Tennessee Republican Primary Election Results
Last updated May 2, 2024
Tennessee Republican Primary Election Results
See results from the Tennessee Democratic presidential primary ›
Winner
Donald J. Trump wins the Tennessee Republican primary.
Race called by The Associated Press.
Republican Primary race called
| Candidate | Votes | Percent | Delegates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump | 446,850 | 77.3% | 58 | |
| Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley | 112,958 | 19.5 | No delegates | |
| Ron DeSantisR. DeSantisDeSantis | 7,947 | 1.4 | No delegates | |
| Total reported | 577,834 | |||
100% of delegates allocated (58 of 58) | ||||
Where votes have been reported and where votes remain
These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the vote reported so far, and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each place.
| County | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Percent of votes in | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humphreys | 86% | 12% | 1% | 73% | ||
| Giles | 89 | 9 | 1 | 80% | ||
| Shelby | 71 | 27 | 1 | 89% | ||
| Scott | 91 | 8 | 1 | 92% | ||
| Knox | 68 | 27 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Williamson | 66 | 30 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Hamilton | 67 | 29 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Davidson | 61 | 36 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Sumner | 73 | 22 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Rutherford | 76 | 20 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Wilson | 76 | 20 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Blount | 76 | 21 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Sullivan | 77 | 20 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Bradley | 80 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Washington | 75 | 22 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Cumberland | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Montgomery | 76 | 20 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Sevier | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Loudon | 74 | 23 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Anderson | 76 | 21 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Maury | 81 | 17 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Greene | 83 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Carter | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Madison | 77 | 20 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Putnam | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Jefferson | 82 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Robertson | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Monroe | 85 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| McMinn | 85 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hawkins | 85 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Coffee | 77 | 18 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Roane | 82 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hamblen | 85 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Tipton | 85 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Rhea | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Cocke | 87 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Fayette | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Franklin | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Claiborne | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Dickson | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lawrence | 88 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Cheatham | 82 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Bedford | 87 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Gibson | 87 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Henderson | 86 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lincoln | 88 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Marion | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| White | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Henry | 85 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Warren | 87 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Campbell | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Weakley | 87 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Marshall | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| McNairy | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| DeKalb | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Dyer | 87 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Unicoi | 86 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Smith | 88 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Overton | 91 | 7 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Polk | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Obion | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Fentress | 91 | 7 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Macon | 92 | 6 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Carroll | 89 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hardin | 88 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Johnson | 87 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hickman | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Meigs | 85 | 12 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Decatur | 87 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Morgan | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Sequatchie | 87 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Bledsoe | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Union | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Benton | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Chester | 86 | 12 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Cannon | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hardeman | 91 | 7 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lauderdale | 91 | 8 | <1 | >95% | ||
| Stewart | 86 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Wayne | 91 | 7 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Grundy | 92 | 7 | <1 | >95% | ||
| Jackson | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Crockett | 88 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lewis | 93 | 6 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Moore | 84 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Pickett | 88 | 10 | <1 | >95% | ||
| Houston | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Trousdale | 89 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Haywood | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Van Buren | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Perry | 91 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hancock | 91 | 7 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Clay | 89 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lake | 92 | 7 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Grainger | 89 | 9 | 1 | 100% | ||
We stopped updating our estimates. These graphics and estimates are now showing archived data.
Live forecast
This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Read more about how it works.
Estimated margin
Trump +58
Trump +56 to Trump +60
Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley
This chart shows the range of estimates for the leading candidates’ shares of the final vote. As more votes are reported, the ranges should narrow as our statistical model becomes more confident.
How our estimates changed over time
Once a state has counted all its votes, our estimated margin and the reported margin will match. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new data, our forecast is more trustworthy.
How our final margin estimate has changed so far
Share of expected turnout reported
What’s powering our forecast right now?
Our election model makes use of three indicators in creating an estimate of the final result.
Pre-election polls
0%
Our model
7%
Actual results
93%
- Pre-election polls: At the start of the night, our estimate is based on pre-election polls, results of past elections and demographic data.
- Our model: As results come in, we compare actual results in places that have mostly completed reporting to our pre-election estimates to create a statistical model for the remaining vote.
- Actual results: As a county reports more of its vote, those actual results will gradually supersede our previous estimates.
What to expect
Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern time, and first results are expected soon after. In the 2022 state primaries, the last update of the night was at 3:45 a.m. Eastern time with 99.7 percent of votes reported.
Voters do not register by party, but they could only participate in one party’s primary. The state offered in-person early voting and required an excuse to vote absentee. As of Feb. 28, the day after the early voting period ended, 207,703 voters had already cast Republican ballots.
The state primary, which will include races for state and congressional offices, will be held on Aug. 1.
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