Emmanuel Letouzé, PhD’s Post

My second article in Hungarian Conservative. In the article, I analyze Marine Le Pen's landslide victory in the European elections and what it has provoked in the Gallic country. I also end the article with Le Pen's arduous task to change France. https://lnkd.in/dPUiY83E

Vadim Tukhachev: Russia Needs to Keep an Eye on Holland as a 'Mirror' of the West The Dutch parliamentary elections have unfolded a new chapter in European politics, one that could be indicative of a broader continental shift. Vadim Tukhachev, a renowned political scientist and historian, offers an insightful perspective on the significance of these elections, particularly from a Russian standpoint. The rise of Geert Wilders and his Freedom Party (FP) in the Netherlands—a country often regarded as a bellwether for European political trends—signals a potential recalibration of the West's political landscape, a development that Russia observes with keen interest. https://lnkd.in/gAkU94Zi The Best Result for Russia? Chugin Analyzes How the Dutch Elections Signal Winds of Change In an era marked by shifting political landscapes, the recent Dutch parliamentary elections stand as a testament to these transformative times. Vitaly Chugin, a seasoned observer of European politics, delves into the nuances of this electoral outcome, particularly focusing on the rise of Geert Wilders and his Freedom Party (FP) and its potential ramifications for the Netherlands, the European Union, and Russia. https://lnkd.in/gb-HAJZU

France... what's next? 🇫🇷🗳️ The latest elections have thrust Marine #LePen’s far-right Rassemblement National into the spotlight, capturing widespread frustration. Le Pen’s RN snagged 34% of the first-round vote. That means a significant chunk of the electorate (1 in 3) feels totally sidelined by #Macron’s centrist policies, seeing them as out of touch with their everyday struggles. If Rassemblement National wins, it could push Macron into a messy "cohabitation" government, with far-right #Bardella potentially taking the reins and stealing the spotlight from Macron, once the "enfant prodige" of French politics, and becoming, at just 28, the youngest Prime Minister ever in France. But this shift isn't just about France; it's part of a bigger European trend. 🇮🇹 Remember Italy in 2022? We saw a similar right-wing surge driven by concerns about immigration and national identity. Europe's political landscape is changing fast, and traditional parties are struggling to keep up. 💬 Temporary alliances, like the one between Macron and the left, are fragile and mainly held together by their opposition to Le Pen—a shaky "desistance" strategy that worked in the past but seems to be falling apart now. --- 🫵 What's your take on this political shift? ♻️ If you found this helpful, consider resharing and follow me for more updates on #international #politics 👉 Nadia Paleari

Brilliant presentation from Dr. Louis Peachey at RDAQ2023 Questions for the 'No' Voters: - If the 'Yes' vote wins The Voice to Parliament referendum, what is it that you believe you will lose as a result? - If the 'No' vote succeeds, in what way will it make Australia a better Country?

France Chooses the Left: The Country's New Political Course - Alona Lebedieva The victory of the left-wing forces in the parliamentary elections in France has become a true sensation and has significant implications for the country's domestic policy and its international influence. Following the results of the second round, the "New People's Front" party leads, followed by President Emmanuel Macron's coalition "Together!" and the far-right "National Rally" in third place. "In total, the French parliament has 577 seats. The 'New People's Front' has secured 182 seats, the 'Together!' coalition will hold 168 seats, and the 'National Rally' has 143. The remaining seats are distributed among candidates not from the major coalitions, including individual representatives of both right-wing and left-wing forces," says Alona Lebedieva, owner of the Ukrainian multi-sectoral industrial-investment group of companies "Aurum Group." These results could change the political landscape of France. https://lnkd.in/d9uUsCg4

