Head of Trading at Syz Group / 60k+ followers / Winner of the Excellence in Equity Trading Award for European Women in Finance 2023
The Warren Buffett indicator hits its highest point in history The Warren Buffett indicator (also known as the market cap-to-GDP ratio) has popped up to its highest level in history, jumping above levels observed from the dot-com bubble, the global financial crisis, and the recent 2022 bear market. As of Friday, July 5, the ratio topped 196%, which is notably higher than the 138.4% level observed during the dot-com bubble peak. Furthermore, it's also higher than the recorded 106.9% level which was observed back in October 2007 during the housing crisis. For reference, the Buffett indicator compares the total market capitalization of all U.S. publicly traded stocks, represented by the Wilshire 5000 index, to the Gross Domestic Product of the U.S. The ratio provides insight into how the stock market is valued relative to the overall economy. This, in turn, helps market participants gauge overall sentiment and potential investment opportunities. #warrenbuffet #market #buffetindicator #gdp #wilshire5000index source : seekingalpha
Before 1929 sp500 and Dow jones were making new highs everyday also. Like this past weeks History does repeat itself and it won’t take long . Just wait to see
Thanks Valérie Noël , not a market timer but this has been a horrid tool for it . I think largely because the world has changed so much and the largest names are no longer just US . That doesn’t mean market not due for a breather ,this rise has been rampant
If the market momentum continues, even into recession, the Buffett Indicator will rise geometrically as GDP turns negative.
Very informative
Useful tips
Insightful!
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2wNot sure this is such a useful indicator for at least 2 reasons:1-it is not a normalised indicator and as such it does not provide any entry or exit points. You can just say it is high or low relative to a subjective line 2-the revenues from the most dynamic companies are not generated in the US and are not repatriated to the US. You might use a more adequate gdp measure weighted by its international share