North Africa
Egypt’s Gaza Dilemmas
From the onset of the Gaza war, Cairo has worried about the risks it creates for Egypt, from refugee flight to economic shocks. Foreign partners should keep working for a ceasefire – the best way to prevent spillover – while pushing Egyptian officials toward reform at home.
CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker
View Latest Edition
![CW map June 2024](/sites/default/files/styles/16x9_medium/public/2024-07/Screenshot%202024-07-02%20at%2018.08.20.png?itok=wItb8sS_)
CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.
Learn more about CrisisWatchTrends for Last Month June 2024
Deteriorated Situations
South China Sea Democratic Republic of Congo Sudan Kenya Israel/Palestine Burkina Faso
Improved Situations
None
Outlook for This Month July 2024
Conflict Risk Alerts
Resolution Opportunities
None
Latest Updates
The Gaza War's Main Impacts on Egypt
In this video Riccardo Fabiani discusses how Cairo has turned the crisis somewhat to its advantage, leveraging Western fears that what is happening in Gaza could destabilise Egypt.
Egypt’s Gaza Dilemmas
From the onset of the Gaza war, Cairo has worried about the risks it creates for Egypt, from refugee flight to economic shocks. Foreign partners should keep working for a ceasefire – the best way to prevent spillover – while pushing Egyptian officials toward reform at home.
Egypt and Gaza: Cairo Talks, Sinai Fears
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s experts Riccardo Fabiani, Michael Hanna and Dareen Khalifa about the Gaza war’s economic and political fallout for Egypt.
On the Horizon: March - August 2024
This edition includes entries on Cameroon, South Sudan, Venezuela and Western Sahara, offering a snapshot into emergent conflicts and crises in the next three to six months in a clear, accessible format, identifying triggers, key dates to watch and potential behaviour of conflict actors, to support global conflict prevention efforts.
Helping Egypt Weather the Gaza War’s Impact
The Egyptian economy is under increasing strain, with the Gaza war’s effects adding to the pressure. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2024, Crisis Group identifies ways the EU can support Egypt in coping with its economic woes.
Tunisia’s Challenge: Avoiding Default and Preserving Peace
Along with democratic backsliding, Tunisia is facing an economic crunch, magnified by foreign debt it is struggling to repay. Outside actors should keep pressing the government on human rights, while looking for ways – chiefly, a revised IMF loan – to stave off the worst-case scenarios.
What Happened in Derna (Online event, 5 October 2023)
In this online event Crisis Group analyst Claudia Gazzini and CNN international correspondent Jomana Karadsheh Scott offer some preliminary considerations on what happened, what they witnessed and what could have been done to prevent this tragedy.
Subscribe to Crisis Group’s Email Updates
Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.