2024 ZiPS Projections: Chicago Cubs
For the 20th consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Chicago Cubs.
Batters
Are the Cubs back to their mid-2010s form? That’s a bit of a stretch, but these Cubs showed they have a live pulse, not falling out of playoff contention until the final week of the 2023 season. Cody Bellinger, one of the reasons the offense was so potent (third in the National League in runs scored), turned out to be one of the best pillow-contract signings of all time. Perhaps a little too good, as it was enough for Bellinger to decline his side of a $25 million mutual option for 2024. The Cubs could still sign Bellinger, but even if they do, it’s not a great bet they’ll get the same production as last year. ZiPS is a bit more optimistic than Steamer, but it still projects a returning Bellinger to “give back” some of his contact and a significant chunk of his power.
Still, losing that offense hurts. The Cubs haven’t directly replaced it, but they’ve at least avoided any gaping holes. If the season started today, you’d probably see a lot of Pete Crow-Armstrong in center, and while ZiPS doesn’t project him to match Bellinger’s output, it’s a respectable projection that cushions the blow of a Bellinger loss. Dansby Swanson and Nico Hoerner combine to form one of the best middle infields in baseball — and a surprisingly underrated one. ZiPS is also surprisingly bullish on third base, regardless of whatever combination of Nick Madrigal, Patrick Wisdom, and Michael Busch end up playing there.
First base was a tricky spot, and I’ve gotten the distinct impression that the Cubs aren’t particularly wedded to the idea of just sticking Matt Mervis there for 140 games. I expect he’ll get his chances, but in a more complementary role that shields him from lefties as much as possible. The late trade for Busch lends credence to the notion that they didn’t feel Mervilous (sorry) about their situation at the cold corner, as do the rumors of them exploring first base options like Rhys Hoskins.
ZiPS doesn’t see any offensive prospects roaring to make a big impact this year. The computer likes Kevin Alcántara over the long haul, projecting a 25-WAR career, but it doesn’t see him breaking through and earning much of that in 2024. ZiPS is less into James Triantos, but he’s also young and the long-term error bars in the projections are massive.
Pitchers
This section looks a lot sunnier than it did last week! Shōta Imanaga is my favorite signing of this offseason and I think it’s probably the computer’s favorite as well (ZiPS utilizes DeltaGraphs stats for NPB players). I suspect some teams are going to kick themselves that the Cubs got Imanaga this cheaply — and if my suspicion is wrong, I’m sure someone will remind me in a year or two! ZiPS is projecting a skosh of regression from Justin Steele, but some of that is simply the realities of projecting pitchers; both Imanaga and Steele fall just out of the top 10 in NL starter projections, but with inning counts that are a little behind the league’s elite.
Jameson Taillon and Kyle Hendricks both project as useful, but they’re hardly forecast as significant pluses. I feel like the Cubs must still be planning on an addition to the rotation. I’m not sure that means Jordan Montgomery, who I expect is going to get a pretty healthy contract, but unlike with the position players, there are still some interesting pitchers out there.
The bullpen projects as very middle-of-the-road in 2024. Steamer’s more positive, with the bigger differences being that ZiPS is giving a little more side-eye to Mark Leiter Jr. and Luke Little. Adbert Alzolay’s projection breaks down as a 3.00 ERA as a reliever and a 4.43 ERA as a starter.
I’m considering adding another table next offseason for the pitchers who ZiPS projects with time as both a starter and a reliever. Along these lines, one guy where you might want to look past the projection is Ben Brown. ZiPS thinks that Brown would be a dynamite late reliever, projecting a 3.20 ERA if he were used that way. He’s probably the eighth or ninth starter in the rotation right now, and a more focused relief role might help him shore up his command.
There’s still a lot of winter to go, but ZiPS sees the Cubs as most likely finishing in the 83-88 win range or thereabouts. Chicago is the last NL Central team to go and, probably to nobody’s surprise, ZiPS doesn’t see a big dog in the division. As of right now, it sees the Cardinals as a very slight favorite, the Brewers and Cubs close behind, the Reds a few games back of that, and the Pirates in the mid-to-high-70s in wins, though not so far behind that it would be the craziest thing in the world for them to contend in the division.
Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.
Player | B | Age | PO | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dansby Swanson | R | 30 | SS | 633 | 566 | 85 | 144 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 77 | 58 | 153 | 9 | 3 |
Nico Hoerner | R | 27 | 2B | 607 | 551 | 77 | 152 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 40 | 73 | 29 | 5 |
Cody Bellinger | L | 28 | CF | 544 | 487 | 80 | 130 | 24 | 2 | 19 | 73 | 44 | 92 | 14 | 4 |
Ian Happ | B | 29 | LF | 620 | 538 | 76 | 135 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 79 | 73 | 146 | 10 | 3 |
Michael Busch | L | 26 | 3B | 564 | 495 | 81 | 123 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 75 | 55 | 148 | 3 | 1 |
Seiya Suzuki | R | 29 | RF | 562 | 492 | 74 | 134 | 27 | 4 | 22 | 72 | 61 | 125 | 6 | 6 |
Christopher Morel | R | 25 | CF | 546 | 492 | 77 | 119 | 22 | 5 | 26 | 82 | 45 | 168 | 10 | 4 |
Nick Madrigal | R | 27 | 3B | 351 | 321 | 43 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 31 | 8 | 2 |
Mike Tauchman | L | 33 | CF | 427 | 366 | 63 | 86 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 54 | 100 | 8 | 1 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong | L | 22 | CF | 531 | 483 | 83 | 116 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 34 | 151 | 23 | 9 |
Miles Mastrobuoni | L | 28 | 3B | 429 | 383 | 55 | 98 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 43 | 95 | 15 | 3 |
Matt Mervis | L | 26 | 1B | 540 | 483 | 69 | 121 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 76 | 45 | 135 | 1 | 1 |
