Michael Ceballos’ Post

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Value-based Care Leader l Medicare l Medicaid l Payer l Provider

Thoughtful, complete primer by Center for Health Care Strategies on how to develop primary care population-based payment models in Medicaid. Recommended reading for Medicaid policy makers, as well as those operating in the government program value-based space. I've spent a lot of time thinking through how to bring value-based care to Medicaid, feel like the authors identified most, if not all the key elements. I think risk adjustment, as identified in the primer, is what can move this from theory to reality. As we know states their need to close the books annually, so a key challenge is creating a risk adjustment methodology that meets VBC goals and keeps the program on budget. Appreciate the suggestions of both medical AND social risk adjustment as an approach. Loved this quote, "When developing a social risk adjustment methodology, it is important for states to understand their goals for the adjustment: Is it to predict costs as accurately as possible or increase investment in primary care? Could it be both? Or are there potentially other goals to consider?" Would Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services ever consider have federal dollars pay for Medicaid risk adjustment?

Developing Primary Care Population-Based Payment Models in Medicaid: A Primer For States - Center for Health Care Strategies

Developing Primary Care Population-Based Payment Models in Medicaid: A Primer For States - Center for Health Care Strategies

https://www.chcs.org

Thank you for sharing such an insightful primer. The discussion on risk adjustment is particularly compelling, especially the emphasis on both medical and social risk factors. Balancing value-based care goals with budget constraints is indeed a significant challenge. The quote you highlighted resonates with me as well—it raises important questions about the goals of risk adjustment. I too wonder about the potential for federal funding to support Medicaid risk adjustment. It would be interesting to see how CMS might approach this. Looking forward to more discussions on this crucial topic!

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