Bruno Giussani’s Post

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Writer, Curator, Experimenter (Previously TED, Countdown, Stanford U, World Economic Forum, New York Times, FIFDH, CERN, Swiss & international press)

THE DELUSION OF “BAD WEATHER”   In "my" part of #Switzerland, a small triangle of land that stretches 100 km from the Alps southward and is home to less than 400’000 Italian-speaking people, a territory of steep mountain valleys and spectacular waterfalls, of charming lakeside towns and busy cities, over the last two weeks two events killed six people.   Massive rainfall on Saturday 22 June caused huge rock-and-mudslides around the town of Lostallo (photo below), tore down homes, killed three people (one was found 8 km down the river), and destroyed a segment of a crucial highway.   More thunderstorm and heavy rain killed three people last night in the Fontana area of the Maggia valley. At least one is still missing. Hundreds had to be evacuated, the region is without power and drinking water, a bridge was carried away.   I describe these two events not only because this small region is home, but to use them as an illustration. Similar things have happened in Italy, in France, and elsewhere in Switzerland during the last few days. The world-famous ski resort of Zermatt for instance was flooded twice in a week. And more dreadful things of much larger scale have happened around the world: devastating floods in Brasil, Nepal, the American Midwest; deadly heatwaves in India, Saudi Arabia, Greece, Pakistan; etc.   These events have become central to every discussion. We talk a lot about them.   It is striking however how they are always framed as "weather" (as in: it’s a freak event; an unusual season; a "once-in-30-years" rainfall), as anomalies in an otherwise stable pattern. I just read an article by SonntagsZeitung, a leading Zurich-based paper describing Lostallo as "Unwetter-Gemeinde", the "bad-weather town". TIO, the leading online news portal in the Italian-speaking region talks of "maltempo" (bad #weather): as I write, it has that word in three of the first six headlines of its homepage.   Rarely they are framed as "climate" (as in: it’s the pattern itself shifting, the system breaking down), and when someone does, many get immediately cranky and aggressive. A right-wing member of the Swiss parliament attacked the Swiss weather service yesterday because they had issued an alert, accusing them of attempting to "climate-brainwash people": that was just hours before those people died in Fontana. In France, during the campaign for today’s parliamentary elections, candidates talking about #climate change got viciously harassed, threatened, and ridiculed.   We are at a doubly dangerous moment. The climate, biodiversity, the environment are shifting into disequilibrium, and it is man-made (fossil fuels, etc). At the same time, too many don’t want to hear about it - don’t disturb my way of living, “my rights", “my freedom", my consumption, "unless China acts…", etc – and that denial and self-delusion seem to be deepening in parallel with the growing uncertainty and increasing anxieties.   (Posted 30 June 2024) (Photo: Keystone press agency)

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Peter Sommerville

BSc(Hon) Monash University

3w

But mate, they are simply weather. If you read the IPCC reports you will see even they veer from attributing weather events to climate change. Easy for the naive to do so, but that is a human trait. Phantasising to explain nature has been a human habit for 10’s of thousands of years. Indigenous peoples stories are replete with such associations, as is advanced western or eastern civilisations.

Andrea Sella

Synthetic Chemist, Energy management obsessive. Columnist: Classic Kit at Chemistry World, Royal Society of Chemistry

3w

adding this link as a reply as well as a re-share: https://www.ft.com/content/b2b6fb7a-9477-4485-a9e3-435b5e9c987e

Christopher Beddow

Map Building @ Meta | Data, Product, Growth

3w

Bruno Giussani I am not sure if you are saying that there is a crescendo of climate deaths but the stats are easy to find and the answer is no. There is not data evidence by the count of fatalies that shows a changing pattern, much less a pattern (it is stochastic mostly). Are you trying to say that there is a pattern and deaths are increasing? 1965 was a huge spike, and you will find others like in 1806 when my town for Goldau was destroyed in a landslide killing 457 people. Data is clearly available here with natural disaster deaths per year: https://opendata.swiss/en/dataset/number-of-natural-hazard-fatalities-per-year-in-switzerland-since-1946/resource/c3773c98-43f8-4049-a9b0-a92df9168ef2

