Starting Pitcher Chart – July 1st, 2024

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The updated rankings are done! They will be live Monday. Sorry for the delay that led to no official June update. I’ll update again after the Trade Deadline.

We also have our shortest slate of the season so far with just 3 games, too, so I decided to put the 2-start chart here instead of splitting the posts. I usually split if the Monday chart is taking a while and I need to get to bed, but obviously a 6-man board doesn’t take much time. Start Gore & Brown, maaaaybe consider Peterson in some spots and stay away from the other 3! That said, I will still give you the chart with the info so you can make you own decisions. Maybe you’re hoping for a cheap win from Wilson in Coors since Milwaukee is so good. I have an unreasonable soft spot for him and even I’m not really giving him any consideration.

Speaking of the 2-start board, sorry for no podcast talking through the group with Justin on a Friday pod. He was a bit under the weather and I had the Fireside Chat podcast ready to share with y’all anyway so it was an easy fill-in instead of posting it on Saturday.

The top 10 are all ranked in the Top 55 of the upcoming rankings, but then just one other in the Top 75 so it’s kind of a studs and duds week. There are some streamable candidates including my boy Wesneski. I was big on him last year and unfortunately he blew up in our faces as the HRs were just too much (2.0 HR9). They aren’t gone (1.6), but I like the 15% K-BB rate. Philly is scary, the Angels are not.

Soriano is slated to return on Tuesday and would set up for a pair. Hopefully the abdomen infection is cleared up and he’s ready to pick up where he left off. He’s been one of the better waiver pickups this season.

2-Start Board for Wk of July 1st
RANK TYPE PITCHER MATCHUPS IP ERA WHIP K-BB
1 1 Tarik Skubal at MIN/at CIN 97 2.32 0.94 24%
2 1 George Kirby BAL/TOR 99.1 3.35 0.97 22%
3 1 Dylan Cease at TEX/ARI 98.1 3.84 1.06 24%
4 1 Luis Gil CIN/BOS 85.2 3.15 1.12 15%
5 1 MacKenzie Gore NYM/STL 85 3.60 1.39 19%
6 2 Reynaldo López SFG/PHI 79.1 1.70 1.11 17%
7 2 Kutter Crawford at MIA/at NYY 94 3.54 1.15 17%
8 2 Mitch Keller STL/NYM 98.1 3.20 1.22 15%
9 2 Hunter Brown at TOR/at MIN 80.1 4.37 1.37 17%
10 2 Nathan Eovaldi SDP/TBR 73 3.45 1.16 16%
11 3 Zack Littell at KCR/at TEX 86.1 4.17 1.36 18%
12 3 Simeon Woods Richardson DET/HOU 66 3.41 1.14 14%
13 4 Brady Singer TBR/at COL 89.1 3.12 1.18 16%
14 4 Kyle Gibson at PIT/at WSN 87.2 3.70 1.24 11%
15 4 Hayden Wesneski PHI/LAA 45 3.60 1.16 15%
16 4 José Soriano at OAK/at CHC 72.1 3.48 1.18 11%
17 4 Mitch Spence LAA/BAL 68.1 4.35 1.24 14%
18 4 Sean Manaea at WSN/at PIT 76.1 3.89 1.30 13%
19 4 Spencer Arrighetti at TOR/at MIN 65 5.68 1.60 13%
20 4 David Peterson at WSN/at PIT 27 3.67 1.48 6%
21 5 Michael Mercado at CHC/at ATL 1 0.00 0.00 33%
22 5 Hayden Birdsong at ATL/at CLE 4.2 5.79 1.93 9%
23 5 Chris Flexen at CLE/at MIA 79 5.13 1.41 8%
24 5 Valente Bellozo BOS/CHW 5 0.00 0.40 11%
25 5 Graham Ashcraft at NYY/DET 67.2 5.45 1.49 10%
26 6 Austin Gomber MIL/KCR 81.2 4.63 1.31 9%
27 6 Bryse Wilson at COL/at LAD 74 3.89 1.23 11%
28 6 Ryne Nelson at LAD/at SDP 68 5.69 1.57 9%
29 6 Ryan Feltner MIL/KCR 86.2 5.82 1.45 14%
30 6 Carlos Carrasco CHW/SFG 70 5.27 1.40 10%
31 6 Yariel Rodríguez HOU/at SEA 17.2 5.60 1.87 6%
900 6 Dallas Keuchel at COL/at LAD 4 11.25 2.25 14%
TYPE Key:
1 – Auto-Start | 2 – All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Starter Notes July 1, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season
1 MacKenzie Gore WSN v NYM x x x 85 3.60 1.39 19% 1st/4th
2 Hunter Brown HOU at TOR x x x 80 4.37 1.37 17% 17th/13th
3 David Peterson NYM at WSN x 27 3.67 1.48 6% 27th/28th
4 Bryse Wilson MIL at COL 74 3.89 1.23 11% 22nd/21st
5 Yariel Rodríguez TOR v HOU 17 5.60 1.87 6% 10th/6th
6 Austin Gomber COL v MIL 81 4.63 1.31 9% 22nd/21st
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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LenFuego
21 days ago

CBS says Berrios has a double-dip this week too … if so, where would he rank on the 2-start board?