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Tropics snoozing along, but for how much longer?
In the modern hurricane record – since satellites came around in the 1960s – most Julys observe at least one named storm, but about 1 in 3 Julys come and go without any new named storms. Additionally, most Julys – nearly 70% – pass by without any new hurricane formations.
Tropical Atlantic lies dormant into next week
It’s been 9 days since the last active tropical system in the Atlantic and 18 days since the last named storm – Tropical Storm Chris – formed. Of course, by the first week of July, the Atlantic managed to notch its most active start to a hurricane season on record – courtesy of long-lived, Category 5 Hurricane Beryl – and activity through July 18th is more like what we’d expect through the end of August.
The Tropical Atlantic is heating up again
The big story going into this hurricane season was the chart-topping warmth throughout the Atlantic Main Development Region – the strip of tropical waters from the Caribbean to Africa where most of our strongest hurricanes get their start later in the season.
La Niña letup. What does it mean for hurricane season?
After an abrupt cooling of waters this spring in the eastern Pacific – heralding the demise of one of the strongest El Niño events on record – surface waters across the eastern Pacific have plateaued over the past month, begging the question whether La Niña will surface in full before the peak of the hurricane season.