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2024 Presidential Election

  1. the national interest
    Biden’s Norm-Shattering Response to the Post-Debate CrisisThe problems are ethical, not just political.
    By Jonathan Chait
  2. what we know
    ABC News' George Stephanopoulos interviewing Joe Biden on July 5.
    What Happened in Biden’s High-Stakes ABC Interview?The president looked and sounded better than he did in the debate, but repeatedly dismissed and denied widespread concerns about him and his campaign.
    By Chas Danner
  3. early and often
    President Biden Delivers Remarks On The Middle East From The White House
    How Can Biden Be Replaced? A Guide to Democrats’ Next Steps.Answers to all your questions about how the Democratic Party might go about changing candidates after President Biden’s debate debacle.
    By Ed Kilgore
  4. early and often
    Donald Trump and Joe Biden on the debate stage.
    What the Polls Are Saying After the Trump-Biden DebateDo voters agree with pundits following Biden’s big debate debacle? Here, an up-to-date roundup of what they’ve told pollsters so far.
    By Chas Danner, Benjamin Hart, and Matt Stieb
  5. what we know
    Donald Trump
    Who Is on Donald Trump’s Revenge List?From Biden to Bragg to the staff of the National Archives, here’s everyone Trump may go after if he regains the powers of the presidency.
    By Chas Danner
  6. early and often
    President Biden Holds Campaign Rally In Philadelphia
    There’s No Clean Way to Replace Biden and HarrisThere’s no mechanism for forcing out the incumbents and no consensus on who should replace them. A landslide of opinion columns can’t fix that.
    By Ed Kilgore
  7. the national interest
    Biden and Harris’s Absurd Case for ComplacencyThe post-debate crisis isn’t going away, and Democrats need to make some hard political choices if they want to avoid catastrophe.
    By Jonathan Chait
  8. early and often
    US-POLITICS-BIDEN
    The Biggest Decision of Joe Biden’s LifeDemocrats aren’t going to dump Biden from the 2024 ticket against his will. But he can choose to pass the torch to his vice-president.
    By Ed Kilgore
  9. early and often
    President Biden Delivers Remarks Honoring Late Senator John McCain In Arizona
    Can Democrats Still Replace Joe Biden in the 2024 Election?While replacing Biden may be politically difficult even after his disastrous debate performance, technically it is possible right up to Election Day.
    By Ed Kilgore
  10. early and often
    President Biden Launches Black Voters for Biden-Harris Initiative During Campaign Rally
    If Biden Isn’t the Democrats’ 2024 Candidate, Harris Will BePolls show Democrats broadly like Harris, think she’s electable, and prefer her to other rising stars in the party.
    By Ed Kilgore
  11. liveblog
    Biden Stumbles in First Presidential Debate: How It HappenedBy the end, the panic from Democrats and pundits was widespread and deafening. Here’s how it all played out.
    By Intelligencer Staff
  12. early and often
    US-VOTE-DEBATE
    Could the Biden-Trump Debate Actually Be a Game Changer?Biden or Trump could make a calamitous misstep, but debates between two well-known candidates don’t usually move the needle.
    By Ed Kilgore
  13. the inside game
    US-VOTE-POLITICS-BIDEN
    What Obama Is Whispering to BidenThe presidents’ plan to save their legacy from Trump.
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  14. early and often
    Presidential Candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Speaks At The Libertarian National Convention
    RFK Jr. Misses What’s Likely His Only Shot at Debate StageTechnically, Kennedy could still make the September debate. But it will be tough, as independent candidates tend to lose momentum.
    By Ed Kilgore
  15. early and often
    J.D. Vance
    J.D. Vance VP Pick Could Solve Trump’s MAGA Succession ProblemTrump’s choice of running mate may show whether he sees MAGA as a long-term movement or simply a cult of personality.
    By Ed Kilgore
  16. early and often
    G7 Leaders Summit - Day One
    Biden Could Lose the Popular Vote and Still WinMAGA excitement about good Trump polls in blue states like Virginia misses the point that the battleground map changes and so does the electorate.
    By Ed Kilgore
  17. early and often
    Presidential Candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Speaks At The Libertarian National Convention
    Why Kennedy’s Best Polls May Overstate His SupportNon-major-party candidates almost always fade by Election Day, and Kennedy’s poll numbers may be inflated due to question order.
