How many hurricanes could we see this season? Chris Justus has his season outlook

SEASONAL OUTLOOK, ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COMES TO HURRICANES. I LOOK AT A BUNCH OF DIFFERENT INGREDIENTS,UT B THE THREE MAIN ONES THIS YEAR, ESPECIALLY THE FACT THAT WE HAVE NO EL NINO. IT’S ACTUALLY A LA NINA PATTERN. WE HAVE WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALREADY AND LOWER PRESSURE. I’LL SHOW YOU WHAT I MNEA ON THAT IN JUST A MOMENT NOW THE EL NINO FACTOR IS A BIG ONE THEET J STREAM IS VERY ACTIVE DURING AN EL NINO YEAR. NOW. REMEMBER WE DON’T HAVE TTHA THIS YEAR. SO BASICALLY THINK OF THIS AS BEING ONE LESS THING IN OUR FARVO NOW AN EL NINO HERE WOULD BASICALLY INCREASE THEIN WD SHEAR IN THE ATMOSPHEER AND THAT CAN USUALLY TAKE AWAY HURRICANES BEFORE THEY EVEN GET SRTTAED SINCE WE DON’T HAVE THAT. THAT’S ONE THING THAT’S GOING TO LEAD TO AN ABOVE AVERAGE YEAR WHEN I LOOK AT MY FORECAST AVERAGE WOULD BE 14 NAME STORMS. I THINK WE’RE GOING TO BE JUST ABOVE THAT WITH 16 WHEN I LOOK AT HURRICANES. I THINK WE’LL HAVE EHTIG HURRICANES ONE ABOVE THE AVERAGE AND I THINK OUR MAJOR HURRICANES WILL BE RIGHT ON THE MONEY AT ABOUT THREE COMPARED TO NORMAL NOW SOME EXPERIMENTAL DATA IN FROM COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY. THEY’RE ON THE FOREFRONT OF HURRICANE. CASTING AND SOME OF THE LATEST TOOLS AS FAR AS MODELS ARE CONCERNED NOW BASICALLY ALL THE DATA IS IN SAYING THERE’S A 76% CHANCEF O A NAME STORM IMPACTING THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA. THAT’S 19 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SO COMPARING IT TO AN ABOVE NOALRM YEAR FOR ABOUT 19% MORE LIKELY TO SEE SOMETHING IMPACTING US WHETHER IT BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM WHEN HE LOOKS SPECIFICALLY OF THE CHANCES OF AT LEAST ONE HURRICANE HITTING THE COAST IT SITS AT ABOUT 44% FOR SOUTH CAROLINA. THE AND 56% FOR NTHOR CAROLINA AND THAT’SBO AUT 15 TO 20 PERCENT ABOVE NORMAL. NOW THE MAJOR HURRICANE IMPACTS. THAT’S A LITTLE BIT MORE RARE BUT STILL SITST A ABOUT 5% ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE YEAR. AND OF COURSE THE OERUT BANKS DUE TO THEIR GEOGRAPHY THEY STICK OUT A LITTLE BIT MORE. SO I THINK THE OUTER BANKS IN NORTH CAROLINA WILL BE A LITTLE BIT MORE PRONE THIS SEASON DUE TO THE WAY THAT THE SRMTO SYSTEMS IN A PATTERNS ARE SETTING UP. WE HOPE THAT THIS HAS BEEN HELPFUL OUR TEAM PERELLA GRIFFIN SYDNEY. WE ARE SO COMMITTED TO POURING INTO THE DATA AND KEEPING YOU SAFE. THA’'S OUR AT THE END OF THE DAY WE WANT TO THANK YOU FOR JOINING US FORUR O FORECASTING OUR FUTURE HURRICANE OUTLOOK AND AS ALWAYS STAY SAFEND A STAY AWARE DOWNLO TADHE WYFF FOR MOBILE APP RIGHT NOW TO KEEP AWARE OF ANY STORMS THAT M