Hail and severe weather threat reaches the Brazos Valley around sunrise Sunday

Significant storms expected to pass through parts of the northern and central reaches of the area as the day begins
Published: Feb. 10, 2024 at 1:58 PM CST|Updated: Feb. 10, 2024 at 11:27 PM CST

BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) - More wet and stormy weather is expected to start the day Sunday, after rain soaked the Brazos Valley Saturday. The second part of a dynamic February weather system will support a round of strong to severe thunderstorms moving west to east on either side of daybreak. Hail, some potentially large, will be the main concern at times.

IMPACTS

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the Brazos Valley under a two out of five -- “scattered” -- risk for severe weather early Sunday morning. A ragged line of storms, with embedded supercells, is expected to approach from the west ahead of drier air moving in for the day. Any storm that manages to become strong or severe could support:

Strong-to-severe storms capable of large hail are possible Sunday morning
Strong-to-severe storms capable of large hail are possible Sunday morning(KBTX)
  • Hail: Up to the size of pocket change or quarter size will be common in many storms. A few isolated instances of larger hail, potentially to the size of a breakfast egg (2″ in diameter) are not ruled out, although likely more of a concern west of I-35
  • Wind: Gusts 40mph to 50mph will be possible with the strongest storms. Isolated instances of 60mph winds are not ruled out, although more likely west of I-35 pre-sunrise
  • Heavy Rain / Localized Flooding: After 1″ to 3″ of rain fell over parts of the Brazos Valley Saturday, on top of already super-saturated soil from recent rain events, more ponding and low-lying or runoff flooding is possible

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The Storm Prediction Center has noted the potential for hail up to the size of an egg in parts...
The Storm Prediction Center has noted the potential for hail up to the size of an egg in parts of the Hill Country to the east of I-35 Sunday morning(KBTX)

TIMING

This significant round of thunderstorms is expected to reach:

  • Western Brazos Valley: As early as 4am, but more likely by 5am and 6am. For this area, storms could end as early as 6am, but likely come to a close by 7am - 8am
  • Central Brazos Valley: As early as 5am - 6am, but more likely between 7am and 9am. For this area, storms could end as early as 7am to 8am, but more likely 9am - 10am
  • Eastern Brazos Valley: As early as 6am - 7am, but more likely between 9am and 10am. For this area, storms could end as early as 8am to 9am, but more likely 11am - noon.
  • Southern Brazos Valley: Minimal-to-no impacts or storms are currently expected south of Highways 290 and 105.

WHAT ELSE CAN YOU EXPECT SUNDAY

These thunderstorms come ahead of a push of dry air reaching the Brazos Valley, spilling in through the afternoon. A large area of low pressure located south of the Texas Panhandle will slip east-northeast across Texas throughout the day Sunday. As Central and Southeast Texas fall on the backside of this weather system, a cold front is expected to reach top temperatures by early evening. Mid-60° temperatures around 5pm fall to the low 50s by 8pm and mid-40s by 10pm. Expect a gusty 30-35mph wind to blow this next round of winter air in as the Super Bowl is playing on TVs across the Brazos Valley.