Elara Nova: The Space Consultancy’s Post

🛡️🛰️ In light of yesterday's news regarding a potential threat of Russian nuclear missiles to be used against satellite infrastructure, space will become a key topic at the Munich Security Conference starting tomorrow. 🌍 The conference serves as a critical hub for diplomatic efforts aimed at tackling the most urgent security challenges facing the world today. Our team members, Joram Voelklein, Lynn Zoenen, and Sven Meyer-Brunswick, will be participating in various sessions surrounding the conference. Make sure to reach out to them for insights into the national security dimensions of space. 🔗 More on the emerging threat: https://lnkd.in/gaJ7eDnx #MunichSecurityConference #SpaceSecurity #NationalSecurity #SpacePolicy

🌍 The future of international security is under threat! US intelligence reveals that Russia is developing an anti-satellite nuclear weapon. 😱 This technology raises concerns about its destructive potential on our precious communication, observation and navigation satellites.🛰️ 💪 Faced with this threat, it is time to act! Policymakers are calling for enhanced cooperation with our allies to counter this threat. 👥 By evaluating and countering this technology, we ensure stability and security in space and on Earth. 🤝 We must join forces to face this major challenge. Share this information to raise awareness and let’s commit to protecting our precious satellites and preserving international peace. 🚀💥 #InternationalSecurity #NuclearWeapon #AntiSatellite #SatelliteProtection #StabilityInSpace #InternationalCooperation

Looks as though Russia might have identified a blind spot in the amalgam of space law, jus contra bellum, and nuclear deterrence strategy. The shared post addresses a potential nuclear threat to outer space. The OST https://lnkd.in/gVFHW3pd does not seem to address this kind of threat well enough. Article IV OST prohibits the placing in orbit of WMD. Launching a WMD with a view to detonating it in outer space before it has completed an orbit is not prohibited by this provision. Article IX OST is the relevant rule. It mandates due regard, and specifies that this requires consultations if a planned activity would cause potentially harmful interference with activities of other States Parties. At the same time, States concerned that such potentially harmful interference could be caused may request consultations. The thing is, this requirement mandates consultations only, it does not mandate any outcome. Accordingly, it does not really provide tangible relief. As a result, the key rule is the prohibition of the use of force under Article 2(4) of the UN Charter. This prohibition also applies when an ongoing conflict is frozen. It requires respect for a ceasefire and the associated demarcation line. Remember 24 February 2024 to make an informed guess on the legal situation. Also note that no nuclear deterrence strategy to date extends to outer space. Accordingly, it is unlikely that a nuclear detonation in outer space would be considered a typical "first strike", triggering a nuclear response. Consequently, it seems that both law and strategy do not sufficiently address the threat reported. Looks like a gap that requires instant closing. Ram Jakhu John Goehring Michael Schmitt Roderich Kiesewetter Thomas Spangenberg Steven Freeland Dr. jur. Olga Stelmakh-Drescher

Over the last few weeks, concerns rose about the conflict in space with Russia and the likelihood of Russia developing a space-based capability to dismantle satellites by a nuclear weapon is something that could threaten the U.S. national security. This was an unprecedented move by Russia since the cold war era that has shaken national security officials in dismantling areas of communication around the world with a high possibility of disconnecting the military communications and intelligence.   According to White House National Security Council spokesman (WH-NSC) John Kirby, the capability is not active while it’s not clear whether the system is orchestrated to actively use a nuclear weapon in space, he confirmed that the system is an anti-satellite capability to dismantle the satellites that Russia is developing.          “Though Russia’s pursuit of this particular capability is troubling, there is no immediate threat to anyone’s safety,”[1] Kirby said.   There is no chance of invading the earth or any harm which could be occurred to human beings due to the activities Russians have planned, it is said that the WH-NSC would take every measure to calculate the risk and follow activities associated with it that threatens the satellites around the orbit.       Though not enough documents and information is unveiled to shed lights up on this issue so far, there is a likely plan to declassify the document and information with the allied states, nevertheless, it will not be declassified publicly, according to WH-NSC spokesman.   The threats over the satellites sounds as ‘escalate to de-escalate’ of Russian strategy against the Ukrainian troops in its pursuit of ruthless goals in locating its military in an advantageous scenario. Nevertheless, pursuing such strategy in fledgling the prevailing intelligence and communication of the world will not only work in favor of Russia’s own intelligence, yet instead isolates itself in a universal political arena, not only from the West but also from its ideological allies.   There is also the fact the Russians are desperate in trying to achieve their goals of dominating  Ukraine through irrelevant acts. This is apparently a strategy to choke the West to reduce more support to Ukraine and confuse their decision in remaining firm for Ukrainian support.   Why it is not a good means to achieve a better end? It reduces the Russian trust even for its allies such as China. Dismantling information and communication are costly for China and for middle eastern states such as Israel at the edge of an unprecedented political volatility.   Ultimately, the occurrence of the intended act to dismantle satellites in space is brining a chaos to the planetary information, researches, order, and security of the entire space system that would be unimaginably costly for the much of the world and hard to recover in the near future.   [1] https://lnkd.in/ez_Z2MTi