    By Ed Kilgore
  18. early and often
    Trump Conviction Shows There’s No 2024 Game Changer ComingAfter the Trump guilty verdict failed to shake the race, it’s time to give up on the idea that voters may suddenly turn on him.
    By Ed Kilgore
  19. poll position
    Trump vs. Biden Polls: How the Conviction Affected the RacePolls after Trump’s guilty verdict in Manhattan don’t suggest it will be a decisive factor in the election, though it’s still early.
    By Ed Kilgore
  20. early and often
    Donald Trump Holds First Rally Of 2024 Presidential Campaign
    GOP Primaries Prove Trump Has Thoroughly Dominated the PartyTrump is the first person since Richard Nixon to win three major-party nominations.
    By Ed Kilgore
  21. early and often
    US-POLITICS-JUSTICE-COURT-TRUMP
    Why Aren’t Republicans Calling on Trump to Step Aside?If the the Democrats’ candidate had just been convicted, they’d be looking for a replacement. But that’s not how the GOP cult of personality operates.
    By Ed Kilgore
  22. early and often
    Donald Trump
    What the Polls Are Saying After Trump’s ConvictionPollsters have begun measuring the potential impact of Trump’s guilty verdict on the electorate. Here’s what voters are saying thus far.
    By Chas Danner
  23. just asking questions
    America’s Most Powerful Pollster Has Some DoubtsNate Cohn on Biden’s challenges, the Times’ awesome power, and the limits of public surveys.
    By Benjamin Hart
  24. early and often
    What Are the 2024 Disaster Scenarios for Democrats and Republicans?The elections will most likely be very close, but there are still some circumstances that could lead to a blowout for either side.
    By Ed Kilgore
  25. candidate debates
    Kennedy Fights for Game-Changing Spot on the Debate StageAfraid that he can’t qualify for the June 27 debate in Atlanta, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is working the refs and making the case the rules are unfair.
    By Ed Kilgore
  26. early and often
    Biden Addresses Building Trades Union Conference After Endorsement
    Biden Needs Disengaged, Unhappy Voters to Stay HomeHigh-turnout elections used to favor Democrats. Now Trump is leading among low-propensity voters. Any Biden strategy to goose turnout may be unwise.
    By Ed Kilgore
  27. early and often
    Donald Trump Addresses Libertarian Party National Convention
    Trump Heckled, Kennedy Rejected at Libertarian ConventionTwo big-time presidential candidates got a less than warm welcome from a marginal party that could play a big role in the 2024 presidential outcome.
    By Ed Kilgore
  28. trump on trial
    Former President Donald Trump's Hush-Money Criminal Trial
    Trump Guilty Verdict Would Feed Election-Denial ClaimsThe MAGA argument that the 2024 election has already been rigged via Trump’s criminal charges would be clinched by a conviction.
    By Ed Kilgore
  29. early and often
    Donald Trump And Joe Biden Participate In Final Debate Before Presidential Election
    Is Biden Gambling Everything on an Early-Debate Bounce?There’s been speculation that Biden is desperate and might “step aside” if he can’t turn things around. This makes no sense.
    By Ed Kilgore
  30. what we know
    President Biden Delivers Remarks On Bipartisan Infrastructure Law
    Will Joe Biden Be on the Ballot in Ohio or Not?A procedural conflict in Ohio’s election law could potentially leave Biden’s name off the state’s November ballot. Here’s what we know.
    By Nia Prater
  31. early and often
    The Biden Campaign Has a Trump-Fatigue ProblemBiden needs to emphasize the risks of a second Trump term without annoying and alienating voters who are sick of hearing about him.
    By Ed Kilgore
  32. early and often
    Presidential Candidate Nikki Haley Campaigns In Massachusetts
    Why Nikki Haley Will Probably Suck It Up and Endorse TrumpHaley has a long history of ripping Trump and then finding an excuse to support him. It must happen again if she wants a political future in the GOP.
    By Ed Kilgore
  33. vision 2024
    Will Miriam Adelson Spend Her Billions on Trump Again?Sheldon’s widow is one of the richest women in the world, and she’s willing to spend her fortune to support Israel.
    By Elizabeth Weil
  34. early and often
    Democratic Presidential Candidates Debate In Las Vegas Ahead Of Nevada Caucuses
    Bernie Sanders Makes Incredibly Gloomy Case for Reelecting BidenSanders doesn’t try to convince progressives that America’s on the right track with Biden. It’s all about life being hell under Trump.
