Constantin Gissler’s Post

Just over two weeks to go before the local elections on 2nd May. This is when candidates start to have sleepless nights. There is no glory in coming a close second … For the development industry, the elections are most likely to confirm the ongoing long term decline of the Tory Party in Town Halls across the country. The days when the Tory Party was the party of local government are long gone. The reality of course is that political change always brings opportunities. New Cabinet Members. New Planning Chairs. New local MPs. Even new Leaders. The trick is early and meaningful engagement with new administrations … 2024 is likely to be an election year so it makes sense to analyse what is going to happen locally and plan for it. Get to know Labour, Lib Dem and Tory PPCs now so they understand your business before they are elected. This isn’t difficult to do and is more than worth the effort. Newly elected MPs have very little to do, particularly if the government has a large majority. So help fill your newly elected local MPs’ diaries with site visits and tours. Again, this isn’t difficult to do. I have been handling political change for over forty years. It is the bread and butter of good public affairs. Team Terrapin is best placed to handle political change in your patch. We are experienced political practitioners from across the political spectrum. We understand what really makes politicians tick. Our political networks are superb. We just love politics … If you want advice and support from senior consultants on making political change work for your business, please get in touch. Team Terrapin : Best in class. Best fun … 🐢🐢🐢

Just over two weeks to go before the local elections on 2nd May. This is when candidates start to have sleepless nights. There is no glory in coming a close second… For the development industry, the elections are most likely to confirm the ongoing long term decline of the Tory Party in Town Halls across the country. The days when the Tory Party was the party of local government are long gone. The reality of course is that political change always brings opportunities. New Cabinet Members. New Planning Chairs. New local MPs. Even new Leaders. The trick is early and meaningful engagement with new administrations… 2024 is likely to be an election year so it makes sense to analyse what is going to happen locally and plan for it. Get to know Labour, Lib Dem and Tory PPCs now so they understand your business before they are elected. This isn’t difficult to do and is more than worth the effort. Newly elected MPs have very little to do, particularly if the government has a large majority. So help fill your newly elected local MPs’ diaries with site visits and tours. Again, this isn’t difficult to do. I have been handling political change for over forty years. It is the bread and butter of good public affairs. Team Terrapin is best placed to handle political change in your patch. We are experienced political practitioners from across the political spectrum. We understand what really makes politicians tick. Our political networks are superb. We just love politics… If you want advice and support from senior consultants on making political change work for your business, please get in touch. Team Terrapin: Best in class. Best fun… 🐢🐢🐢 Peter Bingle

With elections being held in the UK, India, the US, Austria, Belgium and for the European Parliament, 2024 is going to be a huge year for politics, politicians and political parties. But could it also be another big year for populists? In recent years, populist parties of the right and left have exploited anger towards the political elite, a loss of trusts in governments, and growing democratic dissatisfaction. They have surged in polls and made electoral breakthroughs, but will the coming months see more of the same?  What would this mean for the numerous elections set to take place over 2024? Will we see previously fringe candidates rocketing up in the polls? What will happen if Donald Trump wins or loses in the US? Will politics in Europe and beyond lurch to the left or right? Just which voters do these parties most appeal to? And how do we go about improving voters’ faith in their representatives and stop democracy itself coming under threat? https://lnkd.in/dH7vCDZP

The recent EU election results reflect a profound statement from the electorate. People are insightful and aware; they recognize what is happening in their communities and across Europe. The gains seen by various political groups, including the far-right in countries like Germany and France, signal a desire for change or a reaction to current policies. As we analyze these results, it's crucial for all leaders and policymakers to truly listen to the public's voice and address their real concerns, ensuring a balanced and forward-thinking approach to governance.

The day after the EU elections, it is clear that a shift to the right is emerging in Europe. eco – Association of the Internet Industry now appeals to the democratic responsibility of all political parties to drive forward the digital transformation in Europe. For the Internet industry, the European election results are crucial, given that a number of major decisions are now being made at the EU level. While the Ursula von der Leyen Commission has already launched numerous regulatory initiatives over the past five years, the task now is to streamline, reduce bureaucracy and decisively advance European digitalisation. Read more 👉 https://go.eco.de/qvkFtIK #EUElections #DigitalTransformation #InternetIndustry #Digitalisation

It is somehow reassuring that, even in times of major structural changes in our societies (and I'm not specifically referring to the most recent EU elections) we can still hold to certainties. For example, that too many who align with political forces who took a beating in the ballot box (and yes this time I am referring to the most recent EU elections) will always say that "people don't understand" [*] rather than asking themselves if, perhaps, those political forces did not do a bang job at delivering what people were (in most cases, very legitimately) asking for or, at the very least, at explaining in understandable ways why that was either impossible or counter-productive. In any case, as a memo to the "people don't understand" crowd: it's your job to make them understand. Those who seek public office need to explain themselves to the voters, no matter how little the latter may understand of anything, not the other way around. [*] Sometimes blunter variants are used: "people are stupid," "people are racist," "people are fascist," "people are snowflakes," etc. You know what? It does not matter, you are still asking for their votes, so you better get a grip and earn it.