Chase Strumpf | R | 26 | 3B | 432 | 373 | 51 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 160 | 2 | 1 |
Patrick Wisdom | R | 32 | 3B | 391 | 345 | 52 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 23 | 60 | 39 | 143 | 5 | 2 |
Yan Gomes | R | 36 | C | 347 | 320 | 36 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 17 | 70 | 1 | 1 |
Yonathan Perlaza | B | 25 | LF | 520 | 468 | 65 | 112 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 47 | 135 | 7 | 4 |
Luis Vazquez | R | 24 | SS | 493 | 448 | 51 | 104 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 54 | 31 | 128 | 6 | 6 |
David Bote | R | 31 | SS | 374 | 332 | 39 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 31 | 100 | 3 | 1 |
Kevin Alcantara | R | 21 | CF | 472 | 435 | 62 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 29 | 143 | 8 | 3 |
Joe Hudson | R | 33 | C | 244 | 213 | 24 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 83 | 1 | 1 |
Jake Slaughter | R | 27 | 3B | 433 | 391 | 48 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 57 | 28 | 132 | 11 | 5 |
Miguel Amaya | R | 25 | C | 260 | 223 | 26 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 71 | 1 | 1 |
Alexander Canario | R | 24 | RF | 416 | 382 | 48 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 29 | 140 | 6 | 2 |
BJ Murray Jr. | B | 24 | 3B | 507 | 449 | 54 | 100 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 54 | 52 | 138 | 7 | 2 |
Hayden Cantrelle | B | 25 | 2B | 366 | 307 | 43 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 47 | 104 | 9 | 3 |
Jorge Alfaro | R | 31 | C | 317 | 297 | 26 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 12 | 95 | 4 | 1 |
Matt Shaw | R | 22 | SS | 179 | 169 | 21 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 32 | 8 | 2 |
Moises Ballesteros | L | 20 | C | 476 | 432 | 51 | 106 | 22 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 39 | 98 | 2 | 1 |
Eric Hosmer | L | 34 | 1B | 402 | 369 | 37 | 98 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 29 | 75 | 2 | 1 |
Brennen Davis | R | 24 | RF | 372 | 334 | 40 | 72 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 25 | 112 | 6 | 3 |
Caleb Knight | R | 28 | C | 104 | 89 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
Brian Serven | R | 29 | C | 257 | 237 | 22 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 13 | 78 | 0 | 1 |
Ezequiel Pagan | L | 23 | RF | 437 | 400 | 49 | 99 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 46 | 24 | 82 | 6 | 5 |
Joshua Rivera | R | 23 | SS | 116 | 108 | 13 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 40 | 1 | 1 |
Edwin Ríos | L | 30 | 3B | 258 | 230 | 29 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 21 | 94 | 0 | 1 |
Darius Hill | L | 26 | RF | 430 | 399 | 49 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 74 | 3 | 2 |
Tyler Payne | R | 31 | C | 203 | 190 | 17 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 54 | 0 | 1 |
Bryce Windham | L | 27 | C | 251 | 223 | 26 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 22 | 49 | 2 | 1 |
Bradlee Beesley | R | 26 | CF | 311 | 281 | 36 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 103 | 13 | 2 |
Jake Washer | R | 28 | C | 183 | 175 | 17 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | 65 | 1 | 1 |
D.J. Artis | L | 27 | LF | 201 | 176 | 27 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 63 | 8 | 2 |
Owen Caissie | L | 21 | RF | 529 | 471 | 59 | 101 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 64 | 50 | 186 | 5 | 6 |
Felix Stevens | R | 24 | 1B | 430 | 397 | 47 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 60 | 27 | 174 | 3 | 2 |
Liam Spence | R | 26 | 2B | 149 | 132 | 15 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 1 | 1 |
Haydn McGeary | R | 24 | 1B | 519 | 457 | 48 | 104 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 51 | 141 | 3 | 2 |
Fabian Pertuz | R | 23 | 3B | 362 | 339 | 36 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 106 | 8 | 3 |
Zach Davis | B | 30 | CF | 186 | 167 | 23 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 2 |
Luis Verdugo | R | 23 | 3B | 344 | 319 | 31 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 86 | 2 | 1 |
James Triantos | R | 21 | 2B | 431 | 398 | 50 | 99 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 25 | 69 | 9 | 3 |
Pablo Aliendo | R | 23 | C | 377 | 340 | 38 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 44 | 25 | 123 | 2 | 1 |
Christian Franklin | R | 24 | CF | 370 | 321 | 49 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 116 | 7 | 5 |
Nelson Maldonado | R | 27 | 1B | 355 | 324 | 35 | 76 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 82 | 1 | 1 |
Casey Opitz | B | 25 | C | 246 | 219 | 21 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 23 | 92 | 1 | 1 |
Scott McKeon | R | 26 | 2B | 242 | 221 | 27 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 102 | 7 | 1 |
Cole Roederer | L | 24 | LF | 353 | 318 | 32 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 113 | 5 | 2 |
Jordan Nwogu | R | 25 | LF | 380 | 347 | 39 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 23 | 148 | 9 | 4 |
Player | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS+ | ISO | BABIP | Def | WAR | wOBA | RC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dansby Swanson | 633 | .254 | .327 | .428 | 104 | .173 | .312 | 11 | 4.1 | .327 | 82 |
Nico Hoerner | 607 | .276 | .335 | .392 | 98 | .116 | .302 | 15 | 3.9 | .318 | 80 |
Cody Bellinger | 544 | .267 | .327 | .441 | 108 | .175 | .295 | 3 | 2.7 | .328 | 75 |
Ian Happ | 620 | .251 | .344 | .439 | 112 | .188 | .307 | 4 | 2.6 | .338 | 84 |
Michael Busch | 564 | .248 | .333 | .446 | 111 | .198 | .311 | -2 | 2.5 | .337 | 75 |
Seiya Suzuki | 562 | .272 | .352 | .478 | 124 | .205 | .325 | -1 | 2.4 | .354 | 87 |
Christopher Morel | 546 | .242 | .309 | .465 | 108 | .224 | .312 | -4 | 2.0 | .331 | 74 |
Nick Madrigal | 351 | .280 | .333 | .368 | 92 | .087 | .306 | 8 | 1.8 | .310 | 42 |
Mike Tauchman | 427 | .235 | .337 | .358 | 91 | .123 | .302 | 5 | 1.8 | .310 | 46 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 531 | .240 | .301 | .393 | 88 | .153 | .321 | 6 | 1.7 | .302 | 66 |
Miles Mastrobuoni | 429 | .256 | .330 | .360 | 89 | .104 | .329 | 2 | 1.4 | .307 | 50 |
Matt Mervis | 540 | .251 | .322 | .439 | 106 | .188 | .306 | 2 | 1.3 | .327 | 69 |
