United States
Bending the Guardrails: U.S. War Powers after 7 October
Amid the Gaza war, the Biden administration has resorted to military force without asking Congress, further corroding the U.S. constitution’s checks and balances in this domain. Job one is a ceasefire but war powers reform is a vital task for the future.
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CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.
Learn more about CrisisWatchTrends for Last Month June 2024
Deteriorated Situations
South China Sea Democratic Republic of Congo Sudan Kenya Israel/Palestine Burkina Faso
Improved Situations
None
Outlook for This Month July 2024
Conflict Risk Alerts
Resolution Opportunities
None
Latest Updates
How the U.S. Has Justified its Use of Force Since 7 October
In this video Brian Finucane talks about how the Biden administration has worked around legal guardrails to engage in fighting without approval from the U.S. Congress.
Bending the Guardrails: U.S. War Powers after 7 October
Amid the Gaza war, the Biden administration has resorted to military force without asking Congress, further corroding the U.S. constitution’s checks and balances in this domain. Job one is a ceasefire but war powers reform is a vital task for the future.
Aftermath of a Shooting
After a would-be assassin shot at former U.S. President and current Republican candidate Donald Trump on 13 July, the country’s political leaders, especially Trump himself, should avoid stoking division in order to reduce risks of violence as the November election approaches.
U.S.-India Relations in a World Between Orders
In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve talk with Crisis Group trustee and former Indian National Security Adviser and Foreign Secretary Shivshankar Menon about India’s views on the U.S. election and how New Dehli navigates a rapidly changing world order.
Meltdown Looms for the West Bank’s Financial Lifelines
Israel’s threatened termination of a banking waiver would paralyse financial activity in the West Bank, causing an economic meltdown and risking the Palestinian Authority’s collapse – with dire consequences for West Bank Palestinians – and maybe for Israel, too. The U.S. should press Israel to change course.
A Gaza Ceasefire
The ceasefire deal the U.S. has tabled represents the best – and perhaps last – hope for both ending the Gaza war and getting the hostages held in the strip back any time soon. Israeli and Hamas leaders should accept it.
Ruto in Washington: Kenya’s State Visit and the U.S.’s Africa Policy
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Africa director Murithi Mutiga about Kenyan President William Ruto’s visit to the U.S., Nairobi’s pivot West and Washington’s Africa policy.
U.S. Elections and the Future of Transatlantic Relations
In this episode of Ripple Effect, Michael and Steve are joined by Crisis Group trustee Gérard Araud, a former senior French diplomat, to talk about Europe’s views on the U.S. election and how political volatility in the U.S. might affect transatlantic relations.
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