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I prefer acting against global warming and all human-made climate extremes with everyone and every company which is interested and willing to do so, instead of trying to convince the right-wing people and parties - so called conservatives (I’m wondering what they actually conserve? But that’s a different animal. Pun intended) Plus all these none-sense discussions if climate change is real. We have to act now. And China does btw 😉 they have reached their renewable energy targets 2030 with their solar and wind turbine production this year already! But facts don’t matter much for the right wing, so let’s try to get the majority of people act instead of complaining 😉❤️

Michal Kravčík

Co-Founder & Initiative Lead at WATERHOLISTIC

3w

unfortunately the problem is much more serious. The growth of extremes in colder regions and the Alps is caused by the dramatic drying of the agro-urbanized areas of Europe. We don't want to understand this, nor do we want to change the system of using the earth's surface. If we don't change it. We will end up very badly. I wrote about it here:. I wrote on this on my profile...

Dr Emma Fieldhouse

Future We Want Director - helps sustainability leaders make climate positive people using #sciencebased and #gamebasedlearning. Keynote speaker. Women in Innovation winner. Fun educator. 🙂 #bananasgame

3w

I’d love £1 for every time I hear the ‘China denial’ as I call it… If you ask people where most of their stuff is made right after they blame China, then it can take the wind 💨 out of their sails!! How can it just be down to China 🇨🇳 when your latest Amazon purchase was made there?! We’re all in denial!!

J Mark Dodds FRSA

Born 314 ppm: Convening @peoplespubptshp: people's pub company: bringing pubs into the commons fit for 21st century purpose A #FossilFuelFree #SustainableSupplyChain National Trust for Pubs funded by public subscription

3w

Don't look up. Don't look down. Don't look ahead. Look backwards to where these events were pretty much unimaginably rare, and think 'we'll get back to where we used to be' and everything will be *normal* again. That's why millions of people are voting for climate crisis denialist fanatical fascists telling them *the weather has always changed* and all this *mainstream news* is woke WEF agenda designed to scare us to abandon our freedoms and our rights to BAU and to choose to shop and enjoy the lifestyles we worked so hard for.

Elaine France, FRSA

Strategic Foresight, Innovation & Entrepreneurship Consultant for Green, Clean & Fair Futures | Trainer | Facilitator | Community Builder |

3w

Also, denial is all part of people - voters - meeting their need for safety. Albeit totally disempowering and the wrong safety ie. the status quo. Sticking in "safe discomfort" can still feel easier than making change happen. I think this is where many people are. The radical right are selling 'safety' as their campaign myth: and horrifyingly it's working. Here in the Swiss mountains of Valais we are used to big weather but nothing like this and we are literally immersed in the #climate crisis watching the glaciers melt around us. 2024 - the year of the first climate displaced people in Switzerland.

Anindita Biswas 🧐

Author of The Monocled Writer. I bring common sense back in writing about technology. 15 yrs of strategic clarity in B2B tech, engg. & SaaS for Fortune 100 clients. Cybersecurity, AI/ ML, IIoT, Energy, Telecom. 💬📞👇

3w

Where I live, in another part of the world, we just had our hottest summer in 40 years. Accompanied by near drought conditions. How many ‘bad weather’ towns will it take for people to join the dots?

Tzvetan Simeonov

Research Scientist at Deutscher Wetterdienst

3w

The disasterous consequences you have observed are weather. Climate change induced, but weather. And it is not as if there is one equilibrium state and we have steered away from it. Climate has infinate amount of equilibrium states, some less comfortable for us than others. And it is sad, that we are primarely focused on mitigation and not on adaptation to the new norm. The climate system is constantly evolving into a new states and instead of stopping it, which is impossible btw, we should be evolving with it. And we should be very economically efficient in doing so, otherwise we will leave the vast majority of people in the world struggling economically for their survival, so that the more fortunate minority can feel good for themselves that they have made the "right" choices. Cheap energy is much more important than green energy for the future of the planet. We can afford 2-3 degrees global warming, we cannot afford 3-5 billion people in poverty, because in 20 years the 3-5 can grow to 4-8 billion.

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