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LNG Use in Trucking
P. Sean Garney
Policy Analyst
American Trucking Associations
Agenda
β€’ Why Natural Gas
β€’ LNG vs CNG
β€’ Considering a change
β€’ Fueling Infrastructure
β€’ Industry Momentum
β€’ The future
Why Natural Gas?
Why Natural Gas?
β€’ Environmental Benefit
– 30% less tailpipe carbon emissions
– Compromised by well-to-wheel methane leakage
– Bridge fuel
β€’ Cost
– Represents a significant economic benefit
β€’ Fuel and Payroll are the two largest
expenditures for trucking
β€’ $4.00 per gallon
β€’ Less volatile
β€’ Movement to convert is largely driven by economic benefits
LNG vs CNG
β€’ Fuel choice is driven by scope of operations
– CNG is good for short haul, intracity, return to base
β€’ Less Dense
– Requires more storage, more tanks
– Range is compromised. Under 350mi
– More CNG infrastructure is available
β€’ No β€œboil off”
β€’ Cheaper
– LNG longer haul, regular route
β€’ More Dense
– Less storage
– Lighter tanks
β€’ Better Range. 350-900mi.
β€’ β€œBoil Off”
LNG Special Considerations
β€’ Vehicle Cost
β€’ Estimates range. 40-80K premium
β€’ Engine Type/Availability
β€’ Spark Vs Compression
β€’ Compression Pros: Power, fuel economy,
better well to wheel emission reduction
β€’ Compression Cons: Heavier, Requires
Diesel and DEF Tank, After-treatment
maintenance required, more expensive
β€’ Spark Pros: No after-treatment , Lighter, No
diesel or DEF required
β€’ Spark Cons: Less efficient, additional
maintenance
LNG Special Considerations
β€’ Weight/space penalty
β€’ Range – Up to 850 mi.
β€’ Maintenance Cost
β€’ Maintenance facility upgrades
β€’ Tax Penalty
β€’ Fuel Tax
β€’ FET
β€’ Fuel Availability
β€’ Resale
β€’ ROI
LNG ROI
β€’ ROI is dependent on
– Fleet Turnover
β€’ Many large fleets aim for 4 years
– Mileage Driven
– Fuel Price
β€’ At $3.00 diesel, economics break even
LNG’s Best Application
β€’ Hub and Spoke
– Centrally fueled
– Predictable routes
– Private refueling infrastructure
β€’ Established Freight Corridors
– Must be regular route
– Must be medium range (500-700 miles)
Fueling Infrastructure
β€’ Chicken and Egg
– Public build-out has begun
β€’ Clean Energy – 100-125 stations by end 2013
– 70 in 33 states last year (waiting for trucks)
– Many co-located at Pilot Flying J Truck Stops
β€’ TA/Shell – 200 Lanes in 100 locations
β€’ Love’s Travel Stops – Balanced CNG Distribution
approach
β€’ Encana – 1 public station, experimenting with mobile
LNG refueling
β€’ ENN – Plans for 50 stations by end of 2013
Fleet Adoption of LNG
β€’ UPS –
– April announcement 700 LNG truck purchase
– June announcement 285 additional trucks
β€’ Nine additional fueling stations
β€’ Ryder –
– 300 natural gas powered trucks
– 2 fueling stations, plans for 4 more
– Also building maintenance facilities
β€’ Waste Management
– 1,700 CNG Vehicles
β€’ Creates own Natural BioGas
Fleet Adoption
β€’ Many other fleets in the testing phase
β€’ Shipper Pressure
– Proctor & Gamble: 20% of freight hauled in next
2 years
β€’ 8 carriers under contract
– Owens Corning: 22 lanes under contract for
natural gas users
– Office Depot: Dedicated Philly to Chicago
– May shift fuel surcharge paradigm
The Future
β€’ More Engines become available
– 11.9 L 2013, 6.7 L 2015, 15L Spark 2015
β€’ More trucks will be sold (Estimates vary)
– Low case: 4% by 2017
– High case: 15% by 2017
β€’ Distant Future
– Low case: 40% by 2050
– High case: 48% by 2050.
