It seems like we have a new exit model in AI. 🔊 Vanilla M&A and IPOs are so passé, this is the age of the 'not-quite-an-acquisition' exit for AI startups where Big Tech acqui-hires the founders and licenses the tech, leaving the company only a shell of its former self.
Remember when, in March, Microsoft had 'quasi-acquired' Inflection AI by poaching the stellar founding team to launch a new division called Microsoft AI and licensing the underlying tech from the company itself for $650M, making the investors whole. Well, Amazon pulled a similar move last week with Adept, a startup that is building AI agents for the enterprise. Why are we seeing this deal pattern emerge? Here are my guesses:
🤼 Talent. ▶ Even more than compute, talent is the most valuable currency in the AI ecosystem. There are a finite number of individuals with the technical skill-set, lived experience, leadership ability, and vision to execute on this ask. Microsoft and Amazon wanted the founders of Inflection and Adept more than the companies themselves. Company-building was just Phase 1 of the toughest job interview of all time.
💰 Capital. ▶ All AI endeavors are nauseatingly resource intensive and founders are in a perpetual cycle of fundraising to put the next meal on the table/ add the next GPU cluster to their infrastructure. It is bound to be a sweet relief to be plugged into an unlimited money machine and just focus on building the tech.
🔬 R&D. ▶ Big Tech is leveraging the AI startup ecosystem as a dynamic off-balance-sheet R&D lab. Startups battle it out to get from 0 to 1, and then they cherry pick those whose vision is most aligned with their internal strategy and plug it into the monster data and distribution juggernaut they've built over time. By partnering up with Big Tech, AI startups go from having big dreams and no business model to immediately commercializing their tech at scale. A true Silicon Valley Cinderella moment.
🤝 Anti-Trust. ▶ There have been rumblings from regulators around the dominant role that the largest tech companies are playing in the AI ecosystem. This partnership mechanism stops short of an acquisition and the disclosure requirements it would bring. However, it does seem that even these deals may attract regulatory scrutiny as the FTC takes a closer look. Because if it walks and quacks like a duck, it should probably be regulated as one.
Healthcare Correspondent @ Business Insider
1moAlways great speaking with you!!