70 percent chance nhc

A tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean will likely develop into a tropical storm or depression this weekend, but it does not pose a threat to Louisiana, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

The system, located hundreds of miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Hurricane forecasters expect the disturbance to form several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands this weekend. It has a medium chance of developing within the next two days and a 70% chance of tropical formation within seven days.

It will be named Tropical Storm Beryl if it strengthens into a named storm. 

Hurricane forecasters first spotted the system Wednesday morning. At the time, the chance of development in a few days was low, at 30%. 

Another tropical wave that hurricane forecasters have been monitoring since Monday afternoon is producing widespread, disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea.

The system could develop over the northwestern Caribbean or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico in the next several days, though the likelihood is low. It has a 30% chance of forming into a tropical system within a week. This tropical wave also does not currently threaten Louisiana. 

Researchers and hurricane forecasters expect the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season to be above-normal. However, tropical activity in June is not rare. 

Hurricane season is between June 1 and November 30. 

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Email Poet Wolfe at poet.wolfe@theadvocate.com.