North Carolina Republican Primary Election Results
Last updated April 1, 2024
North Carolina Republican Primary Election Results
Winner
Donald J. Trump wins the North Carolina Republican primary.
Race called by The Associated Press.
Republican Primary race called
| Candidate | Votes | Percent | Delegates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump | 793,978 | 73.8% | 62 | |
| Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley | 250,838 | 23.3 | 11 | |
| Ron DeSantisR. DeSantisDeSantis | 14,740 | 1.4 | No delegates | |
| Total reported | 1,075,231 | |||
99% of delegates allocated (73 of 74) | ||||
How Republicans voted in different kinds of areas
This table shows the leading candidate in precincts based on the demographics of those areas.
| Areas that are … | Leader margin | Trump | Haley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lower-income areas | Trump +68 | 83% | 15% |
| Higher-income areas | Trump +35 | 66% | 31% |
| Areas with fewer college graduates | Trump +73 | 86% | 12% |
| Areas with more college graduates | Trump +24 | 60% | 37% |
| Rural areas | Trump +63 | 81% | 17% |
| Suburban areas | Trump +44 | 70% | 27% |
| Urban areas | Trump +34 | 65% | 31% |
| Strong Biden areas in 2020 | Trump +31 | 64% | 33% |
| Strong Trump areas in 2020 | Trump +62 | 80% | 18% |
Where votes have been reported and where votes remain
These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the vote reported so far, and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each place.
| County | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Percent of votes in | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake | 58% | 38% | 2% | >95% | ||
| Mecklenburg | 52 | 45 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Guilford | 69 | 27 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Forsyth | 67 | 29 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Union | 72 | 25 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Johnston | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Iredell | 76 | 22 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Brunswick | 72 | 26 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Davidson | 83 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Buncombe | 64 | 33 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Gaston | 77 | 21 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Cabarrus | 73 | 24 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Catawba | 75 | 22 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Henderson | 66 | 31 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Randolph | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Onslow | 81 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Rowan | 79 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Alamance | 78 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Cumberland | 82 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Moore | 73 | 24 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lincoln | 77 | 21 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Carteret | 79 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Wilkes | 85 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Craven | 78 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Rockingham | 85 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Pitt | 77 | 20 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Durham | 54 | 42 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Harnett | 84 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Cleveland | 82 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Burke | 78 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Stanly | 82 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Caldwell | 81 | 17 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Nash | 84 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Wayne | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Rutherford | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Surry | 84 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Davie | 75 | 21 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Chatham | 67 | 30 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Stokes | 84 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Franklin | 81 | 15 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Haywood | 76 | 22 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Yadkin | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Beaufort | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| McDowell | 80 | 17 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Macon | 75 | 23 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Wilson | 85 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Sampson | 88 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Alexander | 83 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Transylvania | 67 | 31 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Robeson | 90 | 9 | <1 | >95% | ||
| Cherokee | 86 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Dare | 72 | 25 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Granville | 82 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lee | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Currituck | 79 | 17 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Lenoir | 87 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Ashe | 78 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Person | 85 | 13 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Duplin | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Columbus | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Jackson | 72 | 24 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Avery | 79 | 18 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Polk | 74 | 25 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Mitchell | 79 | 17 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Pasquotank | 83 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Montgomery | 84 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Richmond | 88 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Bladen | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Madison | 79 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Clay | 81 | 16 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Halifax | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Edgecombe | 88 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Yancey | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Caswell | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hoke | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Pamlico | 81 | 17 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Alleghany | 81 | 16 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Vance | 86 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Perquimans | 83 | 14 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Scotland | 86 | 13 | <1 | >95% | ||
| Chowan | 80 | 17 | 2 | >95% | ||
| Martin | 89 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Graham | 86 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Greene | 87 | 11 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Anson | 87 | 12 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Swain | 80 | 18 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Camden | 83 | 15 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Jones | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Warren | 79 | 19 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Bertie | 88 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Gates | 87 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Washington | 90 | 8 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Northampton | 90 | 9 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Hyde | 87 | 10 | 1 | >95% | ||
| Tyrrell | 87 | 12 | <1 | >95% | ||
| New Hanover | 69 | 28 | 1 | 100% | ||
| Orange | 55 | 41 | 2 | 100% | ||
| Pender | 80 | 17 | 1 | 100% | ||
| Watauga | 66 | 30 | 2 | 100% | ||
| Hertford | 88 | 10 | 1 | 100% | ||
We stopped updating our estimates. These graphics and estimates are now showing archived data.
Live forecast
This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Read more about how it works.
Estimated margin
Trump +51
Trump +49 to Trump +52
Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley
This chart shows the range of estimates for the leading candidates’ shares of the final vote. As more votes are reported, the ranges should narrow as our statistical model becomes more confident.
How our estimates changed over time
Once a state has counted all its votes, our estimated margin and the reported margin will match. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new data, our forecast is more trustworthy.
How our final margin estimate has changed so far
Share of expected turnout reported
What’s powering our forecast right now?
Our election model makes use of three indicators in creating an estimate of the final result.
Pre-election polls
0%
Our model
0%
Actual results
100%
- Pre-election polls: At the start of the night, our estimate is based on pre-election polls, results of past elections and demographic data.
- Our model: As results come in, we compare actual results in places that have mostly completed reporting to our pre-election estimates to create a statistical model for the remaining vote.
- Actual results: As a county reports more of its vote, those actual results will gradually supersede our previous estimates.
What to expect
Polls close at 7:30 p.m. Eastern time. In the 2022 state primaries, first results were reported 8 minutes later, and the last update of the night was at 12:52 a.m. Eastern time with 99 percent of votes reported. Tuesday’s results could be reported later because of a new law that requires officials to wait until polls close to tabulate early votes.
Voters affiliated with a party were eligible to cast a ballot in that party’s primary, though unaffiliated voters could choose to vote in any party’s election. The state offered an early in-person voting period, and no excuse was required to vote absentee. Voters could return absentee ballots by mail or in person as long as they were received by the close of polls.
North Carolina is one of five states on Tuesday holding presidential primaries as well as its state primary, which will include races for state and congressional offices.
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