Natural gas is on track to overtake oil as the world's primary energy source by the mid-2020s. Global LNG production is expected to increase substantially, from 250 million tonnes per year in 2016 to around 630 million tonnes per year by 2050. This will be driven by growing demand, especially in China and other Asian markets, as well as the diversification of LNG supply sources from countries like the US, Australia, Russia, and new producers in Africa.
The document provides an overview of the global LNG fleet market from 2010-2030. It analyzes market size and trends in LNG carriers, FSRUs, and FLNGs. The global LNG fleet has grown significantly due to increasing LNG trade and production. At the end of 2014, the fleet included over 500 vessels totaling over 70 million cubic meters in capacity. The LNG orderbook currently represents 40% of the existing fleet. The report also profiles major companies in the LNG fleet industry such as GTT, Höegh LNG Holdings, and Teekay LNG Partners.
New base 06 february 2021 energy news issue 1403 by khaled al awadiKhaled Al Awadi
NewBase 06 February 2021 Energy News issue - 1403 by Khaled Al AwadiNewBase 06 February 2021 Energy News issue - 1403 by Khaled Al AwadiNewBase 06 February 2021 Energy News issue - 1403 by Khaled Al Awadi
The document discusses natural gas supplies and infrastructure in Europe. It notes that while Europe has significant regasification capacity for liquefied natural gas (LNG), much of this capacity remains unused. It also notes that Russia currently supplies a large amount of the gas used in Europe. There is potential to diversify supplies through increased use of LNG terminals and infrastructure investments, but this would require large capital expenditures. The document also discusses Poland's shale gas resources and efforts to develop regulations to increase hydrocarbon extraction.
El periodico mas importante del mundo con informacion de la industria minero energetico, Platts Oilgram News, propiedad del gruppo McGraw Hills, en un articulo sobre los ataques contra la industria petrolera en Colobia, toma como fuente a Agora Consultorias
Presentation at GIOGIE 2014 (Georgian International Oil, Infrastructure and Energy Conference) on Oil in Georgia.
By Wolfgang Nachtmann, Business Development, MND Georgia
Understanding natural gas and lng options october 11 2017 1FAS
This document provides an introduction to understanding natural gas and LNG options. It discusses how recent large natural gas discoveries in Africa have focused attention on developing LNG export projects, which are essential to monetizing these resources. Developing an LNG export project alongside reserving gas for domestic use can enable gas-fueled economic development while also generating revenue from exports. LNG exports and imports have the potential to stimulate economic growth, infrastructure investment, and power markets across Africa.
The document provides updates on three natural gas projects and one propane project in British Columbia:
1) TransCanada's Prince Rupert Gas Transmission project has signed an agreement with 12 Gitxsan Nation hereditary chiefs, and now has agreements with 13 First Nations total.
2) Aurora LNG has submitted its environmental assessment application for its proposed LNG facility on Digby Island near Prince Rupert.
3) AltaGas has approved construction of a propane extraction plant in northeastern BC to supply its proposed export terminal at Prince Rupert.
4) The Canadian government approved expansion of the NOVA Gas Transmission pipeline system in western Canada.
This document provides a market analysis of the liquefied gas industry through 2030. It discusses the growth of the LPG and LNG fleets from 1996 to 2013. It also examines the four markets that comprise the seaborne gas trade: the freight market, sale and purchase market, new building market, and demolition market. The document concludes that gas is a clean fuel with high future demand potential, and there are abundant reserves that can meet demand through 2030 using both conventional and unconventional extraction methods.
[Asian Steel Watch] Vol.3 (2017.6)
On the Cover
Will the Shipbuilding Industry Flourish Again?
The shipbuilding industry will be recovered in the long term backed by global economic growth and highly influenced by environmental issues and technological advances. Under strict environmental regulations, demand for eco-friendly ships will rise. Ships will be required to use low-sulfur fuel oil. A wide range of technologies will bring about differentiated and innovative types of ships. Under the influence of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, remotely controlled or fully autonomous ships will become available in the future. Emerging technology will not only change ships, but also shipyards and the shipping and port industries. The changing steel industry will result in qualitative changes of steel products. As vessels become larger and lighter, the steel intensity of ship’s tonnage will fall continuously, and then decline even further following the rise of electric propulsion, unmanned, and autonomous ships.
GAO Report 14-667 on Need for Possible Federal Regulation of Small Natural Ga...Marcellus Drilling News
A report from the U.S. Government Accountability Office titled "OIL AND GAS TRANSPORTATION: Department of Transportation Is Taking Actions to Address Rail Safety, but Additional Actions Are Needed to Improve Pipeline Safety." The report recommends the federal government get involved with regulating smaller gathering pipelines used to connect natural gas and oil wells to larger pipelines. Those lines are now either not regulated, or regulated by the individual states.
India is experiencing high demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to a growing economy and increasing energy needs. Domestic gas production is declining and unable to meet demand, which is projected to rise substantially by 2021-22. As a result, India has increasingly relied on LNG imports, which are expected to rise to over 70 million metric tons per year by 2019-20. Several new LNG import terminals are planned on both the west and east coasts of India to facilitate higher LNG imports and meet rising demand across sectors like power, fertilizer, city gas, and industry.
Oil and gas infrastructure of Georgia: ongoing and prospective projectsITE Oil&Gas
Presentation at GIOGIE 2014 (Georgian International Oil, Infrastructure and Energy Conference) on oil and gas infrastructures of Georgia.
By Teimuraz Gochitashvili, Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Georgian Oil and Gas Corporation (GOGC)
MARS Meeting Summer 2015-North American Energy Revolution-Implications for RailPLG Consulting
This presentation features an overview of the North American energy market with updates on PLG's Crude by Rail And Frac Sand Market report. PLG's expert analysis included market intelligence on the small covered hopper market and the U.S. industrial expansion from the shale gas production increase.
Gas Market Outlook & LNG Business Fundamentalsenalytica
An overview of global natural gas markets and the fundamentals of the LNG business, presented to the Legislative Budget and Audit Committee of the Alaska State Legislature on January 28, 2014
This document summarizes key logistical challenges that could impact petrochemical engineering project timelines. It notes that logistics capacity constraints will increase over the next decade due to rail, trucking, and marine congestion. Both project and operational logistics require expertise to navigate these challenges. The document recommends integrating logistics experts throughout the project life cycle to provide flexibility and avoid cost overruns from unforeseen logistical issues.
