Tennessee's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 1 Republican primary)

	← 2022
Tennessee's 5th Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: April 4, 2024
	Primary: August 1, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: Varies by county; Voting in Tennessee
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Solid Republican; DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican; Inside Elections: Solid Republican; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Tennessee's 5th Congressional District; U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th; Tennessee elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Tennessee 2024 elections

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • Appellate courts • School boards • Municipal • How to run for office

Incumbent Andy Ogles (R) and Courtney Johnston (R) are running in the Republican primary in Tennessee's 5th Congressional District on August 1, 2024.

Ogles was first elected in 2022 after winning the Republican nomination with 35.4% of the vote in a ten-candidate primary. According to Hoodline, Ogles "came under fire for his behavior in Congress and response to the Covenant School shooting" during his first term.^[1] A third candidate, Tom Guarente (R), filed to run but withdrew from the primary. Nashville Banner reporter Stephen Elliott said that Guarente said a "split ticket would make unseating Ogles harder."^[2]

Ogles is running on his record, saying he "has always been a fighter, whether for limited government, better economic policies, or more freedom." Ogles says he is "committed to his mission of upholding the Constitution and excelling in the representation of Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District."^[3] In an April 2024 press release, Ogles' congressional office said he had submitted 100 bills.^[4] Former President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Ogles on May 11, 2023.^[5]

Johnston is a member of the Nashville Metro Council. Johnston says she is running because Ogles has not delivered for the district during his first term, saying the district "deserves a Member of Congress who is interested in fighting for our beliefs instead of just fighting for headlines."^[6]^[7] Johnston is running on her council record, saying she secured funding for parks and law enforcement and fought tax increases.^[8]

As of June 18, 2024, Ogles reported $139,852 in fundraising and $95,349 in cash on hand, while Johnston had not reported any fundraising. Ogles' fundraising total was the second-lowest for any U.S. House incumbent running for re-election, surpassing only Rep. Scott DesJarlais' (R) $134,518. Ogles' cash on hand total was the 15th-lowest among any House incumbent running for re-election.

As of June 18, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter and Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales rated the general election Solid/Safe Republican and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball rated it Likely Republican. In 2022, Ogles defeated Heidi Campbell (D) 55.8%–42.3%.

All 435 seats are up for election. Republicans have a 220 to 213 majority with two vacancies.^[9] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) beat Joe Biden (D) 54.5%-43.2%.^[10]

This page focuses on Tennessee's 5th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list of candidates is unofficial. The filing deadline for this election has passed, and Ballotpedia is working to update this page with the official candidate list. This note will be removed once the official candidate list has been added.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 5

Incumbent Andy Ogles and Courtney Johnston are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 5 on August 1, 2024.

		Candidate
		Andy Ogles
		Courtney Johnston

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Geoffrey Stokes Nielson (R)
Thomas Guarente (R)

Voting information

See also: Voting in Tennessee

Election information in Tennessee: Aug. 1, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

In-person: July 2, 2024
By mail: Received by July 2, 2024
Online: July 2, 2024

Is absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

In-person: July 25, 2024
By mail: Received by July 25, 2024
Online: July 25, 2024

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

In-person: Aug. 1, 2024
By mail: Received by Aug. 1, 2024

Is early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What are the early voting start and end dates?

July 12, 2024 to July 27, 2024

Are all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, is a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When are polls open on Election Day?

N/A

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Andy Ogles

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office:

U.S. House Tennessee District 5 (Assumed office: 2023)
Mayor of Maury County, Tennessee (2018–2022)

Biography: Ogles obtained a bachelor's degree from Middle Tennessee State University. After working in the restaurant and real estate industries, Ogles served as chief operating officer of Abolition International, an organization opposed to human trafficking. Ogles later worked with Americans for Prosperity before serving as executive director of the Laffer Center for Supply-Side Economics.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Ogles said he had "always been a fighter, whether for limited government, better economic policies, or more freedom," and would continue to do so if re-elected.

Ogles said he had a record of delivering for the district in office and in his career before entering politics. Ogles said his experience at the Laffer Center included "assisting with a major project to restructure Tennessee’s burdensome tax code."

Ogles said his policy priorities included rebalancing the separation of powers in government to return to what he described as "the simple mandates of the U.S. constitution." Ogles said his other priorities included preserving restrictions on abortion, preventing restrictions on firearms, and promoting policies he said would allow parents more control over what their children learned in school.

