LibDems Cities of London and Westminster’s Post

Putting on my political scientist’s hat to make a “duh” prediction: So long as we have an Electoral College with winner-take-all assignment of electors (in 48 states), a third party candidate will NEVER win the presidency. Instead, s/he will only take (possibly critical) votes away from one of the two major party candidates. The Democratic and Republican Parties are fully institutionalized and entrenched legally and culturally in our political system (unlike in earlier historical eras); the only real change will come from within the parties, not outside them until and unless we modify the Electoral College. #politics #NoLabels #ElectoralCollege #elections #presidentialelection

【Giving to Governors: State Contribution Limits and the Incumbency Advantage】 Full article: https://lnkd.in/g_XG8a3H (Authored by Brent D. Boyea, et al., from University of Texas at Arlington (USA), etc.) Today, a large majority of American states have adopted limits on contributions to political campaigns. This paper evaluates the specific benefits and disadvantages of incumbency where states apply more or less restrictive #campaign_finance laws and considers whether state campaign finance reform has had unintended effects for how incumbent and non-incumbent candidates raise money. #Gubernatorial_Elections #Elections #Political_Participation #Political_Behavior

We have found that anyone who follows US politics is familiar with our name or our now-ubiquitous 7-point race rating scale (Solid R or D; Likely R or D; Lean R or D; or Toss Up). But do they know our story, who we are and what we do? We wanted to makes sure that anyone who is curious in learning more, can. We're very proud of our long-standing track record as a non-partisan, trustworthy and reliable source for US elections analysis. Does that shine through in our newly designed "About" page? #elections2024 #elections #uselections #redistricting #drinkfromthesource #nonpartisan https://lnkd.in/d8yD-4JP

As we watch elections in 2024 spanning nearly 70 countries and 4.2 billion people, one thing is clear: the current systems are not working. Voters are not happy and have little enthusiasm for the politicians they can choose between (if they have any real choices at all). 🗳️ Join Graeme in the future and consider four 'ridiculous ideas' for new approaches to Parliaments and Governments. 🏛️ We need to stretch our strategic imaginations in an effort to come up with new political systems. Watch this week’s episode of ThrowForward Thursday here: https://lnkd.in/dUMYi5DY #ThrowForwardThursday #TFT #futureofwork #graemecodrington #tomorrowtoday #scenarios #politics #government #elections

Vote for Edward Lucas On Day 2 of the general election campaign Edward shares what he is hearing on the doorsteps around central London and says that voters say they feel like they are being offered a choice of "Pepsi or Coke" when what they are actually demanding is real change that is simply not being offered by Labour or the Tories. The LibDems are offering firm policies on changes to the electoral system, the structure of Parliament, and our disastrous post-Brexit relationship with Europe among many other issues. #Europe #electoralreform #proportionalrepresentation #parliamentaryreform #houseoflords #reform #EdMinster #TwoCities #Westminster #CityOfLondon #elections #elections2024 #generalelection #generalelection2024 #Parliament #houseofcommons #winninghere #libdems #liberaldemocrats Liberal Democrats Hear more about Edward Lucas - https://lnkd.in/e_dAuZ7J Join the Campaign - https://lnkd.in/eYWrxyR4

As France enters the 2nd round of the National Assembly vote, the stage is set for an intense political showdown that will determine the nation's future amidst rising tensions. With major shifts in the political landscape, including Marine Le Pen’s National Rally leading the first round and Macron’s group strategising alliances, these elections promise to be decisive for France's future. Explore the election dynamics, potential outcomes, and the broader implications for France's political stability and security, especially with the upcoming Olympics, in our comprehensive Q3 2024 Election Guide. Download the full report now: https://lnkd.in/er-njD3i #FranceElections #Geopolitics #NationalAssembly2024 #PoliticalStability

Trump or Biden... ...which presidential candidate will be the answer for our ailing nation? And what if the answer is neither? This week on Swarfblog, Lloyd tackles the topic of our current political climate, and the thought that neither current candidate is significantly better than the other. Read the blog and share your views in the comments or on our website: https://ow.ly/grjO50SmEAM #trump #biden #political #america #change #elections #election2024 #presidentialelection #politics #thursdaythoughts #blog

Loughborough University London is hosting a seminar with Paul M. Vaaler, Professor and the John and Bruce Mooty Chair in Law & Business at the University of Minnesota on Friday, 17th November, 2023, 13:00-14:00 Paul will present a paper on "Do Transnational Rating Agencies “Regulate” National Political Budget Cycles?" Further details and how to join online are in the attached flyer. See you Friday! #politicalscience #financeandlaw #ratingagencies #nationalbudget #elections #borrowing #downgrade

Geopolitical risks, especially those related to elections, have wide-ranging implications for both national and international contexts. To understand election-related threats, read our blog Decoding 2024 election risks with threat intelligence: https://hubs.ly/Q02Fqyy00 #Geopoliticalrisk #Elections #Silobreaker

#Portugal's recent elections have marked a notable rise of the far-right, reflecting a broader #European trend. The unexpected surge of the #Chega party, amidst political unrest and corruption allegations against traditional parties, signals a shift in the political landscape. This development mirrors the momentum of far-right movements across #Europe, suggesting a changing tide as we approach the European Parliament #elections. This moment is pivotal, underscoring the importance of understanding these shifts, not just politically, but for their wider societal and economic implications in Europe. #PortugueseElections #EuropeanPolitics #FarRightPopulism