    By Ed Kilgore
  35. past is prologue
    Why a Late RFK Jr. Polling Boom Is UnlikelyThe last three independent presidential candidates who polled at over 10 percent lost momentum by Election Day.
    By Ed Kilgore
  36. early and often
    Donald Trump And Joe Biden Participate In Final Debate Before Presidential Election
    Biden to Trump: Debate Me, BroIn a rapid-fire sequence, the presidential candidates agreed to face off twice in the coming months.
    By Matt Stieb
  37. early and often
    President Trump Holds Briefing At White House
    Do Americans Remember the Actual Trump Presidency?Polls show voters have forgotten about COVID and January 6 and credit Trump with an imaginary tide of prosperity.
    By Ed Kilgore
  38. life after roe
    TOPSHOT-US-VOTE-POLITICS-KENNEDY JR.
    Not Even RFK Jr.’s Running-Mate Knows His Abortion StanceHis campaign says abortion is a “divisive issue.” Maybe that’s why he sometimes seems to be on both sides of it.
    By Ed Kilgore
  39. early and often
    US President Donald Trump visits Israel
    Republicans Want to Give Netanyahu a Blank Check“America First” conservatives are fuming at Biden for trying to limit attacks in Gaza rather than letting Israel do as it pleases.
    By Ed Kilgore
  40. early and often
    Donald Trump Campaigns In New Hampshire
    Is 2024 Election Denialism a Trump VP Litmus Test?Tim Scott showed the way by refusing to answer a question about accepting the results of the next presidential election.
    By Ed Kilgore
  41. early and often
    Donald Trump
    The Wildest Things Trump Said at His Private Mar-a-Lago Donor RetreatOver the weekend, Trump compared the Biden administration to the Gestapo and bragged he was bigger than Taylor Swift.
    By Chas Danner
  42. early and often
    Georgia's former lieutenant governor, Geoff Duncan, leaves the Lewis R. Slaton Courthouse
    Why Aren’t More Anti-Trump Republicans Endorsing Biden?It says a lot that former Georgia official Geoff Duncan is the most prominent Republican coming out for Biden in 2024.
    By Ed Kilgore
  43. early and often
    US-POLITICS-CONSERVATIVES
    Lara Trump Tees Up Another Premature Election Victory ClaimThe RNC co-chair’s absurd complaint about counting votes cast by mail lays the groundwork for more Trump election chicanery.
    By Ed Kilgore
  44. the inside game
    It’s Not 1968 to Joe BidenThe president isn’t worried about campus protests sinking the youth vote. Should he be?
    By Gabriel Debenedetti
  45. early and often
    Donald Trump Holds Rally In Wisconsin
    Are Libertarians MAGA-Adjacent Now?Trump’s speech to the Libertarian Party’s national convention will draw attention to the party’s takeover by a faction open to his transgressions.
    By Ed Kilgore
  46. poll position
    Biden and Trump–Hating Voters Aren’t Wild About RFK Jr. EitherPolling on voters alienated by both major-party candidates shows no big advantage for either and no exodus to Kennedy. They may just stay home.
    By Ed Kilgore
  47. poll position
    Trump vs. Biden Polls: Will the War in Gaza Decide the 2024 Race?While the carnage in Gaza and protests on campus are dominating the political discourse, so far that isn’t reflected in presidential polling.
    By Ed Kilgore
  48. early and often
    Trump vs. Biden Polls: Kennedy Now Threatens Both CandidatesInitially RFK Jr. was helping Trump build leads over Biden. Now the independent seems to be drawing votes equally from both major-party candidates.
    By Ed Kilgore
  49. early and often
    Speaker Johnson Joins Former President Trump At Mar-a-Lago For Announcement On Election Integrity
    Was the Ukraine Aid Bill a Trump Defeat or a Strategic Retreat?Trump stood aside as his closest allies lost a big foreign-aid fight in Congress.
    By Ed Kilgore
  50. early and often
    CARTERSVILLE, GA - NOVEMBER 26- People are seen in line to vot
    2024 Turnout May Be High Despite Apathy for Biden and TrumpThis year, voters seem unmotivated by both presidential candidates, but close elections often produce high turnout.
    By Ed Kilgore
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