ShadowBox LLC

Have you heard about Decision Scorecards? We came across an interesting one by psychologist Gary Klein, founder of cognitive training company ShadowBox LLC. This is what he suggests. In any review meeting or performance appraisal, evaluate not the person but the decisions they have made. He suggests listing out the major decisions for a period or related to a project and scoring them very simply. A double-check (✓✓) for the decisions that have turned out really well. A single check (✓) for good decisions. An x (x) for decisions that have turned out badly. A double x (xx) for the decisions you regret. And a question mark (?) if you aren't sure of the quality or of the decision process. During the review, discuss the decisions and what factors influenced their outcomes. What was within your control and what wasn't? Did some bad decisions turn out well due to luck or something else? Why did some good decisions fail? The crux of the Decision Scorecard is that its format keeps the focus on the decisions and not the decision maker. This helps you be more objective and open to each other's views. Leading to better conversations and outcomes. Here's his detailed note in Psychology Today: https://lnkd.in/gg5pQ2Dc #decisionmaking #businessdecisions #performancereview #reviewmeetings #decisionframework #mentalmodel

During World War II, a critical observation changed the course of aircraft armor reinforcement. The Allied forces initially planned to reinforce parts of fighter planes that were riddled with bullet holes from battles. However, statistician Abraham Wald pointed out a counterintuitive insight: it wasn't the bullet-ridden parts that needed reinforcement, but rather the areas without bullet holes. Why? Because planes hit in those "unharmed" areas never made it back. The planes we want to protect are those that did NOT return instead of those that did return. This perspective shift, considering what's missing in the data rather than what's present, was pivotal. (Source: https://lnkd.in/erbAn3ij) 𝐃𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐒𝐮𝐫𝐯𝐢𝐯𝐨𝐫𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐩 𝐁𝐢𝐚𝐬: Survivorship bias is the overlooked storyteller in data analysis. It occurs when we focus only on the successes or survivors, missing out on the complete story. This bias can lead to skewed perceptions and misguided strategies, as we base our decisions on a partial view of reality. 𝐀𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐈𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬: 𝟏. 𝐋𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐛𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚: Just as Wald advised reinforcing areas without bullet holes, we should seek out what's not immediately apparent in our datasets. 𝟐. 𝐐𝐮𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐍𝐨𝐫𝐦: Challenge prevailing assumptions in data patterns. What seems obvious might not be the whole story. 𝟑. 𝐄𝐦𝐛𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐡𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬: Incorporate both failure and success data to get a complete picture. Post inspired by Steve Nouri ******************************************** • Follow #JeffWinterInsights to stay current on Industry 4.0 and other cool tech trends • Ring the 🔔 for notifications!

VIDEO KAYDINI İZLEYEBİLİRSİNİZ: WEBINAR 7 - SEZGİNİN BİLİMİ SERİSİ DR. GARY KLEIN ILE "DOĞAL KARAR VERME" VE "PRATİK KARAR VERME" ⚜ 9 Mayıs'da Gary Klein ile çok keyifli ve bir o kadar da öğretici bir Webinarımız oldu. İzleyenlerin arasında yabancı konuklar ve sezgi araştırmacıları da vardı. Gary ve katılımcılara tekrar teşekkür ederim. ⚜ Webinar soru-cevaplarla birlikte 90 dakika sürdü. Bu nedenle iki bölüm olarak kayıt edildi. ⚜ Birinci Bölüm "Doğal Karar Verme" biliminin uygulamalarına odaklandı. Yaklaşık 50 dakika süren bu bölümün kaydını aşağıdaki Youtube linkinden izleyebilirsiniz: https://lnkd.in/d_zWaNFu ⚜ İkinci Bölüm Gary'nin 12 dile çevrilen ve 150,000 üzerinde satılan 6 kitabından derlediği 15 pratik karar verme dersi içeren video serisine odaklandı. Ayrıca "Doğal Karar Verme Derneğinin" Temmuz ayında Yeni Zellanda'da yapacağı konferansı konuştuk. Yaklaşık 10 dakika süren bu bölümün kaydını aşağıdaki youtube linkinden izleyebilirsiniz: https://lnkd.in/dingq6jB "Sezginin Bilimi" üzerine bir başka webinarda buluşmak dileği ile. ------------------------------------------------------------------- YOU CAN WATCH THE VIDEO RECORDING: WEBINAR 7 - THE SCIENCE OF INTUITION SERIES "NATURAL DECISION MAKING" AND "PRACTICAL DECISION MAKING" WITH GARY KLEIN ⚜ We had a very enjoyable and instructive webinar with Gary Klein on May 9th. There were also foreign guests and intuition researchers among the audience. Thank you again to Gary and the participants. ⚜ The webinar lasted 90 minutes with questions and answers. It was recorded in two parts. ⚜ Part One focused on the applications of the science of "Natural Decision Making". You can watch the recording of this episode, which lasts approximately 50 minutes, on the YouTube link below: https://lnkd.in/d_zWaNFu ⚜ Part-2 focused on Gary's video series containing 15 practical decision making lessons compiled from his 6 books, which have been translated into 12 languages and sold over 150,000 copies. We also talked about the conference that the "Natural Decision Making Association" will hold in New Zealand in July. You can watch the recording of this episode, which lasts approximately 10 minutes, on the YouTube link below: https://lnkd.in/dingq6jB Hope to see you in another webinar on "the Science of Intuition". #naturalisticdecisionmaking #garyklein #intuition #cognitivetaskanalysis