Starting Pitcher Chart – May 6th, 2024
Daily SP Chart archive
The 2-start chart seems to be a hit, so let’s keep it going!
| RANK | TYPE | PITCHER | MATCHUPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zack Wheeler | SFG/at MIA |
| 2 | 1 | Luis Castillo | at MIN/OAK |
| 3 | 1 | Cole Ragans | MIL/at LAA |
| 4 | 1 | Zac Gallen | at CIN/at BAL |
| 5 | 2 | Jack Flaherty | at CLE/HOU |
| 6 | 2 | Justin Steele | SDP/at PIT |
| 7 | 2 | Seth Lugo | MIL/at LAA |
| 8 | 2 | Walker Buehler | MIA/at SDP |
| 9 | 3 | Triston McKenzie | DET/at CHW |
| 10 | 3 | Luis Gil | HOU/at TBR |
| 11 | 3 | Yu Darvish | at CHC/LAD |
| 12 | 3 | Tyler Anderson | at PIT/KCR |
| 13 | 3 | Logan Allen | DET/at CHW |
| 14 | 3 | Mitch Keller | LAA/CHC |
| 15 | 3 | Kyle Gibson | NYM/at MIL |
| 16 | 4 | Simeon Woods Richardson | SEA/at TOR |
| 17 | 4 | Patrick Sandoval | at PIT/KCR |
| 18 | 4 | Bryse Wilson | at KCR/STL |
| 19 | 4 | Colin Rea | at KCR/STL |
| 20 | 4 | Tyler Alexander | CHW/NYY |
| 21 | 5 | Sean Manaea | at STL/ATL |
| 22 | 5 | Frankie Montas | ARI/at SFG |
| 23 | 5 | Andrew Heaney | at OAK/at COL |
| 24 | 5 | Mason Black | at PHI/CIN |
| 25 | 5 | Michael Soroka | at TBR/CLE |
| 26 | 6 | Mike Clevinger | at TBR/CLE |
| 27 | 6 | Alex Wood | TEX/at SEA |
| 28 | 6 | Dakota Hudson | SFG/TEX |
1 – Auto-Start | 2- All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30 | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | PHI v SFG | x | x | x | 42 | 1.91 | 0.92 | 24% | 18th | |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | SEA at MIN | x | x | x | 41 | 3.46 | 1.18 | 24% | 9th | |
| 3 | Jack Flaherty | DET at CLE | x | x | x | 36 | 4.00 | 1.03 | 31% | 19th | Holds the top K-BB rate in MLB, mixing the best control we’ve ever seen from him w/a return of his great K stuff |
| 4 | Cole Ragans | KCR v MIL | x | x | x | 36 | 3.44 | 1.36 | 21% | 20th | WHIP is running a bit high; he never leaves the lineup though |
| 5 | Yu Darvish | SDP at CHC | x | x | x | 28 | 3.45 | 1.15 | 13% | 21st | His return was a pleasant surprise last wk and 5 shutout IP & a W was even more pleasant |
| 6 | Justin Steele | CHC v SDP | x | x | x | 4 | 1.93 | 0.86 | 28% | 25th | Confirmed for the 2-step and I’m getting him back in right away (at PIT this wknd) |
| 7 | Triston McKenzie | CLE v DET | x | x | x | 29 | 4.34 | 1.48 | 5% | 23rd | 3rd straight strong outing (2.81 ERA/1.25 WHIP/29% K-BB in 16 IP) is reviving confidence; at CHW this wknd makes the 2-start a slam dunk start |
| 8 | Walker Buehler | LAD v MIA | x | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 26th | Confirmed for the 2-step and I’m getting him back in right away (at SDP this wknd) |
| 9 | Tyler Anderson | LAA at PIT | x | x | 36 | 2.23 | 1.07 | 8% | 24th | Hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any of his 6 starts, still playing this start-to-start and I’m in for the 2-step (KCR this wknd) | |
| 10 | Sean Manaea | NYM at STL | x | x | 29 | 3.07 | 1.43 | 9% | 29th | Walking in pairs so far 2 in first 2 gms, 3 in next 2, 4 in last 2… needs to break that trend or that ERA will surge | |
| 11 | Simeon Woods Richardson | MIN v SEA | x | 14 | 2.45 | 1.36 | 14% | 15th | Blessed w/B2B outings v. CHW and only allowed 3 ER in 8.7 IP, buuutt 14 H!! Open to the 2-step, but hardly a must | ||
| 12 | Mitch Keller | PIT v LAA | x | 40 | 5.18 | 1.48 | 13% | 11th | It feels like he’s *right* there, but can we keep getting bludgeoned by his ratios? Tough choice… leaning against, not necessarily cutting | ||
| 13 | Tyler Alexander | TBR v CHW | x | 28 | 5.02 | 1.40 | 11% | 30th | After 9 ER in his first 9.3 IP, Alexander’s allowed just 7 in 19.3 IP (3.26) but a pair of 4 IP stints in those 4 outings limits his W upside | ||
| 14 | Andrew Heaney | TEX at OAK | x | 30 | 5.10 | 1.10 | 14% | 16th | OAK’s 17 HRs vL are 2nd most so Heaney’s 1.5 HR9 could face some trouble | ||
| 15 | Bryse Wilson | MIL at KCR | x | 24 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 15% | 10th | Running hot as a .217 BABIP smothers the downside of a 1.5 HR9… standard streamer w/major variance due to the HRs | ||
| 16 | Kyle Gibson | STL v NYM | x | 38 | 3.79 | 1.13 | 10% | 8th | The platonic ideal of a streamer, running hot lately: 1.42 ERA/1.05 WHIP in L3 (19 IP) | ||
| 17 | Roddery Muñoz | MIA at LAD | 11 | 2.45 | 0.73 | 27% | 1st | Super intrigued by his first 2 starts so I’m sitting him for this one… Garrett coming back could put his spot in peril, too | |||
| 18 | Mike Clevinger | CHW at TBR | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 20th | Just doesn’t miss bats like he used to making him a standard streamer w/modest appeal | |||
| 19 | Mason Black | SFG at PHI | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 4th | ||||
| 20 | Alex Wood | OAK v TEX | 31 | 6.32 | 1.98 | 8% | 19th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them (notes will be more statistical-based once we get some sample to work with). Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
❤️❤️❤️