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Michigan Republican Primary Election Results

Winner

Donald J. Trump wins the Michigan Republican primary.

Race called by The Associated Press.

Latest results from March 5
95% of votes in

Republican Primary race called

Republican Primary
Candidate Votes Percent Chart showing percent Delegates
Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump
758,612 68.1% 12
Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley
296,200 26.6 4
UncommittedUncommittedUncommitted
33,547 3.0 No delegates
Total reported
1,113,719

100% of delegates allocated (16 of 16)

New update

Analysis from our reporters

New update

Analysis from our reporters

Grand RapidsAnn ArborDetroitGrand RapidsAnn ArborDetroit
New update

Analysis from our reporters

Where votes have been reported and where votes remain

These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the vote reported so far, and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each county.

Votes reported

Estimated votes remaining

We stopped updating our estimates at 12:20 a.m. Eastern time on Feb. 28. This map is now archived.

Votes reported and estimated votes remaining
County Trump Haley Uncommitted Total votes Percent of votes in Estimated remaining votes
Calhoun 73% 23% 3% 12,509 82% 3,000
Genesee 74 21 3 33,268 85% 6,000
Bay 74 21 3 11,926 85% 2,000
Muskegon 69 26 3 17,580 86% 3,000
Monroe 75 20 3 19,253 87% 3,000
Van Buren 68 27 3 8,456 87% 1,200
Saginaw 72 23 3 20,078 88% 3,000
Jackson 72 23 3 18,138 88% 3,000
Allegan 68 27 3 17,073 88% 2,000
Grand Traverse 63 31 3 13,250 89% 2,000
Lenawee 73 22 3 11,756 89% 1,000
Dickinson 75 20 3 3,746 90% 400
Huron 74 21 3 4,641 91% 500
Gratiot 73 21 3 4,428 91% 450
Kent 59 34 3 74,595 92% 6,000
Clinton 63 31 3 10,836 92% 1,000
Cass 74 20 3 6,395 92% 600
Wayne 68 26 4 106,398 93% 8,000
Kalamazoo 58 36 3 25,852 93% 2,000
Eaton 67 27 3 13,398 93% 1,000
Ingham 59 35 3 20,789 94% 1,000
Barry 71 24 3 9,794 94% 700
Branch 74 21 3 5,488 94% 300
Berrien 68 26 3 18,691 95% <1,000
Houghton 71 25 2 4,015 95% 200
Oakland 61 34 3 147,896 >95% <5,000
Macomb 75 20 3 105,926 >95% <5,000
Ottawa 61 33 3 47,131 >95% <2,500
Livingston 69 26 3 34,852 >95% <2,000
Washtenaw 50 44 3 29,469 >95%
St. Clair 77 18 3 24,127 >95% <1,500
Lapeer 79 17 3 15,512 >95%
Midland 63 31 3 11,680 >95% <600
Shiawassee 73 21 3 9,400 >95% <500
Montcalm 75 19 3 9,065 >95% <500
Tuscola 78 17 3 8,495 >95%
Isabella 70 23 4 8,424 >95% <400
Ionia 71 24 3 7,769 >95% <400
Newaygo 77 19 2 7,648 >95% <400
Sanilac 78 18 3 6,968 >95% <400
St. Joseph 72 24 3 6,958 >95% <400
Marquette 66 29 3 6,820 >95% <300
Hillsdale 76 18 2 6,705 >95% <300
Emmet 64 30 4 5,795 >95% <300
Mecosta 71 24 3 5,676 >95% <300
Roscommon 76 19 3 5,064 >95%
Delta 77 19 2 4,647 >95% <100
Mason 68 27 2 4,638 >95% <100
Alpena 75 21 3 4,617 >95%
Wexford 75 21 2 4,596 >95% <100
Antrim 69 26 3 4,592 >95% <100
Charlevoix 66 29 3 4,538 >95% <100
Chippewa 75 21 2 4,375 >95% <100
Cheboygan 73 23 3 4,342 >95%
Clare 79 17 2 4,249 >95% <100
Leelanau 61 34 3 4,240 >95% <100
Iosco 74 20 3 4,196 >95% <100
Gladwin 78 18 2 4,182 >95%
Otsego 74 21 2 4,145 >95% <100
Oceana 73 22 2 4,081 >95%
Manistee 72 23 3 3,820 >95% <100
Ogemaw 80 15 3 3,794 >95% <100
Osceola 77 19 2 3,626 >95% <100
Benzie 68 27 3 3,077 >95% <100
Kalkaska 79 17 3 3,025 >95% <100
Menominee 76 20 2 3,020 >95% 100
Missaukee 77 17 2 2,512 >95% <100
Arenac 79 18 2 2,306 >95% <100
Presque Isle 72 24 2 2,266 >95% <100
Crawford 76 21 2 2,186 >95% <100
Alcona 79 18 1 2,182 >95% <100
Montmorency 79 17 2 2,009 >95% <100
Mackinac 72 23 3 1,955 >95% <100
Iron 79 17 3 1,953 >95%
Lake 77 20 2 1,736 >95% <100
Gogebic 75 21 2 1,641 >95% <100
Oscoda 77 17 4 1,625 >95% <100
Schoolcraft 78 18 2 1,235 >95% <100
Alger 76 20 2 1,231 >95% <100
Baraga 81 15 3 1,131 >95% <100
Ontonagon 79 18 2 1,100 >95% <100
Luce 80 16 2 733 >95% <100
Keweenaw 69 27 2 385 >95% <100

We stopped updating our estimates at 12:20 a.m. Eastern time on Feb. 28. These graphics and estimates are now showing archived data as of that time.

Live forecast

This is our current best estimate for the outcome of the Michigan primary. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Read more about how it works.

Estimated margin

Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast+40+30+20+10+10+20+30+40

Trump +44

Trump +37 to Trump +49

Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley

This chart shows the range of estimates for the leading candidates’ shares of the final vote. As more votes are reported, the ranges should narrow as our statistical model becomes more confident.

Estimated and reported final vote share
Candidate Reported
vote share
Estimate of final vote share Needle chart
Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump
68% 69% 66% to 72%
Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley
27% 26% 23% to 29%

How our estimates changed over time

Once a state has counted all its votes, our estimated margin and the reported margin will match. As a rule, when our estimate is steady in the presence of new votes, our forecast is more trustworthy.

How our final margin estimate has changed so far

NYT estimate Reported vote share
Chart showing changes in the estimated margin over time+60 +40 +20 Even 8:03 PM 12:19 AM ET

Share of expected turnout reported

Chart showing changes in the total expected vote over time 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 8:03 PM 12:19 AM ET

Share of vote by county

What to expect

Polls close at 8 p.m. local time. Most of the state observes Eastern time, but in the handful of counties that use Central time, polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern. In the 2020 primaries, the first votes were reported soon after polls closed, and nearly all votes were reported by 4 a.m. Eastern.

The state’s primary election date violates Republican party rules, so in order to avoid a penalty, Michigan Republicans will award just 16 of its 55 delegates based on the Feb. 27 results. The remaining delegates will be allocated at the party’s state convention on March 2.

All Michigan voters were eligible to vote by mail, and ballots were due by 8 p.m. on Election Day. In-person early voting was offered over a nine-day period, ending on Sunday. There is no registration by party in Michigan, but voters could only vote in one party’s election. As of Monday, more than one million voters had already cast a ballot in either the Republican or the Democratic primary.