Incredibly honored to serve as a panelist at the 22 May Korea National Defense University conference titled "The Korean Peninsula Security Crisis & Strengthening Trilateral Cooperation Among South Korea, the United States, and Japan" together with colleagues from KNDU, Japan's National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS), and the Daniel K. Inouye Asia Pacific Center for Security Studies. I spoke on the evolving North Korean nuclear challenge and the US-ROK alliance's efforts--to include in the area of conventional-nuclear integration--to deter this threat. #nuclear #deterrence #ROKUSAlliance

Glad to share a few thoughts today on Fox News regarding our national security nuclear interests. We discussed the situation with Russia and space threats, Sentinel, despite the amazing work from Frank Kendall III and Kristyn Jones and our ICBM team to modernize Minuteman III, and current lack of innovation and Airmen/Guardian empowerment in the United States Air Force with the DAF CIO preventing the scale of DevSecOps and AI capabilities across teams. What did I miss? what should I talk about next? https://lnkd.in/e93-qrd2

Following our event with Senator Markey and Rep. Lieu, I am excited to share this new policy brief I co-authored with Landon Klein for the Future of Life Institute (FLI) on risks at the intersection of artificial intelligence and nuclear weapons. The brief comes as Under Secretary of State Ambassador Bonnie Jenkins released the political declaration on the responsible use of AI in military systems at the UN last week, and as President Biden The White House and President Xi met in San Francisco to discuss this issue. https://lnkd.in/ei3FXp2s The brief outlines the risks posed by AI through nuclear proliferation, command and control, artificial escalation and disinformation. It also provides policy recommendations to mitigate risks at this intersection and guard our nuclear security against developments in AI. #nuclearweapons #artificialintelligence #nuclearsecurity #ainuclear #un #uschinarelations

The DoD is proactively assessing the need for an enhanced nuclear arsenal in response to escalating global threats. This comprehensive review, spearheaded by DoD's top nuclear policy official Vipin Narang, emphasizes the necessity of bolstering America's nuclear capabilities to maintain strategic deterrence. CRG’s SME Opportunities, Advice, Differentiators 1. Opportunities, Advice, Differentiators - Opportunities: The DoD’s exploration of expanding nuclear launchers and warheads presents significant opportunities for firms specializing in advanced nuclear technologies, delivery systems, and strategic deterrence capabilities. - Advice: Firms should align their capabilities with DoD's evolving requirements, focusing on advanced missile technologies, cyber defense, and strategic command systems. Early engagement with CRG’s offices can provide critical insights and strategic positioning. - Differentiators: CRG’s deep understanding of nuclear deterrence & advanced missile tech ensures that our partners' solutions are technically superior and strategically aligned. Our proven track record in managing complex defense projects underpins our ability to deliver high-impact results in challenging environments. 2. Opportunities, Advice, Differentiators - Opportunities: The need for increased nuclear deterrence capabilities offers firms specializing in AI-driven defense systems, enhanced missile propellants, and modular system designs a chance to contribute to national security. - Advice: Develop adaptable solutions that can integrate seamlessly with existing and future nuclear architectures. Engage in strategic reviews and assessments with CRG’s SME guidance to position your company as an essential contributor. - Differentiators: Leveraging CRG’s vast network of industry partners and our strategic geo-positions enhances our ability to provide integrated and resilient solutions. CRG’s expertise in rapid deployment and modular systems can provide a competitive edge. To secure your role in this critical national security initiative, leverage CRG’s expertise and network. Interested companies should act now to capitalize on this opportunity. Contact CRG today to leverage our expertise and secure your position in this critical defense initiative. For more information, visit crgroupinc.com or contact us at contact@crgroupinc.com. #CRG #DoD #NuclearModernization #DefenseStrategy #StrategicDeterrence #AdvancedMissiles #CyberDefense #DoDInitiatives #DefenseInnovation #MissileTechnology #DefenseContracts #NationalSecurity #AI #ML

Industry cooperation and involvement with governments through the IAEA was a key theme at the IAEA ICONs conference. Nuclear security in the context of geopolitical considerations requires a long term strategic view to meet climate and energy needs.

POLITICS Space nukes are raising tensions between Moscow and Washington. Here’s what you need to know PUBLISHED THU, FEB 22 2024 Karen Gilchrist A fresh spat between Washington and Moscow has raised alarm about the potential risk of a space-based nuclear satellite attack. Russia on Tuesday denied U.S. claims that it was developing a space-based anti-satellite nuclear weapon whose detonation could cause chaos to communications systems on Earth. Space-based anti-satellite nuclear weapons — or so-called space nukes — are a type of weapon designed to damage or destroy satellite systems, either for strategic military or disruptive purposes.