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Outlier Poll Results Are Inevitable. They’re Also Sometimes Right.
The latest Times/Siena survey shows Trump up by six points among registered voters and three among likely voters.
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The latest Times/Siena survey shows Trump up by six points among registered voters and three among likely voters.
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Deaths of infants in the state increased by 13 percent in 2022, a study found, driven by fatal birth defects.
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It starts by showing a very close race nationally and in critical battleground states.
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Election 2024 Polls: Biden vs. Trump
Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
Methodology: How The Times Calculates 2024 Polling Averages
An average of surveys may sound straightforward, but even a simple approach faces a series of choices.
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Is It Better to Rent or Buy? A Financial Calculator.
Our calculator takes the most important costs associated with buying or renting and compares the two options.
By Mike Bostock, Shan Carter, Archie Tse and
Spelling Bee Buddy: Personalized Hints That Update as You Play
Customized hints that update based on your progress in today’s puzzle.
By Neil Berg, Matthew Conlen, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Eve Washington and
WordleBot: Your Daily, Personalized Wordle Score
First, play today’s Wordle. Then come here.
By Josh Katz and
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Only around 3 percent of kindergarten teachers are men. We interviewed a dozen of them about the joys of the job and the challenges boys face today.
By Claire Cain Miller
Can you sort 8 historical events?
Chicago reversed the flow of a river. Boston put a highway underground. And New York, well, came close to enacting congestion pricing.
By Emily Badger
Inside the unusual dynamic shaping the 2024 campaign.
By Nate Cohn, Charlie Smart and Ethan Singer
Can you sort 8 historical events?
One-fifth of abortions are being done via telemedicine, nearly half in states with abortion bans or restrictions.
By Margot Sanger-Katz and Claire Cain Miller
Can you sort 8 historical events?
We reached nearly 2,000 people who participated in previous Times/Siena polls to see if any had changed their minds.
By Nate Cohn, Ruth Igielnik and Alicia Parlapiano
Can you sort 8 historical events?
He may not lose support at all, but recent backing from young and nonwhite voters might be likelier to fade.
By Nate Cohn
The Upshot’s guide helped a New Jersey man, who has some good tips of his own.
By Ben Blatt
Though he trails in the polls, President Biden has mostly held his support among white voters. Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin probably offer his clearest path to victory.
By Nate Cohn
Can you sort 8 historical events?
The New York Times is telling the stories of people who made this difficult choice. Maybe we can tell yours.
By Francesca Paris
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The Biden team faces questions of its own: Why have these voters backed away from him, and can his campaign find a way to reach them?
By Nate Cohn
The Upshot’s financial calculator has been updated with new features.
By Francesca Paris
Can you sort 8 historical events?
In polls of swing state voters, 14 percent of those who said they voted for President Biden in 2020 said they weren’t backing him now.
By Claire Cain Miller, Bianca Pallaro, Ruth Igielnik and Alicia Parlapiano
Preliminary numbers show a nearly 4 percent decrease in deaths from opioids, largely fentanyl, but a rise in deaths from meth and cocaine.
By Jan Hoffman
The mistaken belief, in a new poll, shows how even as abortion is mobilizing Democrats, confusion over the issue is also a challenge.
By Claire Cain Miller, Ruth Igielnik and Margot Sanger-Katz
Kennedy draws disproportionately from voters who usually back Democrats but have defected to Trump.
By Nate Cohn
Which polling question is asked first can matter a great deal.
By Ruth Igielnik
In four states where Biden trails among likely voters, Democratic Senate candidates are leading.
By Nate Cohn
A new set of Times/Siena polls, including one with The Philadelphia Inquirer, reveal an erosion of support for the president among young and nonwhite voters upset about the economy and Gaza.
By Nate Cohn
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We asked voters for the one thing they remembered most about the Trump era. Few of them cited major events like the pandemic and Jan. 6.
By Christine Zhang, Sean Catangui and Alex Lemonides
Can you sort 8 historical events?
The president used the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel to underscore the threat that Jewish people still face after the Holocaust.
By Reuters
People with two copies of the gene variant APOE4 are almost certain to get Alzheimer’s, say researchers, who proposed a framework under which such patients could be diagnosed years before symptoms.
By Pam Belluck
Recent studies cast doubt on whether large-scale mental health interventions are making young people better. Some even suggest they can have a negative effect.
By Ellen Barry
New research finds that the death rate among Black youths soared by 37 percent, and among Native American youths by 22 percent, between 2014 and 2020, compared with less than 5 percent for white youths.
By Emily Baumgaertner
Categorizing previous third-party bids helps us understand where he fits in and where he might wind up.
By Nate Cohn
Can you sort 8 historical events?
Seven hundred miles to the nearest clinic: how one ban will reshape access in the South.
By Josh Katz, Margot Sanger-Katz and Claire Cain Miller
The Upshot is 10 years old this week. Here’s a collection of our most distinctive work from the last decade.
By The Upshot Staff
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Can you sort 8 historical events?
Picks are likelier to be dealt than kept, as a “very strong inertia” has been replaced by complex models and frenzied swapping.
By Ben Blatt
There’s 50 percent more carbon dioxide in the air than before the Industrial Revolution.
By Aatish Bhatia
Can you sort 8 historical events?
His liabilities weren’t dominating the conversation the way they once did, perhaps helping his polling, but the trial could change things.
By Nate Cohn
Is this how one of the world’s greatest cities still deals with garbage? Larry Buchanan, one of the New York Times reporters who walked miles around the city pondering trash for this story, explains what will be required to take New York’s trash bags off the street.
By Larry Buchanan, Karen Hanley and Ruru Kuo
On a scale not seen in decades, many Americans are stuck in homes they would rather leave.
