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Voters can expect President Joe Biden to play up his success in ending the pandemic, fighting for abortion rights and lowering drug prices in his State of the Union address this week.
But while Biden might claim health care wins in Thursday’s speech, those victories are partial at best, and may not endure — especially if he doesn’t win a second term.
Biden took office with big challenges in health care, foremost among them ending the pandemic. They only grew after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade.
On Thursday, Biden could point to the Inflation Reduction Act, which for the first time gave Medicare the power to negotiate prices on drugs, or the American Rescue Plan, which made Obamacare plans more affordable.
His domestic policy adviser, Neera Tanden, cited both when asked about Biden’s achievements, as well as his efforts to address the overdose epidemic and mental illness. “President Biden has been focused on making health care more affordable and accessible,” she said, adding that he believes “health care should be a right, not a privilege.”
But the president is also grappling with intractable challenges. Covid is still sickening people, abortion access is in question, fatal drug overdoses are near record levels and Americans are bitter about drug prices.
The White House, in response to POLITICO’s inquiry, provided fact sheets on the president’s accomplishments that informed this piece.
Restore access to abortion for as many people as possible following the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.
Biden has used his executive authority aggressively to increase abortion access by, for example, making it easier to obtain abortion pills and by agreeing to pay for service members’ travel for abortion. But Congress would have to pass a law to restore Roe’s protections nationwide.
He began efforts to shore up abortion rights as soon as he was elected.
In his first 100 days in office, Biden broadened access to abortion pills, reversed restrictions on funding Planned Parenthood and overseas groups that provide abortion referrals and removed hurdles to medical research that uses fetal tissue obtained from abortions.
Following the Supreme Court’s decision, Biden issued executive orders funding service members’ travel across state lines for an abortion, allowing abortions in some circumstances at VA clinics and clearing the way for retail pharmacies to dispense abortion pills. Another rule still in the works would expand federal privacy rules to cover abortion.
The Biden administration is also fighting several legal battles over abortion rights, including in two upcoming Supreme Court cases targeting federal policies expanding access to abortion pills and requiring hospitals to provide abortions to patients experiencing a medical emergency.
However, Biden has rejected calls from activists to test the boundaries of what’s possible — such as declaring a public health emergency for abortion and exploring the possibility of opening up clinics on federal land in states that ban the procedure.
Many Democratic officials and abortion-rights advocates excoriated Biden for not being better prepared for the Supreme Court decision.
Yet over the past two years, Biden has aggressively used executive authority to protect and restore abortion access. And after years of criticism from progressive activists for a seeming unwillingness to say the word “abortion,” the president is now making it a leading issue in his reelection campaign.
Because a divided Congress has not acted since Roe’s fall, most of what Biden has done could be undone by a future administration, and anti-abortion groups are laying the groundwork to do just that.
Still, Biden’s evolution from staunch abortion opponent to vocal abortion-rights supporter reflects and has accelerated a broader shift within the Democratic Party. Vanishingly few anti-abortion Democrats remain in Congress, and the repeated success of abortion rights at the ballot box since 2022 has emboldened red state Democrats who used to avoid the topic to make it a centerpiece of their messaging.
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Biden reignited the cancer moonshot he led when he was Barack Obama’s vice president and set an ambitious goal: reducing the cancer death rate by 50 percent over a quarter century.
Biden’s agencies have launched dozens of programs aimed at developing new treatments and driving down risk factors. But funding is uncertain and it will take major breakthroughs to reach Biden’s goal.
While the original 2016 moonshot focused on making a decade of scientific progress on cancer prevention and treatment in five years, Moonshot 2.0 has broader aims.
In addition to cutting the cancer death rate, the reignited moonshot is meant to improve the lives of patients with cancer and their caregivers; increase screening and early diagnosis; expand access to treatment; bolster prevention efforts like smoking cessation, identify environmental risks; and address disparities in who gets access to cancer treatment and clinical trials.
The White House announced dozens of federal and private moonshot programs and partnerships last year to support those goals. It has leaned on the Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health, which Biden created to take on high-risk, high-reward research. The White House directed ARPA-H to build a national clinical trial network, as well as team up with the National Institutes of Health and the National Cancer Institute on a biomedical toolbox for cancer research.
Measuring the full impact of the moonshot will take time, especially given the lag between research investments and outcomes for patients.
But a Congressional Research Service report offers an early glimpse of progress: In its first four years, cancer moonshot funding yielded thousands of scientific publications, 49 clinical trials and 30 patent filings.
The moonshot's goal of slashing the death rate by half is going to be harder to achieve. The program is not on track to hit that goal, a National Cancer Institute assessment found last year.
Reducing the cancer death rate by 50 percent is still possible, but death rates must decline more rapidly to get there — an improvement that requires a combination of more prevention and testing efforts, developing new treatments and improving patients' access to them.
Future moonshot funding also looks uncertain. In his 2024 budget request, Biden asked Congress to reauthorize the Cures Act Cancer Moonshot program through 2026, with $2.9 billion over two years, but Congress hasn't authorized new funding. Meanwhile, Republicans have proposed budget cuts for health agencies this year.
