A majority of strategists no longer think the most famous recession indicator is reliable, new survey shows
22 of 34 strategists polled by Reuters now consider the inverted yield curve to be less reliable than before.
Cam Harvey
The godfather of the inverted yield curve warns a recession is likely coming in 2024 — and shares the 4 reasons why a downturn will be harder to avoid than last year
"No longer would I say that we can avoid completely a slowdown," says Cam Harvey.
Wall Street titans including David Rosenberg and Rob Arnott sound off on AI: What they told us about the disruptive technology — from how it will lead to 'permanent displacement' of jobs, to why it's fueling a stock-market bubble
We asked some of the biggest names on Wall Street to give their thoughts on AI's impact on the economy and markets.
The economist who discovered the inverted yield curve as a recession indicator now says his model will prove correct again as the Fed continues to hike rates — and that a downturn will strike anytime now
"It could start anytime given the lead time we've had already," says Cam Harvey about a recession.
The godfather of the inverted yield curve breaks down why his famous recession indicator with a perfect track record won't be accurate this time around
"Do I expect a recession? No," Cam Harvey told Insider. "Each episode is different, and this episode is just so different."
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One market expert says flashing recession signals mean 3 years of negative returns for stocks — but he has a strategy that could still make investors a killing
Cam Harvey, partner and senior advisor at Research Affiliates, sees the heightened risk of a recession as a perfect opportunity for value investors.