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In today's complex and unpredictable world, markets that leverage probabilistically defined underlyings play a crucial role in managing uncertainty and risk across various sectors. Our latest article delves into how these markets utilise statistical models to establish their fundamental measures, leading to precise risk assessment and pricing strategies. This probabilistic approach ensures #fungibility, allowing units of trade to be standardised and interchangeable. This standardisation facilitates smooth transactions across different markets and contracts. By adopting this probabilistic foundation, we can accurately price and share risks, effectively quantifying and managing inherent uncertainties and variabilities. The result? Market participants gain the ability to hedge against risks and invest with confidence, relying on the reliability and consistency of these underlying measures. #climatechange #carbonmarkets #empati #ai Stewart Dodd Darren Orbart Sarvapali (Gopal) Ramchurn José Fernando Martínez Paz Oliver Nunn Maisie Rose Dong Huynh

Probabilistic Standards: Carbon Alpha

Probabilistic Standards: Carbon Alpha

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At Empati, we are building next-generation AI-powered solutions to abate #CarbonEmissions at scale. The carbon markets today deal in non-fungible carbon units and do not scale to the trillions required to stop climate change. Developing countries are the ones paying the price for this and are also blamed for being growing polluters in this age of AI-powered data centre-building frenzy. Our solutions aim to make Carbon abatement a rational / highly profitable choice, and hence scalable at the pace that is required to avoid a climate disaster. They build on the disarmingly simple idea of fungibility i.e., one tonne of CO2 abated in India = 1 tonne of CO2 abated in Japan. #Fungibility gives confidence to investors, and allow for global abatement trades that were not previously possible, on a temporal scale not previously possible. We would be very interested to discuss with the insurance sector: Christoph Jurecka Jean-Louis Monnier Thorsten Fromhold

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Stewart Dodd

Chief Executive Officer @ Empati | Economics Degree. Board member, Sentient Sports

1mo

Probablaistic definition of carbon abated opens up the carbon market for all kinds of helpful securities and risk apportionment and alignment such as project finance and insurance. This will open the market for new and deep pools of capital.

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