Chase Strumpf | 432 | .201 | .306 | .357 | 81 | .155 | .310 | 7 | 1.3 | .295 | 41 |
Patrick Wisdom | 391 | .212 | .300 | .455 | 103 | .243 | .279 | -3 | 1.1 | .323 | 49 |
Yan Gomes | 347 | .250 | .297 | .388 | 85 | .138 | .295 | 0 | 0.8 | .296 | 37 |
Yonathan Perlaza | 520 | .239 | .312 | .404 | 94 | .165 | .305 | 3 | 0.8 | .311 | 62 |
Luis Vazquez | 493 | .232 | .292 | .344 | 73 | .112 | .303 | 5 | 0.8 | .280 | 49 |
David Bote | 374 | .223 | .300 | .361 | 80 | .139 | .291 | 0 | 0.7 | .292 | 37 |
Kevin Alcantara | 472 | .232 | .284 | .370 | 77 | .138 | .318 | 4 | 0.7 | .284 | 49 |
Joe Hudson | 244 | .202 | .295 | .333 | 72 | .131 | .293 | 3 | 0.6 | .281 | 22 |
Jake Slaughter | 433 | .223 | .291 | .358 | 76 | .136 | .304 | 3 | 0.6 | .286 | 45 |
Miguel Amaya | 260 | .220 | .320 | .363 | 87 | .143 | .290 | -3 | 0.5 | .305 | 27 |
Alexander Canario | 416 | .220 | .279 | .408 | 85 | .188 | .298 | 5 | 0.5 | .296 | 46 |
BJ Murray Jr. | 507 | .223 | .310 | .345 | 79 | .122 | .301 | -2 | 0.5 | .292 | 50 |
Hayden Cantrelle | 366 | .186 | .310 | .277 | 63 | .091 | .266 | 2 | 0.1 | .273 | 29 |
Jorge Alfaro | 317 | .236 | .278 | .360 | 73 | .125 | .323 | -3 | 0.1 | .278 | 31 |
Matt Shaw | 179 | .266 | .302 | .438 | 99 | .172 | .298 | -7 | 0.1 | .315 | 25 |
Moises Ballesteros | 476 | .245 | .307 | .387 | 88 | .141 | .290 | -14 | 0.0 | .302 | 52 |
Eric Hosmer | 402 | .266 | .321 | .388 | 93 | .122 | .312 | -2 | 0.0 | .308 | 47 |
Brennen Davis | 372 | .216 | .293 | .341 | 73 | .126 | .299 | 5 | 0.0 | .283 | 36 |
Caleb Knight | 104 | .213 | .327 | .281 | 69 | .067 | .277 | -1 | 0.0 | .285 | 9 |
Brian Serven | 257 | .198 | .250 | .316 | 54 | .118 | .268 | 3 | -0.1 | .249 | 19 |
Ezequiel Pagan | 437 | .248 | .303 | .343 | 76 | .095 | .298 | 4 | -0.1 | .285 | 45 |
Joshua Rivera | 116 | .204 | .250 | .315 | 53 | .111 | .303 | 1 | -0.2 | .247 | 9 |
Edwin Ríos | 258 | .204 | .283 | .370 | 77 | .165 | .299 | -3 | -0.2 | .286 | 24 |
Darius Hill | 430 | .261 | .307 | .348 | 79 | .088 | .312 | 1 | -0.2 | .288 | 44 |
Tyler Payne | 203 | .232 | .272 | .326 | 63 | .095 | .313 | -2 | -0.3 | .263 | 17 |
Bryce Windham | 251 | .233 | .302 | .305 | 67 | .072 | .291 | -5 | -0.4 | .273 | 21 |
Bradlee Beesley | 311 | .206 | .283 | .338 | 69 | .132 | .302 | -6 | -0.4 | .276 | 30 |
Jake Washer | 183 | .200 | .235 | .326 | 51 | .126 | .286 | -2 | -0.5 | .244 | 14 |
D.J. Artis | 201 | .199 | .294 | .290 | 61 | .091 | .291 | -2 | -0.6 | .267 | 17 |
Owen Caissie | 529 | .214 | .295 | .352 | 77 | .138 | .321 | -1 | -0.6 | .287 | 53 |
Felix Stevens | 430 | .207 | .265 | .395 | 78 | .189 | .312 | 0 | -0.6 | .285 | 43 |
Liam Spence | 149 | .182 | .264 | .235 | 38 | .053 | .274 | -1 | -0.7 | .231 | 9 |
Haydn McGeary | 519 | .228 | .314 | .352 | 82 | .125 | .303 | -4 | -0.7 | .296 | 52 |
Fabian Pertuz | 362 | .201 | .246 | .292 | 47 | .091 | .276 | 5 | -0.7 | .238 | 27 |
Zach Davis | 186 | .198 | .270 | .222 | 37 | .024 | .306 | -1 | -0.7 | .230 | 13 |
Luis Verdugo | 344 | .213 | .262 | .304 | 55 | .091 | .279 | 1 | -0.7 | .251 | 26 |
James Triantos | 431 | .249 | .299 | .332 | 73 | .083 | .292 | -9 | -0.7 | .279 | 43 |
Pablo Aliendo | 377 | .206 | .275 | .329 | 65 | .124 | .297 | -9 | -0.8 | .269 | 32 |
Christian Franklin | 370 | .206 | .304 | .327 | 73 | .121 | .294 | -9 | -0.8 | .285 | 35 |
Nelson Maldonado | 355 | .235 | .294 | .352 | 76 | .117 | .297 | -2 | -0.8 | .284 | 34 |
Casey Opitz | 246 | .183 | .265 | .251 | 43 | .068 | .298 | -4 | -0.9 | .238 | 15 |
Scott McKeon | 242 | .176 | .231 | .262 | 35 | .086 | .316 | -1 | -1.1 | .221 | 15 |
Cole Roederer | 353 | .208 | .275 | .314 | 61 | .107 | .298 | -1 | -1.1 | .262 | 29 |
Jordan Nwogu | 380 | .193 | .256 | .317 | 56 | .124 | .302 | 1 | -1.3 | .254 | 32 |
Player | Hit Comp 1 | Hit Comp 2 | Hit Comp 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Dansby Swanson | Joe Cronin | Marcus Semien | Bill Rigney |
Nico Hoerner | Joey Cora | Wallace Johnson | Dave Cash |
Cody Bellinger | Bill Sample | Terry Puhl | Terry Moore |
Ian Happ | Sandy Amoros | Lee Mazzilli | Ben Zobrist |
Michael Busch | Jack Howell | Jeff Blauser | Doug DeCinces |
Seiya Suzuki | Chris Taylor | Mitch Haniger | Al Smith |
Christopher Morel | Jim Beauchamp | Wally Post | Michael Saunders |
Nick Madrigal | Keith Drumright | David Fletcher | Joey Cora |
Mike Tauchman | F.P. Santangelo | Kosuke Fukudome | Dave Stegman |
Pete Crow-Armstrong | Sonny Johnson | Junior Felix 펠릭스 | Barry Shetrone |
Miles Mastrobuoni | J.P. Schmidt | Everth Cabrera | Mike Bucci |
Matt Mervis | John Poff | Chris Parmelee | Jerry Tabb |
Chase Strumpf | Steve Curry | Ronald Evans | Joe Biasucci |
Patrick Wisdom | Orlando McFarlane | Mike Hessman | Brooks Conrad |
Yan Gomes | Bo Diaz | Chris Coste | Brook Fordyce |
Yonathan Perlaza | Travis Snider | Norm Miller | Dave Edwards |
Luis Vazquez | Fausto Cruz | Frank Duffy | Eddie Pye |
David Bote | Jason Maxwell | Mike Moriarty | Gaylen Pitts |
Kevin Alcantara | Derek Reid | Lee Howell | Rob Lukachyk |
Joe Hudson | Joe Lonnett | Jarrod Saltalamacchia | Wes Westrum |
Jake Slaughter | Duncan Campbell | Tyler Greene | Jim Haley |
Miguel Amaya | David Rolls | Tyler Sanchez | Logan Porter |
Alexander Canario | J.J. Davis | Jayson Drobiak | Mike Easler |
BJ Murray Jr. | Scott Stahoviak | Scott Ullger | Paul Hundhammer |
Hayden Cantrelle | Rusty Harris | Andy Kanoza | Rosben Majam |
Jorge Alfaro | Dave Cochrane | Damian Miller | José Molina |
Matt Shaw | Kevin Jordan | Bobby Valentine | Howie Kendrick |
Moises Ballesteros | Randy Bobb | Brad Gulden | Robert Glass |
Eric Hosmer | Sean Casey | Tommie Aaron | Tony Gonzalez |
Brennen Davis | Randy Kapano | Cleo Kilpatrick | Francisco Sosa |
Caleb Knight | Mark Strittmatter | Adam Weisenburger | Francisco Diaz |
Brian Serven | Jimmy Gonzalez | Jamie Williams | Roger McCardell |
Ezequiel Pagan | Ryan Fleming | Kevin Young | Charlie Beamon |
Joshua Rivera | Fernando De Los Santos | Franklin Correa | Tony Rasmus |
Edwin Ríos | Fran Mullins | Greg Norton | Jerry Goff |
Darius Hill | Al Pedrique | Noah Perio | Alec Keller |
Tyler Payne | Bob Melvin | Don Wakamatsu | Jim Horner |
Bryce Windham | Geno Petralli | Frank Biskup | Sal Agostinelli |
Bradlee Beesley | Tanner English | Corey Dempster | Travis Becktel |
Jake Washer | Jose Reyes | Brent Del Chiaro | Donny Lucy |
D.J. Artis | Bub Bergstrom | Bryce Kartler | Marcus McGowan |