Show sources

Sources: Andy Ogles 2024 campaign website, "About," accessed April 23, 2024; Andy Ogles 2024 campaign website, "Issues," accessed April 23, 2024; Andy Ogles 2024 campaign website, "About," accessed April 23, 2024; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "OGLES, Andy," accessed April 23, 2024

Courtney Johnston

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office:

Nashville Metro Council District 26 (Assumed office: 2019)

Biography: Johnston obtained a bachelor's degree in finance from Louisiana State University. As of the 2024 election, Johnston was an agent with Synergy Realty. Johnston was previously owner of Acklen Park Café and Catering and a debt reorganization specialist with Deutsche Bank.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Johnston said she was running "because I believe in public service and in just a few short years on the Metro Council, I’ve been able to deliver real results," saying she had worked to support the police and clean up parks, and had opposed tax increases.

Johnston said Ogles "has done nothing. He hasn't secured the border. He hasn't cut spending. He hasn't passed a single bill. He's mired in scandals and he's got a long record of raising your taxes and not paying his own."

Johnston said she supported President Trump, opposed access to abortion, and supported securing the southern border and funding law enforcement.

Show sources

Sources: Facebook, "Courtney Johnston on April 5, 2024," accessed April 23, 2024; Facebook, "Courtney Johnston on April 8, 2024," accessed April 23, 2024; Nashville.gov, "Courtney Johnston," accessed April 23, 2024; Main Street Nashville, "Council Conversations: Courtney Johnston," May 17, 2021

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:

Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Andy Ogles

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Andy Ogles while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Courtney Johnston

View more ads here:

Facebook

Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Ballotpedia researchers did not identify any candidate websites that provide endorsement information. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. We will regularly check for polling aggregation for this race from those sites and add polls here once available. To notify us of polls available on either outlet for this race, please email us.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[11]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[12]^[13]^[14]

Race ratings: Tennessee's 5th Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	July 9, 2024	July 2, 2024	June 25, 2024	June 18, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Pending	Pending
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican	Likely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name

Party

Receipts*

Disbursements**

Cash on hand

Date

Andy Ogles

Republican Party

$139,852

$169,227

$95,349

As of March 31, 2024

Courtney Johnston

Republican Party

$0

Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.^[15]^[16]^[17]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate	By election
Andy Ogles Courtney Johnston	OpenSecrets Federal Election Commission

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

State party control

Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Tennessee.

Tennessee U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	9	9	0	31	18	4	2	33.3%	3	50.0%
2022	9	9	1	36	18	4	4	44.4%	3	37.5%
2020	9	9	2	45	18	6	2	44.4%	3	42.9%
2018	9	9	2	49	18	6	7	72.2%	5	71.4%
2016	9	9	2	48	18	4	6	55.6%	5	71.4%
2014	9	9	0	39	18	3	8	61.1%	8	88.9%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Tennessee in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 2, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-one candidates ran for Tennessee’s nine U.S. House districts, including 19 Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s 3.4 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 4.0 candidates per district in 2022, 5.0 candidates per district in 2020, and 5.4 in 2018.

The number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House in Tennessee in 2024 is also lower than any other year this decade.

No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. The last time all incumbents ran for re-election in Tennessee was in 2014.

Six candidates—five Democrats and one Republican—ran for the 8th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Tennessee in 2024.

Six primaries—four Democratic and two Republican—were contested in 2024, the fewest this decade. There were eight contested primaries in 2022, eight in 2020, 13 in 2018, 10 in 2016, and 11 in 2014.

Three incumbents—one Democrat and two Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024. That’s the same as the previous two election cycles.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all eight districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Tennessee's 5th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
43.2%	54.5%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[18] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
41.4	55.9	R+14.4

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Tennessee, 2020

Tennessee presidential election results (1900-2020)

15 Democratic wins
16 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	D	D	D	D	D	R	D	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	D	R	R	D	R	R	R	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R

See also: Party control of Tennessee state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Tennessee's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Tennessee
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	0	1	1
Republican	2	8	10
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	9	11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Tennessee's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Tennessee, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Bill Lee
Secretary of State	Tre Hargett
Attorney General	Jonathan Skrmetti

State legislature

Tennessee State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	6
	Republican Party	27
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		33

Tennessee House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	24
	Republican Party	75
	Independent	0
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		99

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.

Tennessee Party Control: 1992-2024
Five years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	D	D	D	D	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	S	S	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Tennessee in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Tennessee, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Tennessee	U.S. House	All candidates	25	N/A	4/4/2024	Source

District election history

2022

See also: Tennessee's 5th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Tennessee District 5

Andy Ogles defeated Heidi Campbell, Derrick Brantley, Daniel Cooper, and Rick Shannon in the general election for U.S. House Tennessee District 5 on November 8, 2022.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Andy Ogles (R)	55.8	123,558
	Heidi Campbell (D)	42.3	93,648
	Derrick Brantley (Independent)	0.9	2,090
	Daniel Cooper (Independent)	0.5	1,132
	Rick Shannon (Independent)	0.4	847

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 221,275
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 5

Heidi Campbell advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Tennessee District 5 on August 4, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Heidi Campbell	100.0	30,830

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 30,830
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Justicia Rizzo (D)
Jim Cooper (D)