Highbank Resources Ltd. has arranged a $100,000 demand loan to fund care and maintenance of its Swamp Point North aggregate project as well as audit fees and sustaining costs. In exchange for the loan, the company will issue 400,000 bonus shares. Updates from the Prince Rupert region include construction of work camps for the AltaGas propane terminal project and a $6.9 million waterworks contract. Petronas may consider using Shell's abandoned Ridley Island site for its proposed LNG project. Additionally, the Gitga'at Nation and Kitselas First Nation have signed LNG benefits agreements.
This document summarizes financing trends in the global LNG infrastructure industry from 2016-2017 according to a report by Poten & Partners. It finds that liquefaction projects received the largest share of funding, though results are skewed by the large Yamal LNG project. Project finance continues to be a major source of funding. Key lenders include commercial banks, export credit agencies, and development banks. Shipping companies raise funds through corporate finance, leasing, project finance and capital markets for LNG carriers, FSRUs and FLNG vessels.
Shell and BP have signed deals to supply Kuwait with liquefied natural gas (LNG) over the next 5-6 years, totaling around 2.5 million tonnes annually. Kuwait needs to import more LNG each summer due to surging air conditioning demand and a lack of domestic gas supply. Spike Exploration has participated in four exploration wells in the UK and Norway, all of which encountered oil and gas, including a discovery in Norway called Pil that tested a production rate of 6,700 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
PLG Consulting’s CEO, Graham Brisben presented his presentation Shale Developments: The Evolving Transportation Impacts to the Broe Group on June 23, 2014.
This document provides an overview of GE's Power Conversion business and its innovative technology solutions for the LNG value chain. GE has over 120 years of experience in the energy industry and more than 25 years of global experience in LNG projects. It offers a range of technologies including medium voltage drives, rotating machines, power management systems, and grid integration solutions to help maximize LNG production and optimize lifecycle costs. GE takes a systems approach and provides customized solutions tailored to each customer's specific needs and requirements.
The document discusses trends in the oil and gas market and natural gas/renewable energy forecasts through 2040. It then focuses on liquefied natural gas (LNG), describing what LNG is, its key applications, the state and forecast of the LNG industry, pricing, production economics, exports/imports by country, trade volumes, liquefaction plants/capacity by country/region, technologies, emerging markets, and transportation. The United States is projected to become a net exporter of LNG in 2016 and of natural gas overall in 2021 as increased domestic production and exports outweigh imports and domestic use.
LNG Supply System for Nuclear Plant- Cunico CorpCunico Corp
Within 10 years the majority of shipping vessels will run on LNG...a cleaner, alternative fuel source. The newest innovation in LNG carrier engine design, M-type, electronically controlled, gas injection (ME-GI) engines, optimize the capability of slow speed engines by running directly off BOG (removing the need to reliquefy the gas) or utilizing fuel oil, and ME-GI propulsion results in less fuel consumption.
Environmental legislation is currently impacting the marine market segment. Ships were traditionally powered by Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO), which produces high levels of harmful pollutants. LNG is one of the only fuel source able to comply with the environmental legislation.
One of my last article about Global LNG Industry which was used as PR material for FSRU Asia Summit 2016, http://www.fsrusummit.com/ The original article can be read in this link https://energyroutes.eu/2016/05/08/global-lng-market-trends-and-future-outlook/
In 2015, global LNG trade reached a record high 244.8 MT, surpassing the previous record set in 2011. Several new liquefaction plants contributed 6 MT of new supply, offsetting declines from existing exporters like Yemen, Angola, and Egypt. Four new countries - Egypt, Jordan, Pakistan, and Poland - began LNG imports. The Middle East remained the largest exporting region but its market share fell as new supply came online from Australia and Asia-Pacific. Significant new export capacity is set to come online in the Pacific Basin over the next two years. Asia is still expected to be the largest driver of demand growth but began showing signs of weakness in 2015. New supplies and lower oil prices will put downward pressure
RasGas Company Limited signed a three-year agreement to supply liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Qatar to E.ON's Isle of Grain terminal in the UK. The contract has the potential to supply up to two billion cubic meters of LNG over its term. E.ON regards Qatar as a priority country in expanding its global LNG business. Qatar currently supplies LNG to 26 of the 29 importing countries and accounts for 33% of global LNG supply. Global LNG demand is expected to double in the next 10 years but new supply projects face challenges that could delay or cancel some projects, keeping the LNG market tight.
This document provides an overview and highlights from the 2021 IGU World LNG Report. It summarizes that global LNG trade increased slightly in 2020 despite COVID-19 impacts. Asia Pacific and Asia accounted for over 70% of global LNG imports. LNG spot prices were volatile in 2020. While liquefaction capacity increased by 20 MTPA in the US, several other projects faced delays due to the pandemic. The LNG shipping and regasification industries also continued expanding in 2020.
The document discusses proposed liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects in British Columbia that could represent over $150 billion in investment. It outlines six proposed LNG terminals located in Prince Rupert and Kitimat with a total capacity of 96.7 million tonnes per annum. Three major pipelines totalling over 2,700 km would need to be built to transport natural gas from the fields to the terminals. The large infrastructure investment required and growing Asian demand for LNG could spark a major investment and construction boom, benefiting Canadian energy and construction companies involved in building the terminals and pipelines.
Pakistan faces significant energy shortages as demand outpaces supply. The country relies heavily on expensive imported oil and gas, rather than domestic coal and hydropower. To address the energy crisis, the plan proposes exploring and developing Pakistan's domestic energy resources, including 1,250 MTOE of oil and gas and 1,540 MTOE of coal. It also aims to boost renewable energy like hydro and wind. Key strategies include developing coal resources like Thar, importing LNG, and pursuing gas pipeline projects with Iran and Turkmenistan to diversify Pakistan's energy mix and reduce reliance on expensive imports.
Report: LNG and Renewable Power: Risk and Opportunity in a Changing WorldMarcellus Drilling News
A report titled "LNG and Renewable Power: Risk and Opportunity in a Changing World" from The Brattle Group. The report finds that competition between renewable power and gas-fired generation using liquefied natural gas (LNG) from North America is increasing in overseas markets as a result of declining renewable power costs. It has significant ramifications for many LNG export projects now on the books.
Global LNG Navigating Risks in a Dynamic MarketCTRM Center
Liquified natural gas (LNG) has been a traded commodity for more than a century. But only in the last couple of decades has the market expanded to meet the ever-increasing demand for energy, through low carbon emissions energy sources. With the development of the massive Qatar LNG facilities in the mid-1990s and the increasing demand for imported gas, global LNG trading has grown from about 50 MTPA in 1990 to more than 350 MTPA in 2020.
