Far right at 205-230 seats: Les Echos poll
And here’s another new poll, conducted for Les Echos.
This poll puts the far right National Rally at between 205 and 230 seats.
Polling has shown that the most likely scenario on Sunday is that National Rally will not win an absolute majority of seats
And here’s another new poll, conducted for Les Echos.
This poll puts the far right National Rally at between 205 and 230 seats.
Here’s a look at the polling numbers in the 6th district of Calvados, where a former prime minister, Élisabeth Borne, is competing against far right candidate Nicolas Calbrix.
An Ifop study found that Borne would take 54% in the second round, compared to 46% for Calbrix.
Meanwhile, prep is ongoing for the upcoming Paris olympics.
There’s one phrase I’ve heard repeated among voters I spoke with in Paris this morning:
“It’s a mess.”
Here is the latest projection from Ifop for France’s 577-member national assembly:
Far right National Rally: 210-240
Left wing New Popular Front: 170-200
Macron’s allies: 95-125
At another Paris metro stop, I sit next to a middle-aged woman who asked that her name not be published.
Asked about Sunday’s election, she said: “honestly, I have no trust at all. It’s always the same thing, it’s always the same debates.”
But asked if she will go vote she said “yes,” adding however that “honestly I don’t feel like voting.”
She did say she has a preference: “not the extremes, not the right, the middle.”
I’m now at a metro station in central Paris talking to commuters about how they are feeling about the election.
As she was waiting to board a train, one voter, Fatima, she is hoping the extremes won’t do well.
“I will go vote, that’s for sure – I think it’s an obligation,” she said.
She said she hopes the situation in France will be stabilised.
“I hope the extremes won’t pass,” she said.
“We try to vote for the least worst,” she added, saying that everything has been done in a hurry and there was “surprise” about this election.
Here’s another poll by Elabe for BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche, published this morning. As a reminder, 289 seats are required for an absolute majority in the national assembly.
Far right National Rally: 200-230
Left wing New Popular Front: 165-190
Macron’s allies: 120-140
It’s Friday morning, and the campaign is soon reaching its conclusion.
The far right National Rally’s Marine Le Pen appeared on Cnews – a channel critics have labelled the “French Fox News” – to urge supporters to go to the polls on Sunday.
“We have a serious chance of having an absolute majority in the national assembly,” she said.
Polling has shown, however, that the most likely scenario on Sunday is that National Rally will not win an absolute majority of seats.
Le Pen told viewers that the seats polling is not an exact science.
Good morning and welcome back to the Europe blog, coming to you today from Paris.
With the second round of the French legislative election just days away, we will be delving into the latest on the campaign trail.
Send comments and tips to lili.bayer@theguardian.com.