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BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) - Another June day. Another round of impactful, severe thunderstorms expected to erupt over the Lone Star State. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a large amount of Texas real estate in a two out of 5 risk for severe storms between 6 pm and shortly after midnight. The highest threat for severe storms has been placed over Central and Northern Oklahoma, south into West Texas.

MIDDAY UPDATE

The Storm Prediction Center has opted to include the Northern and Central Brazos Valley in a two out of five risk for strong/severe weather. While that is the current outlook from the agency, data throughout the morning continues to suggests that while close by, storms are currently not projected to impact the area locally. This activity will be monitored for shifts in the data as storms begin to develop later in the day.

Severe weather outlook adjusted & now includes the north & central Brazos Valley on the southern end of the 2/5 risk.

FWIW: I have NOT seen anything to support a storm chance locally this evening. Storms will be close in Central Texas. Worth monitoring but concerns currently LOW pic.twitter.com/AD0JhjfoLH
— Shel Winkley 👍 (@KBTXShel) June 17, 2023

Latest iteration for what radar could look like through the evening hours.

Scattered light rain, breezy wind possible locally -- otherwise, as of now biggest storms are expected to remain well north of the Brazos Valley. pic.twitter.com/X1ctkZQwZQ
— Shel Winkley 👍 (@KBTXShel) June 17, 2023

While only a county length away, the highest threat of severe weather in Texas is currently expected north of the Brazos Valley. Due to the close proximity of storms, the central and northern Brazos Valley have been included in a two out of five “scattered” risk for severe weather. That said, the overall concern -- as of midday Saturday -- is low/minimal locally.

MONITOR STORMS ACROSS TEXAS SATURDAY EVENING WITH THE KBTX PINPOINT WEATHER APP

Thunderstorms are expected to develop during mid/late afternoon along/ahead of the dryline and move eastward into this evening, with considerable aggregation and areal expansion likely toward north-central TX (including the DFW Metroplex) and southern OK. Severe hail (some greater than 2 inches across) is possible early in the convective process, when relatively discrete supercells are most probable. Severe to locally significant-severe (65+ kt) gusts also are expected with the resulting cold-pool expansion into north TX and southern OK.
Storm Prediction Center - Saturday Severe Weather Oulook Discussion

Severe weather is currently not expected locally; it is something that will be monitored closely throughout the day Saturday. Even without severe storms reaching the area, rapidly weakening storms to the north could push southbound outflow boundaries into the area with gusts as high as 25 or 30mph.