Most energy commodities struggled with lower trade and consumption volumes under the pandemic-induced industrial shutdowns in 2020. LNG trade was, however, up slightly at 0.4% during the year, continuing its uninterrupted streak of year-over-year growth since 1996. However, that growth was far below rates in the preceding years which averaged 7% since 2004.
LNG is large growth market as more and more countries look at alternatives to coal for electrical power generation. There are two large players fighting it out in the LNG market and that is United States and Russia.
NewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi_compresse...Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docxNewBase 31 August 2023 Energy News issue - 1652 by Khaled Al Awadi.docx
The document summarizes key discussions from the 4th Annual Asia Pacific Small & Mid-Scale LNG Forum held in Singapore in 2015. It discusses how the Asia Pacific region is well-suited for small and mid-scale LNG developments given its diverse geography and energy needs. Specific topics covered include the impact of lower oil prices on LNG, challenges in unlocking stranded gas resources, Indonesia and the Philippines emerging as major small-scale LNG markets, and transport and power generation opportunities for small-scale LNG.
BP natural gas partner including trinidad chinaSteve Wittrig
BP worked in partnership with governments and companies around the world to develop natural gas resources and connect new supplies to growing markets. Some key partnerships included:
1) Developing Trinidad and Tobago's large natural gas reserves and helping build the country into a major LNG exporter over 45 years.
2) Leading the world's largest project to store carbon dioxide underground in Algeria, reducing emissions from natural gas production.
3) Setting new standards for environmental and social responsibility in constructing an LNG facility in remote and biodiverse Indonesia.
4) Partnering with Chinese companies to develop China's first LNG import terminal and meet growing demand for cleaner energy.
The document summarizes key developments in the global LNG industry in 2010. LNG trade volumes grew by a record 41 million tonnes to nearly 224 million tonnes. Four new liquefaction trains were commissioned, increasing global liquefaction capacity by 10% to 271 million tonnes per annum. Five new LNG receiving terminals began operations, raising global regasification capacity by 71% since 2005 to 572 million tonnes per annum. Qatar remains the largest LNG exporter, supplying over a quarter of global volumes, while the number of importing and exporting countries continues to rise.
1) The LNG market is experiencing significant changes due to factors like the US shale gas revolution, growing global LNG demand, and changes in LNG supply sources.
2) Japanese LNG buyers will seek more flexible procurement options due to electricity market liberalization, and a new model combining long-term contracts and spot purchases is expected to emerge.
3) Countries are working to integrate separated gas markets and develop LNG trading hubs, as initiatives in Singapore, China, and Japan show. The document outlines Japan's strategy to create a flexible LNG market and develop an LNG trading hub.
The global hydrogen sector is growing rapidly, with many new government strategies and private sector investments. However, progress in deploying clean hydrogen production and expanding hydrogen end-uses is still too slow to support the goal of net zero emissions by 2050. Electrolyzer capacity is growing but remains far below levels needed by 2030. Projects for hydrogen from fossil fuels with CCUS are increasing but most capacity is still in a few countries. Use of hydrogen in transport is expanding but volumes remain small overall. Significant additional policy and financial support is needed from governments to scale up clean hydrogen supply and demand across sectors to put the industry on track for net zero.
To help navigate current and future uncertainty and disruptive change, while effectively delivering on its mandate, UNEP has been implementing an institutionalized approach to strategic foresight and horizon scanning with the view to developing an anticipatory and future-oriented culture. This mirrors the growing interest and demand for foresight that is also reinforced by the United Nations reform agenda and the Secretary-General’s report on ‘Our Common Agenda’, which calls for all UN agencies, as well as all UN member states, to engage foresight practices more deeply and apply the derived insights to address global systemic risks. This process has culminated in the development of the present report “Navigating New Horizons – A Global Foresight Report on Planetary Health and Human Wellbeing”, produced by UNEP in collaboration with the International Science Council. The report calls for the world to pay heed and respond to a range of emerging challenges that could disrupt planetary health and wellbeing. It presents insights on eight critical global shifts that are accelerating the triple planetary crisis of climate change, biodiversity and nature loss and pollution and waste. Eighteen signals of change – identified by hundreds of global experts and distilled through regional and stakeholder consultations that included youth – offer a glimpse into potential disruptions, both positive and negative, that the world needs to keep a watching brief on. The report outlines how to create an enabling environment for better decision-making by creating a new social contract, embracing agile and adaptive governance, and increasing integrated accessible data and knowledge. The report offers a stark reminder of the interconnectedness and fragility of our systems in the 21st Century and warns that prioritizing short-term gains over anticipatory action and preparedness jeopardizes long-term prosperity and planetary health. However, it also points to the tremendous potential and human ingenuity that can be leveraged in the spirit of discovery and cooperation to deliver solutions across the triple crisis. The outcomes of the report will be integrated into UNEP’s strategic planning, potentially influencing the next UNEP Medium-Term Strategy, presenting an opportunity to consider expanding programmes in areas like artificial intelligence, new technology, and robotics in agriculture, prompting discussions on the level of engagement in these issues. This will ultimately serve UNEP in adopting a proactive posture and modernize tools for efficiency and cost savings. Furthermore, the report will serve as UNEPs contribution to the Summit of the Future. While it is not expected to substantively influence the Summit of the Future as such, it will serve to provide inputs into the preparatory discussions and events, including the High-level Political Forum, in the lead-up to the Summit of the Future as they relate to environmental dimensions.
FT author
Amanda Chu
US Energy Reporter
PREMIUM
June 20 2024
Good morning and welcome back to Energy Source, coming to you from New York, where the city swelters in its first heatwave of the season.
Nearly 80 million people were under alerts in the US north-east and midwest yesterday as temperatures in some municipalities reached record highs in a test to the country’s rickety power grid.
In other news, the Financial Times has a new Big Read this morning on Russia’s grip on nuclear power. Despite sanctions on its economy, the Kremlin continues to be an unrivalled exporter of nuclear power plants, building more than half of all reactors under construction globally. Read how Moscow is using these projects to wield global influence.
Today’s Energy Source dives into the latest Statistical Review of World Energy, the industry’s annual stocktake of global energy consumption. The report was published for more than 70 years by BP before it was passed over to the Energy Institute last year. The oil major remains a contributor.
Data Drill looks at a new analysis from the World Bank showing gas flaring is at a four-year high.
Thanks for reading,
Amanda
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New report offers sobering view of the energy transition
Every year the Statistical Review of World Energy offers a behemoth of data on the state of the global energy market. This year’s findings highlight the world’s insatiable demand for energy and the need to speed up the pace of decarbonisation.