🇬🇧 Ground Control to Major Voters: UK Space Initiatives on Hold? 🛰 As the countdown to the UK general elections begins, the silence surrounding the nation's space initiatives grows louder. With the spotlight firmly fixed on political campaigns, the government adheres to a strict set of rules to avoid swaying voter opinions. Vanda Green, a seasoned UK diplomat at the EU, recently shared insights into the bureaucratic changes taking place amidst the electoral frenzy. 🔍 What does it mean? What are the rules? We lay them out and explain everything in the latest article: https://lnkd.in/edRiEiAm

The upcoming European Parliament elections taking place between 6 June and 9 June 2024 will see over 370 million eligible voters from the EU's 27 member states elect 720 MEPs for the period of next five years. As the elections approach, significant attention has to be given to the potential rise of far-right politicians across Europe. As the European elections near, the stability of the current European power structure and the future of European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen are at a critical juncture. Although EPP is likely to win most votes, it will be up to von der Leyen’s ability to navigate complex alliances within the composition of the new Parliament in order to secure her second term. The evolving relationships among key political figures like Giorgia Meloni, Marine Le Pen, and Viktor Orbán could shape the European political landscape in the coming months. According to recent polls, it is expected that the composition of the future European Parliament will shift towards the right and Ursula von der Leyen has already left open door to her future collaboration with European Conservatives and Reformists. This could have serious repercussions for a number of key signature European union policies. A more right-wing parliament will likely advocate for less stringent environmental regulations and question current commitments related to green transition and implementation of the European Green Deal. Debates about migration and protection of external borders will continue, as well as ongoing conversations about EU Defence policy and defence spending. The new Parliament will likely advocate for greater fiscal conservativism, as well as shifting more powers towards national parliaments. On external relations, fine balance will have to be found when it comes to ongoing global crises in Ukraine and the Middle East and future trade deals will face greater scrutiny. Therefore, the influence of socialists and liberals, currently leading in France, Germany, and Spain, may be counterbalanced by these emerging conservative priorities, impacting the EU's legislative and policy directions significantly. #EUelections2024

The European elections have officially kicked in, with the first country 𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘵 𝘰𝘧𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘵. Yesterday, 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗡𝗲𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗹𝗮𝗻𝗱𝘀 𝗸𝗶𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝗳𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗮𝘀 𝗗𝘂𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗰𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘇𝗲𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘁𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗶𝗿 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗲𝘀. As much of the national spotlights have been firmly fixed on national politics the past few months, the EU elections struggled to gain attention. As a new coalition agreement and a candidate Prime Minister have been recently put forward, the expectation was that national issues would be influential for this campaign. The far-right PVV confirmed its status as a leading party in the Netherlands as it gained a whopping 6 seats, totalling 7 MEPs for the next term. While this is a strong result without any doubt, they failed to become the largest despite numerous polls suggesting so. ➡ Which party is projected to jump over PVV to become the largest then? GroenLinks-PvdA, the green-social democrat alliance led by former EU climate chief Frans Timmermans, 𝗷𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝗲𝗱𝗴𝗲𝗱 𝗣𝗩𝗩 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗗𝘂𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝘆 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗻 𝗣𝗮𝗿𝗹𝗶𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁. An important caveat however: while formally one party in the Netherlands, once in the European Parliament 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝘆 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝘀𝗽𝗹𝗶𝘁 𝘂𝗽 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗘𝗨 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀: the European Greens and S&D. As the formal results will come in on Sunday 11:00 PM, there could still be shifts in the division of seats. ⬇ Swipe our carrousel if you are curious about the main implications of the exit poll results. Please note that these figures are based on exit polls, minor changes to the seat distribution can still occur. Stay tuned and keep an eye on our page next Monday, when we will report on the general outcomes of the EU elections.

2024 will see over 40% of the world's voting population head to the polls. As election cycles progress and conclude, markets appreciate uncertainty subsiding. Michael MacGrath, CFA, Head of Global Investment Selection, discusses elections and their potential impact on markets. Read more in this insight from the latest edition of MarketWatch https://lnkd.in/eU-s6kHS   #insight #marketwatch #elections