Owen Caissie | Caleb Gindl | Joel Youngblood | Sam Horn |
Felix Stevens | Jason Stokes | Fred Cooley | Tony Armas |
Liam Spence | Joe Aversa | Joe Rhomberg | Steve Huls |
Haydn McGeary | Scott Vieira | Adam Terris | Jason Botts |
Fabian Pertuz | Samuel Sime | Ronald Drake | Nick Bartolone |
Zach Davis | Mike Piercy | Terrance Gore | Rico Noel |
Luis Verdugo | Jeffrey Hehr | Mike Denevi | Kenny Miller |
James Triantos | Wilfredo Tovar | Victor Rodríguez | Eric Ayala |
Pablo Aliendo | Kiki Hernandez | Darryl Cias | Geff Davis |
Christian Franklin | Joe Kramer | Vee Hightower | James Egan |
Nelson Maldonado | Scott Savastano | Danny Buxbaum | Guillermo Velasquez |
Casey Opitz | Dan Plante | Terry Bell | Luke Carlin |
Scott McKeon | Leury Bonilla | Bo Bolar | Ridge Hoopii-Haslam |
Cole Roederer | Jerry Clark | Bryce Kartler | Brad Colton |
Jordan Nwogu | Tony Peters | Troy Ricker | John Cotton |
Player | 80th BA | 80th OBP | 80th SLG | 80th OPS+ | 80th WAR | 20th BA | 20th OBP | 20th SLG | 20th OPS+ | 20th WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dansby Swanson | .281 | .350 | .480 | 123 | 5.6 | .227 | .297 | .377 | 85 | 2.7 |
Nico Hoerner | .305 | .364 | .433 | 117 | 5.2 | .249 | .310 | .355 | 82 | 2.5 |
Cody Bellinger | .291 | .353 | .498 | 127 | 4.0 | .241 | .303 | .400 | 90 | 1.4 |
Ian Happ | .275 | .368 | .500 | 133 | 4.1 | .227 | .320 | .390 | 94 | 1.1 |
Michael Busch | .271 | .359 | .504 | 130 | 3.9 | .224 | .309 | .394 | 92 | 1.3 |
Seiya Suzuki | .301 | .377 | .535 | 145 | 3.8 | .248 | .327 | .425 | 105 | 1.2 |
Christopher Morel | .269 | .337 | .532 | 132 | 3.6 | .215 | .282 | .409 | 88 | 0.7 |
Nick Madrigal | .309 | .361 | .406 | 111 | 2.6 | .252 | .307 | .325 | 75 | 1.0 |
Mike Tauchman | .260 | .365 | .396 | 107 | 2.7 | .206 | .307 | .305 | 70 | 0.6 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong | .265 | .326 | .445 | 107 | 2.9 | .216 | .277 | .354 | 72 | 0.5 |
Miles Mastrobuoni | .286 | .359 | .400 | 108 | 2.3 | .225 | .299 | .315 | 68 | 0.2 |
Matt Mervis | .274 | .347 | .500 | 127 | 2.7 | .223 | .296 | .388 | 86 | 0.0 |
Chase Strumpf | .226 | .330 | .412 | 101 | 2.3 | .173 | .277 | .300 | 58 | 0.1 |
Patrick Wisdom | .242 | .325 | .526 | 126 | 2.3 | .187 | .277 | .386 | 81 | 0.1 |
Yan Gomes | .282 | .326 | .440 | 103 | 1.7 | .218 | .272 | .335 | 64 | 0.0 |
Yonathan Perlaza | .265 | .338 | .465 | 114 | 2.1 | .212 | .283 | .357 | 74 | -0.5 |
Luis Vazquez | .256 | .315 | .388 | 92 | 1.9 | .207 | .269 | .310 | 60 | -0.1 |
David Bote | .252 | .329 | .414 | 99 | 1.6 | .197 | .274 | .315 | 61 | -0.3 |
Kevin Alcantara | .258 | .310 | .417 | 94 | 1.7 | .207 | .260 | .330 | 58 | -0.4 |
Joe Hudson | .232 | .327 | .392 | 92 | 1.2 | .174 | .264 | .281 | 52 | 0.0 |
Jake Slaughter | .249 | .315 | .406 | 95 | 1.7 | .198 | .261 | .304 | 55 | -0.5 |
Miguel Amaya | .249 | .350 | .418 | 110 | 1.2 | .191 | .295 | .305 | 66 | -0.1 |
Alexander Canario | .249 | .311 | .467 | 107 | 1.7 | .192 | .253 | .353 | 63 | -0.6 |
BJ Murray Jr. | .247 | .335 | .396 | 98 | 1.6 | .197 | .285 | .302 | 62 | -0.7 |
Hayden Cantrelle | .211 | .337 | .324 | 82 | 1.0 | .159 | .282 | .231 | 44 | -0.7 |
Jorge Alfaro | .264 | .308 | .410 | 92 | 0.9 | .210 | .253 | .319 | 57 | -0.6 |
Matt Shaw | .296 | .330 | .500 | 121 | 0.6 | .240 | .275 | .382 | 78 | -0.4 |
Moises Ballesteros | .275 | .335 | .440 | 107 | 1.1 | .220 | .276 | .342 | 68 | -1.2 |
Eric Hosmer | .294 | .346 | .429 | 110 | 1.0 | .232 | .291 | .339 | 71 | -1.1 |
Brennen Davis | .242 | .314 | .377 | 88 | 0.7 | .191 | .267 | .295 | 55 | -0.9 |
Caleb Knight | .250 | .356 | .329 | 89 | 0.2 | .181 | .290 | .239 | 51 | -0.3 |
Brian Serven | .231 | .282 | .380 | 77 | 0.7 | .171 | .223 | .276 | 36 | -0.7 |
Ezequiel Pagan | .276 | .326 | .391 | 94 | 0.9 | .221 | .275 | .308 | 61 | -1.1 |
Joshua Rivera | .231 | .281 | .366 | 74 | 0.1 | .177 | .221 | .267 | 32 | -0.5 |
Edwin Ríos | .235 | .310 | .423 | 97 | 0.5 | .180 | .258 | .316 | 58 | -0.8 |
Darius Hill | .292 | .333 | .387 | 97 | 0.8 | .229 | .274 | .311 | 59 | -1.3 |
Tyler Payne | .264 | .304 | .368 | 83 | 0.2 | .206 | .247 | .286 | 46 | -0.8 |
Bryce Windham | .272 | .336 | .352 | 90 | 0.3 | .202 | .273 | .265 | 50 | -1.0 |
Bradlee Beesley | .232 | .311 | .382 | 86 | 0.3 | .178 | .255 | .297 | 52 | -1.1 |
Jake Washer | .235 | .272 | .389 | 77 | 0.1 | .169 | .204 | .276 | 30 | -1.0 |
D.J. Artis | .227 | .325 | .332 | 79 | -0.1 | .172 | .267 | .256 | 44 | -1.0 |
Owen Caissie | .242 | .324 | .401 | 97 | 0.6 | .188 | .269 | .296 | 55 | -2.0 |
Felix Stevens | .234 | .297 | .456 | 99 | 0.5 | .179 | .243 | .340 | 57 | -1.7 |
Liam Spence | .213 | .294 | .278 | 58 | -0.3 | .153 | .232 | .195 | 20 | -1.0 |
Haydn McGeary | .253 | .341 | .400 | 101 | 0.5 | .202 | .289 | .310 | 65 | -1.8 |
Fabian Pertuz | .228 | .272 | .340 | 64 | 0.1 | .172 | .219 | .253 | 29 | -1.5 |
Zach Davis | .228 | .301 | .257 | 56 | -0.3 | .169 | .241 | .193 | 23 | -1.1 |
Luis Verdugo | .239 | .288 | .351 | 72 | 0.0 | .184 | .232 | .262 | 36 | -1.6 |
James Triantos | .276 | .325 | .379 | 90 | 0.2 | .220 | .277 | .292 | 57 | -1.6 |
Pablo Aliendo | .238 | .308 | .375 | 86 | 0.2 | .182 | .252 | .294 | 50 | -1.5 |
Christian Franklin | .232 | .333 | .372 | 89 | 0.1 | .180 | .279 | .285 | 56 | -1.5 |
Nelson Maldonado | .261 | .322 | .403 | 97 | 0.1 | .210 | .266 | .310 | 59 | -1.5 |
Casey Opitz | .212 | .295 | .302 | 61 | -0.4 | .151 | .234 | .208 | 24 | -1.5 |
Scott McKeon | .204 | .256 | .310 | 53 | -0.6 | .150 | .204 | .219 | 17 | -1.7 |
Cole Roederer | .233 | .301 | .353 | 77 | -0.4 | .184 | .253 | .267 | 44 | -1.9 |
Jordan Nwogu | .221 | .279 | .365 | 73 | -0.4 | .169 | .231 | .274 | 37 | -2.2 |
Player | BA vs. L | OBP vs. L | SLG vs. L | BA vs. R | OBP vs. R | SLG vs. R |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dansby Swanson | .259 | .337 | .437 | .252 | .323 | .424 |
Nico Hoerner | .280 | .338 | .386 | .273 | .333 | .395 |
Cody Bellinger | .257 | .314 | .434 | .272 | .333 | .445 |
Ian Happ | .247 | .339 | .416 | .253 | .345 | .448 |
Michael Busch | .233 | .319 | .413 | .260 | .343 | .471 |
Seiya Suzuki | .282 | .374 | .497 | .267 | .340 | .467 |
Christopher Morel | .245 | .319 | .473 | .240 | .302 | .461 |
Nick Madrigal | .283 | .338 | .375 | .279 | .330 | .363 |
Mike Tauchman | .232 | .327 | .347 | .236 | .341 | .362 |