The Future
β€’ EIA
– LNG prices 40% below diesel for Next 30 years
– Natural gas as a fuel for vehicles will rise 12% per year
through 2040
– 700,000 million bbl/day displaced by 2040
– Will be 6% of total highway energy mix by 2040
Thank You
Contact:
P. Sean Garney
703.838.8804
sgarney@trucking.org

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Lng use in trucking

  • 1. LNG Use in Trucking P. Sean Garney Policy Analyst American Trucking Associations
  • 2. Agenda β€’ Why Natural Gas β€’ LNG vs CNG β€’ Considering a change β€’ Fueling Infrastructure β€’ Industry Momentum β€’ The future
  • 4. Why Natural Gas? β€’ Environmental Benefit – 30% less tailpipe carbon emissions – Compromised by well-to-wheel methane leakage – Bridge fuel β€’ Cost – Represents a significant economic benefit β€’ Fuel and Payroll are the two largest expenditures for trucking β€’ $4.00 per gallon β€’ Less volatile β€’ Movement to convert is largely driven by economic benefits
  • 5. LNG vs CNG β€’ Fuel choice is driven by scope of operations – CNG is good for short haul, intracity, return to base β€’ Less Dense – Requires more storage, more tanks – Range is compromised. Under 350mi – More CNG infrastructure is available β€’ No β€œboil off” β€’ Cheaper – LNG longer haul, regular route β€’ More Dense – Less storage – Lighter tanks β€’ Better Range. 350-900mi. β€’ β€œBoil Off”
  • 6. LNG Special Considerations β€’ Vehicle Cost β€’ Estimates range. 40-80K premium β€’ Engine Type/Availability β€’ Spark Vs Compression β€’ Compression Pros: Power, fuel economy, better well to wheel emission reduction β€’ Compression Cons: Heavier, Requires Diesel and DEF Tank, After-treatment maintenance required, more expensive β€’ Spark Pros: No after-treatment , Lighter, No diesel or DEF required β€’ Spark Cons: Less efficient, additional maintenance
  • 7. LNG Special Considerations β€’ Weight/space penalty β€’ Range – Up to 850 mi. β€’ Maintenance Cost β€’ Maintenance facility upgrades β€’ Tax Penalty β€’ Fuel Tax β€’ FET β€’ Fuel Availability β€’ Resale β€’ ROI
  • 8. LNG ROI β€’ ROI is dependent on – Fleet Turnover β€’ Many large fleets aim for 4 years – Mileage Driven – Fuel Price β€’ At $3.00 diesel, economics break even
  • 9. LNG’s Best Application β€’ Hub and Spoke – Centrally fueled – Predictable routes – Private refueling infrastructure β€’ Established Freight Corridors – Must be regular route – Must be medium range (500-700 miles)
  • 10. Fueling Infrastructure β€’ Chicken and Egg – Public build-out has begun β€’ Clean Energy – 100-125 stations by end 2013 – 70 in 33 states last year (waiting for trucks) – Many co-located at Pilot Flying J Truck Stops β€’ TA/Shell – 200 Lanes in 100 locations β€’ Love’s Travel Stops – Balanced CNG Distribution approach β€’ Encana – 1 public station, experimenting with mobile LNG refueling β€’ ENN – Plans for 50 stations by end of 2013
  • 11. Fleet Adoption of LNG β€’ UPS – – April announcement 700 LNG truck purchase – June announcement 285 additional trucks β€’ Nine additional fueling stations β€’ Ryder – – 300 natural gas powered trucks – 2 fueling stations, plans for 4 more – Also building maintenance facilities β€’ Waste Management – 1,700 CNG Vehicles β€’ Creates own Natural BioGas
  • 12. Fleet Adoption β€’ Many other fleets in the testing phase β€’ Shipper Pressure – Proctor & Gamble: 20% of freight hauled in next 2 years β€’ 8 carriers under contract – Owens Corning: 22 lanes under contract for natural gas users – Office Depot: Dedicated Philly to Chicago – May shift fuel surcharge paradigm
  • 13. The Future β€’ More Engines become available – 11.9 L 2013, 6.7 L 2015, 15L Spark 2015 β€’ More trucks will be sold (Estimates vary) – Low case: 4% by 2017 – High case: 15% by 2017 β€’ Distant Future – Low case: 40% by 2050 – High case: 48% by 2050.
  • 14. The Future β€’ EIA – LNG prices 40% below diesel for Next 30 years – Natural gas as a fuel for vehicles will rise 12% per year through 2040 – 700,000 million bbl/day displaced by 2040 – Will be 6% of total highway energy mix by 2040
  • 15. Thank You Contact: P. Sean Garney 703.838.8804 sgarney@trucking.org