Extended stretch of “cooler” weather and rainier conditions coming!

Published: Jul. 3, 2024 at 5:32 AM CDT

Although today and tomorrow will be same ol’ same ol’ as far as the weather goes, we’re getting hyped for a cold front to swing through Friday into Saturday which will kick off a stretch of time with lower temperatures and rain chances. Although the cold front should kick up some scattered rain Friday and Saturday, the continued rain chances next week almost entirely depend on how far to the north Hurricane Beryl goes after moving across the Yucatan Peninsula. We’ll dive into Beryl and it’s potential Texas impacts in the next paragraph, but for the rest of this paragraph, it’s all about the heat! Morning temperatures both today and tomorrow will warm into the upper 90s and lower triple-digits with heat index values as high as 108°. Although our cold front was originally slated to arrive Saturday, it looks like it’ll move through a bit sooner than that which will help to bump the rain chances up Friday and drop our temperatures too. Friday’s highs may only reach the mid-90s with a 40% chance for rain, especially during the afternoon and early evening hours. The front should stall out and will keep rain chances around Saturday too although Saturday’s rain chances have come down a bit thanks to the earlier arrival of the front. The stalled front keeps a low chance for rain around Sunday, but rain chances have slipped to 30% with weekend highs generally staying in the mid-90s.

Next week’s forecast is entirely dependent on where Hurricane Beryl goes. As of Wednesday morning, Beryl is bearing down on Jamaica as a major hurricane, but it is weakening slightly as it fights off high wind shear across the Caribbean. After having some sort of influence with land today, Beryl is expected to continue a slow weakening trend as it marches westward. Beryl should make landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula late Thursday into Friday and weaken further before reemerging into the Bay of Campeche and the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Especially since there will be a LOT of land interaction and wind shear between now and this weekend, Beryl will undergo changes to it’s structure, so how quickly Beryl reorganizes when it emerges over water again this weekend will have an impact on where Beryl goes. If Beryl tracks a more southerly path across the Yucatan Peninsula, Beryl will likely slam into Mexico early next week and bring minimal impacts to Texas. If Beryl takes a more northerly track across the Yucatan, it’ll have a window to be picked up by a trough of low pressure, pulling Beryl northward into South Texas early next week. If Beryl does take the northerly track into Texas, South Texas could potentially see Beryl make landfall as a hurricane with the system potentially riding up the I-35 corridor through mid-week next week. Of course, Beryl will be significantly weaken by the time it would reach our area, but rain chances would need to go way up early-to-mid week next week with a notable temperature drop likely into the 80s. For right now, we’re keeping rain chances on the low-ish side early-to-mid week as we could still see a few scattered showers and storms even if Beryl stays away. We’ll keep you updated on Beryl’s track so keep on the look out for any changes to next week’s forecast.

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