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Biden promised to end the pandemic.
Most people have returned to their pre-Covid lifestyles, but it took much longer than Biden anticipated, and his pledge that getting vaccinated would halt transmission proved overly optimistic. Annual vaccines provide protection from severe disease, but Covid will continue to sicken Americans for the foreseeable future.
He set a goal of getting 70 percent of the country vaccinated by July 4, 2021, while amping up non-pharmaceutical interventions like a nationwide mask requirement on public transit.
The Biden administration organized thousands of free vaccination clinics across the country, and opened test-to-treat sites where people could also receive antivirals. It mailed free at-home testing kits to any household that wanted them and ramped up surveillance efforts, such as the National Wastewater Surveillance Program.
“It tracked data systematically, it communicated that data well and it took appropriate action,” former Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Tom Frieden told POLITICO.
In 2023, the White House began shifting the responsibility for distributing Covid vaccines and treatments to the private sector, with an initially bumpy rollout.
The administration has sought to prepare for the next pandemic, launching the Office of Pandemic Preparedness and Response Policy, and building up a forecasting unit at the CDC.
An additional 800,000 Americans have died of Covid during Biden’s term, but rates are far below where they were, and most Americans have put the pandemic behind them.
Getting there took longer than Biden anticipated and coincided with loss of trust in public health agencies.
The vast majority of Americans got their initial Covid shots, but when the administration urged people to get a booster in September 2021, many balked. Uptake rates of subsequent doses remain far lower than the initial doses.
Many schools didn’t fully reopen until the fall of 2021, while mask mandates remained in place in many cities until nearly the end of the deadly Omicron winter of 2021-22. A federal judge ended Biden’s transportation mask mandate that spring, over the administration’s objections.
Meanwhile, efforts to prepare for future pandemics have stalled as Congress has yet to reauthorize the Pandemic and All-Hazards Preparedness Act.
“Of course, they could have done better, but we're facing problems that are much bigger than any presidential administration: Lack of trust, lack of funding, and the decline of recognition of the importance of some of the things that we need to do together to protect one another,” Frieden said.
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Biden aimed to expand access to treatment and turn back a rise in fatal overdoses that occurred during the pandemic.
Fatal overdoses driven by the illicit synthetic opioid fentanyl appear to be leveling off after hitting a record high of nearly 110,000 in 2022, but they remain about 50 percent higher than they were before Covid arrived.
He helped to extend existing rules permitting eased access to the opioid addiction treatments buprenorphine and methadone via telemedicine, and he signed legislation in December 2022 making it easier to prescribe buprenorphine by removing a requirement that doctors apply for a waiver.
The administration has also worked to make the opioid overdose reversal drug naloxone available in more places, such as federal facilities and schools. The FDA has approved a naloxone nasal spray for over-the-counter sales.
In November, Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to restart counternarcotics cooperation. The U.S. hopes China will crack down on companies selling chemicals used to produce illicit fentanyl.
And the White House and the State Department have continued putting pressure on the Mexican government to crack down on the production of fentanyl and its traffic into the U.S., with mixed results.
Overdose death rates have leveled off at close to 110,000 deaths per year, far above pre-pandemic levels, and Congress hasn’t extended its principal opioid addiction-fighting law, the SUPPORT Act, which expired last year.
Drug use and associated homelessness have also prompted a backlash against states and cities that emphasize harm reduction and treatment over law enforcement.
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Americans pay the highest drug prices in the world, and the Biden administration made reducing them a key plank of his 2020 campaign.
Biden signed legislation that for the first time directs Medicare to negotiate prices for a limited number of drugs, but the negotiations have only just begun and drugmakers and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce have sued to block the program.
He fulfilled his pledge in the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022, empowering Medicare to negotiate prices for a limited number of medicines for the first time.
“He cracked the code,” said Sen. Peter Welch (D-Vt.), a frequent critic of pharmaceutical companies. “This has been an upmountain battle for years.”
The process enters a pivotal phase this year. The administration selected 10 high-cost drugs for negotiation, and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services made its initial price offers Feb. 1.
Drugmakers rejected the offers in early March. They now will enter a series of negotiations slated to end by Sept. 1. CMS has until March 1, 2025, to release the negotiated prices, which will take effect on Jan. 1, 2026.
A company could decline the negotiated rate but would risk losing all Medicare and Medicaid sales.
The Inflation Reduction Act also limited monthly cost sharing for insulin at $35 for those on Medicare and eliminated cost sharing for vaccines covered under Medicare’s drug benefit. Other reforms have yet to fully take effect, chief among them a $2,000 cap on out-of-pocket costs in the Medicare drug program starting next year.
It’s uncertain how many of Biden’s wins will stick.
Drugmakers and industry groups such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce are suing to challenge the program’s constitutionality. The cases are continuing to make their way through the federal court system.
If the negotiations go forward, their impact will be evaluated for years, not only for their effect on prices, but also on innovation.
The pharmaceutical industry’s top lobbyist, Stephen Ubl, insists the negotiations will distort investment and research decisions and “fundamentally undermine an ecosystem that has allowed the U.S. to be a leader in bringing new treatments and cures to patients.”