Here are our four main takeaways from this year’s report:
Fossil fuel consumption — and emissions — are at record highs
Countries burnt record amounts of oil and coal last year, sending global fossil fuel consumption and emissions to all-time highs, the Energy Institute reported. Oil demand grew 2.6 per cent, surpassing 100mn barrels per day for the first time.
Meanwhile, the share of fossil fuels in the energy mix declined slightly by half a percentage point, but still made up more than 81 per cent of consumption.
The Big Oil Reality Check report finds that the climate pledges and plans of 8 international oil and gas companies fail to align with international agreements to phase out fossil fuels and to limit global temperature rise to 1.5ºC.
Publication May 2021
IEA publication, May 2024
Critical minerals, which are essential for a range of clean energy technologies, have risen up the policy agenda in recent years due to increasing demand, volatile price movements, supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical concerns. The dynamic nature of the market necessitates greater transparency and reliable information to facilitate informed decision-making, as underscored by the request from Group of Seven (G7) ministers for the IEA to produce medium- and long-term outlooks for critical minerals.
The Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2024 follows the IEA’s inaugural review of the market last year. It provides a snapshot of industry developments in 2023 and early 2024 and offers medium- and long-term outlooks for the demand and supply of key energy transition minerals based on the latest technology and policy trends.
The report also assesses key risks to the reliability, sustainability and diversity of critical mineral supply chains and analyses the consequences for policy and industry stakeholders. It will be accompanied by an updated version of the Critical Minerals Data Explorer, an interactive online tool that allows users to explore the latest IEA projections.
Science Publication
Global projections of macroeconomic climate-change damages typically consider
impacts from average annual and national temperatures over long time horizons1–6
.
Here we use recent empirical fndings from more than 1,600 regions worldwide over
the past 40 years to project sub-national damages from temperature and precipitation,
including daily variability and extremes7,8
. Using an empirical approach that provides
a robust lower bound on the persistence of impacts on economic growth, we fnd that
the world economy is committed to an income reduction of 19% within the next
26 years independent of future emission choices (relative to a baseline without
climate impacts, likely range of 11–29% accounting for physical climate and empirical
uncertainty). These damages already outweigh the mitigation costs required to limit
global warming to 2 °C by sixfold over this near-term time frame and thereafter diverge
strongly dependent on emission choices. Committed damages arise predominantly
through changes in average temperature, but accounting for further climatic
components raises estimates by approximately 50% and leads to stronger regional
heterogeneity. Committed losses are projected for all regions except those at very
high latitudes, at which reductions in temperature variability bring benefts. The
largest losses are committed at lower latitudes in regions with lower cumulative
historical emissions and lower present-day income.
Science Publication: The atlas of unburnable oil for supply-side climate poli...Energy for One World
Nature Communication, Publication 2024
To limit the increase in global mean temperature to 1.5 °C, CO2 emissions must
be drastically reduced. Accordingly, approximately 97%, 81%, and 71% of
existing coal and conventional gas and oil resources, respectively, need to
remain unburned. This article develops an integrated spatial assessment
model based on estimates and locations of conventional oil resources and
socio-environmental criteria to construct a global atlas of unburnable oil. The
results show that biodiversity hotspots, richness centres of endemic species,
natural protected areas, urban areas, and the territories of Indigenous Peoples
in voluntary isolation coincide with 609 gigabarrels (Gbbl) of conventional oil
resources. Since 1524 Gbbl of conventional oil resources are required to be left
untapped in order to keep global warming under 1.5 °C, all of the above-
mentioned socio-environmentally sensitive areas can be kept entirely off-
limits to oil extraction. The model provides spatial guidelines to select
unburnable fossil fuels resources while enhancing collateral socio-
environmental benefits.
This document is a report from the Inter-agency Task Force on Financing for Development summarizing the current state of financing for sustainable development. It finds financing gaps have increased to $4 trillion annually for developing countries. Progress on reducing poverty and hunger has stalled or reversed in some cases. Many developing economies face high debt burdens, exacerbating financing challenges. The report calls for $500 billion in additional annual investments in sustainable development and climate action through measures like development bank reforms, debt relief for vulnerable countries, and international financial system reforms to better support developing countries in achieving the SDGs. It will help inform discussions at the upcoming Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development.
Canadian Immigration Tracker - Key Slides - May 2024.pdfAndrew Griffith
Highlights
Permanent Residents increased but percentage of TR2PR slipped to 53 percent of all Permanent Residents.
Asylum claimants stable at about 16,000 per month.
Study permit applications increased (seasonal). Study permit web interests have declined by over 25 percent the past year, January to June).
IMP numbers have increased while TFWP numbers have decreased save for those with LMIA.
Citizenship numbers increased.
Slide 3 has the overall numbers and change.
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019Partito democratico
DI SEGUITO SONO PUBBLICATI, AI SENSI DELL'ART. 11 DELLA LEGGE N. 3/2019, GLI IMPORTI RICEVUTI DALL'ENTRATA IN VIGORE DELLA SUDDETTA NORMA (31/01/2019) E FINO AL MESE SOLARE ANTECEDENTE QUELLO DELLA PUBBLICAZIONE SUL PRESENTE SITO
Accounting Basics For Clerks And RFOs (UPDATED 2024)Scribe
Welcome to our comprehensive webinar on local government finance tailored specifically for clerks and Responsible Financial Officers (RFOs). Presented by Hannah Driver, this session covers the essential accounting principles and practices necessary for managing the financial affairs of parish and town councils.
Agenda Highlights:
1. Introduction to Local Council Accounting
Understanding the role and responsibilities of parish (town) councils.
Key considerations: transparency, efficient service provision, precept setting, and reserve management.
2. Responsibilities of the RFO
Proper financial procedures and internal controls.
Reporting requirements and completion of the AGAR.
3. Choosing the Right Accounting Approach
Receipts & Payments vs. Income & Expenditure.
Guidelines based on council size and transition requirements.
4. Maintaining Good Financial Procedures
Importance of the cashbook and its structure.
Regular recording, audit trails, and bank reconciliations.
5. VAT Handling
Procedures for VAT registered and non-registered councils.
Making Tax Digital (MTD) requirements and VAT claim processes.
6. Year-End Procedures & The AGAR
Detailed breakdown of AGAR sections.
Completing accounting statements and ensuring compliance.
7. Asset Register & Reserves Management
Recording and managing council assets.
Types of reserves: General, Earmarked, and Capital Reserves.
8. Helpful Resources & Final Tips
Essential guides and support networks for clerks.