Pete Crow-Armstrong | .234 | .300 | .377 | .243 | .302 | .401 |
Miles Mastrobuoni | .244 | .314 | .346 | .264 | .341 | .370 |
Matt Mervis | .240 | .312 | .402 | .257 | .328 | .461 |
Chase Strumpf | .198 | .307 | .370 | .204 | .305 | .346 |
Patrick Wisdom | .215 | .306 | .469 | .209 | .296 | .447 |
Yan Gomes | .262 | .310 | .393 | .244 | .290 | .385 |
Yonathan Perlaza | .238 | .312 | .404 | .240 | .311 | .404 |
Luis Vazquez | .233 | .295 | .349 | .232 | .290 | .340 |
David Bote | .227 | .306 | .361 | .221 | .297 | .362 |
Kevin Alcantara | .236 | .295 | .385 | .230 | .277 | .360 |
Joe Hudson | .200 | .305 | .333 | .203 | .288 | .333 |
Jake Slaughter | .232 | .301 | .367 | .215 | .283 | .350 |
Miguel Amaya | .232 | .333 | .379 | .211 | .311 | .352 |
Alexander Canario | .219 | .286 | .427 | .221 | .273 | .392 |
BJ Murray Jr. | .219 | .309 | .338 | .225 | .310 | .349 |
Hayden Cantrelle | .180 | .313 | .287 | .189 | .307 | .270 |
Jorge Alfaro | .240 | .280 | .380 | .234 | .276 | .350 |
Matt Shaw | .271 | .311 | .429 | .263 | .295 | .444 |
Moises Ballesteros | .233 | .290 | .350 | .250 | .313 | .401 |
Eric Hosmer | .250 | .302 | .345 | .273 | .330 | .407 |
Brennen Davis | .221 | .302 | .359 | .212 | .286 | .328 |
Caleb Knight | .225 | .340 | .250 | .204 | .316 | .306 |
Brian Serven | .198 | .250 | .333 | .199 | .250 | .305 |
Ezequiel Pagan | .236 | .296 | .333 | .253 | .306 | .347 |
Joshua Rivera | .205 | .255 | .364 | .203 | .246 | .281 |
Edwin Ríos | .200 | .274 | .338 | .206 | .286 | .382 |
Darius Hill | .250 | .297 | .324 | .267 | .312 | .363 |
Tyler Payne | .235 | .287 | .346 | .229 | .261 | .312 |
Bryce Windham | .219 | .284 | .288 | .240 | .311 | .313 |
Bradlee Beesley | .207 | .281 | .345 | .206 | .284 | .333 |
Jake Washer | .207 | .244 | .317 | .194 | .227 | .333 |
D.J. Artis | .196 | .297 | .268 | .200 | .292 | .300 |
Owen Caissie | .200 | .277 | .309 | .222 | .305 | .376 |
Felix Stevens | .204 | .271 | .395 | .208 | .261 | .396 |
Liam Spence | .179 | .270 | .214 | .184 | .259 | .250 |
Haydn McGeary | .224 | .317 | .339 | .230 | .313 | .360 |
Fabian Pertuz | .207 | .255 | .300 | .196 | .239 | .286 |
Zach Davis | .205 | .275 | .233 | .191 | .267 | .213 |
Luis Verdugo | .219 | .275 | .321 | .209 | .253 | .291 |
James Triantos | .253 | .307 | .352 | .246 | .294 | .318 |
Pablo Aliendo | .213 | .280 | .333 | .200 | .271 | .326 |
Christian Franklin | .210 | .319 | .339 | .203 | .295 | .320 |
Nelson Maldonado | .239 | .306 | .373 | .231 | .284 | .335 |
Casey Opitz | .179 | .273 | .244 | .184 | .261 | .255 |
Scott McKeon | .174 | .232 | .272 | .178 | .230 | .256 |
Cole Roederer | .204 | .269 | .296 | .209 | .278 | .323 |
Jordan Nwogu | .195 | .260 | .318 | .192 | .252 | .316 |
Player | T | Age | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shota Imanaga | L | 30 | 8 | 5 | 3.55 | 25 | 25 | 137.0 | 125 | 54 | 15 | 40 | 146 |
Justin Steele | L | 28 | 10 | 8 | 3.64 | 29 | 27 | 153.3 | 147 | 62 | 17 | 45 | 139 |
Jameson Taillon | R | 32 | 7 | 8 | 4.41 | 26 | 25 | 136.7 | 135 | 67 | 21 | 37 | 119 |
Kyle Hendricks | R | 34 | 7 | 8 | 4.41 | 25 | 25 | 132.7 | 140 | 65 | 20 | 32 | 103 |
Jordan Wicks | L | 24 | 5 | 6 | 4.40 | 25 | 25 | 110.3 | 108 | 54 | 14 | 39 | 94 |
Adbert Alzolay | R | 29 | 5 | 4 | 3.74 | 42 | 7 | 74.7 | 65 | 31 | 10 | 20 | 78 |
Ben Brown | R | 24 | 7 | 7 | 4.23 | 25 | 20 | 95.7 | 88 | 45 | 12 | 41 | 96 |
Javier Assad | R | 26 | 5 | 5 | 4.33 | 31 | 17 | 114.3 | 114 | 55 | 15 | 45 | 91 |
Walker Powell | R | 28 | 7 | 7 | 4.34 | 24 | 17 | 95.3 | 101 | 46 | 13 | 22 | 68 |
Drew Smyly | L | 35 | 8 | 10 | 4.54 | 32 | 21 | 121.0 | 122 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 116 |
Thomas Pannone 파노니 | L | 30 | 5 | 6 | 4.56 | 23 | 19 | 106.7 | 114 | 54 | 16 | 29 | 83 |
Hayden Wesneski | R | 26 | 5 | 6 | 4.51 | 30 | 17 | 101.7 | 97 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 94 |
Caleb Kilian | R | 27 | 5 | 5 | 4.72 | 24 | 22 | 108.7 | 113 | 57 | 12 | 42 | 87 |
Cade Horton | R | 22 | 4 | 4 | 4.50 | 22 | 22 | 86.0 | 82 | 43 | 12 | 28 | 71 |
Nick Neidert | R | 27 | 5 | 6 | 4.75 | 23 | 20 | 94.7 | 100 | 50 | 13 | 31 | 65 |
Chris Clarke | R | 26 | 5 | 5 | 4.59 | 28 | 13 | 80.3 | 88 | 41 | 11 | 21 | 57 |
Mark Leiter Jr. | R | 33 | 4 | 5 | 4.32 | 45 | 6 | 73.0 | 65 | 35 | 10 | 29 | 75 |
Keegan Thompson | R | 29 | 4 | 5 | 4.38 | 33 | 7 | 74.0 | 67 | 36 | 10 | 35 | 72 |
Richard Gallardo | R | 22 | 5 | 7 | 4.97 | 20 | 20 | 92.3 | 99 | 51 | 13 | 33 | 62 |
Porter Hodge | R | 23 | 5 | 7 | 4.85 | 30 | 14 | 81.7 | 76 | 44 | 10 | 46 | 80 |
Julian Merryweather | R | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3.97 | 56 | 0 | 56.7 | 48 | 25 | 8 | 24 | 75 |
Michael Fulmer | R | 31 | 4 | 4 | 4.36 | 52 | 2 | 53.7 | 50 | 26 | 7 | 24 | 60 |
Luke Little | L | 23 | 3 | 2 | 4.13 | 56 | 0 | 56.7 | 46 | 26 | 7 | 29 | 70 |
Daniel Palencia | R | 24 | 3 | 3 | 4.74 | 35 | 10 | 57.0 | 52 | 30 | 8 | 31 | 59 |
Brandon Birdsell | R | 24 | 4 | 7 | 5.17 | 21 | 21 | 92.3 | 97 | 53 | 15 | 34 | 59 |
Roenis Elías 엘리아스 | L | 35 | 2 | 2 | 4.61 | 24 | 5 | 41.0 | 43 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 32 |
Jose Cuas | R | 30 | 3 | 3 | 4.27 | 63 | 1 | 59.0 | 54 | 28 | 8 | 26 | 65 |
Manuel Espinoza | R | 23 | 4 | 7 | 5.14 | 21 | 18 | 75.3 | 82 | 43 | 13 | 25 | 54 |
Chris Kachmar | R | 27 | 2 | 2 | 4.97 | 20 | 9 | 54.3 | 57 | 30 | 8 | 20 | 43 |
Kohl Franklin | R | 24 | 5 | 8 | 5.27 | 23 | 23 | 85.3 | 87 | 50 | 12 | 43 | 71 |
Riley Thompson | R | 27 | 4 | 6 | 5.24 | 21 | 17 | 67.0 | 70 | 39 | 10 | 37 | 56 |
Bailey Horn | L | 26 | 3 | 5 | 4.75 | 36 | 3 | 55.0 | 52 | 29 | 8 | 30 | 56 |
Ben Leeper | R | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4.38 | 37 | 0 | 39.0 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 37 |
Codi Heuer | R | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4.33 | 28 | 0 | 35.3 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 31 |
Zac Leigh | R | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4.46 | 29 | 0 | 36.3 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 42 |
Brandon Hughes | L | 28 | 2 | 3 | 4.50 | 39 | 0 | 42.0 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 19 | 45 |
Yency Almonte | R | 30 | 2 | 2 | 4.34 | 44 | 0 | 45.7 | 39 | 22 | 6 | 21 | 51 |
Frankie Scalzo Jr. | R | 24 | 3 | 5 | 4.61 | 37 | 1 | 66.3 | 68 | 34 | 9 | 23 | 49 |
