Meb Faber’s Post

View profile for Meb Faber, graphic

🎤 New podcast with UBS' Jason Draho on the possibility of another Roaring '20s for the US https://lnkd.in/gzFz3U6w We covered: -- The resilience of the US economy -- Macro regime change -- 4 megatrends he's focused on: capex boom, green energy transition, AI, and security & deglobalization 💬 Some key quotes from Jason: 🔹"I think ... a lot of investors have been dragged, not kicking and screaming, but in disbelief that the economy has done as well as it has." 🔹 "there's been essentially a positive aggregate demand shock to the economy, massive stimulus. And we can debate ... whether that's good or not, but what it did do is take us out of an environment for basically a decade post-financial crisis in '08 where it was just lower for a longer regime." 🔹 "...bonds aren't a negative asset class, but they're just not the ideal asset class that they were for so long. So, I think that means you need to think about other things to add to your portfolio." 🔹 "...to me this deglobalization idea sounds like a catchy buzzword. I think in practical matters, I'm much more skeptical that we're really going to somehow retrench after 40 years of moving in that direction." Thanks to our sponsor Farmland LP

Mark Higgins, CFA, CFP®

Institutional Investment Advisor | Award-Winning Author of Investing in U.S. Financial History

1mo

This is a paper I wrote about three years ago, so it is a bit dated, but the observations related to the dynamics of the Roaring 20s have not changed. The economics of the 1920s generally do not seem similar to the economics now. If anything, I think the 1960s and 1970s are now the best comparable, but this was not clear at the time I wrote the paper. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3838380

To view or add a comment, sign in

Explore topics