Importance of regular updates and networking for best practices.
Helpful Resources:
JPAG Practitioners Guide
SLCC, NALC, Local ALCs
Facebook Group ‘The Clerks’ Corner’
Find Out More:
Visit our website for more details: Scribe Accounts
Request a free demo: Free Demo Request
Thank you for joining us in this informative session. Stay tuned for more webinars and resources to help you manage your council's finances efficiently.
Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more content on local government finance and accounting!
#LocalGovernment #FinanceWebinar #AccountingBasics #Clerks #RFOs #LocalCouncil #ScribeAccounts #FinancialManagement #VAT #AGAR #AssetRegister #ReservesManagement
Women's Empowerment in Agrifood Governance (WEAGov) training coursejkyle5
Slides from a training course on implementing the Women's Empowerment in Agrifood Governance (WEAGov) tool by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
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DNV report: How LNG takes shape
1. Naturalgasisontracktoovertakeoilastheworld’sprimaryenergysourcebythemiddle
of the next decade. Much of this expected increase in gas supply will be delivered to
market as liquefied natural gas (LNG). In fact, DNV GL estimates that global LNG
production will increase from 250 million tonnes per year (mt/yr) in 2016 to around
630mt/yrby2050.1
This report explores the key issues driving LNG’s
increasingly important role in global energy markets,
and showcases findings from three of DNV GL’s primary
research and forecasting projects – the 2019 LNG
Market Survey, the 2019 Oil and Gas Industry Outlook
Survey and the 2018 Energy Transition Outlook – plus
in-depth interviews with industry leaders.
We present several findings relating to the diversification
of LNG supply sources, and rapidly increasing demand,
as well as the new dynamics in play in global gas
markets, including:■
■ The majority of LNG-focused oil and gas
professionals (85%) believes several new LNG
infrastructure projects will need to be initiated in
2019 to ensure supply can meet demand post 2025■
■ Seven in ten (69%) believe price uncertainty is limiting
investment in LNG mega-projects■
■ Nearly three-quarters (72%) believe LNG buyers
need more flexibility in LNG contracts (e.g. to
reduce volumes, shorten tenures, and change
delivery locations).
1 Energy Transition Outlook 2018, DNV GL: http://bit.ly/2HeQLLg
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
THE LNG ERA
TAKES SHAPE
The outlook for the LNG market
2. Countries in which respondents expect the greatest
growth in LNG exports over the next three years
New nations are also looking to develop LNG export
capabilities, particularly in Africa. ExxonMobil, Anadarko
and Eni are leading the development of several projects
in Mozambique,8
while BP is leading the ultra-deepwater
Tortue project, which will see Senegal and Mauritania
become LNG exporters from 2022.9
“Competition in the gas markets is more intense than
ever, with several regions now competing in the LNG
space,” says Hans Coenen, vice president for corporate
business development at Gasunie, which owns
the national natural gas transmission network in
the Netherlands.
At the same time, transnational gas pipelines remain
a strong competitor with LNG supply for a number of
reasons, including cost, accessibility, and reliability.
However, with natural gas overall expected to overtake
oil to become the world’s primary energy source in the
mid-2020s – and with global gas demand not set to
peak until 2034 – there is ample scope for LNG and
pipeline gas to grow together, albeit with LNG expanding
at a faster rate.10
The globalization of gas
Historically, global gas supply has been dominated by
two major pipeline exporters (Russia and Norway) and
one major LNG exporter (Qatar). But, since 2014, other
sources have grown in prominence, most notably US
shale and Australian offshore fields.
Much of this market diversification has been driven
by new LNG routes to growing consumer markets.
According to our survey of more than 290 LNG-focused
oil and gas professionals, the US is expected to have
to deliver the biggest growth in LNG exports over the
next three years. The expansion of the Panama Canal in
2016 has been key to connecting US LNG to consumer
markets in Asia. More recently, the easing of LNG
transit restrictions through the canal in 2018 has
opened up even more slots for LNG shippers.2
Many nations are initiating or expanding investment
in LNG export capacity. This includes major projects
by established LNG exporters, for example: the four
new liquefaction facilities under construction in the US
(Corpus Christi, Cameron, Sabine Pass and Freeport3
);
the development of the Barossa, Scarborough and
Browse fields in Australia (as well as the deployment
of Shell’s Prelude floating LNG vessel off Western
Australia);4
and Qatar’s plans to increase LNG capacity
by 43% over the next five years by investing in four
new LNG trains.5
Other oil and gas-producing nations are targeting
a bigger slice of the LNG market. For example, in
October 2018, a Shell-led consortium announced
the development of a major LNG project in British
Columbia, Canada, which benefits from being a
relatively short shipping distance to North Asia.6
At the Yamal project in Russia, meanwhile, operations
commenced at a third LNG train, with a fourth to be
commissioned in 2019, which would bring capacity at
the nation’s largest LNG project to 17.5 mt/yr 7
“Competition in the gas markets is more
intense than ever, with several regions
now competing in the LNG space.”
Hans Coenen, vice president, corporate business
development, Gasunie
11%36%
US AustraliaRussia
9%
Qatar
DNV GL’s 2018 Energy Transition Outlook – which forecasts
global energy markets to 2050 – estimates that global LNG
production will increase from 250 mt/yr in 2016 to around
630 mt/yr in 2050.
The model forecasts an average 2.5% annual rise in global
seaborne natural gas trade – LNG and liquid petroleum gas
combined – from 391 mt/yr in 2020 to around 780 mt/yr in 2050.
Gas transport as LNG is expected to grow faster than pipeline
transport, with the share of gas transported as LNG to grow from
30% today to 45% by 2040.
Conventional gas from the Middle East and North Africa, and
unconventional gas from North America is forecast to account
for 70% of LNG liquefaction capacity in 2050.