Cam Sanders | R | 27 | 4 | 5 | 5.04 | 37 | 7 | 69.7 | 62 | 39 | 10 | 47 | 76 |
Shane Greene | R | 35 | 1 | 2 | 5.14 | 19 | 3 | 28.0 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 25 |
Michael Rucker | R | 30 | 2 | 2 | 4.76 | 42 | 1 | 56.7 | 57 | 30 | 8 | 23 | 51 |
Stephen Gonsalves | L | 29 | 2 | 2 | 5.27 | 20 | 6 | 41.0 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 30 | 49 |
Richard Bleier | L | 37 | 1 | 1 | 4.75 | 37 | 1 | 36.0 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
Brad Boxberger | R | 36 | 2 | 2 | 4.89 | 44 | 1 | 38.7 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 19 | 38 |
Jake Reindl | R | 27 | 0 | 0 | 5.06 | 8 | 0 | 10.7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
Colten Brewer | R | 31 | 1 | 0 | 5.16 | 23 | 1 | 29.7 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 27 |
Blake Whitney | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 4.70 | 33 | 0 | 59.3 | 61 | 31 | 9 | 25 | 53 |
Riley Martin | L | 26 | 4 | 4 | 4.71 | 36 | 0 | 57.3 | 51 | 30 | 8 | 37 | 67 |
Cayne Ueckert | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5.11 | 32 | 0 | 37.0 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 23 | 37 |
Josh Roberson | R | 28 | 2 | 3 | 5.54 | 31 | 2 | 37.3 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 27 | 35 |
Joe Nahas | R | 24 | 3 | 4 | 5.40 | 28 | 5 | 68.3 | 76 | 41 | 10 | 34 | 44 |
Hunter Bigge | R | 26 | 2 | 3 | 5.16 | 37 | 0 | 45.3 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 31 | 45 |
Max Bain | R | 26 | 2 | 5 | 6.06 | 18 | 9 | 49.0 | 51 | 33 | 8 | 34 | 41 |
Michael McAvene | R | 26 | 1 | 1 | 6.35 | 17 | 0 | 22.7 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 17 | 18 |
Eduarniel Nunez | R | 25 | 2 | 3 | 5.88 | 34 | 0 | 41.3 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 32 | 37 |
Ben Hecht | R | 29 | 1 | 3 | 6.75 | 22 | 0 | 25.3 | 25 | 19 | 4 | 23 | 23 |
Burl Carraway | L | 25 | 1 | 2 | 8.00 | 19 | 0 | 18.0 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 26 | 18 |
Kyle Johnson | R | 30 | 1 | 4 | 7.13 | 25 | 0 | 35.3 | 40 | 28 | 6 | 32 | 24 |
Player | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BB% | K% | BABIP | ERA+ | FIP | ERA- | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shota Imanaga | 137.0 | 9.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 7.0% | 25.6% | .301 | 117 | 3.55 | 86 | 2.9 |
Justin Steele | 153.3 | 8.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 7.0% | 21.5% | .295 | 114 | 3.90 | 88 | 2.9 |
Jameson Taillon | 136.7 | 7.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 6.4% | 20.7% | .289 | 94 | 4.43 | 107 | 1.5 |
Kyle Hendricks | 132.7 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5.7% | 18.4% | .296 | 94 | 4.52 | 107 | 1.4 |
Jordan Wicks | 110.3 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 8.2% | 19.7% | .291 | 94 | 4.37 | 106 | 1.2 |
Adbert Alzolay | 74.7 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6.6% | 25.6% | .281 | 111 | 3.91 | 90 | 1.2 |
Ben Brown | 95.7 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 9.9% | 23.1% | .291 | 98 | 4.29 | 102 | 1.2 |
Javier Assad | 114.3 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 9.1% | 18.3% | .289 | 96 | 4.73 | 105 | 1.1 |
Walker Powell | 95.3 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5.5% | 16.9% | .294 | 95 | 4.39 | 105 | 1.1 |
Drew Smyly | 121.0 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 7.8% | 22.2% | .299 | 91 | 4.63 | 110 | 1.0 |
Thomas Pannone | 106.7 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 6.3% | 18.1% | .300 | 91 | 4.55 | 110 | 0.9 |
Hayden Wesneski | 101.7 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 8.5% | 21.6% | .289 | 92 | 4.41 | 109 | 0.9 |
Caleb Kilian | 108.7 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 8.8% | 18.1% | .304 | 88 | 4.41 | 114 | 0.8 |
Cade Horton | 86.0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 7.7% | 19.5% | .279 | 92 | 4.43 | 109 | 0.8 |
Nick Neidert | 94.7 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 7.5% | 15.8% | .291 | 87 | 4.87 | 115 | 0.7 |
Chris Clarke | 80.3 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6.0% | 16.4% | .302 | 90 | 4.55 | 111 | 0.6 |
Mark Leiter Jr. | 73.0 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 9.3% | 24.0% | .284 | 96 | 4.46 | 104 | 0.6 |
Keegan Thompson | 74.0 | 8.8 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 10.8% | 22.3% | .282 | 95 | 4.65 | 106 | 0.6 |
Richard Gallardo | 92.3 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 8.1% | 15.3% | .293 | 83 | 5.01 | 120 | 0.5 |
Porter Hodge | 81.7 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 12.4% | 21.6% | .293 | 85 | 4.87 | 117 | 0.4 |
Julian Merryweather | 56.7 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 10.0% | 31.1% | .303 | 104 | 3.82 | 96 | 0.3 |
Michael Fulmer | 53.7 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 25.5% | .305 | 95 | 4.22 | 105 | 0.3 |
Luke Little | 56.7 | 11.1 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 11.9% | 28.8% | .287 | 100 | 4.08 | 100 | 0.3 |
Daniel Palencia | 57.0 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 12.0% | 22.9% | .289 | 87 | 4.90 | 114 | 0.2 |
Brandon Birdsell | 92.3 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 8.4% | 14.6% | .280 | 80 | 5.32 | 125 | 0.2 |
Roenis Elías | 41.0 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 7.9% | 18.0% | .296 | 90 | 4.69 | 111 | 0.2 |
Jose Cuas | 59.0 | 9.9 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 10.2% | 25.4% | .299 | 97 | 4.44 | 103 | 0.2 |
Manuel Espinoza | 75.3 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 7.6% | 16.4% | .294 | 81 | 5.22 | 124 | 0.2 |
Chris Kachmar | 54.3 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 8.3% | 17.8% | .297 | 83 | 5.02 | 120 | 0.2 |
Kohl Franklin | 85.3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 11.1% | 18.4% | .295 | 78 | 5.25 | 127 | 0.2 |
Riley Thompson | 67.0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 12.1% | 18.2% | .300 | 79 | 5.23 | 127 | 0.1 |
Bailey Horn | 55.0 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 12.2% | 22.8% | .295 | 87 | 4.91 | 115 | 0.1 |
Ben Leeper | 39.0 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 9.6% | 22.2% | .287 | 94 | 4.49 | 106 | 0.1 |
Codi Heuer | 35.3 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 8.9% | 19.7% | .301 | 96 | 4.25 | 105 | 0.1 |
