2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.74	-40.2	-3.5	3939	-1.8	66.4	-68.2	.98	-1.2	-0.6	-1.1%	33.2%	-34.4%	.82	-0.7%	-22.9	-1.7	0.95	-8.6	96	76	157
Atlanta Braves	3.67	72.7	8.1	3764	8.2	62.3	-54.1	.93	9.1	-0.2	5.5%	41.8%	-36.3%	1.04	0.0%	93.2	10.3	0.92	107.7	88	54	143
Baltimore Orioles	4.06	9.3	1.4	3820	5.0	65.2	-60.2	.98	3.6	1.5	3.4%	43.5%	-40.1%	1.08	1.1%	29.8	3.8	0.92	37.2	104	79	147
Boston Red Sox	4.35	41.7	4.5	3852	2.8	66.1	-63.3	1.01	5.3	-2.5	1.3%	36.7%	-35.4%	.94	-1.7%	31.3	3.5	0.93	60.5	109	71	118
Chicago Cubs	4.22	34.7	3.9	3940	1.7	70.5	-68.8	1.05	5.9	-4.3	0.8%	38.7%	-37.9%	.96	-2.7%	33.1	3.8	0.95	59.4	117	60	132
Chicago White Sox	5.01	-47.7	-4.4	4058	-8.2	67.0	-75.2	1.03	-5.2	-2.8	-0.6%	6.1%	-6.7%	.15	-1.6%	-61.0	-5.5	0.96	-54.6	117	72	140
Cincinnati Reds	4.09	43.4	4.6	3944	2.9	64.4	-61.5	.95	2.3	0.8	0.8%	27.5%	-26.6%	.68	-0.2%	46.7	4.9	0.94	33.0	99	86	142
Cleveland Guardians	3.90	39.7	4.5	3783	6.3	67.1	-60.8	.99	2.7	3.7	4.5%	44.8%	-40.3%	1.10	2.6%	50.6	5.7	0.93	30.1	127	81	151
Colorado Rockies	5.83	-82.7	-8.0	4123	-7.8	68.4	-76.2	1.00	-7.9	0.1	-2.1%	8.5%	-10.5%	.22	-6.0%	-102.4	-9.3	0.96	-82.2	104	61	135
Detroit Tigers	4.30	19.9	2.5	3868	2.7	64.9	-62.2	.96	3.1	-0.3	1.1%	28.8%	-27.7%	.71	-0.5%	17.9	2.3	0.94	38.3	102	60	142
Houston Astros	4.20	4.5	1.0	3898	2.9	64.6	-61.7	.97	1.7	1.4	0.9%	26.1%	-25.2%	.65	0.1%	16.7	2.2	0.95	19.2	92	80	145
Kansas City Royals	3.85	60.2	6.6	3819	4.5	64.3	-59.8	.96	5.6	-1.0	2.5%	43.1%	-40.6%	1.08	-1.0%	56.7	6.1	0.94	61.4	88	65	159
Los Angeles Angels	4.99	-40.1	-3.5	3938	-1.2	59.4	-60.6	.88	-2.6	1.3	-1.1%	14.6%	-15.6%	.36	-1.4%	-53.0	-4.5	0.94	-25.5	88	71	155
Los Angeles Dodgers	4.02	33.0	3.7	3904	5.8	65.1	-59.3	.96	6.5	-0.4	4.2%	45.5%	-41.3%	1.11	-0.1%	61.6	6.8	0.92	64.4	113	87	135
Miami Marlins	5.01	-18.9	-1.4	4022	-2.5	66.1	-68.6	.99	-1.3	-1.2	-1.2%	7.6%	-8.7%	.20	-6.0%	-29.1	-2.2	0.96	-9.2	119	74	156
Milwaukee Brewers	4.01	46.1	5.0	3884	6.4	69.3	-62.9	1.03	3.9	2.3	4.5%	50.2%	-45.7%	1.24	1.4%	57.8	6.3	0.94	42.8	121	77	125
