Managing Partner, Co-Founder at Antler | Global VC backing the most driven founders from day zero to greatness
Founders, thinking too much about your TAM can be a trap. Don't get caught up in throwing out a big number like "the market is worth $100 billion annually". We won't be impressed. A huge TAM means nothing if you're not solving a real, pressing problem. So, before you start quoting market sizes, ask yourself these 3 crucial questions: 1️⃣ Is the problem LARGE? - How many people are affected? - What's the scale of impact? 2️⃣ Is the problem URGENT? - Do people need a solution right now? - What happens if it's not solved quickly? 3️⃣ Is the problem VALUABLE? - Are people willing to pay to solve it? - How much are they willing to pay? Here's the real talk: ❌ Hit 1 out of 3: Sorry, you don't have a business yet. 🤔 Hit 2 out of 3: You might have a business. ✅ Hit all 3: Now we're talking. Remember, founders: Your job isn't to chase big markets. It's to solve big problems. So, which problem are you solving? And does it tick all three boxes?
Question 1 (go big or go home) is very much related to TAM. You still need some sort of take rate. You get take rate if you nail 2&3 for product market fit. If 2 & 3 are too small or very niche then little upside for investors, correct?
Very good insight Jussi Salovaara Product journey is iterative and so is product sale and pricing point. To answer #3 truly it might take some experiments on product and pricing to understand the value the product proposes and the value the customer perceives. Is it really possible to answer #3 for early stage products?
TAM doesn't entirely speak of your potential, It's just the first layer of the funnel Jussi Salovaara
Sorry Jussi what does TAM mean?
How many got 3 out of 3? This is wishful thinking.
1️⃣ There are over 20 million ridehailing drivers globally and less than 1% use EV cars. In Bangkok alone there are over 100k drivers we can be supporting with the transition. 2️⃣ With no cost spent and just organic engagement with drivers, we have a waitlist of over 30 potential customers in less than 12 hours. The shift from ICE to EV is critical for reducing emissions in shared mobility and part of our responsibility for mitigating climate catastrophe. 3️⃣ Drivers save around 20-30% through using our service VS renting an ICE car! Win for drivers, win for the environment, win for investors! We are actively raising our angel round to kick off service and get our first applicants into EVs! 🫡
Agree... Big markets are tempting, but the real winners are startups solving LUV problems: * Large & painful * Urgent need * Valuable to customers Let's ditch the TAM obsession and focus on making a real impact. What's your LUV?
I focus on solving children's privacy issues and protecting them online, and I'm confident that this problem is the most urgent in the market, and everyone will be willing to pay for solutions, especially if the UI/UX is easy to use. Currently, I'm working on a new model called "Parental Companionship.
Another important factor: How small can you start? A large TAM doesn't matter if you can't validate the idea in segments.
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3wI would like to seek your definition of urgent. The existing market would have a process in which they are currently going about their business, and if the product is seeking to improve and change existing processes, it might not seem urgent as there is an existing process in place. How can we measure the idea if that is the case?