percentiles worked out in 2023 for pitchers and hitters in in 2023. Percentiles are based on the projected PA or TBF.
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Still salty that the Guardians traded Nolan Jones instead of seeing what they had. Will Benson to a lesser extent. Neither of them got much run with the team that spent early-round draft capital on them. Yeah, they have downsides, but at least they have upside. Unlike, say Myles Straw or Will Brennan.
I think the Guardians have a super-smart front office in every way except when it comes to the outfield. I have no idea how a team can somehow run the league’s best scouting and development operation with pitching, do a good job of finding infielders (at least partly due to their prowess in Latin America but not entirely because of it) and repeatedly face-plant in the outfield.
First, there are the guys they traded away–Nolan Jones and Will Benson. I thought they made the wrong move on trading away Jones and that losing Benson was NBD but they definitely should have hung on to both. Beyond that, there are 19 players who have suited up for the Guardians in the outfield for more than 200 PAs since 2017. Of them, the only guy who they appear to have made the right call on is Steven Kwan.
-They let Brantley go without even a QO
-They traded some good players for Myles Straw and signed him to an extension that now looks bad
-They somehow made the worst possible set of decisions when they signed Eddie Rosario and traded him
-They kept the now-DFA’d Oscar Gonzalez, who was clearly an inferior player to Jones and probably a bunch of other guys
Nobody gets this unlucky, but I have no idea how anyone could also be this wrong so many times only in the outfield. They had this weird thing for a while where they rigged together an excellent excellent right-handed platoon bat (Brandon Guyer, Jordan Luplow) with a bunch of left-handed castoffs and somehow made it work and it must have lulled them into a false sense of security.
It’s not just the outfield (Catcher was the same way for everyone post-and-adjacent-Gomes until we got Bo Naylor, Gio Urshela came into his own elsewhere, and 1B has been hit-and-miss for a while), but I agree; whatever scouting magic they have has no idea what they’re doing with the OF. Part of it is definitely because they prioritized contact and strikeout rate over contact quality the last couple years, but there’s a lot more to it than that. I think more of it is also that they value defense over offense in the outfield, with the idea that they can do what they did with Ramirez, Lindor, Arias, Kipnis, and a fair number of other contact-first defensive infielders with projectible body types, who developed some power as they matured, but that doesn’t often work for the outfield. Especially for speedy glove-first guys like Straw or Brennan, who don’t actually have the body type guys like Kipnis or Ramirez have. Hell, neither is on par with Lindor or Arias in terms of general body type, and while those guys are athletic, neither screams “muscle power”.
I called the Straw extension a mistake at the time. They basically extended him off of a couple of good months. But his history showed that he likely wouldn’t keep it up. Sad to say I was right about that.
And they backed themselves into a corner with Gonzalez. They decided to give him a chance over Jones (and to a lesser extent Benson). He got hot and then was a playoff hero so they were basically stuck with him.
The other factor is George Valera. I think they expected him to be ready last year which made them feel they could trade Jones. Instead, Valera had a disaster of a season, forcing them to overplay Brennan (who they saw as 4th outfielder).
Going forward, they have to hope that Valera rebounds and that DeLauter keeps hitting as he moves up.
All seems pretty accurate to me. Straw’s extension was small enough that you could fool yourself into thinking “if his bat regresses, he’s got enough defense and speed to make it okay”, but clearly not.
And RE: Gonzalez, I think they did the same with Brennan. He played brilliantly in the minors in ’22, then went supernova for the 11 games he played in MLB that season. They decided to bet that he could keep it up (or at least approximate it) in a less offense-friendly environment, and that wasn’t going to happen. While he underperformed his xwOBA last season, even if he’d matched the projection, he was still a 4th outfielder or an okay CF at best. I’d be okay with keeping him as a 4th OF because he can defend all 3 spots and hits better than Straw, but expecting more than that was always a fool’s errand.
It’s not just the outfield. This team has traded away Yandy Diaz, Junior Caminero, Yainer Diaz, Nolan Jones and Will Benson. It’s possible that Kwan and Bo Naylor could end up better than at least some of those guys, but otherwise those are the 5 best position player prospects the team’s developed in the past 10 years. It would be one thing if they’d swapped those guys for some short-term injections of veteran goodness, but they were all trades for other prospects who ended up being nothing/much worse, with the potential future exception of Brito (no one is trading Nolan Jones for Brito after 2023 though obviously)
Everything you need to know about the Rockies is that the debate in their ZIPS thread is about the Guardians.