Zac Leigh | 36.3 | 10.4 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 10.8% | 26.6% | .293 | 93 | 4.38 | 108 | 0.1 |
Brandon Hughes | 42.0 | 9.6 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 10.5% | 24.9% | .284 | 92 | 4.61 | 109 | 0.0 |
Yency Almonte | 45.7 | 10.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 10.7% | 26.0% | .284 | 95 | 4.37 | 105 | 0.0 |
Frankie Scalzo Jr. | 66.3 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 7.9% | 16.8% | .289 | 90 | 4.72 | 111 | 0.0 |
Cam Sanders | 69.7 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 14.7% | 23.8% | .289 | 82 | 5.31 | 122 | 0.0 |
Shane Greene | 28.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 11.3% | 20.2% | .296 | 80 | 5.04 | 124 | -0.1 |
Michael Rucker | 56.7 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 9.3% | 20.6% | .299 | 87 | 4.67 | 115 | -0.1 |
Stephen Gonsalves | 41.0 | 10.8 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 15.8% | 25.8% | .297 | 79 | 5.33 | 127 | -0.1 |
Richard Bleier | 36.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.9% | 15.5% | .308 | 87 | 4.76 | 115 | -0.1 |
Brad Boxberger | 38.7 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 11.2% | 22.5% | .286 | 85 | 5.01 | 118 | -0.1 |
Jake Reindl | 10.7 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 10.9% | 19.6% | .267 | 82 | 6.26 | 122 | -0.1 |
Colten Brewer | 29.7 | 8.2 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 9.9% | 20.6% | .286 | 82 | 5.14 | 123 | -0.1 |
Blake Whitney | 59.3 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 9.4% | 19.9% | .301 | 88 | 4.81 | 114 | -0.1 |
Riley Martin | 57.3 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 14.2% | 25.7% | .299 | 88 | 4.82 | 114 | -0.2 |
Cayne Ueckert | 37.0 | 9.0 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 13.6% | 21.9% | .297 | 81 | 5.12 | 123 | -0.3 |
Josh Roberson | 37.3 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 15.3% | 19.8% | .302 | 75 | 5.53 | 134 | -0.3 |
Joe Nahas | 68.3 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 10.8% | 13.9% | .297 | 77 | 5.58 | 130 | -0.4 |
Hunter Bigge | 45.3 | 8.9 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 14.6% | 21.1% | .296 | 80 | 5.17 | 125 | -0.4 |
Max Bain | 49.0 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 14.5% | 17.4% | .297 | 68 | 6.21 | 146 | -0.4 |
Michael McAvene | 22.7 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 15.6% | 16.5% | .294 | 65 | 6.03 | 153 | -0.5 |
Eduarniel Nunez | 41.3 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 15.8% | 18.3% | .294 | 70 | 6.04 | 142 | -0.6 |
Ben Hecht | 25.3 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 18.1% | 18.1% | .292 | 61 | 6.69 | 163 | -0.7 |
Burl Carraway | 18.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 25.7% | 17.8% | .286 | 52 | 8.09 | 193 | -0.7 |
Kyle Johnson | 35.3 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 17.9% | 13.4% | .301 | 58 | 7.33 | 172 | -1.1 |
Player | BA vs. L | OBP vs. L | SLG vs. L | BA vs. R | OBP vs. R | SLG vs. R | 80th WAR | 20th WAR | 80th ERA | 20th ERA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shota Imanaga | .242 | .306 | .382 | .235 | .292 | .376 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.96 | 4.35 |
Justin Steele | .215 | .285 | .289 | .257 | .311 | .425 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 3.21 | 4.14 |
Jameson Taillon | .257 | .324 | .439 | .248 | .287 | .426 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 3.92 | 5.12 |
Kyle Hendricks | .265 | .323 | .461 | .265 | .302 | .428 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 3.86 | 5.02 |
Jordan Wicks | .276 | .336 | .417 | .240 | .309 | .405 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 3.97 | 5.14 |
Adbert Alzolay | .248 | .311 | .438 | .211 | .269 | .340 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 3.10 | 4.75 |
Ben Brown | .241 | .324 | .404 | .236 | .314 | .389 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.73 | 4.91 |
Javier Assad | .248 | .336 | .406 | .260 | .324 | .423 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 3.85 | 4.99 |
Walker Powell | .278 | .323 | .439 | .254 | .295 | .425 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 3.85 | 4.87 |
Drew Smyly | .227 | .286 | .391 | .266 | .331 | .461 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
Thomas Pannone | .260 | .305 | .435 | .271 | .322 | .447 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 3.98 | 5.19 |
Hayden Wesneski | .257 | .329 | .445 | .235 | .301 | .382 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.91 | 5.14 |
Caleb Kilian | .265 | .338 | .408 | .260 | .331 | .409 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4.25 | 5.36 |
Cade Horton | .245 | .319 | .399 | .246 | .288 | .433 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 3.91 | 5.11 |
Nick Neidert | .279 | .348 | .448 | .253 | .313 | .423 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 4.24 | 5.28 |
Chris Clarke | .275 | .323 | .443 | .270 | .321 | .443 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 4.02 | 5.20 |
Mark Leiter Jr. | .219 | .303 | .380 | .246 | .333 | .408 | 1.4 | -0.2 | 3.58 | 5.32 |
Keegan Thompson | .241 | .338 | .391 | .232 | .316 | .404 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 3.72 | 5.19 |
Richard Gallardo | .265 | .333 | .435 | .271 | .338 | .442 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 4.54 | 5.65 |
Porter Hodge | .257 | .373 | .405 | .228 | .330 | .395 | 1.0 | -0.4 | 4.34 | 5.62 |
Julian Merryweather | .216 | .315 | .402 | .229 | .298 | .373 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 2.89 | 5.46 |
Michael Fulmer | .235 | .328 | .373 | .245 | .325 | .425 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 3.47 | 5.64 |
Luke Little | .194 | .299 | .269 | .226 | .325 | .411 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 3.31 | 5.14 |
Daniel Palencia | .219 | .341 | .371 | .254 | .344 | .439 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 4.09 | 5.43 |
Brandon Birdsell | .283 | .345 | .484 | .246 | .317 | .421 | 0.8 | -0.3 | 4.69 | 5.67 |
Roenis Elías | .267 | .327 | .378 | .263 | .323 | .466 | 0.6 | -0.1 | 3.91 | 5.46 |
Jose Cuas | .255 | .357 | .480 | .225 | .308 | .341 | 0.8 | -0.4 | 3.52 | 5.19 |
