DON’T write off Spain as World Cup winners. With their solid (third-ranked) defence we now make them second favourites, with an 11.5 per cent chance of being champions. Tunisia are the underdogs, with a 16 per cent win chance today. The chance of a Spanish victory is 59 per cent.
Ukraine’s statistics are very odd. They rank fifteenth in defence but 56th in attack. Today Ukraine have a 58 per cent victory shot, a 28 per cent chance of a draw. There is a 14 per cent chance of a Saudi Arabia win. The other game is unlikely to prove a classic. The superior Swiss are still only 28th-ranked. The probabilities? Switzerland win 57 per cent, a draw 23 per cent and a Togo win 20 per cent.