Jim Ross’ Post

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Campaign Consultant

Heading back from Panama where I spent most of the past five weeks, the election was yesterday. I have some observations on the results, the voting patterns, and how campaigns are run. This first post is about the background of the national race, the next tomorrow will be about the major mayoral races and results, and the day after will be about the mechanics of the campaigns. Panama has elections every five years where they elect everything on the same day, President, Diputados (MPs), Mayors, and local Councilors. Most candidates run as members of parties, but you can also get on the ballot as an independent by collecting enough signatures, there are coalitions of independents (including one increasingly formal quasi-party), candidates can run for more than one party or for a party and also as an independent, in the latter scenarios the same candidate appears on the ballot more than once. The incumbent PRD (left) government was very unpopular, the theme of mining was important but also governments in Panama tend to wear out their welcome, no government has been reelected in the modern period. They candidate was incumbent vicepresident Gaby Carrizo. The two traditional centre-right parties, CD and PAN, were running in a coalition with CD leader and 2019 runner up Romulo Roux as the presidential candidate. Outside of the three traditional parties there were three more personalist campaigns. New party RM founded by former CD President Ricardo Martinelli, former PRD President Martin Torrijos took over the defunct Popular Party, and Ricardo Lombana, the 3rd place candidate from 2019 formalized his movement into a new party MOCA. Also on the ballot were Zulay Rodriguez, an eccentric and populist PRD Diputada (my favourite quote from the campaign, when she totally failed to respect the rules of a debate, her response to the media the next day was "They knew what I'm like, why did they invite me?" and then she showed up outside the office of the opponent who antagonized her with a megaphone to talk trash about him) and two other minor candidates, one left and one right. Martinelli was the early frontrunner, with huge polling leads, he attempted to take over his old party, CD, and force them into a coalition with his new party, RM, with the support of about 75% of the CD Diputados, but he failed to do so and Romulo Roux won the CD primary against the Martinelli candidate. Later, Martinelli was disqualified for corruption and was replaced by his running mate Jose Mulino, after being sentenced to jail, he went to hide in the Nicaragua embassy. Outside of parties and presidential campaigns, there was a quasi-party movement called VAMOS running candidates for Diputado, Mayors, and Councilors, in partial affiliation with MOCA, led by young Diputado Juan Diego Vasquez. Most polls showed Mulino in the lead, but the size of the lead and the main contender was not always consistent, but the top four were consistently Mulino, Roux, Torrijos, Lombana.

Bryan Blue

Economic Development | Client Services | Global Business Development | Government Relations | Certified International Trade Professional

2mo

Hi Jim, I appreciate the comprehensive report and insights on the recent elections in Panama, thanks for sharing.

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