Republicans — such as Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee ranking member Bill Cassidy of Louisiana — also argue that fewer drugs will come to market.
“In the short term, the Biden administration will have it both ways,” Cassidy said. “That which is in the innovative pipeline will be developed — there will be some lower costs. But it is in the long term, that we will begin to pay the price for a lack of innovation.”
Other reforms, such as the cap on Medicare out-of-pocket costs, are on safer ground.
But Biden’s achievements are largely limited to Medicare. An effort led by former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) to apply the prices negotiated under Medicare to commercial health insurance plans collapsed. So have efforts to extend the $35 out-of-pocket insulin cost cap to commercial plans.
But that doesn’t mean other markets have been unaffected. Several drug makers have lowered what they charge for insulin to avoid paying a higher rebate to Medicaid.
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Biden sought to restore waning support for public health agencies amid a flood of misinformation, frustration over Covid vaccines’ failure to halt transmission and pandemic safety measures like masking and school closures.
Biden’s public health agencies promised a revamped messaging effort, but updated Covid vaccination rates have plummeted, and polls show diminished confidence.
The administration looked to build its public health communication strategies on a number of fronts.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has begun changing its communications with the public in mind, and the White House chose the agency’s new chief, Mandy Cohen, in part because she was seen as an effective public health messenger.
The White House pushed social media companies to crack down on anti-vaccine misinformation, though some public health experts and Republican politicians have said it went too far in trying to censor competing viewpoints.
Two states, Missouri and Louisiana, sued, arguing the administration violated First Amendment rights, and their case is now before the Supreme Court.
The U.S. lagged behind its peer nations in initial Covid vaccination rates, and uptake of the updated shots remains low.
Increasing politicization of the pandemic has made building trust difficult. Anti-vaccine groups and Republican skeptics of the pandemic response were among the forces weakening trust in public health writ large.
Critics say the Biden administration had its own missteps by saying that vaccines would stop transmission of the disease and by siding with teachers’ unions in setting guidance that kept many schools in more Democratic parts of the country closed for most of the 2020-21 school year.
Some in the administration, frustrated by their inability to turn the tide on public health messaging, now say the government should pare back its communications efforts.
They’re hoping messaging from vaccine makers and persuasion by primary care doctors could get more shots in arms.
The administration’s failure to overcome skepticism of Covid vaccines and anger over the government’s pandemic response has spread into other areas of public health, with rates of childhood vaccination against other diseases dropping.
That could undermine not only the continuing battle against Covid, but also increase other health risks.
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Biden promised in his 2020 campaign to end the GOP threat to the 2010 Affordable Care Act by protecting it and building on it.
Biden signed legislation to reduce the cost of Obamacare plans for middle-income people, and enrollment has spiked, helping drive down the uninsured rate from 14.5 percent to 11 percent. But the subsidies expire at the end of next year unless Congress extends them.
In 2021, he signed the American Rescue Plan Act, which made Obamacare plans more affordable by eliminating a cap on eligibility for subsidies above 400 percent of the poverty level and limiting how much people pay for premiums to no more than 8.5 percent of their income.
The law also created a financial incentive to persuade a dozen holdout states to expand their Medicaid programs to cover more low-income people, as Obamacare permits. Two states — South Dakota and North Carolina — have since opted in, together opening up coverage to more than 650,000 people.
And it allowed states to extend coverage for postpartum people from 60 days to 12 months, an option that 44 states and Washington, D.C., have implemented.
The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services also withdrew approvals states received from the Trump administration allowing them to mandate work as a condition of receiving Medicaid. The agency is still trying to undo the Trump administration’s work in promoting two types of health insurance — short-term limited duration plans and association health plans — that skirted ACA requirements.
Biden fixed the so-called family glitch that blocked millions of people from affordable health coverage. His administration approved requests from states to innovate with their marketplaces and Medicaid, including establishing state public health insurance options, providing coverage to undocumented immigrants, continuously covering kids, addressing poor access to care in some communities and assisting people leaving incarceration. It has also significantly boosted spending on marketplace outreach and assistance.
Biden also proposed a rule to allow hundreds of thousands of immigrants who came to the United States as children, known as Dreamers, to enroll in Medicaid and exchange plans, but it has yet to be finalized.
Additionally, Biden failed to create a public health insurance option as he promised in his campaign, with the idea quickly fizzling when he took office.
The percentage of uninsured adults dropped from 14.5 percent at the end of the Trump administration to 11 percent at the beginning of 2023, according to Department of Health and Human Services data. In the same time span, enrollment in Affordable Care Act-related health plans — like exchanges and Medicaid programs — shot up more than 13 million. But the new subsidies in the American Rescue Plan expire after 2025.
And the gains in the insured population don’t yet reflect the more than 17 million people who, according to health research group KFF, states have removed from their Medicaid rolls over the last year after Biden ended a pandemic-era requirement that states keep people continuously covered in Medicaid. The data is not yet clear on how many of those people have transitioned to other health plans, like employer-sponsored insurance or Obamacare plans, and how many are now uninsured.
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