Xponance, Inc.’s Post

View organization page for Xponance, Inc., graphic

4,011 followers

We are once again struck by the contradiction between careful data analysis and changing narratives regarding market direction. In our 4Q23 review, we noted that the idea of futures markets and market participants expecting 6-7 interest rate cuts by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) over the course of the year made little sense absent a complete economic meltdown. As it turns out, we may end up with zero cuts by the FOMC, with the market currently pricing in only two. This rapid and significant increase in yields has been evident. While the market’s anticipation of large Fed Funds rate reductions has disappeared, many fixed income markets continue to predict smooth sailing with no storm clouds on the horizon. However, we have also noted in previous outlooks that some corners of the market (though very few) are beginning to prepare for foul weather. https://lnkd.in/esAfF--E

Shifting Market Narratives Forecast Smooth Sailing Despite Gathering Storm Clouds: Q1 2024 Fixed Income Update

Shifting Market Narratives Forecast Smooth Sailing Despite Gathering Storm Clouds: Q1 2024 Fixed Income Update

https://www.xponance.com

To view or add a comment, sign in

Explore topics