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⚗️Where in Europe is the best place to produce green hydrogen? That’s a question many project developers and governments are trying to answer right now, as the continent seeks to ditch fossil fuels and reach net-zero emissions by mid-century. A new tool developed by Agora Industry shows which European regions can be most competitive when deploying additional wind 🌬 and solar 🌞 power facilities for the first wave of renewable hydrogen production by 2030. The Levelised Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) map 🗺 shows that windy coastal areas around the North and Baltic Seas and solar-rich regions in Southern Europe could become hotspots for the production of green hydrogen that would then be delivered to off-takers across the continent by pipeline. It’s important to note that the final price of green hydrogen for off-takers is affected by additional factors and will be higher than the projected production costs calculated here. Over time, the costs are also likely to be influenced by the falling price of electrolysers and the growing share of wind and solar in the electricity 🔌 mix, allowing for new business models where hydrogen is produced according to price signals from the power markets. Still, producing hydrogen from renewables will always be more expensive than using the same electricity directly, due to the energy conversion loss from electron to molecule. Whenever possible, the direct use of electricity should therefore be prioritised. 🔎Try the Levelised Cost of Hydrogen tool yourself here: https://lnkd.in/d6BrT9Sv #hydrogen #renewableenergy #energysecurity #climate #industry #Europe Leandro Janke Matthias Deutsch Darlene D'Mello Yu-Chi Chang

EU map of hydrogen production costs

EU map of hydrogen production costs

agora-industry.org

Tobias Janning

Renewable Energy | Renewable Hydrogen | Business Development

5d

It would be really helpful to see this model with the full range of constraints/freedom given by the REDII Delegated Acts for RFNBO, i.e.: 1. Geographic correlation The vast majority of projects in the EU will be grid-connected, therefore drawing power from the grid covered by PPA‘s producing in the same hour (same month until 2029). The LCOH would therefore be the same in each bidding zone (ceteris paribus). 2. ‚Special grids‘ Electricity drawn from a grid with >90% RES-E can be counted as fully renewable for the equivalent share of full load hours per year. The additionality requirement is dropped for grids with <18 gCO/MJ, which could enable access to existing hydropower or paid-off wind/PV sources and may lead to lower electricity cost. 3. Grid electricity Even in grids with <90% RES-E some share of grid electricity may be used as long as the renewability and CI requirements are met. Happy to compare models and results. PS: The cost assumptions in this model do not fully reflect turnkey project costs for H2 production and EPC is either not considered or (if included in CapEx already) underestimated. Most of these H2 prices are not achievable today for new projects as shown by various public auctions.

Amazing to see the potential of different regions in Europe for green hydrogen production. This tool is a great resource for understanding how we can strategically deploy renewable energy for a greener future. Thank you Agora!

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