Growth in LNG production and trade
16%
250
30%
600
45%
Global LNG production forecast
Forecast share of gas transport as LNG
Global seaborne natural gas trade forecast
Top two regions for liquefaction capacity in 2050
2018
2050
(mt/yr)
2018
2040
North America's share of global
liquefaction capacity in 2050
Middle East North Africa's share
of liquefaction capacity in 2050
2020
2050
(mt/yr)
Source: DNV GL 2019 LNG Market Survey
Source: DNV GL 2018 Energy Transition Outlook
391
780
2020 2050
40%30%
2 Panama Canal drops LNG transit restrictions: http://bit.ly/2Wjj8KU
3 US poised for major step-up in LNG exports: http://bit.ly/2FprauY
4 Australia grabs world's biggest LNG exporter crown: https://reut.rs/2TUy1qi
5 LNG output surge of 43% by 2024: http://bit.ly/2U4hrnh
6 Shell gives green light to invest in LNG Canada: https://go.shell.com/2RtQtF8
7 Russia's Novatek produces commissioning LNG: http://bit.ly/2uog0BE
8 Big hitters betting on Mozambique: http://bit.ly/2HEemEA
9 Mauritania/Senegal: BP announces FID for Phase 1: http://bit.ly/2JE3qIL
10 Energy Transition Outlook 2018, DNV GL: http://bit.ly/2HeQLLg
02 THE LNG ERA TAKES SHAPE The outlook for the LNG market www.dnvgl.com 03
3. North America
Latin America
Europe
Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East and North Africa
North East Eurasia
Greater China
Indian Subcontinent
South East Asia
OECD Pacific
China’s transformational demand for gas
The People's Republic of China is on track to become
the world’s largest gas-importing country, and the nation’s
recent surge in demand for gas has been central to
transforming LNG markets globally. In our LNG survey,
China is – by a large margin – the country expected
to have the biggest growth in LNG imports over the
next three years.
This appetite for LNG is driven largely by the Chinese
government’s “blue sky” policies, aimed at reducing
fossil fuel emissions and improving air quality.16
Indeed,
in the DNV GL 2019 Industry Outlook Survey, 72% of
senior oil and gas professionals based in China said
their organizations’ investments in natural gas and LNG
were driven by long-term energy transition, compared
to just 47% across all respondents globally.
“China overall still lacks gas, and
seasonal gas supply tensions exist.”
Yuan Zhengang, deputy director, PetroChina Planning and
Engineering Institute (CCPEI)
In the first half of 2018, China imported a record 24
mt/yr reads: a record 24 mt/yr of LNG, 50% more than
in the same period in 2017.17
But there is significant
growth still to come. Gas still only accounts for 7%
of China’s energy mix today, compared to a global
average of 22%.18
“China overall still lacks gas, and seasonal gas supply
tensions exist,” says Yuan Zhengang, deputy director
of the Oil Gas Institute at PetroChina Planning and
Engineering Institute (CCPEI). “LNG terminal construction
and gas storage projects are set for relatively rapid
growth, alongside investments in pipeline network
systems and improvements.”
Indeed, Sinopec aims to build new infrastructure that
will double its receiving capacity of LNG over the next
six years.19
China also has major plans to overhaul and
liberalize its national gas pipeline network to ensure
gas supply is not hindered by a lack of access to pipeline
infrastructure.20
China’s National Development and
Reform Commission has recommended that the nation’s
pipeline network be expanded by 99,000 km
between 2015 and 2025.21
DNV GL’s 2018 Energy Transition Outlook forecasts
seaborne gas trade from North America to China to
treble by 2050. But China is looking to source LNG
from far and wide, and invests in LNG projects around
the world.22
Contracts for smaller-sized FLNG vessels
Technology continues to be a significant enabler of
gas-supply diversification, including greater exploration
and drilling efficiency, longer subsea tiebacks, and
improved recovery techniques. FLNG is another
example, with substantial growth in the use of FLNG
vessels proposed to unlock stranded offshore gas
assets. FLNG can be used to load carriers directly,
without the need for costly pipeline infrastructure.11
Shell’s large-scale Prelude FLNG facility has grabbed
the headlines for its record-breaking size – Prelude is
the largest vessel ever made, at 488 metres (m) long
and 74m wide – and staggering cost, estimated to
be in the region of US$14bn.12
However, the future
appears to belong to smaller-scale developments.
In our recent survey of LNG-focused oil and gas
professionals, 59% said the industry will prefer smaller
FLNG projects and tanker conversions over Prelude-
sized units. Smaller vessels have many advantages.
They are cheaper to build and operate, faster to deploy,
and effective at exploiting smaller volumes of stranded
gas and at serving the many markets looking to buy
smaller volumes.13
LNG liquefaction capacity forecast, by region
Countries in which respondents expect the greatest growth
in LNG imports over the next three years
800
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Units: Mt/yr
China GermanyJapanIndia
55% 9% 7% 4%
Source: DNV GL 2019 LNG Market Survey
Source: DNV GL 2018 Energy Transition Outlook
11 Energy Transition Outlook 2018, DNV GL: http://bit.ly/2HeQLLg
12 Shell takes $14bn gas gamble with world’s biggest floating structure:
https://on.ft.com/2CBjdlC
13 Smaller FLNG vessels showing outsized potential: http://bit.ly/2OmY2st
Eni’s Coral FLNG, one of the newest vessels to be
purchased, reflects this trend. Construction began
in 2018, and when it starts producing (from offshore
Mozambique) in 2022, it will generate 3.3 milllion
tonnes per annum (mtpa)14
compared to the 5.3
mtpa expected from Prelude FLNG.15
We are seeing more contractor-led models emerging,
which involve smaller,faster,more agile solutions,such
as the development of smaller-scale FLNG vessels
and the conversion of existing LNG carriers into FLNG
vessels,” says Graham Bennett, vice president, DNV GL
– Oil Gas. “In those situations,it's not likely that the
operator will own the vessel. It's more likely that a
contractor will liquify gas on behalf of the operator.
This is a way to buy a service instead of a costly asset
and thereby reduce risk.”
Indeed, more than half (55%) of senior oil and gas
professionals believe operators will outsource or lease
critical field development assets (such as FLNG vessels)
in 2019, according to our 2019 Oil and Gas Industry
Outlook Survey.
14 Eni cuts first steel for Coral South FLNG: http://bit.ly/2Woh3gN
15 LNG Liquefaction Ship — Center for Environment,Commerce Energy:
http://bit.ly/2UVJSAO
16 February: Signposts for the gas outlook: http://bit.ly/2Tvs8dZ
17 Global LNG Outlook 2018: http://bit.ly/2Tty0EQ
18 February: Signposts for the gas outlook: http://bit.ly/2Tvs8d
19 China's Sinopec to more than double LNG capacity: http://bit.ly/2UbJpxi
20 China's Clean-Air Push Is a Gas Pipeline Behemoth: https://bloom.bg/2JE5lNt
21 A Natural Gas Giant Awakens: http://bit.ly/2us8wNT
22 How Is China Securing Its LNG Needs?: http://bit.ly/2Yhlk7D
04 THE LNG ERA TAKES SHAPE The outlook for the LNG market www.dnvgl.com 05
4. North America
Latin America
Europe
Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East and North Africa
North East Eurasia
Greater China
Indian Subcontinent
South East Asia
OECD Pacific
Meeting demand growth after 2025
Global LNG export capacity will increase by 45%
between 2017 and 2022, with 90% of this capacity
coming from projects already sanctioned in the US
and Australia.26
However, there are concerns about
supply and infrastructure capacity beyond this point.