Minnesota Twins	4.41	0.3	0.4	3782	2.3	62.4	-60.2	.95	3.1	-0.8	1.0%	38.5%	-37.5%	.98	-0.8%	1.6	0.6	0.91	33.7	121	62	135
New York Mets	4.71	-33.2	-2.9	3972	-0.8	70.9	-71.7	1.07	-1.6	0.9	0.0%	31.3%	-31.3%	.79	0.9%	-19.0	-1.5	0.97	-14.2	119	76	129
New York Yankees	3.91	55.2	5.9	3940	6.2	65.4	-59.2	.95	3.3	3.2	4.2%	44.2%	-40.0%	1.07	2.0%	55.4	5.9	0.95	36.1	85	71	157
Oakland Athletics	4.76	-44.2	-4.2	4015	-5.0	60.3	-65.2	.92	-5.1	-0.3	-0.7%	15.5%	-16.2%	.38	1.0%	-50.3	-4.7	0.98	-51.2	95	74	158
Philadelphia Phillies	3.86	57.6	6.4	3825	9.2	67.8	-58.6	1.00	8.1	1.1	6.0%	36.2%	-30.2%	.88	1.8%	75.6	8.4	0.93	90.5	107	64	140
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.26	22.5	2.8	3925	7.3	71.6	-64.3	1.04	3.0	4.0	3.2%	35.8%	-32.6%	.87	2.0%	36.6	4.4	0.95	34.0	114	65	125
San Diego Padres	4.35	-4.0	-0.1	3918	0.1	60.1	-60.0	.89	1.6	-1.5	-0.3%	35.0%	-35.3%	.87	-1.3%	11.7	1.5	0.93	28.8	80	81	171
Seattle Mariners	3.67	37.8	4.1	3765	5.5	63.2	-57.7	.96	8.1	-2.4	3.1%	39.9%	-36.9%	1.01	-1.7%	61.0	6.8	0.90	87.1	124	54	144
San Francisco Giants	4.65	-51.1	-4.5	3973	-1.1	67.0	-68.2	1.00	-1.0	-0.1	-0.9%	31.4%	-32.2%	.79	-0.5%	-24.4	-1.8	0.95	-12.6	99	105	150
St. Louis Cardinals	4.48	10.2	1.2	3874	4.8	72.1	-67.3	1.06	1.8	2.8	2.4%	38.1%	-35.7%	.93	1.7%	11.6	1.4	0.94	21.3	112	96	107
Tampa Bay Rays	4.59	-33.7	-3.1	3915	1.8	69.8	-68.0	1.03	-0.6	2.3	0.3%	28.5%	-28.1%	.71	0.7%	-10.4	-0.8	0.93	-6.9	130	89	119
Texas Rangers	4.27	-4.3	0.1	3843	4.2	64.6	-60.4	.97	3.5	0.8	1.8%	31.1%	-29.3%	.78	0.2%	12.1	2.0	0.94	36.1	105	62	124
Toronto Blue Jays	4.77	-38.6	-3.8	3852	-0.9	61.8	-62.7	.94	-3.2	2.3	0.0%	21.6%	-21.6%	.54	1.4%	-43.1	-4.1	0.94	-47.5	76	88	171
Washington Nationals	4.51	-15.2	-1.1	3890	-0.9	63.3	-64.3	.96	0.8	-1.8	-0.8%	26.6%	-27.4%	.67	-1.6%	-7.5	-0.3	0.94	11.1	91	95	156
League Average	4.38	4	1	3902	2	66	-64	.98	2	0	1%	32%	-30%	.78	1%	11	2	0	21	105	75	142
	4.38	134.8	26.3	117045	60.4	1971.6	-1911.2	.98	53.4	8.2	42.9%	950.3%	-907.5%	.78	19.4%	338.0	50.1	0.94	620.3	3142	2236	4268
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo