Everyone should read Jared Cohen's latest in Foreign Policy. People often ask if the U.S. dollar will be replaced by something else as the world's reserve currency. "The question isn’t about whether an event or a crisis or a new technology will knock the dollar off its pedestal," writes Cohen. "Rather, it is about how the United States’ competitors, and even partners, are pushing the boundaries of the financial system in a global economy where the dollar still dominates but the post-Cold War consensus is breaking down. ... The dollar will continue to underpin the global economy for the foreseeable future." To understand why, click on the link below: https://lnkd.in/gGtEZWqa
In the real world, its not a zero sum question of replacing the dollar with something else. In fact, I would argue that because of the actions of a few, others in the world have been increasingly incentivized to invest in the development of alternatives to the dollar and from a systems frame of reference it is the evolution of the system (alternatives being added to it, not replacing what already exists) which have actually helped sustain the aging structure of the dollar system. Hence, perhaps the question is who stands with supporting the system's evolution and who opposes it? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/market-us-daring-world-dollar-050248840.html
So did Eastman Kodak Company refuse to see what was coming
Detailed article that has a critical blindspot. But first REPO April 24, is the single reason why world's trust in USD has eroded with Prez Biden single handedly responsible for this bill. However blindspot in Jared's piece is the US Debt. This year, US Debt interest payments alone at 1.2 trillion dollars are second highest next to Social Security payments on govt's expenses list as far as I know. Debt will derail the US Dollar soon. It is more likely the implosion that will lead to de-dollarization. The big question is when?
Geopolitical Risk/MENA/Indo-Pacific
1moReplacing the dollar is more about political will than purely economics