Joshua Reader’s Post

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CEO & Founder @ CreatorCut

For a glimpse at the future of the media and entertainment distribution models, look to the north! There is a lot of talk these days about the “great re-bundling,” and how streamers - whether directly (the Disney+/Hulu/Max and Venu bundles) or through third parties (Comcast’s Peacock/Apple TV+/Netflix bundle) - are recreating cable.  Yes, the re-bundling permutations were inevitable as the streaming models reached market saturation.  But where is it all going? In his latest piece, Doug Shapiro argues that the legacy media model has plenty of room to keep spending on sports rights, which today are driving consumption of “the cable bundle.” However, even in the best scenario, that will come at the expense of expenditure on non-sports entertainment options. So what does that mean? The Canadian cable model is generally composed of data access (effectively, a utility service), combined with a basic tier of broadcast networks (live and sports), and a panoply of genre-focused bundles (or “pick-a-packs”) available on top.  I think this is where we’re headed in the US. Consumers with device loyalty will purchase video entertainment through Roku, Amazon, or Apple.  Device-agnostic consumers will purchase bundles and data access through Comcast, Charter, Verizon, AT&T, or T-Mobile.  Consumers who care about only a few services and don’t care about sports may still buy direct-to-consumer offerings from their programmers of choice, but that subscriber base will shrink in favor of slimmed-down “service + video” bundles. This will require cost rationalization for entertainment services from a content and marketing perspective.  This is where creators come in.  There will still be large, expensive attempts at tentpole offerings based on high-profile IP, but more entertainment brands will turn to creators to make cost-effective programming with built-in, easier-to-reach fan connections to round out their content offerings.  They’ll be able to take more shots with this more efficient content, and some of those will hit larger than expected. Meanwhile, a sizeable contingent of consumers who don’t care much about sports or entertainment will get everything they need on YouTube, where content quality and format will continue the current trend of elevating, TV consumption will continue to grow, and creator monetization models will continue to evolve to support the upwards trend of quality, format, and engagement time. It will be fun to look back on a few years and see how much of the above I was wrong about. If I’ve totally missed the boat, I’ll just delete this post and move to Canada. #EquityCrowdfunding #Creators #CreatorFinancing #CreatorEnterprise #CreatorMiddleClass #NewHollywood

Drew Lyton

👋 Entrepreneur writing a book about how to be a better founder.

4w

Doug Shapiro's post was super interesting and a great tandem piece to this one from 2020 https://dougshapiro.medium.com/one-clear-casualty-of-the-streaming-wars-profit-683304b3055d Something I'm wondering about though is the influence major tech giants like Apple and Google have in spending on and acquiring sports rights. YouTube TV is securing NFL, Apple the MLS, is this just a repeat of Netflix outbidding pay TV operators and distributors?

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