By Emily Badger and Francesca Paris
An average of recent surveys, including the Times/Siena poll, finds President Biden inching closer to Donald Trump.
By Nate Cohn
Can you sort 8 historical events?
The trend toward the Republican Party among white voters without a college degree has continued, and Democrats have lost ground among Hispanic voters, too.
By Ruth Igielnik
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Some companies discriminated against Black applicants much more than others, and H.R. practices made a big difference.
By Claire Cain Miller and Josh Katz
Yesterday’s hippies have become today’s seniors — and they’re still voting Democratic.
Can you sort 8 historical events?
A study found that when older workers in Bangladesh were given free reading glasses, they earned 33 percent more than those who had not.
By Andrew Jacobs
One Super 8 in Illinois advertised $949 a night. Its normal rate is $95.
By Ben Blatt
The evidence is strong that, all else being equal, Al Gore would have won if not for an infamous ballot design in Palm Beach County.
By Nate Cohn
Even in the world of woodworking, there are trade-offs at the intersection of policy, public safety, patents and profit.
By Ben Blatt
Can you sort 8 historical events?
Despite the explosion in ransomware hacks like the one against Change Healthcare, regulation is spotty and few new safeguards have been proposed to protect patient data, vulnerable hospitals and medical groups.
By Reed Abelson and Margot Sanger-Katz
A Times analysis used preliminary data to estimate the force of the impact on the Baltimore bridge. It involved “more energy than you can really get your mind around,” an expert said.
By Aatish Bhatia and Francesca Paris
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The vote history data supports the polling that’s showing Biden doing well among highly engaged voters but lagging overall.
By Nate Cohn
It’s now the most used abortion method.
By Margot Sanger-Katz and Claire Cain Miller
Two new studies show fast-growing use of the pills on the eve of the Supreme Court’s consideration of a case seeking to ban or restrict them.
By Pam Belluck
Assessing the level of change in partisan allegiance in recent years, as well as the president’s numbers since the State of the Union.
By Nate Cohn
Survey data shows more of them believe he acted criminally.
By Ruth Igielnik
Can you sort 8 historical events?
Despite cruising to the Democratic nomination, President Biden has faced a substantial protest vote in some primaries. The pattern can be broken into three categories.
By Christine Zhang
The more time students spent in remote instruction, the further they fell behind. And, experts say, extended closures did little to stop the spread of Covid.
By Sarah Mervosh, Claire Cain Miller and Francesca Paris
Virtually every group of voters under 70 has become less likely to register as Democrats compared with Republicans since 2019.
By Nate Cohn
Can you sort 8 historical events?
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April 8 could be your best opportunity to see a total solar eclipse for decades. But if clouds fill the sky, you may miss the spectacle.
By Josh Katz, K.K. Rebecca Lai, William B. Davis and Judson Jones
The Supreme Court effectively ended race-based admissions preferences. But will selective schools still be able to achieve diverse student bodies? Here’s how they might try.
By Aatish Bhatia and Emily Badger
Can you sort 8 historical events?
Some affluent and highly educated Republicans could be in play for Biden as Haley steps aside.
By Nate Cohn
A large study of “discordant twins,” in which only one suffered abuse or neglect, adds to evidence linking childhood trauma to adult illness.
By Ellen Barry
Donald J. Trump begins the 2024 general election campaign in the lead.
By Nate Cohn
Measures of her star power include huge jumps in attendance at road games, and the logistical planning required.
By Courtney Cox and Francesca Paris
For each additional minute spent with an electronic device, toddlers said less, heard less and had fewer back-and-forth exchanges with adults.
By Emily Baumgaertner
Times/Siena polls highlight how comparatively well-regarded Donald J. Trump’s policies are, even by groups that were affected by policies that Democrats hope will be motivating issues in 2024.
By Ruth Igielnik and Camille Baker
Donald Trump has the largest national lead in an NYT poll since first running for president in 2015.
By Nate Cohn
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Is this how one of the world's greatest cities still deals with garbage? Here’s what will be required to take New York’s trash bags off the street.
By Emily Badger and Larry Buchanan
Can you sort 8 historical events?
Why the latest NYT/Siena College survey on Saturday will include those who started the survey but didn’t finish it.
By Nate Cohn
The first nationwide count of telehealth abortions includes pills mailed to states with abortion bans by clinicians in states with shield laws.
By Claire Cain Miller and Margot Sanger-Katz
The share of Arab American and Muslim voters is small but could be decisive in a close race.
By Nate Cohn
He has underperformed the polls in each of the first three contests.
By Nate Cohn
Five months after the expiration of federal funds, running a child care business is more precarious than ever, and many parents struggle to pay tuition, surveys show.
By Claire Cain Miller
It’s not the final vote count in South Carolina that explains why the race might end so quickly. It’s the delegate count.
By Nate Cohn
Can you sort 8 historical events?
N.I.H. researchers found notable differences between the immune systems and other physiological functions of patients with ME/CFS and those of healthy patients.
By Pam Belluck
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The idea, a federal ban after 16 weeks, is not very popular — nor would it stop very many abortions.
By Claire Cain Miller and Margot Sanger-Katz
Can you sort 8 historical events?
How to understand the daily Wordle companion, which can assess your skill and help improve your results.
By Josh Katz, Toni Monkovic and Eden Weingart
Democrats claim another victory, although it doesn’t necessarily add more clarity about November.
By Nate Cohn
Democrats who aren’t fans of the president could come home when faced with a Trump presidency, just as Republicans returned to their party in the final days of the 2016 race.
By Nate Cohn
We looked into whether such a claim was merely a romantic notion.
By Ben Blatt and Francesca Paris
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