Manuel Espinoza | .276 | .342 | .448 | .268 | .326 | .490 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 4.65 | 5.80 |
Chris Kachmar | .269 | .350 | .472 | .259 | .331 | .407 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 4.34 | 5.64 |
Kohl Franklin | .251 | .354 | .401 | .265 | .355 | .459 | 0.7 | -0.5 | 4.79 | 5.91 |
Riley Thompson | .250 | .347 | .395 | .275 | .358 | .479 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 4.68 | 5.98 |
Bailey Horn | .231 | .329 | .400 | .250 | .349 | .426 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 4.09 | 5.50 |
Ben Leeper | .232 | .338 | .391 | .247 | .311 | .407 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 3.73 | 5.29 |
Codi Heuer | .258 | .329 | .439 | .250 | .321 | .375 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 3.82 | 5.07 |
Zac Leigh | .235 | .333 | .441 | .225 | .317 | .352 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 3.71 | 5.46 |
Brandon Hughes | .231 | .322 | .346 | .231 | .328 | .426 | 0.5 | -0.4 | 3.75 | 5.28 |
Yency Almonte | .250 | .352 | .408 | .206 | .297 | .371 | 0.5 | -0.4 | 3.57 | 5.18 |
Frankie Scalzo Jr. | .244 | .312 | .386 | .274 | .336 | .459 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 4.04 | 5.12 |
Cam Sanders | .246 | .383 | .447 | .224 | .346 | .368 | 0.6 | -0.9 | 4.31 | 6.14 |
Shane Greene | .275 | .383 | .490 | .237 | .313 | .390 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 4.43 | 6.31 |
Michael Rucker | .257 | .333 | .426 | .254 | .328 | .426 | 0.4 | -0.5 | 4.04 | 5.53 |
Stephen Gonsalves | .208 | .356 | .354 | .241 | .376 | .426 | 0.4 | -0.6 | 4.35 | 6.41 |
Richard Bleier | .241 | .279 | .379 | .315 | .347 | .551 | 0.2 | -0.4 | 3.97 | 5.63 |
Brad Boxberger | .225 | .321 | .423 | .256 | .352 | .423 | 0.3 | -0.7 | 3.98 | 6.29 |
Jake Reindl | .250 | .375 | .450 | .238 | .360 | .429 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 4.28 | 5.44 |
Colten Brewer | .250 | .339 | .462 | .250 | .329 | .438 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 4.45 | 6.15 |
Blake Whitney | .270 | .344 | .450 | .250 | .324 | .419 | 0.3 | -0.7 | 4.08 | 5.66 |
Riley Martin | .225 | .349 | .366 | .236 | .349 | .412 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 3.95 | 5.53 |
Cayne Ueckert | .273 | .377 | .439 | .221 | .344 | .390 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 4.46 | 6.03 |
Josh Roberson | .262 | .392 | .415 | .247 | .367 | .432 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 4.83 | 6.50 |
Joe Nahas | .288 | .371 | .477 | .264 | .355 | .438 | 0.1 | -0.9 | 4.87 | 6.02 |
Hunter Bigge | .226 | .356 | .393 | .261 | .367 | .424 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 4.52 | 6.18 |
Max Bain | .284 | .420 | .484 | .242 | .356 | .424 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 5.43 | 6.92 |
Michael McAvene | .233 | .377 | .349 | .283 | .404 | .522 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 5.63 | 7.23 |
Eduarniel Nunez | .266 | .389 | .468 | .241 | .390 | .398 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 5.30 | 6.86 |
Ben Hecht | .245 | .422 | .449 | .260 | .397 | .440 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 5.63 | 7.96 |
Burl Carraway | .238 | .467 | .429 | .245 | .449 | .429 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 6.76 | 10.43 |
Kyle Johnson | .279 | .437 | .471 | .280 | .421 | .480 | -0.8 | -1.5 | 6.18 | 8.31 |
Here are how the ZiPS percentiles worked out in 2023 for pitchers and hitters in in 2023. Percentiles are based on the projected PA or TBF.
Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2024 due to injury, and players who were released in 2023. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Belgian Death Metal Skiffle Band that only plays songs by Franz Schubert, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.33.
Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As always, incorrect projections are either caused by flaws in the physical reality of the universe or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter.
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
I’m considering adding another table next offseason for the pitchers who ZiPS projects with time as both a starter and a reliever.
That’s a great idea. Maybe this thread can serve as a source of ideas for what that might look like.
Is there a way to make the tables collapsible for next offseason? I’ve stopped reading the tables for the most part because there’s so much on there now, it’s hard to find what I’m looking for (which is literally just the “advanced stats” tables for hitters and pitchers).
ThisThisThis a thousand times This.
yes, collapsed by default please
Our tableizer doesn’t have an option for making them collapsible.
Really? There’s no way? Right now it is impossible to find anything. There’s so much in there. I thought I would love the 20th/80th percentiles but right now it’s too much. All I really want is the “advanced” table for both hitters and pitchers–I don’t need to know the counting stats, and I’ve given up on the comps because I never know what year they’re supposed to refer to.
Why not create a 40 man roster table and then an all other table. Most people spend their time looking at players who will actually play in the next year. On the all other maybe just do basic/advanced
I’m so confused. Can’t you just… scroll past it? What kind of device are you using where scrolling is difficult?
It’s not so much that we can’t scroll, it’s that having to scroll and scroll and scroll and scroll just to find a few pieces of relevant info is a little annoying.
Agreed – I’ve never seen stat nerds like ourselves complaining about an overabundance of stats…
Separate projections for each part, with one row for each? Or three with a combined projection? And if there’s a combined projection, does it account for having to fill both roles in terms of appearances/IP?
I was thinking some ‘ratio’ of something. Maybe a variance to indicate whether said pitcher is really likely to benefit from a reliever role at this point rather than just ‘the usual’ benefits from shorter outings and fewer 1 IP innings. I’ve long thought that MLB needs more tweener pitchers – not ready for the 6 IP but not just the usual 3 outs and out. Like once through the order maybe. Have no idea how that could even be projected.