Middle East & North Africa
What Hope for a Gaza Ceasefire and What Happens Without One?
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group experts Mairav Zonszein, Michael Hanna and Rami Dajani about where things stand in Gaza, prospects for a ceasefire and what happens if the two sides cannot reach a deal.
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CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.
Learn more about CrisisWatchTrends for Last Month June 2024
Deteriorated Situations
South China Sea Democratic Republic of Congo Sudan Kenya Israel/Palestine Burkina Faso
Improved Situations
None
Outlook for This Month July 2024
Conflict Risk Alerts
Resolution Opportunities
None
Latest Updates
How the U.S. Has Justified its Use of Force Since 7 October
In this video Brian Finucane talks about how the Biden administration has worked around legal guardrails to engage in fighting without approval from the U.S. Congress.
What Hope for a Gaza Ceasefire and What Happens Without One?
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group experts Mairav Zonszein, Michael Hanna and Rami Dajani about where things stand in Gaza, prospects for a ceasefire and what happens if the two sides cannot reach a deal.
Houthi Strikes, Red Sea Shipping and Yemen’s War
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Yemen expert Ahmed Nagi, about the recent uptick in attacks from Houthi rebels on vessels in the waters around Yemen and what they mean for global shipping and the war in Yemen.
Meltdown Looms for the West Bank’s Financial Lifelines
Israel’s threatened termination of a banking waiver would paralyse financial activity in the West Bank, causing an economic meltdown and risking the Palestinian Authority’s collapse – with dire consequences for West Bank Palestinians – and maybe for Israel, too. The U.S. should press Israel to change course.
Iran’s Presidential Election: A Preview
Iranians head to the polls on 28 June to choose a successor to the late president. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Ali Vaez and Naysan Rafati look at the field of candidates and the immediate tasks awaiting the winner.
Ceasefire in Gaza: What’s New and What’s Next?
In this online event, Crisis Group experts from our MENA and U.S. Programs discuss the latest developments in Israel and Gaza, what’s new regarding the ceasefire talks, and what should happen next.
The UAE, Israel and a Test of Influence
The United Arab Emirates signed the 2020 Abraham Accords with Israel in pursuit of strategic benefits. During the Gaza war, costs are becoming clear. Abu Dhabi shows no sign of rethinking normalisation, but it might consider smaller steps to register discontent with the Israeli campaign.
Great Expectations: The Future of Iranian-Saudi Détente
Progress in restoring relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia has sputtered over a year after China brokered a rapprochement. To get it going again, the two states will need to contain disagreements while they work to advance in less political domains.
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