Threat For Tornadoes Mid-Evening

BACK TO YOU. ALL RIGHT. POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS PENDING RIGHT NOW. WE WANT TO RETURN THAT. I DON’T I DON’T KNOW IF WE CAN DO THAT THOUGH. SO WHEN DO THINGS START TO GET A LITTLE DICEY? I THINK IT’S GOING TO BE PROBABLY AFTER ABOUT EIGHT OR SO. SO KIND OF THAT MID DINNER TIME YOU KNOW, EIGHT, NINE, TEN, 11 PROBABLY WHEN YOU JOIN US FOR NEWS FIVE AT 11, WE’LL PROBABLY STILL BE TALKING SEVERE WEATHER. OUR MAIN CONCERN HERE TONIGHT, THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES. AND THAT’S SIMPLY BECAUSE THERE WILL BE A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF SPIN IN THE ATMOSPHERE. SO YOU KNOW, THAT SPIN DOESN’T MEAN ANYTHING THOUGH IF YOU DON’T HAVE STORMS TO ACCOMPANY IT. SO WE’RE WAITING FOR THE STORMS. AND THAT’S THE KEY. AND I DON’T THINK WE’RE GOING TO GET WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY UNTIL AFTER 8:00. NOW, IF YOU WERE OUT AROUND LUNCHTIME, YOU KNOW, IN THIS TROPICAL, YOU KNOW, TROPICAL LIKE ATMOSPHERE, WHEN IT RAINS, IT LITERALLY POURS BECAUSE THE THREAT FOR FLOODING IS RELATIVELY LOW. BUT IF YOU FIND YOURSELF PARKED UNDERNEATH ONE OF THOSE HEAVY STORMS, YOU CERTAINLY COULD GET SOME LOCALIZED WATER COLLECTING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. ALL RIGHT. THIS IS THE RADAR RIGHT NOW. THE RED BOX IS THE TORNADO WATCH. LET’S JUST SAY IT INCLUDES MOST OF THE WLWT VIEWING AREA, ALL OF GREATER CINCINNATI, AND THEN DOWN INTO NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA AT THE MOMENT, OUR RADAR IS RELATIVELY QUIET, AT LEAST CLOSE TO HOME. I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU WHAT’S HAPPENING. THIS IS A TIME LAPSE AND THINK ABOUT THE ATMOSPHERE. THERE’S A LITTLE BIT OF A WARM LAYER ABOVE OUR HEADS, RIGHT? SO IT’S THUNDERSTORMS. TRY TO GROW UP INTO THAT WARM LAYER. IT ACTS LIKE A CAP AND BASICALLY KILLS THEIR DEVELOPMENT. SO YOU SEE WHAT’S INITIALLY HAPPENING TO OUR SOUTHWEST STORMS ARE STRUGGLING TO GO UP AND I THINK THAT REMAINS THE CASE FOR AT LEAST SEVERAL MORE HOURS. NOW, THAT’S NOT TO SAY THAT YOU COULDN’T HAVE A STORM BUST THROUGH THAT CAP. AND IF IT DOES, THEN IT LIKELY WILL BE SEVERE. BUT NOTICE IT’S STRUGGLING AT THE MOMENT. I THINK OUR REAL SEVERE THREAT BEGINS TO MATERIALIZE AFTER DARKE, PROBABLY AFTER 8 OR 9:00. WITH THESE STORMS THAT ARE TO THE WEST OF I, 65 SOUTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE, AND BACK TOWARDS EVANSVILLE, WHERE THEY’VE GOT CONFIRMED TORNADOES. NOW, ALL OF THIS IS GOING TO SWING UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING. AND I THINK THAT’S WHEN WE’LL FACE OUR REAL THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER HERE. SO PROBABLY STILL SEVERAL MORE HOURS OF QUIET WEATHER OVERALL, BUT WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON IT. HERE’S FUTURECAST. IT SHARES A SIMILAR THINKING. NOTICE WE GO IN TIME. NOTICE HERE’S SEVEN. WE’LL WALK YOU THROUGH THIS HOUR BY HOUR. THERE’S STILL NOT A LOT HAPPENING AROUND THE AREA. KEEP AN EYE TO THE SOUTHWEST. EVEN AS STUFF INITIALLY TRIES TO MOVE IN HERE. 8:00 IT STRUGGLES, BUT NOTICE AS WE GET PAST EIGHT C STORMS BEGINNING TO MATERIALIZE, THAT’S A LOOK AT TEN 1030. AND KEEP IN MIND AGAIN, THERE WILL BE A LOT OF TURNING MOTION IN THE ATMOSPHERE. SO AT LEAST THIS IS A CONFINED WINDOW FOR SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE 11:00 HOUR. TAKING YOU UP TOWARDS MIDNIGHT. AND THEN BY ONE, I THINK MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE CLEARING ITS WAY OUT. THERE STILL MAY BE SOME STUFF ON THE FRINGES AND IF YOU’RE NOT IN THE TORNADO WATCH RIGHT NOW, FOR EXAMPLE, OUR FAR EASTERN COMMUNITIES AND NORTHEAST DOESN’T MEAN THAT YOU WON’T HAVE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER. YOU’RE JUST NOT THERE YET. AND THEN NOTICE OVERNIGHT THINGS GET QUIET AND BY MORNING MOST OF THE RAIN IS OUT OF HERE, ALBEIT IT WILL BE CLOUDY. AND TOMORROW LOOKS LIKE A WINDY DAY. HERE’S A LOOK OUTSIDE. RIGHT NOW WE’RE AT 86 DEGREES. ONE OF THE REASONS WHY I THINK STORMS WILL STRUGGLE THE NEXT FEW HOURS ARE WINDS ARE STILL OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. THAT MEANS WE ARE STILL ABOVE THE WARM FRONT. WE NEED TO GET THAT WARM FRONT THROUGH HERE. THIS EVENING. THAT HAPPENS AFTER ABOUT 8 OR 9, AND THEN THAT OPENS THE WINDOW FOR THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR A FEW HOURS. TONIGHT, OF COURSE, WE’LL BE HERE TO TRACK ALL THOSE STORMS. SO EARLY STORMS AND THEN QUIET LATE 73 FOR AN OVERNIGHT LOW TOMORROW. EARLY SHOWERS, MAYBE A FEW LINGERING FIRST THING IN THE MORNING. IT WILL BE A BLUSTERY DAY. LOOK AT THOSE WINDS SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 30 TOMORROW. HERE’S A LOOK AT YOUR DAY PLANNER. PLENTY OF CLOUDS TOO, SO IT WILL BE KIND OF COOL WHEN YOU FACTOR IN THE TEMPERATURES AND THE WINDS FOR A JULY AFTERNOON. WE’RE ONLY TALKING 70S THERE. IT HEATS UP THOUGH, AS WE GO TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MIKE AND SHEREE. WE ARE LIKELY TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 90S. ALL RIGHT KEVIN, THANK