According to the Gas Exporting Countries Forum,
as much as USD8tn needs to be invested in upstream
and gas transportation systems between 2015 and
2040, with upstream expected to account for the
bulk of this (USD7.5tn) and the balance to come
from liquefaction, regasification, shipping and
pipeline projects.27
In DNV GL’s 2019 Industry Outlook Survey, 43% of
senior oil and gas professionals said they believed
demand for gas would exceed supply within five
years. This was especially the case among respondents
from Asia Pacific (61%).
There was more optimism evident in our survey of
LNG-focused oil and gas professionals: here, 57%
believed global LNG supply will be able to meet
China’s predicted demand growth in the years
to 2025.
However, the same group was almost universally
concerned about the infrastructure investment
needed to satisfy expected demand beyond that
point: 85% believe several new LNG infrastructure
projects will need to be initiated in 2019 to ensure
supply can meet demand after 2025.
Eirik Wærness, senior vice president and chief
economist of Norwegian multinational energy
company Equinor, shares this view: “We need
more final investment decisions on new LNG
projects globally to avoid having a very tight gas
market when we get into the mid-2020s, even
though the market right now is well supplied.”
Fossil energy use forecast
World gas demand has doubled since 1990. DNV GL’s 2018 Energy Transition Outlook predicts that growth
will continue for around 15 years, hitting a high in 2034 at a level 30% above that in 2017, before entering
moderate decline as renewables account for an ever-increasing share of power generation.
Growth beyond China
China is currently the biggest driver of LNG growth,
but it is far from the only nation with rapidly growing
demand for LNG or a long-term strategy to build it.
Other emerging economies – particularly in the Indian
Subcontinent and Sub-Saharan Africa – will also
boost demand.
India currently has four LNG receiving terminals, but
plans to build 11 more over the next seven years, with
the near-term goal of doubling the proportion of natural
gas in its energy mix by 2022.23
Elsewhere in Asia, new
LNG importers have emerged in recent years, including
Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Singapore and Thailand,
while Bangladesh, Myanmar, the Philippines and Vietnam
are expected to follow suit.24
Even Australia – the world’s biggest exporter of LNG
– is building import terminals to provide gas to its major
cities in the south and east.25
Most of Australia’s gas
fields are off the north-west coast, far from the largest
populations. Import terminals are quicker and cheaper
to build than a pipeline network across the breadth
of the country, so imported LNG will be important to
Australia’s long-term gas price management and
security of supply.
As new LNG consumers emerge, demand from existing
LNG consumers is expected to increase. In Europe,
for instance, LNG is expected to play an increasingly
important role. “When you look at the different scenarios
in Europe, you see stable demand for natural gas, but
declining local production,” says Hans Coenen of Gasunie.
“This means there is a widening import gap for Europe,
which can look to either Russian pipeline gas or LNG
for future supply. For geopolitical reasons, LNG will
therefore become a bigger part of long-term supply.”
In Korea, the world’s third-largest importer of LNG,
“big LNG import contracts are scheduled to end in a
few years and the new government is driving greener
energy policy and moving away from coal-fired power
plants,” says Young-Myung Yang, executive technical
advisor (former CTO and head of RD division) at
Korea’s KOGAS. “Consequently, LNG players will give
more attention to global conventional onshore LNG
and FLNG projects to meet increasing natural
gas demand.”
LNG regasification capacity forecast, by region
1,500
1,200
900
600
300
0
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Source: DNV GL 2018 Energy Transition Outlook
0
50
100
150
200
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Oil Natural gas
Units: Mt/yr Units: EJ/yrSource: DNV GL 2018 Energy Transition Outlook
23 India plans massive natural gas expansion: https://reut.rs/2K2jm3o
24 Asia’s new LNG-import markets: http://bit.ly/2usUVpE
25 Australia’s LNG export surge fuels domestic supply concerns:
https://on.ft.com/2ushScI
26 GECF Global Gas Outlook 2040: http://bit.ly/2OpAuTI
27 GECF Global Gas Outlook 2040: http://bit.ly/2OpAuTI
06 THE LNG ERA TAKES SHAPE The outlook for the LNG market www.dnvgl.com 07
5. Bridging divergent interests
With so much infrastructure needed to meet global
LNG demand over the coming years, it is significant
that seven in ten (69%) senior oil and gas professionals
believe price uncertainty is limiting investments in
LNG mega-projects.
Oil-indexed LNG pricing is part of the issue.
Recent oil price swings have made LNG sellers
reluctant to peg decades-long contracts to volatile
crude markets.29
At the same time, sellers still need
long-term commitments to make their infrastructure
investments viable.
In our LNG survey, we found opinions divided on
the future of oil-indexed LNG pricing. Half (49%)
expect contracted LNG prices to continue to be
linked to oil prices, while a significant proportion
(30%) disagree.
As an alternative to oil-indexation, long-term
contracts could be linked to gas-hub prices or even
consumer-price indices. However, a deeper issue
underlies this: a fundamental disconnect between
LNG seller and buyer interests.
Sellers need long-term cashflow certainty to
support major investments. Buyers, in contrast,
need long-term flexibility to ensure consistently
competitive prices, as well as the ability to adapt
volumes and contract tenure to market changes.
These needs are not completely compatible – both
sides cannot achieve their ideal terms simultaneously
–sobuyers and sellers must choose whereto compromise,
and work creatively on new contracting models that
help mitigate risk on both sides.
New contractual terms are indeed emerging as the
market diversifies, and our research suggests more
innovation is required in this regard: nearly three-
quarters (72%) of our survey respondents believe
LNG buyers need more flexibility in LNG contracts
(e.g. to reduce volumes, shorten tenures, and change
delivery locations).
Extent to which respondents agree that contracted LNG prices will continue
to be linked to the oil price
LNG: Fueling shipping
LNG demand will also come from its use as a shipping
fuel, particularly following new rules set by the
International Maritime Organization for 2020 and
beyond that require the use of cleaner fuels.28
DNV GL’s 2018 Energy Transition Outlook projects
maritime demand for LNG as fuel to grow from
around 16 mt/yr in 2017 to 85 mt/yr in 2050.
More than a third (36%) of respondents to the
DNV GL 2019 Industry Outlook survey said their
organizations will increase investment in gas-
focused projects and portfolios during 2019.
