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Don’t Mention the Penalties

We know what happens when England play Germany — or do we?

If two teams share identical records in the group stages, Fifa makes provision for the drawing of lots. Such recourse to pure chance was never going to be necessary when it came to deciding the fates of Germany and England. Like two classical heroes following predestined tracks, these footballing nations are inexorably bound together by a common purpose: to find and fight the other.

In qualifying to play each other tomorrow, they managed the first part. It was statistically unlikely — England were favourites to win their group and thus avoid a showdown with Germany. But probability is powerless in comparison with the force of history. England were drawn against a German team in 1966, 1970, 1982 and 1990 — making tomorrow their fifth World Cup tie.

England won the 1966 final, but Germany lead the series. That superiority is assumed to be psychological rather than technical. In one respect, the dreaded penalty shoot-out, the Germans dominate where the English falter. It has become a truism that Germans are cool under pressure, where the passionate English fret — and miss.

But there are signs that the old stereotypes are fading. The German press, not the English, has whipped up nationalistic overconfidence. And Germany were more volatile in the group stages, brilliant in victory, abject in defeat. England were unbeaten and understated. Have the old warriors, after so many battles, finally swapped identities?

We will find out tomorrow. But we should remember to enjoy the moment. A great stage, an old foe, and wonderful teams awaiting the victor: it is as good as sport gets. The advice stands for the players as well as the fans. Remembering to enjoy it is also the best way to slot in a penalty.

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