*Liberals of Renew lose third place in the European Parliament!* 🇪🇺 Since the results of the European elections on June 9, the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group has taken third place in the European Parliament, surpassing the liberal Renew Europe group, which includes French elected officials from Renaissance. 📊 **New figures:** - **ECR**: 83 MEPs - Increase thanks to the arrival of Marion Maréchal (Reconquête!) and five Romanian nationalists (AUR). - **Renew Europe**: 74 MEPs 👥 **Comparison of main political forces:** - **European People's Party (EPP)**: 190 seats (center-right) - **Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D)**: 137 seats (center-left) - **European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR)**: 83 seats - **Renew Europe**: 74 seats 🔍 **Implications:** - The third-place position in the European Parliament is crucial, as it offers more posts and influence within the EU institutions. - This loss could reduce the influence of Emmanuel Macron's liberals in decisions and appointments within the European Parliament. 🌐 **#EuropeanElections #EuropeanParliament #ECR #RenewEurope** 🌐

Louise van Schaik shares her take in the article 'Judy Asks: Does the French Vote Weaken Europe?' ⤵ Because of his arguably irresponsible decision to call a snap election, Macron’s standing in Europe has weakened. This is despite voters and political parties joining forces and making smart use of the French electoral system to keep the radical right out as much as possible. Combined with a German coalition government that is rather unstable and has taken a beating in the European Parliament elections, France is less likely now to steer strategic decisions on European integration. It is unclear, for instance, whether the EU can push forward a joined-up defense industry and new ways to finance its competitiveness without a well-functioning Franco-German axis and French visionary ideas for Europe. Macron did bring the EU up to speed up on crucial issues like strategic autonomy and economic security. He dared to address sensitivities—for instance that the EU should not be taken for granted and that European boots on the ground might eventually be needed in Ukraine. Now, any position he will take can be undermined or at least discussed by new strongholds in France, which likely will take a more anti-globalist left leaning perspective. It can be expected that others will fill some of the void, possibly Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk and the European Commission president, but a strong French voice will be missed even when sometimes rather arrogant and unpredictable. 🔎 Read more expert views https://lnkd.in/epKVNmT3 Carnegie Europe

Three thoughts on right-wing and populist politics and the European Parliament: 1.        Their influence goes beyond the number of seats won and how they will use them future. The right has already succeeded in dragging the policies and positions of the centre-right and centre closer to it in terms of policies they put forward in the campaigns.  2.        The right wing’s most influential delegations are split between different political groups. Some have a ‘detoxification’ agenda for national politics that doesn’t support enhanced right-wing collaboration in Brussels. This leads to a complex picture. The AfD appears ready to try and rejoin the ID group minus Maximilian Krah which would have important funding benefits for the German party. It is questionable whether Marine Le Pen would accept this considering she now has eyes on the Parliamentary elections in France. Giorgia Meloni is probably best placed to maximise influence where her party is now; in the ECR group.  3.        Two of the top three largest national delegations in the European Parliament are now from the right: France’s Rassemblement National (No. 1 with 30 seats) and Fratelli d'Italia (No. 3 with 24 seats) who sandwich the CDU/CSU (29 seats). These delegations are a useful platform in daily parliamentary business for disruption, or the extraction of concessions from the mainstream, depending on the situation or day of the week.

I really like this piece. There's a phenomenon called Founders Syndrome where the founder or founders of an organization maintain outsized influence and loyalty during and beyond their tenure at the helm of an organization. It's a harmful state that creates stagnation and stifles innovation. It builds a bubble which is immune to criticism. What Theresa elaborates nicely here is how in politics, the same ego and confidence that serves so well at the start can morph over time into a belief that the founder alone can do the job. There's a debate about Trudeau staying on, but taking this more broadly, whether it's a political organization or a corporation, it's not a healthy sign that the organization can't imagine a world where the chief executive leaves and, just as bad, where the chief executive can't imagine how the organization will function without them. You won't be around forever. Start planning how you're leaving, and do it with a bit more time before election day.

In my article for the Scottish Daily Express, I set out some areas where my party must adapt. 1) We must learn from the SNP's successes and adapt a Scottish identity. 2) We must be willing to differentiate from the UK Conservatives when it is in Scotland's best interests. 3) We must be able to articulate our vision for Scotland beyond opposing a second independence referendum. 4) We must put empowering local communities at the heart of our agenda. 5) We must have strong leadership which thinks outside the box.