The growing importance of LNG as a transportation
fuel was the second-highest-ranked driver for this
spending, after the longer-term energy transition.
Cost of financing new LNG infrastructure
Lack of refuelling and bunkering infrastructure
Lack of LNG/natural gas storage facilities
Delays in regulatory approval
Lack of feed gas pipelines
Bottlenecks at liquification facilities
Bottlenecks at regasification facilities
Strongly agree
Agree
Neither agree or disagree
Disagree
Strongly disagree
Top infrastructure barriers for the global LNG market in 2019
36%
6%
43%
18%
27%
3%
16%
12% 11%
6% 5% 5%
The growth of LNG depends on the development of
infrastructure, particularly facilities to re-gasify, store,
and distribute new liquefaction capacity. Our LNG
survey respondents believe the cost of financing new
facilities (36%) will be the top infrastructure barrier to
impact the global LNG market in 2019. Interestingly
they also believe that a lack of LNG refueling and
bunkering facilities will become important, ranking
this as the second highest infrastructure barrier
(16%). Storage facilities – currently a major focus in
China – are ranked fourth (12%), just above delays in
regulatory approval (11%). Regulatory delays have
been a challenge for many regasification projects in
nations that are new to the LNG industry.
Source: DNV GL 2019 LNG Market Survey
Source: DNV GL 2019 LNG Market Survey
28 New rules on ship emissions herald sea
change for oil market: https://reut.rs/2HDMUGX
29 Oil's volatility hastening decline in oil-indexed LNG pricing http://bit.ly/2TyrNr8
08 THE LNG ERA TAKES SHAPE The outlook for the LNG market www.dnvgl.com 09
6. Commoditized LNG on the global stage
The LNG market has shifted gas closer than ever to
the profile of a traditional commodity. The flexibility,
diversity, and responsiveness of global supplies can
help markets hedge – and adapt to – political or
trade-related developments.
At the same time, with so many interconnected
markets in play, events that impact regional gas
markets may trigger the same kind of global economic
turmoil as oil price shocks of the past (as we saw for
example with the 2002 political crisis in Venezuela,
the 2003 Iraq war, and the 2010 Arab uprisings).
“I definitely see the geopolitical aspects of the
market playing a larger role in the future than they
have in the past for gas,” says Hans Coenen of Gasunie,
“Energy and politics are always connected, but it seems
to be playing an even bigger role in the debate.”
“I definitely see the geopolitical aspects
of the market playing a larger role in the
future than they have in the past for gas,”
Hans Coenen, vice president, corporate business
development, Gasunie
This bigger role on the world stage is yet another
dimension to the evolution of LNG markets. It looks
set to drive the rise of the global LNG era alongside
other important factors, such as the globalization
and commoditization of LNG, and innovations in LNG
technology and business models.
Top market barriers for the global LNG sector in 2019The increased importance of portfolio players
Along with new contractual arrangements, the
involvement of new market actors could be key
to bridging the divergent interests of LNG buyers
and sellers.
LNG portfolio players are one example. Such
organizations supply LNG from a portfolio of LNG
interests from various regions. They often also own
(or invest in) shipping, storage, and regasification
infrastructure. Portfolio players have an intermediary
role between producers and consumers of LNG,
and this helps maintain a floor for prices (suiting
sellers), while adding market flexibility and liquidity
(suiting buyers).
Historically, certain oil majors (e.g. Total,
PETRONAS, BP and Shell) have been the most
significant portfolio players. However, commodity
traders – such as Trafigura, Vitol, Gunvor and
Glencore – are now emerging as a significant new
breed. In 2017, these four traded around 27 mt of
LNG, amounting to 9% of total LNG sold worldwide.30
“In the past, international and national oil
companies led the global LNG market, but it has
now been diversified. New players with new business
models (mainly based in North America) are entering
the LNG market and changing the market structure
and price dynamics,” says Young-Myung Yang of
KOGAS. Portfolio players are also expanding the
scope of their involvements in LNG markets, by
entering mid-to-long-term supply positions and
investing more in LNG infrastructure.31
But according to the IEA, traditional long-term contracts
– oil-indexed or otherwise – will also persist. In 2018,
for example, Chinese buyers alone signed up for
around 10 million tonnes per annum in long-term
contracts. The International Energy Agency also
expects other established buyers such as Japan,
South Korea, and Taiwan to continue to source gas
via long-term contracts.32
“In the past, international and national
oil companies led the global LNG market,
but it has now been diversified. New players
with new business models (mainly based
in North America) are entering the LNG
market and changing the market structure
and price dynamics.”
Young-Myung Yang, Yang, executive technical adviser,
former CTO and head of RD division, KOGAS
Simply put, we are seeing the LNG market diversify
like never before – both in terms of contractual
frameworks and market participants – and it looks
likely that multiple models will continue to develop
to meet the varied needs of LNG buyers and sellers
around the world.
Forces beyond markets
In our survey, political risk (including trade
agreements) was expected to be the leading market
barrier (17%) to LNG markets in 2019. Young-Myung
Yang of KOGAS echoes this view, saying: “Internationally,
the main barrier we see is political instability, and
protective trade policies from the US and
other economies.”
There was little global consensus around the
next-ranking barriers, though at a regional level we
did see some clearer trends. For example, in North
America, fear of oversupply was ranked at the top
(19%), while in Asia Pacific, difficulties establishing
long-terms supply contracts shared first place with
political/trade risks (18%). In Europe, a lack of
government support and public sentiment against
fossil fuels were jointly the second-ranked barriers
(14%), just behind political/trade risks (16%).
It is revealing that these three major regions can
have such contrasting views on the market barriers
ahead for 2019. While those in North America
wonder if the world can possibly consume the
unprecedented volume of LNG set for production,
those in Asia are worried about securing long-term
supply. In Europe, influencers outside the market
top concerns.
Political risk / trade agreements
Difficulties establishing long-term supply contracts
Not enough government policy support
Cost competitiveness with liquid fuels (e.g diesel)
Public sentiment against fossil fuels
Imported LNG not competitive with local gas markets
Cost competitiveness with renewable energy sources
17%
11% 11%
10%
9%
8% 8%
30 How four trading houses are shaking up the LNG industry: http://bit.ly/2Oo8pMs
31 How four trading houses are shaking up the LNG industry: http://bit.ly/2Oo8pMs
32 February: Signposts for the gas outlook: http://bit.ly/2Tvs8dZ
Source: DNV GL 2019 LNG Market Survey
10 THE LNG ERA TAKES SHAPE The outlook for the LNG market www.dnvgl.com 11